• 제목/요약/키워드: demand parameter

검색결과 264건 처리시간 0.03초

Prediction of Global Industrial Water Demand using Machine Learning

  • Panda, Manas Ranjan;Kim, Yeonjoo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.156-156
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    • 2022
  • Explicitly spatially distributed and reliable data on industrial water demand is very much important for both policy makers and researchers in order to carry a region-specific analysis of water resources management. However, such type of data remains scarce particularly in underdeveloped and developing countries. Current research is limited in using different spatially available socio-economic, climate data and geographical data from different sources in accordance to predict industrial water demand at finer resolution. This study proposes a random forest regression (RFR) model to predict the industrial water demand at 0.50× 0.50 spatial resolution by combining various features extracted from multiple data sources. The dataset used here include National Polar-orbiting Partnership (NPP)/Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) night-time light (NTL), Global Power Plant database, AQUASTAT country-wise industrial water use data, Elevation data, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Road density, Crop land, Population, Precipitation, Temperature, and Aridity. Compared with traditional regression algorithms, RF shows the advantages of high prediction accuracy, not requiring assumptions of a prior probability distribution, and the capacity to analyses variable importance. The final RF model was fitted using the parameter settings of ntree = 300 and mtry = 2. As a result, determinate coefficients value of 0.547 is achieved. The variable importance of the independent variables e.g. night light data, elevation data, GDP and population data used in the training purpose of RF model plays the major role in predicting the industrial water demand.

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BMT 구동장치의 유한요소해석 및 형상변수 최적화 (Finite Element Analysis and Geometric Parameter Optimization for BMT Driving Assembly)

  • 박영환;곽재섭;엄가정
    • 한국생산제조학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.178-183
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    • 2010
  • Base-mounted type(BMT) driving assembly in CNC machine tools is an indispensable part to improve productivity by reducing tool changeover time and to meet the ever-increasing demand of precision machine tools. This study aimed to perform finite element analysis and geometric parameter optimization to improve the efficiency of BMT driving assembly. First, simulations for three-dimensional structural and vibration analysis were performed using ANSYS/Workbench on the initial geometric models of BMT driving assembly. After analyzing stress and deformation concentration zones, several new geometrical models were designed and evaluated by design of experiments and ANSYS/DesignXplorer. Through a series of analysis-evaluation-modification cycles, it was seen that designed models were effective in determining optimal geometry of BMT driving assembly.

Evaluation of wind power potential for selecting suitable wind turbine

  • Sukkiramathi, K.;Rajkumar, R.;Seshaiah, C.V.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.311-319
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    • 2020
  • India is a developing nation and heavily spends on the development of wind power plants to meet the national energy demand. The objective of this paper is to investigate wind power potential of Ennore site using wind data collected over a period of two years by three parameter Weibull distribution. The Weibull parameters are estimated using maximum likelihood, least square method and moment method and the accuracy is determined using R2 and root mean square error values. The site specific capacity factor is calculated by the mathematical model developed by three parameter Weibull distribution at different hub heights above the ground level. At last, the wind energy economic analysis is carried out using capacity factor at 30 m, 40 m and 50 m height for different wind turbine models. The analysis showed that the site has potential to install utility wind turbines to generate energy at the lowest cost per kilowatt-hour at height of 50 m. This research provides information of wind characteristics of potential sites and helps in selecting suitable wind turbine.

전력수요관리 보조금 지원조건을 고려한 고효율기기의 확산모형 연구 (A Study on Diffusion Model of High-Efficient Appliance Considering DSM Rebate Program's Conditions)

  • 김회철;이정규;신중린;박종배
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제51권12호
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    • pp.630-637
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    • 2002
  • This paper proposed a new diffusion model considering DSM rebate program's support conditions. The proposed method used some aspects of the rebate program such as support qualifications, annual support volume, and support level per appliance as following : The support qualifications were limited as the consumer which can get the rebate program's benefit, the annual support volume was constrained as the fixing budget and the support level per appliance was considered by high-efficient appliance actuality price. This paper also proposed a new method that used neural network as its parameter estimation moth[,4 for the diffusion model. The diffusion model and its parameter estimation method are expected to be able to analyze the diffusion characteristics of high-efficient appliance through the rebate program and the effects of rebate program's support conditions. Also, these will be able to evaluate the impacts and to analyze the cost-effectiveness of Energy Efficiency Demand-Side Management(EEDSM) resources. The case study is performed on the high-efficient lighting appliance rebate program of Korea by using the suggested diffusion model and estimation method and thus verified its validity.

