• Title/Summary/Keyword: deterministic

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Optimum Chycle Time and Delay Caracteristics in Signalized Street Networks (계통교통신호체계에서의 지체특성과 최적신호주기에 관한 연구)

  • 이광훈
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.7-20
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    • 1992
  • The common cycle time for the linded signals is usually determined for the critical intersecion, just because the cpacity of a signalized intersection depends on the cycle time. This may not be optimal since the interactions between the flow and the spatial structure of the route or the area are disregarded in this case. It is common to separate the total delay incurred at signals into two parts, a deterministic or uniform delay and a stochastic or random delay. The deterministic delays and the stochastic delays on the artery particularly related to signal cycle time. For this purpose a microscopic simulation technique is used to evaluate deterministic delays, and a macroscopic simulation technique based on the principles of Markov chains is used to evaluate stochastic delays with over flow queue. As a result of investigating the relations between deterministic delays and cycle time in the various circumstances of spacing of signals and traffic volume. As for stochastic delays the resalts of comparisons of the macroscopic simulation and Newell's approximation with the microscopic simulation indicate that the former is valid for the degree of saturation less than 0.95 and the latter is for that above 0.95. Newell's argument that the total stochastic delay on an arterial is dominated by that at or caused by critical intersection is certified by the simulation experiments. The comprehensive analyses of the values of optimal cycle time with various conditions lead to a model. The cycle time determined by this model shows to be approximately 70% of that calculated by Webster's.

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Recent research towards integrated deterministic-probabilistic safety assessment in Korea

  • Heo, Gyunyoung;Baek, Sejin;Kwon, Dohun;Kim, Hyeonmin;Park, Jinkyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.11
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    • pp.3465-3473
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    • 2021
  • For a long time, research into integrated deterministic-probabilistic safety assessment has been continuously conducted to point out and overcome the limitations of classical ET (event tree)/FT (fault tree) based PSA (probabilistic safety assessment). The current paper also attempts to assert the reason why a technical transformation from classical PSA is necessary with a re-interpretation of the categories of risk. In this study, residual risk was classified into interpolating- and extrapolating-censored categories, which represent risks that are difficult to identify through an interpolation or extrapolation of representative scenarios due to potential nonlinearity between hardware and human behaviors intertwined in time and space. The authors hypothesize that such risk can be dealt with only if the classical ETs/FTs are freely relocated, entailing large-scale computation associated with physical models. The functional elements that are favorable to find residual risk were inferred from previous studies. The authors then introduce their under-development enabling techniques, namely DICE (Dynamic Integrated Consequence Evaluation) and DeBATE (Deep learning-Based Accident Trend Estimation). This work can be considered as a preliminary initiative to find the bridging points between deterministic and probabilistic assessments on the pillars of big data technology.

Reinforcement Learning based on Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient for Roll Control of Underwater Vehicle (수중운동체의 롤 제어를 위한 Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient 기반 강화학습)

  • Kim, Su Yong;Hwang, Yeon Geol;Moon, Sung Woong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.558-568
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    • 2021
  • The existing underwater vehicle controller design is applied by linearizing the nonlinear dynamics model to a specific motion section. Since the linear controller has unstable control performance in a transient state, various studies have been conducted to overcome this problem. Recently, there have been studies to improve the control performance in the transient state by using reinforcement learning. Reinforcement learning can be largely divided into value-based reinforcement learning and policy-based reinforcement learning. In this paper, we propose the roll controller of underwater vehicle based on Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient(DDPG) that learns the control policy and can show stable control performance in various situations and environments. The performance of the proposed DDPG based roll controller was verified through simulation and compared with the existing PID and DQN with Normalized Advantage Functions based roll controllers.

Stochastic Fatigue Life Assesment based on Bayesian-inference (베이지언 추론에 기반한 확률론적 피로수명 평가)

  • Park, Myong-Jin;Kim, Yooil
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.56 no.2
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    • pp.161-167
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    • 2019
  • In general, fatigue analysis is performed by using deterministic model to estimate the optimal parameters. However, the deterministic model is difficult to clearly describe the physical phenomena of fatigue failure that contains many uncertainty factors. With regard to this, efforts have been made in this research to compare with the deterministic model and the stochastic models. Firstly, One deterministic S-N curve was derived from ordinary least squares technique and two P-S-N curves were estimated through Bayesian-linear regression model and Markov-Chain Monte Carlo simulation. Secondly, the distribution of Long-term fatigue damage and fatigue life were predicted by using the parameters obtained from the three methodologies and the long-term stress distribution.

ASUSD nuclear data sensitivity and uncertainty program package: Validation on fusion and fission benchmark experiments

  • Kos, Bor;Cufar, Aljaz;Kodeli, Ivan A.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.7
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    • pp.2151-2161
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    • 2021
  • Nuclear data (ND) sensitivity and uncertainty (S/U) quantification in shielding applications is performed using deterministic and probabilistic approaches. In this paper the validation of the newly developed deterministic program package ASUSD (ADVANTG + SUSD3D) is presented. ASUSD was developed with the aim of automating the process of ND S/U while retaining the computational efficiency of the deterministic approach to ND S/U analysis. The paper includes a detailed description of each of the programs contained within ASUSD, the computational workflow and validation results. ASUSD was validated on two shielding benchmark experiments from the Shielding Integral Benchmark Archive and Database (SINBAD) - the fission relevant ASPIS Iron 88 experiment and the fusion relevant Frascati Neutron Generator (FNG) Helium Cooled Pebble Bed (HCPB) Test Blanket Module (TBM) mock-up experiment. The validation process was performed in two stages. Firstly, the Denovo discrete ordinates transport solver was validated as a standalone solver. Secondly, the ASUSD program package as a whole was validated as a ND S/U analysis tool. Both stages of the validation process yielded excellent results, with a maximum difference of 17% in final uncertainties due to ND between ASUSD and the stochastic ND S/U approach. Based on these results, ASUSD has proven to be a user friendly and computationally efficient tool for deterministic ND S/U analysis of shielding geometries.

