• Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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• v.37 no.5_1
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• pp.833-845
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• 2021

Quantification of carbon absorption and understanding the human induced land use changes forms one of the major study with respect to global climatic changes. An attempt study has been made to quantify the carbon absorption by land use changes through remote sensing technology. However, it focused on past carbon absorption changes. So prediction of future carbon absorption changes is insufficient. This study simulated land use change using the Conversion of Land Use and its Effects at Small regional extent (CLUE-S) model and predicted future changes in carbon absorption considering climate change scenarios 4.5 and 8.5 of the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP). Results of this study, in the RCP 4.5 scenarios there predicted to be loss of 7.92% of carbon absorption, but in the RCP 8.5 scenarios was 13.02%. Therefore, the approach used in this study is expected to enable exploration of future carbon absorption change considering other climate change scenarios.

• Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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• 2005.11a
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• pp.1010-1015
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• 2005

Recently, advancements in railway system and IT have enabled automatic or driverless train. Futhermore, developed countries have been tried to develope unmaned operation system for railway system. To apply manless operation in railway system, development of simulator for manless operation is required. The advantage of the simulator is in that it makes it possible to analyze the systems behavior. In this paper, we define system requirements and functionalities, and establish the system scenarios to handle the various accidents/faults in manless operation environment. We expects the proposed system requirements and system scenarios will playa key role to establish the man less operation in advanced urban transit system.

• Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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• 2008.11b
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• pp.2101-2107
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• 2008

This study has proposed the development procedure of 'railway accident risk assessment model' by as a common approach. The risk assessment procedure is following the requirements of the common safety methods (CSM) suggested in EU and was developed based on the accident scenarios. Various hazardous events, which have the potential to lead directly to casualties, were defined. Then, for each hazardous event, the railway accident appearance scenarios and railway accident progress scenarios were developed. The developed procedure will provide a generic model of the safety risk on the Korea railway.

• Journal of Fisheries and Marine Sciences Education
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• v.27 no.3
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• pp.757-769
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• 2015

The purpose of this study is to investigate the key factors affecting the future college of education and describe two scenarios for prospecting the future college of education. In these scenarios, two important factors are selected to influence the college of education : 'Expansion of the marketization' and 'Development of technology'. As a result, two different scenarios have been identified. Scenario 1 is 'College of education realizing user centered education by development of the marketization and technology'. Scenarios 2 is 'College of education realizing welfare and the public of edaucaiton by using technology'. This study has some significance to the college of education in Korea in following aspects. 1) It applies future research methodology in method aspect 2) It arouses attention to the future college of education and reminds probabilities of change in context aspect.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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• v.33 no.3
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• pp.163-172
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• 2015

This study examined the potential effects of urban growth on streamflow in the Gyungan River watershed, Korea, using urban containment scenarios. First, two scenarios (conservation and development) were established, and SLEUTH model was adapted to predict urban growth into the year 2060 with 20 years interval under two scenarios in the study area. Urban growth was larger under scenario 2, focusing on development, than under scenario 1, focusing on conservation. Most urban growth was predicted to involve the conversion of farmland, forest, and grasslands to urban areas. Streamflow in future periods under these scenarios was simulated by the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. Each scenario showed distinct seasonal variations in streamflow. Although urban growth had a small effect on streamflow, urban growth may heighten the problems of increased seasonal variability in streamflow caused by other factor, such as climate change. This results obtained in this study provide further insight into the availability of future water resource and can aid in urban containment planning to mitigate the negative effects of urban growth in the study area.

