• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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• 제21권7호
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• pp.8-16
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• 2021

The tourism industry is influenced by a large number of factors that affect the development scenarios of the tourism in different ways. At the same time, tourism is an important component of the national economy of any state, forms its image, investment attractiveness, is a source of income and a stimulus for business development. The aim of the article is to conduct an empirical study to identify the importance of cognitive determinants in the development of tourism. The study used general and special methods: systems analysis, synthesis, grouping, systematization, cognitive modeling, cognitive map, pulse method, predictive extrapolation. Target factors, indicators, and control factors influencing the development of tourism in Ukraine are determined and a cognitive model is built, which graphically reflects the nature of the influence of these factors. Four main scenarios of the Ukrainian tourism industry are established on the basis of creating a matrix of adjacency of an oriented graph and forecast modeling based on a scenario approach. The practical significance of the obtained results lies in the possibility of their use to forecast the prospects of tourism development in Ukraine, the definition of state policy to support the industry that will promote international and domestic tourism.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제33권5호
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• pp.539-546
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• 2001

Systematic procedure of developing radionuclide release scenarios was established based on FEP list and Interaction Matrix for near-surface LILW repository. FEPs were screened by experts＇review in terms of domestic situation and combined into scenarios on the basis of Interaction Matrix analysis. Under the assumption of design scenario, The system domain was divided into three sections: Near-field, Far-field and Biosphere. Sub-scenarios for each section were developed, and then scenarios for entire system were built up with sub-scenarios of each section. Finally, sixteen design scenarios for near-surface repository were evaluated A reference scenario and other noteworthy scenarios were selected through experts＇scenario screening.

• 기술혁신학회지
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• 제8권spc1호
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• pp.410-432
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• 2005

Korea's government-sponsored research institutes (GRIs) have contributed a lot to the economic development of Korea. They have become major components of the Korean national innovation system. However, in these days, they have been blamed for low productivity and inefficiency, as well as insufficient contribution to national development. This paper argues that the major problem of Korea's GRIs lies in their concentration in a few regions, e. g. Seoul, Gyeonggi, and Daedeok. It argues that they should be fairly distributed among regions in order to contribute to the development of Korea effectively. In this regard, this paper explores the relevant policy options to effectively distribute Korean GRIs among regions. It suggests two categories of distribution scenarios. The first category is based on the types of GRIs to be distributed. This category has three scenarios: existing GRIs, branch institutes of existing GRIs, and new GRIs. The second category is based on the jurisdiction of GRIs. It has also three scenarios: GRI system as an independent sector, GRI-university cooperation system, and integration of GRIs to regional universities. These scenarios have advantages and disadvantages, respectively. Therefore, we must find a rather satisfactory scenario based on the mixture of scenarios of both categories.

• 풍력에너지저널
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.45-50
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• 2014

Reviewing the capacity and timing of Southwest sea offshore wind farms, additional farms developing, and potential farms, we devised the long-term plan of domestic offshore wind farms development. In order to rank many wind farms, we determined evaluation indicators and weights of priority. We applied economic and preliminary factors such as wind grade, depth of water, distance from substations, farms scale, MOU signed, and feasibility studies. After deciding the ranking of wind farms by the scores, we planed domestic long-term scenarios of offshore wind farms development to meet national energy policy objectives.

• 한국주거학회논문집
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• 제21권5호
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• pp.73-81
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• 2010

With rapid development of various information and communication technologies, to forecast future became important for coping with new environment. Experts in each field of study are forecasting future society, and considerable life scenarios are derived in the process. Life scenarios help people to approach and understand future circumstances easily. Therefore, to study future housing with life scenarios as materials will be helpful to establish the direction to the development of current housing. The purpose of this research is to examine what characterizes the housing functions and life behaviors of future house and what is changing from the housing functions and life behaviors of past and present. Content analysis was used as research method. The subject was 10 future forecasting books which reflects daily life in the house, and 1 episode relating residential space as 1 analysis unit, the total of 213 episodes were analyzed as materials. As a result, most of the life behaviors in the house are expected to be performed by robots instead of humans in the future. On the other hand, partial life behaviors are already being performed mostly by computer system, and another partial life behaviors show that the role-performance of them are not being totally by robots but partially with human.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제53권6호
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• pp.31-41
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• 2011

This study was conducted to predict future land-cover changes under climate change scenarios and to cluster analysis of regional land-cover characteristics. To simulate the future land-cover according to climate change scenarios - A1B, A2, and B1 of the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES), Dyna-CLUE (Conversion of Land Use Change and its Effects) was applied for modeling of competition among land-use types in relation with socioeconomic and biophysical driving factors. Gyeonggi-do were selected as study areas. The simulation results from 2010 to 2040 suggested future land-cover changes under the scenario conditions. All scenarios resulted in a gradual decrease in paddy area, while upland area continuously increased. A1B scenario showed the highest increase in built-up area, but all scenarios showed only slight changes in forest area. As a result of cluster analysis with the land-cover component scores, 31 si/gun in Gyeonggi-do were classified into three clusters. This approach is expected to be useful for evaluating and simulating land-use changes in relation to development constraints and scenarios. The results could be used as fundamental basis for providing policy direction by considering regional land-cover characteristics.