New hybrid stochastic-deterministic rock block analysis method in tunnels (터널의 신 하이브리드 추계학적-확정론적 암반블럭 해석기법)

  • Hwang, Jae-Yun
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.265-274
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    • 2010
  • In many tunnels, falling or sliding of rock blocks often occur, which cannot be predicted because of the complexity of rock discontinuities and it has brought an exponential increase in costs and time to manage. It is difficult to estimate the properties of rock masses before the tunnel excavation. The observational design and construction method in tunnels has been becoming important recently. In this study, a new hybrid stochastic-deterministic rock block analysis method for the prediction of the unstable rock blocks before the tunnel excavation is proposed, and then applied to the tunnel construction based on actual rock discontinuity information observed in the field. The comparisons and investigations with the analytical results in the tunnel construction have confirmed the validity and applicability of this new hybrid stochastic-deterministic rock block analysis method in tunnels.

The interface among psychology, technology, and environment: Indigenous and cultural analysis of the probabilistic versus deterministic view of accident and safety (인간, 과학기술과 환경의 대한 이해: 사고와 안전에 대한 확률론적 시각과 결정론적 시각의 토착 문화적 분석)

  • 김의철
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
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    • v.9 no.spc
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    • pp.123-147
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    • 2003
  • This paper provides a comparative analysis of the probabilistic versus deterministic view of accident and safety using the indigenous and cultural perspectives. Death and injury due to accidents is the leading cause of preventable death in most countries, including Korea. The first part of this paper delineates the limitation of the linear, deterministic model that has been adopted in social and applied sciences. The transactional model, advocated by indigenous psychology, is provided to understand the probabilistic nature of accident and safety at home, in the workplace and in society. Second, factors related to accidents and safety are reviewed. Third, application of the probabilistic model for preventing accidents and promoting safety in Korea is outlined.

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Rebinning-Based Deterministic Image Reconstruction Methods for Compton Camera (컴프턴 카메라를 위한 재배열 기반 확정론적 영상재구성법)

  • Lee, Mi-No;Lee, Soo-Jin;Seo, Hee;Nguyen, Van-Giang
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2011
  • While Compton imaging is recognized as a valuable 3-D technique in nuclear medicine, reconstructing an image from Compton scattered data has been of a difficult problem due to its computational complexity. The most complex and time-consuming computation in Compton camera reconstruction is to perform the conical projection and backprojection operations. To alleviate the computational burden imposed by these operations, we investigate a rebinning method which can convert conical projections into parallel projections. The use of parallel projections allows to directly apply the existing deterministic reconstruction methods, which have been useful for conventional emission tomography, to Compton camera reconstruction. To convert conical projections into parallel projections, a cone surface is sampled with a number of lines. Each line is projected onto an imaginary plane that is mostly perpendicular to the line. The projection data rebinned in each imaginary plane can then be treated as the standard parallel projection data. To validate the rebinning method, we tested with the representative deterministic algorithms, such as the filtered backprojection method and the algebraic reconstruction technique. Our experimental results indicate that the rebinning method can be useful when the direct application of existing deterministic methods is needed for Compton camera reconstruction.

The Reliability-Based Probabilistic Structural Analysis for the Composite Tail Plane Structures (복합재 미익 구조의 신뢰성 기반 확률론적 구조해석)

  • Lee, Seok-Je;Kim, In-Gul
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, the deterministic optimal design for the tail plane made of composite materials is conducted under the deterministic loading condition and compared with that of the metallic materials. Next, the reliability analysis with five random variables such as loading and material properties of unidirectional prepreg is conducted to examine the probability of failure for the deterministic optimal design results. The MATLAB programing is used for reliability analysis combined with FEA S/W(COMSOL) for structural analysis. The laminated composite is assumed to the equivalent orthotropic material using classical laminated plate theory. The response surface methodology and importance sampling technique are adopted to reduce computational cost with satisfying the accuracy in reliability analysis. As a result, structural weight of composite materials is lighter than that of metals in deterministic optimal design. However, the probability of failure for the deterministic optimal design of the tail plane structures is too high to be neglected. The sensitivity of each variable is also estimated using probabilistic sensitivity analysis to figure out which variables are sensitive to failure. The computational cost is considerably reduced when response surface methodology and importance sampling technique are used. The study of the computationally inexpensive method for reliability-based design optimization will be necessary in further work.

Synthesis of Asynchronous Circuits from Free-Choice Signal Transition Graphs with Timing Constraints (시간 제한 조건을 가진 자유 선택 신호 전이 그래프로부터 비동기 회로의 합성)

  • Jeong, Seong-Tae;Jeong, Seok-Tae
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartA
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    • v.9A no.1
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    • pp.61-74
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents a method which synthesizes asynchronous circuits from free-choice Signal Transition Graphs (STGs) with timing constraints. The proposed method synthesizes asynchronous circuits by analyzing: the relations between signal transitions directly from the STGs without generating state graphs. The synthesis procedure decomposes a free-choice STG into deterministic STGs which do not have choice behavior. Then, a timing analysis extracts the timed concurrency and tamed causality relations between any two signal transitions for each deterministic STG. The synthesis procedure synthesizes circuits for each deterministic STG and synthesizes the final circuit by merging the circuits for each deterministic STG. The experimental results show that our method achieves significant reductions in synthesis time for the circuits which have a large state space, and generates circuits that have nearly the same area as compared to previous methods.