• 제목/요약/키워드: daily average temperature

검색결과 463건 처리시간 0.032초

기후변화에 따른 작물 생산성반응과 기술적 대응 (Impact of climate variability and change on crop Productivity)

  • 신진철;이충근;윤영환;강양순
    • 한국작물학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국작물학회 2000년도 추계 학술대회지
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    • pp.12-27
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    • 2000
  • During the recent decades, he problem of climate variability and change has been in the forefront of scientific problems. The objective of this study was to assess the impact of climate variability on crop growth and yield. The growth duration was the main impact of climate variability on crop yield. Phyllochronterval was shortened in the global worming situations. A simple model to describe developmental traits was provided from heading data of directly seeded rice cultivars and temperature data. Daily mean development rate could be explained by the average temperature during the growth stage. Simple regression equation between daily mean development rate(x) and the average temperature(y) during the growth period as y = ax + b. It can be simply modified as x = 1/a $\ast$ (y-b). The parameters of the model could depict the thermo sensitivity of the cultivars. On the base of this model, the three doubled CO2 GCM scenarios were assessed. The average of these would suggest a decline in rice production of about 11% if we maintained the current cultivars. Future cultivar's developmental traits could be suggested by the two model parameters.

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Experimental and mathematical evaluation of solar powered still equipped by nano plate as the principle stage of zero discharge desalination process

  • Jadidoleslami, Milad;Farahbod, Farshad
    • Advances in Energy Research
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.147-161
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    • 2016
  • To start with, finding a sustainable method to produce sweet water and electricity by using renewable energies is one of the most important issues at this time. So, experimental and theoretical analysis of the performance of a closed solar powered still, which is jointed to photovoltaic cells and vacuum pump and equipped by nano plate, as the principle stage of zero discharge desalination process is investigated in this project. Major goal of this work is to reuse the concentrated brine of the Mobin petrochemical complex in order to produce potable, sweet water from effluent saline wastewater and generating electricity in the same time by using solar energy instead of discharging them to the environment. It is observed the increase in brackish water temperature increases the average daily production of solar desalination still considerably. Therefore, the nano plate and vacuum pump are added to augment the evaporation rate. The insolation rate, evaporation rate, the average brackish temperature, ambient temperature, density are investigated during a year 2013. In addition to obtain the capacity of solar powered still, the highest and lowest amount of water and electricity generation are reported during a twelvemonth (2013). Results indicate the average daily production is increased 16%, which represents 7.78 kW.h energy saving comparing with traditional solar still.

온도를 고려한 지수평활에 의한 단기부하 예측 (Short-Term Load Forecasting Exponential Smoothoing in Consideration of T)

  • 고희석;이태기;김현덕;이충식
    • 대한전기학회논문지
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    • 제43권5호
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    • pp.730-738
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    • 1994
  • The major advantage of the short-term load forecasting technique using general exponential smoothing is high accuracy and operational simplicity, but it makes large forecasting error when the load changes repidly. The paper has presented new technique to improve those shortcomings, and according to forecasted the technique proved to be valid for two years. The structure of load model is time function which consists of daily-and temperature-deviation component. The average of standard percentage erro in daily forecasting for two years was 2.02%, and this forecasting technique has improved standard erro by 0.46%. As relative coefficient for daily and seasonal forecasting is 0.95 or more, this technique proved to be valid.

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A Study on Acute Effects of Fine Particles on Pulmonary Function of Schoolchildren in Beijing, China

  • Kim, Dae-Seon;Yu, Seung-Do;Cha, Jung-Hoon;Ahn, Seung-Chul
    • 한국환경보건학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국환경보건학회 2004년도 International Conference Global Environmental Problems and their Health Consequences
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    • pp.193-196
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    • 2004
  • To evaluate the acute effects of fine particles on pulmonary function, a longitudinal study was conducted. This study was carried out for the schoolchildren (3rd and 6th grades) living in Beijing, China. Children were asked to record their daily levels of peak expiratory flow rate using portable peak flow meter (mini-Wright) for 40 days. The relationship between daily PEFR and fine particle levels was analyzed using a mixed linear regression models including gender, height, the presence of respiratory symptoms, and daily average temperature and relative humidity as extraneous variables. The total number of students participating in this longitudinal study was 87. Daily measured PEFR was in the range of $253{\sim}501L/min$. On the daily basis, a PEFR measured in the morning was shown to be lower than that measured in the evening (or afternoon). The daily mean concentrations of $PM_{10}$ and $PM_{2.5}$ over the study period were $180.2\;{\mu}g/m^3$ and $103.2\;{\mu}g/m^3$, respectively. The IQR (inter-quartile range) of $PM_{10}$ and $PM_{2.5}$ were $91.8\;{\mu}g/m^3$ and $58.0\;{\mu}g/m^3$. Daily mean PEFR was regressed with the 24-hour average $PM_{10}$ (or $PM_{2.5}$) levels, weather information such as air temperature and relative humidity, and individual characteristics including gender, height, and respiratory symptoms. The analysis showed that the increase of fine particle concentrations was negatively associated with the variability in PEFR. The IQR increments of $PM_{10}$ or $PM_{2.5}$ (at 1-day time lag) were also shown to be related with 1.54L/min (95% Confidence intervals -2.14, -0.94) and 1.56L/min (95% CI -2.16, -0.95) decline in PEFR.