• 자동차안전학회지
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.6-12
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• 2017

Regulation for the testing and operation of automated vehicles on public roadways has been recently developed all over the world. For example, the licensing standards and the evaluation technology for automated vehicles have been proposed in California, Nevada and EU. But specific safety evaluation scenarios for automated vehicles have not been proposed yet. This paper presents safety evaluation scenarios for extraordinary service permission of automated vehicles on highways. A total of seven scenarios are selected in consideration of safety priority and real traffic situation. Six scenarios are relevant with lane keeping and one scenario is relevant with lane change. All scenarios are developed based on existing ADAS evaluation scenarios and repeated simulation of automated vehicle algorithm. Safety evaluation factors as well as scenarios are developed. The safety factors are based on existing ADAS ISO requirements, ADAS safety factors and current traffic regulations. For the scenarios, a hunter vehicle is needed in addition to automated vehicle evaluated. The hunter vehicle performs multiple roles like preceding vehicle, cut-in vehicle and so on. The hunter vehicle is also automated vehicle equipped with high performance GPS, radar and Lidar. All the scenarios can be implemented by driving a lap on a KATRI ITS test track. These scenarios and safety evaluation factors are investigated via both a computer simulation and an experimental vehicle test on the test track. The experimental vehicle test was conducted with two automated vehicles, which are the evaluated vehicle and the hunter vehicle.

• 인터넷정보학회논문지
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.191-199
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• 2020

사이버전 훈련은 사이버전 역량 제고를 위한 핵심 수단이다. 일반적으로 사이버전 훈련은 시나리오에 의해 진행되며, 훈련의 질을 높여줄 수 있는 다양한 요소를 시나리오에 포함시킴으로써 훈련의 효과를 배가시킬 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 훈련 시나리오에 포함시킬 요소로 식별된 훈련 정보, 네트워크 맵, 트래픽 발생 정책, 위협/방어 행위를 소개하고, 이를 계층화하여 조합하는 방식으로 다양한 훈련 시나리오를 저작하는 방법을 제시한다. 그리고 각 시나리오 계층을 통합적으로 관리하기 위한 데이터베이스 설계를 제안한다. 계층적 훈련 시나리오 저작 방법은 기 저작된 계층들의 재사용을 통한 저작 편의성의 증대와, 계층 간의 다양한 조합을 바탕으로 훈련 시나리오를 확장시킬 수 있다는 장점을 가진다.

• 한국화재소방학회논문지
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• 제34권2호
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• pp.141-146
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• 2020

본 연구의 궁극적 목적은 소방활동 현장지휘관의 대응역량 강화이며, 그 일환으로 훈련용 콘텐츠 시나리오를 개발하였다. 현장지휘관의 상황판단력, 커뮤니케이션, 의사결정력을 3가지 핵심역량으로 설정하였다. 이 3가지 핵심역량이 시나리오 체계구성시 적극 반영될 수 있도록 구축하였다. 본 시나리오의 모든 내용은 재난현장 표준작전절차 SOP를 기반으로 구성하였다. 시나리오의 체계는 전체 14단계로 구성되며, 훈련의 시작과 마지막인 1단계와 14단계를 제외하면, 크게 4단계로 구분된다. 상황설정 단계와 1, 2, 3차 의사결정 단계로 구성되며, 특히 상황판단과 커뮤니케이션은 각 단계마다 중요한 요인이다.

• 컴퓨터교육학회논문지
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.27-38
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• 2007

이 연구는 미래 e-러닝 모습에 기반을 둔 e-러닝 표준화 로드맵 개발을 목적으로 한다. 이를 위해 우선 IT 기술, 교육, 표준화 기관 전문가로 구성된 e-러닝 표준화 위원회를 구성하였고, 이 위원회는 본 연구의 진행 과정과 연구물을 검토해 주었다. 연구의 첫 단계로 국내외 e-러닝 현황과 관련 연구를 조사한 다음, 이를 바탕으로 e-러닝 시나리오를 먼저 작성하였다. e-러닝 시나리오는 탑다운 방식의 로드맵 개발 방법론을 채택하여 2015년의 초중등 교육 대학 교육, 평생 교육 세 개의 e-러닝 시나리오를 작성하였다. 두 번째 단계로는 이 시나리오를 바탕으로 현재 e-러닝 표준화 요소와의 차이 분석을 통해 e-러닝 표준화 로드맵 v2를 작성하였다. 작성된 미래 e-러닝 시나리오와 e-러닝 표준화 로드맵은 교사, 교육 전문가 등 e-러닝 수혜자들이 미래의 e-러닝을 대비하고, e-러닝 표준화를 이해하는데 큰 도움이 될 것이다.