• 제목/요약/키워드: demand prediction

검색결과 634건 처리시간 0.031초

이동통신기술과의 연관성을 고려한 차세대 이동통신서비스의 수요예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on a Forecasting the Demand for the Future Mobile Communication Service by Integrating the Mobile Communication Technology)

  • 주영진;김선재
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.87-99
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we have developed a technology-service relationship model which describes the diffusion process of a group of services and relevant technologies, and have applied the developed model to the prediction of the number of subscribers to the next generation mobile service. The technology-service relationship model developed in this paper incorporates the developing process of relevant technologies, a supply-side factor, into the diffusion process of specific services, while many diffusion models and multi-generation diffusion models in previous researches are mainly reflect the demand-side factors. So, the proposed model could effectively applied to the telecommunication services where the developing of the relevant technologies are very essential to the service Penetration. In our application, the Proposed model provides a competitive substitution between the next generation mobile service and the traditional mobile service.

교통대응 신호제어 시스템의 효율성 평가 (The Assessment of TRACS(Traffic Adaptive Control System))

  • 이영인
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.5-33
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    • 1995
  • This paper addresses the outlines of the traffic signal timing principles engaged in TRACS and the results of field test. Research team, encompassing research institute, university, and electronic company, conducted the three-year project for developing the new system, named TRACS(Traffic Adaptive Control System). The project was successfully completed in 1994. TRACS aims at accomplishing the objectives of better traffic adaptability and more reliable travel time prediction. TRACS operates in real-time adjusting signal timings throughout the system in response to variations in traffic demand and system capacity. The purpose of TRACS is to control traffic on an area basis rather than on an isolated intersection basis. An other purpose of TRACS is to provide real-time road traffic information such as volume, speed, delay , travel time, and so on. The performance of the first version of TRACS was compared to the conventional TOD control through field test. The test result was promi ing in that TRACS consistantly outperformed the conventional control method. The change of signaltiming reacted timely to the variation of traffic demand. Extensive operational test of TRACS will be conducted this year, and some functions will be enhanced.

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광역상수도의 최적운영 및 제어를 위한 수운영시스템 개발 (Development of Water Management System for Optimal Operation and Control in Wide-area Waterworks)

  • 남의석;우천희;김학배
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제9권7호
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    • pp.489-497
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    • 2003
  • A water management system is developed to reduce the unit cost of production in wide-area waterworks. Improving productivity in waterworks is to save power rate. We suggest a method to schedule the supply of water according to the time-varying power rate and pump control scheme. Water pipeline analysis package (SynerGEE Water) is utilized to obtain optimal pump control solution adaptation to water demand. Our evaluation results show that developed scheme is more efficient than the conventional.

교통수요변동을 내생화한 도시고속도로의 장래교통량예측에 관한 연구

  • 신제철;오윤표
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.29-43
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    • 1989
  • The purpose of this study is to construct a forecasting model involved in a diverted traffic volume of the 2nd intra-urban expressway in construction presently, in the case of the future prediction of traffic demand for the intra-urban expressway in Pusan. In this study, the model involved in a diverted traffic volume is constructed trustworthy. And the future traffic demand of intra-urban expressway by this model was forecasted 114,005 volume/daily in 1996 and 147,090 volume/daily in 2001. However, it will made a study more and more concretely for practicality and limitation as well as construction of the forecasting model considered an intrinsic problem of an observational error and necessity of survey for much more socio-economic data, the traffic volume on all orad and OD pairs in Pusan.

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항만 해양경비지도사 수요 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Demand of Civil Maritime Guarder in Ports)

  • 진성용;박성용;주종광;이은방
    • 해양환경안전학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 해양환경안전학회 2008년도 춘계학술발표회
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2008
  • 맞춤형 해양보안 서비스제공을 위한 민간 해양경비지도사의 역할, 기능, 활동영역의 범주를 설정하고 기대효과를 분석하였다. 또한 해양경비지도사의 도입 타당성을 평가하기 위하여 우선 항만을 대상으로 해양경비지도사 업무영역을 고찰하고 미래 수요를 예측하였다.

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시계열 모델을 이용한 행동기반 에너지 효율화 프로그램의 고객기준부하 산정 방안 (Customer Baseline Load Calculation using Time Series Prediction Technique in Energy Efficiency Programs)

  • 고세현;주성관;이재희;문국현;위영민
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제68권1호
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2019
  • As global demand for energy, energy prices, and power generation has increased worldwide, the government is turning to supply-oriented electricity supply and demand policies, such as behavior-based energy efficiency programs. In order to measure the implementation effect of the behavior-based energy efficiency program, the energy reduction must be accurately calculated by calculating the customer baseline load.