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Statistical Interpretation of Climate Change in Seoul, Korea, over the Last 98 Years

  • Kim, Eun-Shik
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2010
  • I conducted extensive analyses of daily weather data of precipitation and temperature monitored from the Surface Synoptic Meteorological Station in Seoul from 1 October 1907 to 31 December 2009 to understand how the climate is changing and the ecological implications for Seoul, Korea. Statistical analyses of the data, including the lengths of seasons and growing degree-days (GDD), showed a clear warming trend in the Seoul area over the study period. The mean daily temperature in Seoul increased by $2.40^{\circ}C$ over the period of one hundred years, which was about three times faster than the global trend and it was striking to notice that mean daily temperature in Seoul in recent 30 years was increasing with the rate of $5.50^{\circ}C$ per hundred years, which is an extremely fast rate of increase in temperature. In the last 100 years, an increase in the number of summer days was apparent, coupled with a reduction in the average number of winter days for about 27 to 28 days based on the analysis of mean daily temperature. Although the lengths of spring and autumn have not changed significantly over the century, early initiations of spring and late onsets of autumn were quite apparent. Total annual precipitation significantly increased at the rate of 2.67 mm/year over the last 100 years, a trend not apparent if the analysis is confined to periods of 30 to 40 years. The information has the potential to be used not only for better understanding of ecological processes and hydrology in the area, but also for the sustainable management of ecosystems and environment in the region.

벼 생장모형 SIMRIW를 이용한 주암호 건설에 따른 주변지역의 벼 잠재생산성 변이 추정 (Change in Potential Productivity of Rice around Lake Juam Due to Construction of Dam by SIMRIW)

  • 임준택;윤진일;권병선
    • 한국작물학회지
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    • 제42권6호
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    • pp.729-738
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    • 1997
  • 본 연구에서는 주암호 건설에 따른 기후 요소의 변이에 따른 벼 생산성에서의 변이를 밝히기 위해 주암호 주변 6개 지역에 AWS를 설치하고 그 인근 지역에서 벼를 재배하고 생육 및 수량을 조사하였다. 조사항목은 주요 기상요소로서 일최고기온, 일최저기온, 일평균기온, 일평균상대습도, 일평균풍속, 일평균지온, 일적산일사량 그리고 일적산강우량이었고, 생육형질로는 일주일 간격으로 8~10회에 걸쳐 초장, 분얼수, 엽면적, 엽건물중, 경건물증, 그리고 수량 및 수량구성요소를 조사하였다. 기상요소의 변이와 벼 생산성의 변이간의 관계는 SIMRIW의 모수추정을 통해서 이루어졌으며 호수 생성 전과 생성 후의 기상을 30년간 시뮬레이션을 통해 추정한 다음 이 결과를 모형에 입력하여 30년간의 모형에 의한 수량을 추정하고 그 평균을 통해 호수생성에 따른 벼 생산성 변이를 추정하였다. '94년도 5개 지역 그리고 '95년도 3개 지역, 그리고 '96년도 4개 지역의 관측된 시험 성적과 SIMRIW에서 추정한 지상부 건물중, 엽면적지수 그리고 수량을 비교해 보았을 때 SIMRIW의 결과가 대체적으로 각 관측치의 평균값에 접근함을 알 수 있어 이 모형이 비교적 양호하게 기상환경의 변이에 따른 수량을 예측함을 알 수 있었다. 30년간의 simulation을 통해 얻은 담수 전과 담수 후의 기상자료를 비교해 보면 일최고기온은 담수 전이 약간 높았으나 일최저기온은 담수 후가 약간 높아서 일평균기온은 담수 후가 오히려 높은 경향을 보였고, 일적산일사량은 담수 후에 대략 0.9 MJ $d^{-1}$ 정도 낮아졌다. 이들 자료를 SIMRIW에 입력하여 수량을 예측해 본 결과 주 암호의 생성에 따라 복다-동촌-승주지역에서 5.2%, 오봉 4.9%, 이읍 9.1%, 금성 5.5%, 유정 4.8%, 다산 3.3% 정도 수량이 감소된 것으로 나타났다. 전지역을 평균하여 볼 때 담수 전이 6.82MT/ha, 담수 후가 6.44MT/ha로 전체적으로 5.6% 정도 감수한 것으로 나타났다.

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여수항의 평균 열플럭스 (Mean Heat Flux at the Port of Yeosu)

  • 최용규;양준혁
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제15권7호
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    • pp.653-657
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    • 2006
  • Based on the monthly weather report of Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and daily sea surface temperature (SST) data from National Fisheries Research and Development Institute (NFRDI) (1995-2004), mean heat fluxes were estimated at the port of Yeosu. Net heat flux was transported from the air to the sea surface during February to September, and it amounts to $205 Wm^{-2}$ in daily average value in May. During October to January, the transfer of net heat flux was conversed from the sea surface to the air with $-70 Wm^{-2}$ in minimum of daily average value in December. Short wave radiation was ranged from $167 Wm^{-2}$ in December to $300 Wm^{-2}$ in April. Long wave radiation (Sensible heat) was ranged from $27 (-14) Wm^{-2}$ in July to $90 (79) Wm^{-2}$ in December. Latent heat showed $42 Wm^{-2}$ with its minimum in July and $104 Wm^{-2}$ with its maximum in October in daily average value.