BASS 확산 모형을 이용한 국내 자동차 외장 램프 LED 수요예측 분석 (Domestic Automotive Exterior Lamp-LEDs Demand and Forecasting using BASS Diffusion Model)

  • 이재흔
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제50권3호
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    • pp.349-371
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: Compared to the rapid growth rate of the domestic automotive LED industry so far, the predictive analysis method for demand forecasting or market outlook was insufficient. Accordingly, product characteristics are analyzed through the life trend of LEDs for automotive exterior lamps and the relative strengths of p and q using the Bass model. Also, future demands are predicted. Methods: We used sales data of a leading company in domestic market of automotive LEDs. Considering the autocorrelation error term of this data, parameters m, p, and q were estimated through the modified estimation method of OLS and the NLS(Nonlinear Least Squares) method, and the optimal method was selected by comparing prediction error performance such as RMSE. Future annual demands and cumulative demands were predicted through the growth curve obtained from Bass-NLS model. In addition, various nonlinear growth curve models were applied to the data to compare the Bass-NLS model with potential market demand, and an optimal model was derived. Results: From the analysis, the parameter estimation results by Bass-NLS obtained m=1338.13, p=0.0026, q=0.3003. If the current trend continues, domestic automotive LED market is predicted to reach its maximum peak in 2021 and the maximum demand is $102.23M. Potential market demand was $1338.13M. In the nonlinear growth curve model analysis, the Gompertz model was selected as the optimal model, and the potential market size was $2864.018M. Conclusion: It is expected that the Bass-NLS method will be applied to LED sales data for automotive to find out the characteristics of the relative strength of q/p of products and to be used to predict current demand and future cumulative demand.

Hydrodynamic optimization of twin-skeg LNG ships by CFD and model testing

  • Kim, Keunjae;Tillig, Fabian;Bathfield, Nicolas;Liljenberg, Hans
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.392-405
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    • 2014
  • SSPA experiences a growing interest in twin skeg ships as one attractive green ship solution. The twin skeg concept is well proven with obvious advantages for the design of ships with full hull forms, restricted draft or highly loaded propellers. SSPA has conducted extensive hull optimizations studies of LNG ships of different size based on an extensive hull data base with over 7,000 models tested, including over 400 twin skeg hull forms. Main hull dimensions and different hull concepts such as twin skeg and single screw were of main interest in the studies. In the present paper, one twin skeg and one single screw 170 K LNG ship were designed for optimally selected main dimension parameters. The twin skeg hull was further optimized and evaluated using SHIPFLOW FRIENDSHIP design package by performing parameter variation in order to modify the shape and positions of the skegs. The finally optimized models were then built and tested in order to confirm the lower power demand of twin skeg designed compaed with the signle screw design. This paper is a full description of one of the design developments of a LNG twin skeg hull, from early dimensional parameter study, through design optimization phase towards the confirmation by model tests.

모바일 디스플레이 회로 모듈의 시그널 인티그리티 해석 기법 (Analysis Method of Signal Integrity for Mobile Display Circuit Modules)

  • 이용민
    • 전자공학회논문지SC
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    • 제46권4호
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    • pp.64-69
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    • 2009
  • 본 논문은 모바일 디스플레이모듈의 signal integrity와 power integrity의 시뮬레이션 방법에 관한 것이다. 본 제안 방법은 커넥터, FPCB, 드라이버IC를 포함하는 회로모듈 해석에 사용할 수 있다. 최근에 모바일 디스플레이 업계의 시리얼 인터커넥션기술에 대한 필요성 대두로 시스템오동작 방지 및 전자기파 발생을 억제하기 위해 신호선과 전원전압에 대한 섬세한 컨트롤이 필요하다. S파라미터와 Z파라미터 분석으로 주파수 도메인과 시간 도메인에서의 상관관계를 분석한다. 멀티포트 매크로를 이용하여 시간 도메인에서 sigh integrity를 power integrity에 함께 분석할 수 있다.