Spatiotemporal Impact Assessments of Highway Construction: Autonomous SWAT Modeling

  • Choi, Kunhee;Bae, Junseo
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 6th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.294-298
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    • 2015
  • In the United States, the completion of Construction Work Zone (CWZ) impact assessments for all federally-funded highway infrastructure improvement projects is mandated, yet it is regarded as a daunting task for state transportation agencies, due to a lack of standardized analytical methods for developing sounder Transportation Management Plans (TMPs). To circumvent these issues, this study aims to create a spatiotemporal modeling framework, dubbed "SWAT" (Spatiotemporal Work zone Assessment for TMPs). This study drew a total of 43,795 traffic sensor reading data collected from heavily trafficked highways in U.S. metropolitan areas. A multilevel-cluster-driven analysis characterized traffic patterns, while being verified using a measurement system analysis. An artificial neural networks model was created to predict potential 24/7 traffic demand automatically, and its predictive power was statistically validated. It is proposed that the predicted traffic patterns will be then incorporated into a what-if scenario analysis that evaluates the impact of numerous alternative construction plans. This study will yield a breakthrough in automating CWZ impact assessments with the first view of a systematic estimation method.

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Harmonics Reduction in Load control and Management system

  • Thueksathit, W.;Tipsuwanporn, V.;Hemawanit, P.;Gulpanich, S.;Srisuwan, K.
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2003년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.2283-2286
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents conservation of electrical energy in building with harmonics analysis and compensation which occur in electrical system. We use load controlling and management system in order to adjust load factor of system.The maximum demand limiting and controlling are used ,then the system can acquire the prediction and compare it to the maximum demand set point.The electrical signal analysis based on FFT technique. The harmonics are compensated by using harmonic filters.This system consists computer which works as controller, processor , analysis and database unit together with digital power meter in form of multidrop network through serial communication via RS-485.The load control system uses PLC to control load via serial communication RS-485. The A/D converter is used for sampling the electrical signals via parallel port of computer.The harmonic filters are controlled by a computer.The data of measurement such as voltage, current, power, power factor, total harmonic distortion, energy, etc., can be saved as database and analysis. The load factor is adjusted by limiting and controlling maximum demand. The load factor adjustment can reduce the cost of electric consumption and energy generation together with harmonics compensation in order to increase high efficiency of electrical system.

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가정용수의 사용 목적별 소비경향 특성분석 (Analysis of Domestic Water Consumption Characteristics for Water Usage Purpose)

  • 최선희;손미나;김상현
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2008
  • Throughout the analysis of field data from water distribution system, valid parameters were determined that can be included in the water service and design plan. This study investigates water consumption patterns to understand the variation of water-demand structures utilizing the pattern analysis of domestic purpose water. Water use data were collected by a public water resources management firm in Korea, Kwater, for 140 houses monitored during three years. Flow meters were installed at the faucet for drinking water, the shower booth, the laundry machine, bathroom sink, toilet, and garden faucet. Data was filtered using multiple physically meaningful criteria to improve analysis credibility. Mann Kendall and Spearman's Rho tests were used to carry out the analysis. Distinct factors of water consumption patterns can be determined for both increasing and decreasing trends of water use. Throughout the data analysis, the characterization of terms was classified and analyzed by the condition of the location of water-demand. Analysis of this data provide a physical basis for the parameter configuration of a reasonable design for a domestic water demand prediction model.

복수공항시스템 분석을 통한 제주신공항 운영방안 연구 (Analysis of Multi-Airport System Application Measures for New Jeju Airport)

  • 전제형;박정민;이준오;송병흠
    • 한국항공운항학회지
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.89-100
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    • 2017
  • In order for the international aviation community to efficiently and safely manage the gradual increase of air passenger demand, direction suggestions of airport traffic prediction based on future airport capacity requirements, airport design and infrastructure establishment is utilized by airport traffic data that is m comparable internationally. It is a global trend to pursue more efficient airport operating system structure to accept air passenger demand through more realistic comparable data in order to escape from the structure of reckless airport establishment and infrastructure composition based on passenger demand predictions referring to simple statistical data that has existed in the past. This study aimed to seek effective operational measures for the New Jeju airport scheduled to be opened in 2025 by time-series analysis. This study also analysed airport operation strategies, air traffic distribution strategies, cargo volume increase rates and its effectiveness of airports adopting the multi-airport system that have similar operational practices and geographical conditions. This study sought the most appropriate multi airport system application measures for New Jeju airport to promote efficiency and international competitiveness.