시계열 분석을 이용한 부산지역 계절식물의 개화시기 변화 (Changes of Flowering Time in the Weather Flora in Susan Using the Time Series Analysis)

  • 최철만;문성기
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.369-374
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    • 2009
  • To examine the trend on the flowering time in some weather flora including Prunus serrulata var. spontanea, Cosmos bipinnatus, and Robinia pseudo-acacia in Busan, the changes in time series and rate of flowering time of plants were analyzed using the method of time series analysis. According to the correlation between the flowering time and the temperature, changing pattern of flowering time was very similar to the pattern of the temperature, and change rate was gradually risen up as time goes on. Especially, the change rate of flowering time in C. bipinnatus was 0.487 day/year and showed the highest value. In flowering date in 2007, the difference was one day between measurement value and prediction value in C. bipinnatus and R. pseudo-acacia, whereas the difference was 8 days in P. mume showing great difference compared to other plants. Flowering time was highly related with temperature of February and March in the weather flora except for P. mume, R. pseudo-acacia and C. bipinnatus. In most plants, flowering time was highly related with a daily average temperature. However, the correlation between flowering time and a daily minimum temperature was the highest in Rhododendron mucronulatum and P. persica, otherwise the correlation between flowering time and a daily maximum temperature was the highest in Pyrus sp.

평년 평균기후자료 기반 농업기후도의 신뢰도 (Reliability of the Agro-climatic Atlases Based on the 30-Year Average Climate Data)

  • 김진희;김대준;김수옥
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.110-119
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    • 2017
  • 평년의 기온분포도의 제작방법에 따라 이를 활용하여 산출되는 농업기후정보에 어느 정도의 오차를 유발하는지 평가하고자 하였다. 1983-2012 기간에 발생한 기온을 일별로 평균하여 배경기온(365일 ${\times}$ 1세트)을 준비하고, 여기에 소기후모형을 적용하여 평균된 일별 기온분포도('EST 평년' 기온)를 제작하였다. 또한 30년동안 발생한 매년, 매일의 배경기온(365일 ${\times}$ 30세트)으로부터 실황 추정용 소기후모형에 적용하여 30세트의 기온분포도를 제작한 후 일 단위로 다시 평균한 기온분포도('OBS 평년' 기온)를 참값으로 간주하여 비교하였다. 평년 기온분포도에 따라 '후지' 사과의 개화일과 종상일을 예측하고, 늦서리의 위험정도를 비교한 결과, 휴면에 진입하는 늦가을 이후부터 봄철까지의 기온을 온도시간단위로 환산하여 사용하는 개화일의 경우, 평균 2.9일의 오차를 보인 반면, 4월의 최저기온 분포를 2차방정식에 대입하여 산출한 종상일의 경우 평균 11.4일의 비교적 큰 오차가 발생하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 늦서리의 위험을 판정하는 방법은 개화일과 종상일의 편차를 이용하는데 EST 평년 기온을 근거로 판정할 경우, 하동군 악양면의 12.5% 면적에 해당하는 농가는 종상일이 개화일과 같거나 늦게 출현하여 위험지역으로 분류되었지만, OBS 평년 기온에 따르면 악양면의 모든 지역에서 종상일이 개화일보다 늦게 나타나는 곳은 없었다. 차후 컴퓨터 자원과 구동시간에 큰 제약이 없다면 실황 추정기술에 따라 평년기간 30세트의 일별자료를 복원하여 기존 EST 평년 자료를 대체하는 것이 필요하다고 판단된다.

여름철 도시의 일상생활에서 경험하는 환경온도와 온냉감 평가 (24 hours' Exposed Temperature and Thermal Comfort in Summer)

  • 전정윤;이민정
    • 한국주거학회논문집
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.51-56
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    • 2003
  • All the outdoor and indoor spaces are connected with each other. The human being moves toward those spaces with temperature fluctuation between the natural and artificial temperature. We conducted an experiment which subjects were wearing the data logger in urban life, and measured 24 hours' exposed temperature and thermal comfort in summer. Results were as follows. 1. Subjects controls their micro climate like this. Most of them(84.6%) get weather information. Fashion(46.2%) and weather(30.8%) are the reasons to select clothes. They spend their time in indoor environment for 84.92% hours of a day and have an air-conditioner(61.5%) in their houses. 2. Temperature fluctuation which subjects were exposed for 24 hours were from 15.6$^{\circ}C$ to 33.8$^{\circ}C$ and average fluctuation was 9.02$^{\circ}C$. The median value of experienced temperature were 26-26.5$^{\circ}C$ and average temperature was 26.18$^{\circ}C$. They experienced cold shock of 3.96 times in a day.