• Title/Summary/Keyword: default

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Semantics for Default Rules

  • Yeom, Jae-Il
    • Language and Information
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.69-92
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    • 2000
  • It is well-known that default rules require a nonmonotonic logic. Veltman proposed one dynamic theory which interprets default rules in such a way that correct inferences can be made at each information state. But his theory has some problems. First, this theory excludes the possibility that a default rule can be true of false. Second, his representation of an information state makes it difficult to interpret a default rule embedded in another sentence. Third, the notion of a frame which is introduced in the interpretation of a default rule and the adjustment of inferential expectation has a more complex structure than is necessary, In this paper, I propose a truth-conditional theory of default rules in which the meaning of a default rule is defined as a truth-condition in a possible world and which assumes a simpler structure of a frame. This makes it possible to interpret a default rule embedded in a sentence. A dynamic theory for default rules is also proposed for correct inferences based on default rules.

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The Relationship between Default Risk and Asset Pricing: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan

  • KHAN, Usama Ehsan;IQBAL, Javed
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.717-729
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    • 2021
  • This paper examines the efficacy of the default risk factor in an emerging market context using the Fama-French five-factor model. Our aim is to test whether the Fama-French five-factor model augmented with a default risk factor improves the predictability of returns of portfolios sorted on the firm's characteristics as well as on industry. The default risk factor is constructed by estimating the probability of default using a hybrid version of dynamic panel probit and artificial neural network (ANN) to proxy default risk. This study also provides evidence on the temporal stability of risk premiums obtained using the Fama-MacBeth approach. Using a sample of 3,806 firm-year observations on non-financial listed companies of Pakistan over 2006-2015 we found that the augmented model performed better when tested across size-investment-default sorted portfolios. The investment factor contains some default-related information, but default risk is independently priced and bears a significantly positive risk premium. The risk premiums are also found temporally stable over the full sample and more recent sample period 2010-2015 as evidence by the Fama-MacBeth regressions. The finding suggests that the default risk factor is not a useless factor and due to mispricing, default risk anomaly prevails in the Pakistani equity market.

Default Bayes Factors for Testing the Equality of Poisson Population Means

  • Son, Young Sook;Kim, Seong W.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.549-562
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    • 2000
  • Default Bayes factors are computed to test the equality of one Poisson population mean and the equality of two independent Possion population means. As default priors are assumed Jeffreys priors, noninformative improper priors, and default Bayes factors such as three intrinsic Bayes factors of Berger and Pericchi(1996, 1998), the arithmetic, the median, and the geometric intrinsic Bayes factor, and the factional Bayes factor of O'Hagan(1995) are computed. The testing results by each default Bayes factor are compared with those by the classical method in the simulation study.

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Capital Structure and Default Risk: Evidence from Korean Stock Market

  • GUL, Sehrish;CHO, Hyun-Rae
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2019
  • This study analyzes the effect of the capital structure of Korean manufacturing firms on default risk based on Moody's KMV option pricing model where the probability of default is obtained by measuring the distance to default as a covariant in logit model developed by Merton (1974). Based on the panel data of manufacturing firms, this study achieves its primary objective, using a fixed effect regression model and examines the effect of a firm's capital structure on default risk amongst publicly listed firms on Korea exchange during 2005-2016. Empirical results obtained suggest that the rise in short-term debt to assets leads to increase the risk of default whereas the increase in long-term debt to assets leads to decrease the default risk. The benefits of short-term debt financing over a short-term period fade out in the presence of information asymmetry. However, long-term debt financing overcomes the information asymmetry and enjoys the paybacks of tax advantage associated with long-term debt. Additionally, size, tangibility and interest coverage ratio are also the important determinants of default risk. Findings support the trade-off theory of capital structure and recommend the optimal use of long-term debt in a firm's capital structure.

Performance Analysis of Default Sever Replication Strategy for Query Processing in Mobile Computing (모빌 컴퓨팅 환경에서 중복 디폴트서버를 이용한 쿼리 프로세싱 기법의 성능 분석)

  • 임성화;임성화;김재훈;김성수
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.25 no.8A
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    • pp.1096-1103
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    • 2000
  • The default server strategy is commonly used for location and state managements of mobile host in mobile computing. With this strategy, we can find the cell of destination mobile host to send data by querying the default server. In SDN(single Default Notification) strategy which is a kind of default server strategy, the call is established after the location and state of the callee is acquired to the query server by querying the default server. But the communication cost overhead from the default server is increased if there are large number of cells and query requests, and if it is too far from the default server to a base station. Still more it will be unable to establish any calls to a mobile host when there is a fault in the default server of this host. In this paper, we suggest add evaluate a default server replication strategy to reduce the communication cost overhead and to make the service available.

