• 제목/요약/키워드: demand-based method

검색결과 1,702건 처리시간 0.027초

Capacity spectrum method based on inelastic spectra for high viscous damped buildings

  • Bantilas, Kosmas E.;Kavvadias, Ioannis E.;Vasiliadis, Lazaros K.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.337-351
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    • 2017
  • In the present study a capacity spectrum method based on constant ductility inelastic spectra to estimate the seismic performance of structures equipped with elastic viscous dampers is presented. As the definition of the structures' effective damping, due to the damping system, is necessary, an alternative method to specify the effective damping ratio ${\xi}eff$ is presented. Moreover, damping reduction factors (B) are introduced to generate high damping elastic demand spectra. Given the elastic spectra for damping ratio ${\xi}eff$, the performance point of the structure can be obtained by relationships that relate the strength demand reduction factor (R) with the ductility demand factor (${\mu}$). As such expressions that link the above quantities, known as R - ${\mu}$ - Τ relationships, for different damping levels are presented. Moreover, corrective factors (Bv) for the pseudo-velocity spectra calculation are reported for different levels of damping and ductility in order to calculate with accuracy the values of the viscous dampers velocities. Finally, to evaluate the results of the proposed method, the whole process is applied to a four-storey reinforced concrete frame structure and to a six-storey steel structure, both equipped with elastic viscous dampers.

Replica Update Propagation Using Demand-Based Tree for Weak Consistency in the Grid Database

  • Ge, Ruixuan;Jang, Yong-Il;Park, Soon-Young;Bae, Hae-Young
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제9권12호
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    • pp.1542-1551
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    • 2006
  • In the Grid Database, some replicas will have more requests from the clients than others. A fast consistency algorithm has been presented to satisfy the high demand nodes in a shorter period of time. But it has poor performance in multiple regions of high demand for forming the island of locally consistent replicas. Then, a leader election method is proposed, whereas it needs much additional cost for periodic leader election, information storage, and message passing, Also, false leader can be created. In this paper, we propose a tree-based algorithm for replica update propagation. Leader replicas with high demand are considered as the roots of trees which are interconnected. All the other replicas are sorted and considered as nodes of the trees. Once an update occurs at any replica, it need be transmitted to the leader replicas first. Every node that receives the update propagates it to its children in the tree. The update propagation is optimized by cost reduction for fixed propagation schedule. And it is also flexible for the dynamic model in which the demand conditions change with time.

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함수 주성분 분석을 이용한 한국의 장기 에너지 수요예측 (Long-term Energy Demand Forecast in Korea Using Functional Principal Component Analysis)

  • 최용옥;양현진
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.437-465
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구에서는 장기 전력 수요와 GDP 사이의 소득계수를 시간과 GDP의 값에 따라 변화하도록 모형화한 Chang et al.(2016)에 기반을 두어 장기 에너지 수요의 예측에 관련된 새로운 방법을 제안한다. 본 논문에서는 장기 에너지와 GDP 사이의 소득계수를 함수로 표현하고, 함수 주성분 분석(Functional Principal Component Analysis)을 통하여 함수계수(Functional Coefficient)를 예측하고 이를 장기 에너지 수요 예측에 적용한다. 또한 함수계수를 비모수적으로 추정할 때 너비띠 모수를 예측 실험 오차를 최소화하도록 설정하는 방식을 제안하였고 개별 국가의 함수계수 변화 패턴을 반영하여 개별 국가의 특수성을 반영하는 예측 방법도 제시한다. 실증분석에서는 전 세계 에너지 데이터를 이용하여 한국의 장기 에너지 수요 예측을 본 논문에서 제시한 방법으로 예측하고, 기존의 방법들 보다 안정적인 장기 에너지 수요 예측이 가능함을 보였다.

시설물 입지에 있어 인구 중심점 개념을 이용한 수요 규모 추정 방법 연구 (Study on a Demand Volume Estimation Method using Population Weighted Centroids in Facility Location Problems)

  • 주성아;김영훈
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.11-22
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    • 2007
  • 본 논문은 인구 중심점 개념을 이용하여 GIS 공간 모형에서 보다 정확한 수요 규모를 추정할 수 있는 방법을 제시하고자 하는 연구이다. 이를 위하여 본 연구에서는 면적 속성의 수요 데이터와 점형 속성의 인구 중심점(population centroid)의 개념을 활용하여 보다 정확한 수요 규모를 추정할 수 있는 방법을 제시하고 다양한 지역 및 공간 단위에도 적용될 수 있는 가능성을 제시하였다. 이를 위하여 기존의 수요 데이터 이용 방법의 한계와 제한점을 보완하고 보다 정확한 수요 규모의 추정을 위해서 주택 유형별 가중치 기반의 인구 중심점 추정 방법을 제시하였다. 추출된 인구 중심점을 기반으로 각 수요점의 위치와 수요 규모를 추정하고 인구 중심점과 수요 지점간의 거리 측정 방법을 통하여 실제 GIS 공간모형의 적용 가능성을 살펴 보았다. 이를 위하여 입지-배분 공간 모형을 사례로 시설물 입지를 위한 기본적인 수요 규모와 서비스 배분을 위한 GIS 공간 모형의 적용 가능성을 확인하였다.