• IE interfaces
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.114-125
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• 2002

The objective of this paper is to describe a systematic accident scenario analysis method(SASA) adept at creating accident scenarios for the design of safer products. This approach was inspired by the Quality Function Deployment(QFD) method, which is conventionally used in quality management. In this study, the QFD provides a formal and systematic scheme to devise accident scenarios while maintaining objectivity. SASA consists of three key stages to be broken down into a series of consecutive steps:(1) developing an accident analysis tableau,(2) devising the accident scenarios using the accident analysis tableau,(3) performing a feasibility test, a clustering process and a patterning process, and finally(4) performing quantitative evaluation of each accident scenario. The SASA was applied to a case study of child safety seats. The accident analysis tableau devised 2828(maximum) accident scenarios from all possible relationships between the hazard factors and situation characteristics. Among them, 270 scenarios were devised through the feasibility test and the clustering process. The patterning process reduced them to 29 patterns representative of all accident scenarios. Based on an intensive analysis of the accident patterns, design guidelines for a safer child safety seat were recommended. The implications of the study on the child safety seat case were then discussed.

• Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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• v.9 no.4
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• pp.7-13
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• 2017

As automotive industry develops, the demand for increasing traffic safety is growing. Lots of researches about vehicle convenience and safety technology have been implemented. Now, the autonomous driving test is being conducted all over the world, and the autonomous driving regulations are also being developed. Autonomous vehicles are being commercialized, but autonomous vehicle safety has not been guaranteed yet. This paper presents scenarios that assess the safety of autonomous vehicles by identifying the minimum requirements to ensure safety for a variety of situations on highway. In assessing driving safety, seven scenarios were totally selected. Seven scenarios were related to lane keeping and lane change performance in certain situations. These scenarios were verified by analyzing the driving data acquired through actual vehicle driving. Data analysis was implemented via computer simulation. These scenarios are developed based on existing ADAS evaluation and simulation of autonomous vehicle algorithm. Also Safety evaluation factors are developed based on ISO requirements, other papers and the current traffic regulations.

• Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Planning & Design
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• v.36 no.1
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• pp.15-26
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• 2020

The purpose of this study is to develop every possible real-time evacuation scenarios for large-scale buildings which considering continuously changing conditions during the events. From the review of the previous studies on smartphone-based real-time evacuation systems, this study proposed the customized egress scenarios. The scenario considered the characteristics of facilities, disaster types, and individual factors of evacuees. This study verified the proposed process for real-time evacuation scenarios by applying the several actual fire cases happened recently in Korea. Based on the result of this research, necessary technologies for the real-time evacuation systems are identified and can be applied to develop the more effective evacuation system.

• Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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• v.35 no.3
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• pp.59-76
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• 2019

This study aims to develop urban scenarios for future cities and validate the future city scenarios using a Delphi method. The scenarios of future city was derived from urban structure, land use, transportation, and urban infrastructure and development using big data analysis, environmental scanning techniques, and literature review. The Delphi survey interviewed 24 erudite scholars and experts across 6 nations including Korea, USA, UK, Japan, China, Australia and India. The Delphi survey structure was designed to test future city scenarios, verified by the 5-point Likert scale. The survey also asked the timing of each scenario likely happens by the three terms of near-future, mid-future and far-future. Results of the Delphi survey reveal the following points. Firstly, for the future urban structure it is anticipated that urban concentration continues and higher density living in global mega cities near future. In the mid-future small and medium size cities may decrease. Secondly, the land use pattern in the near-future is expected of increasing space sharing and mixed or layered vertical land-use. In addition underground space is likely to be extended in the mid-future. Thirdly, in the near-future, transport and infrastructure was expected to show ICT embedded integration platform and public and private smart transport. Finally, the result of Delphi survey shows that TOD (Transit Oriented Development) becomes a development norm and more emphasis on energy and environment fields.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.41 no.3
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• pp.165-172
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• 2017

Current scenarios for marine spill accidents were developed based on probable maximum spill accidents. However,, accidents of similar scale to maximum spill accidents are virtually non-existent, and training or deployment of response equipment based on these scenarios can be cost prohibitive. Current scenarios require realism for practical use and need to be designed for purpose of use. In this study we developed scenarios that may replace current scenarios by using the HNS accident standard codes based on past accident cases. Scenarios were developed by modularizing the HNS accident standard code, that is classified into three scenarios: Maximum Frequency Scenario, Maximum Damage Scenario, and Maximum Vulnerability Scenario. The situation of an accident presented in each scenario developed in this process is much like a real accident, and therefore, it is has practical application.