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Technology Innovation Activity and Default Risk of Firms : Focusing on a Mediation Effect of Profitability (기술혁신활동이 부도위험에 미치는 영향 : 수익성 매개효과를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Jinsu;Lee, HyunChul
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.19-35
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    • 2010
  • This study explores the effects of technology innovation activity on a profitability and the default risk of firms. Sample for this study consists of manufacturing firms listed on the Korea Stock Exchange from 1st January 2000 to 31st December 2007. We use of R&D ratio as a proxy of technology innovation activity. The default probability proxied for the default risk of firms is measured by the Merton's (1974) model where accounts for a market value of firms and a volatility of it. This study provides evidence that technology innovation activity has a positive effect on a profitability, but a negative effect on the default risk of firms. Our study also finds the significant mediation effect of profitability that the enhancement in profitability resulting from technology innovation activity lowers the default risk of firms.

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A PROBABILISTIC APPROACH FOR VALUING EXCHANGE OPTION WITH DEFAULT RISK

  • Kim, Geonwoo
    • East Asian mathematical journal
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.55-60
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    • 2020
  • We study a probabilistic approach for valuing an exchange option with default risk. The structural model of Klein [6] is used for modeling default risk. Under the structural model, we derive the closed-form pricing formula of the exchange option with default risk. Specifically, we provide the pricing formula of the option with the bivariate normal cumulative function via a change of measure technique and a multidimensional Girsanov's theorem.

Profitability and the Distance to Default: Evidence from Vietnam Securities Market

  • VU, Van Thuy Thi;DO, Nhung Hong;DANG, Hung Ngoc;NGUYEN, Tram Ngoc
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2019
  • The paper examines the influence of profitability on distance to default (DD) in Vietnam securities market. The investigated sample consists of 211 companies listed on HOSE during 18 years from 2010 to 2017. We apply KMV model to calculate distance to default and use both macroeconomics factors and firm specific factors as independent variables. Using General Least Squared (GLS) method, we find evidence to confirm the positive relationship between profitability and distance to default. This result showed that, although profitability did not directly reflect the cash flow generated, a good profitable enterprise would be an important factor to help facilitate and generate cash flow and at the same time debt was guaranteed when it was due. Besides, the test results revealed that the financial structure and sales on assets have the inverse effect on the distance to default at the significance level of 5%. The results also revealed that a group of macro factors had an influence on the distance to default of businesses, including spread, GDP and trade balance (via exchange rates). Gross domestic income had certain impacts on the distance to default of businesses. This was also a basic indicator measuring the national economic cycle.

The Impact of ESG Performance on Debt Default Risk of Heavy Polluter Firms -Study of mediation effects based on financing constraints- (ESG 성과가 중오염기업의 채무불이행 위험에 미치는 영향 -융자규제 기반 매개효과에 관한 연구-)

  • Sisi Chen;Jae yeon Sim
    • Industry Promotion Research
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.197-205
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    • 2024
  • This study examines the impact of corporate ESG performance on debt default risk using a sample of Chinese A-share listed.The I mpact of ESG Performance on Debt Default Risk of Heavy Polluter Firms from 2012 to 2022. The findings show that good ESG performance can effectively reduce firms' debt default risk. Further analysis shows that firms' ESG performance reduces debt default risk by mitigating the impact of financing constraints. This study explores the influencing factors of debt default risk from the perspective of ESG performance, and also enriches the research on the economic impact of corporate ESG performance, providing empirical evidence for the prevention of corporate debt default risk.

Server Replication Degree Reducing Location Management Cost in Cellular Networks (셀룰라 네트워크에서 위치 정보 관리 비용을 최소화하는 서버의 중복도)

  • Kim, Jai-Hoon;Lim, Sung-Hwa
    • Journal of KIISE:Information Networking
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.265-275
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    • 2002
  • A default server strategy is a very popular scheme for managing location and state information of mobile hosts in cellular networks. But the communication cost increases if the call requests are frequent and the distant between the default server and the client is long. Still more any connection to a mobile host cannot be established when the default server of the destination mobile host fails. These problems can be solved by replicating default server and by letting nearest replicated default server process the query request which is sent from a client. It is important to allocate replicated default servers efficiently in networks and determine the number of replicated default servers. In this paper, we suggest and evaluate a default server replication strategy to reduce communication costs and to improve service availabilities. Furthermore we propose and evaluate an optimized allocation algorithm and an optimal replication degree for replicating: dofault servers in nn grid networks and binary tree networks.