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수요응답형 대중교통체계를 위한 클러스터링 기반의 다중차량 경로탐색 방법론 연구 (Study on Multi-vehicle Routing Problem Using Clustering Method for Demand Responsive Transit)

  • 김지후;김정윤;여화수
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.82-96
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    • 2020
  • 수요응답형 대중교통체계 시스템은 사용자의 요청에 따라 서비스 차량의 경로와 스케줄을 설정하는 유동적인 대중교통 서비스이다. 도시 지역에서 대중교통 시스템의 중요성이 증가함에 따라, 수요응답형 대중교통체계를 위한 안정적이고 빠른 경로탐색 방법의 개발 또한 다양하게 연구되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 빠르고 효율적인 다중차량경로 탐색을 위해, 수요 기종점들의 클러스터링 기술을 활용한 종점수요 우선탐색의 휴리스틱 방법이 제안되었다. 제안된 방법은 기종점 수요 분포가 무작위인 경우, 집중된 경우와 방향성을 가지는 경우에 대하여 테스트되었다. 제안된 알고리즘은 수요밀도의 증가로 인한 서비스 비율의 감소를 저감시키며, 계산 속도가 비교적 빠른 장점을 보인다. 또한, 다른 클러스터링 기반 알고리즘에 비해 수요밀도 증가에 따른 서비스 비율 감소율이 낮고, 차량 용량의 활용성이 개선된 반면, 차량 운행경로 길이의 증가로 승객의 차량 탑승시간은 상대적으로 증가하는 특성을 보인다.

데이터 마이닝과 칼만필터링에 기반한 단기 물 수요예측 알고리즘 (Short-term Water Demand Forecasting Algorithm Based on Kalman Filtering with Data Mining)

  • 최기선;신강욱;임상희;전명근
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제15권10호
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    • pp.1056-1061
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes a short-term water demand forecasting algorithm based on kalman filtering with data mining for sustainable water supply and effective energy saving. The proposed algorithm utilizes a mining method of water supply data and a decision tree method with special days like Chuseok. And the parameters of MLAR (Multi Linear Auto Regression) model are estimated by Kalman filtering algorithm. Thus, we can achieve the practicality of the proposed forecasting algorithm through the good results applied to actual operation data.

상시수요응답(Day Ahead Demand Response) 운영에서의 CBL 활용방안 연구 (A Study for CBL(Customer Baseline Load) utilization in Day Ahead Demand Response operation)

  • 고종민;양일권;송재주;진성일
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제58권1호
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    • pp.28-34
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    • 2009
  • In this study firstly we survey the calculation method and the characteristics of the way of estimating CBL(Customer BaseLine Load) that is important calculation tool for DRP internationally. Also we analyze the power consumption pattern using the 15 minutes load profiles of about 120,000 customers in domestic. Based on this pattern, we provide the CBL calculation method that can be utilized in DRP to save the cost, and analyze the accuracy of the CBL calculation proposed in this paper through the simulation.

Bayesian approach for the accuracy evaluating of the seismic demand estimation of SMRF

  • Ayoub Mehri Dehno;Hasan Aghabarati;Mehdi Mahdavi Adeli
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.117-130
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    • 2024
  • Probabilistic model of seismic demand is the main tool used for seismic demand estimation, which is a fundamental component of the new performance-based design method. This model seeks to mathematically relate the seismic demand parameter and the ground motion intensity measure. This study is intended to use Bayesian analysis to evaluate the accuracy of the seismic demand estimation of Steel moment resisting frames (SMRFs) through a completely Bayesian method in statistical calculations. In this study, two types of intensity measures (earthquake intensity-related indices such as magnitude and distance and intensity indices related to ground motion and spectral response including peak ground acceleration (PGA) and spectral acceleration (SA)) have been used to form the models. In addition, an extensive database consisting of sixty accelerograms was used for time-series analysis, and the target structures included five SMRFs of three, six, nine, twelve and fifteen stories. The results of this study showed that for low-rise frames, first mode spectral acceleration index is sufficient to accurately estimate demand. However, for high-rise frames, two parameters should be used to increase the accuracy. In addition, adding the product of the square of earthquake magnitude multiplied by distance to the model can significantly increase the accuracy of seismic demand estimation.

도시가스 일일수요의 단기예측 (Short-Term Forecasting of City Gas Daily Demand)

  • 박진수;김윤배;정철우
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제39권4호
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    • pp.247-252
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    • 2013
  • Korea gas corporation (KOGAS) is responsible for the whole sale of natural gas in the domestic market. It is important to forecast the daily demand of city gas for supply and demand control, and delivery management. Since there is the autoregressive characteristic in the daily gas demand, we introduce a modified autoregressive model as the first step. The daily gas demand also has a close connection with the outdoor temperature. Accordingly, our second proposed model is a temperature-based model. Those two models, however, do not meet the requirement for forecasting performances. To produce acceptable forecasting performances, we develop a weighted average model which compounds the autoregressive model and the temperature model. To examine our proposed methods, the forecasting results are provided. We confirm that our method can forecast the daily city gas demand accurately with reasonable performances.

A Multiple Variable Regression-based Approaches to Long-term Electricity Demand Forecasting

  • Ngoc, Lan Dong Thi;Van, Khai Phan;Trang, Ngo-Thi-Thu;Choi, Gyoo Seok;Nguyen, Ha-Nam
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.59-65
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    • 2021
  • Electricity contributes to the development of the economy. Therefore, forecasting electricity demand plays an important role in the development of the electricity industry in particular and the economy in general. This study aims to provide a precise model for long-term electricity demand forecast in the residential sector by using three independent variables include: Population, Electricity price, Average annual income per capita; and the dependent variable is yearly electricity consumption. Based on the support of Multiple variable regression, the proposed method established a model with variables that relate to the forecast by ignoring variables that do not affect lead to forecasting errors. The proposed forecasting model was validated using historical data from Vietnam in the period 2013 and 2020. To illustrate the application of the proposed methodology, we presents a five-year demand forecast for the residential sector in Vietnam. When demand forecasts are performed using the predicted variables, the R square value measures model fit is up to 99.6% and overall accuracy (MAPE) of around 0.92% is obtained over the period 2018-2020. The proposed model indicates the population's impact on total national electricity demand.