파라미터 해석을 통한 차량 성능 예측 기법 연구 (Study on the Prediction Technique of Vehicle Performance Using Parameter Analysis)

  • 김기창;김찬묵;김진택
    • 한국소음진동공학회논문집
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    • 제20권11호
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    • pp.995-1000
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    • 2010
  • With the development of the auto industry, the automobile manufacturers demand to shorten development period and reduce the cost. Compared with the traditional method, applying the virtual prototype is more economical. This paper presents a method for parameters sensitivity analysis and optimizing the performance of vehicle noise and vibration. The existing design processes were repeatedly analyzed with a focus on vehicle performance to decide the design parameters of dimension, thickness, mounting type of body and chassis systems in the vehicle development period. This paper describes the prediction technique of vehicle performance using L18 orthogonal array layout, quality deviation analysis and parameter sensitivity analysis for robust design. This paper analyzed the performance correlation equation through the frequency and sensitivity database according to a design factor change. The new concept is that the performance prediction is possible without repeated activities of test and analysis. This paper described the parameter analysis applications such as bush dynamic stiffness and bush void direction of rear suspension. Design engineer could efficiently decide the design variable using parameter analysis database in early design stage. These improvements can reduce man hour and test development period as well as to achieve stable NVH performance.

무전극 램프 안테나의 권선수에 따른 휘도와 파라미터 특성 (Parameter and Brightness Characteristic of Antena according to Coil turns on Electrodeless Fluorescent Lamp)

  • 양종경;최기승;백광현;최용성;이종찬;박대희
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2004년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전기물성,응용부문
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    • pp.281-284
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    • 2004
  • In Recent, it became necessary to envelope the technology about electrodeless fluorescent lamp according to demand of the electrodeless fluorescent lamp system that used higher efficiency and advantage of long-lifetime. Especially, in the electrodeless fluorescent lamp which used H-mode, efficiency of lamp is decided from matching parameter of antena and inverter So it is of the utmost importance to design antena and inverter. Therefore, this paper used a transformer principle for efficiency rising of electrodeless fluorescent lamp and interpreted an equivalent circuit, used an impedance analyzer in order to confirm a performance enhancement of lamp along design of antenna, and confirmed parameter characteristic of R, L, C, Z, Phase, Q-factor along a change of magnetic flux density. Also, this paper confirmed a luminance characteristic of electrodeless lamp along parameter change with measuring optical characteristic along a change of magnetic flux density.

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무전극 램프의 효율향상을 위한 안테나의 파라미타 특성 및 휘도특성 (Parameter and Brightness Characteristic Analysis of Antena for Efficiency Improvement on Electrodeless Fluorescent Lamp)

  • 양종경;최기승;백광현;최용성;이종찬;박대희
    • 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전기전자재료학회 2004년도 추계학술대회 논문집 Vol.17
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    • pp.531-534
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    • 2004
  • In Recent, it became necessary to develope the technology about electrodeless fluorescent lamp according to demand of the electodeless fluorescent lamp system that used higher efficiency and advantage of long-lifetime. Especially, in the electordeless fluorescent lamp which used H-mode, efficiency of lamp is decided from matching parameter of antena and inverter. So it is of the utmost importance to design antena and inverter Therefore, this paper used a transformer principle for efficiency rising of electrodeless fluorescent lamp and interpreted an equivalent circuit, used an impedance analyzer in order to confirm a performance enhancement of lamp along design of antenna, and confirmed parameter characteristic of R, L, C, Z, Q-factor along a change of magnetic flux density. Also, this paper confirmed a luminance characteristic of electordeless lamp along parameter change with measuring optical characteristic along a change of magnetic flux density

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