• Title/Summary/Keyword: curve estimation

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Comparison of Jump-Preserving Smoothing and Smoothing Based on Jump Detector

  • Park, Dong-Ryeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.519-528
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    • 2009
  • This paper deals with nonparametric estimation of discontinuous regression curve. Quite number of researches about this topic have been done. These researches are classified into two categories, the indirect approach and direct approach. The major goal of the indirect approach is to obtain good estimates of jump locations, whereas the major goal of the direct approach is to obtain overall good estimate of the regression curve. Thus it seems that two approaches are quite different in nature, so people say that the comparison of two approaches does not make much sense. Therefore, a thorough comparison of them is lacking. However, even though the main issue of the indirect approach is the estimation of jump locations, it is too obvious that we have an estimate of regression curve as the subsidiary result. The point is whether the subsidiary result of the indirect approach is as good as the main result of the direct approach. The performance of two approaches is compared through a simulation study and it turns out that the indirect approach is a very competitive tool for estimating discontinuous regression curve itself.

S-N Curve Estimation of a KTX Structure for an Accelerated Life Testing (가속수명시험을 위한 KTX 구조물의 S-N 선도 추정)

  • Jung, Dal-Woo;Choi, Nak-Sam;Park, Su-Han
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.384-389
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    • 2008
  • An accelerated fatigue test is essentially required to maintain the reliability of the actual structure of KTX under operation conditions. However, actual fatigue life cannot be obtained if specimens are not adequate to the conventional fatigue test. Moreover component maker did not provide data of loading stress (S) - cycles at the failure (N). In this study, we suggest a prediction method of the S-N curve for establishing an accelerating test under various load levels. Load history was acquired from the field tests. A Rainflow method was used on the cycle counting of the field load data, and then, an S-N curve was obtained through the iteration process under the condition that the damage index satisfies to 1 in the Miner's rule.

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Optimal Design for Locally Weighted Quasi-Likelihood Response Curve Estimator

  • Park, Dongryeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.743-752
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    • 2002
  • The estimation of the response curve is the important problem in the quantal bioassay. When we estimate the response curve, we determine the design points in advance of the experiment. Then naturally we have a question of which design would be optimal. As a response curve estimator, locally weighted quasi-likelihood estimator has several more appealing features than the traditional nonparametric estimators. The optimal design density for the locally weighted quasi-likelihood estimator is derived and its ability both in theoretical and in empirical point of view are investigated.

Runoff Curve Number Estimation for Cover and Treatment Classification of Satellite Image(I): - CN Estimation - (위성영상 피복분류에 대한 CN값 산정(I): - CN값 산정 -)

  • Bae, Deg-Hyo;Lee, Byong-Ju;Jeong, Il-Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.985-997
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    • 2003
  • The objective of this study is to propose Runoff Curve Numbers(CNs) for land cover and treatment classification of satellite image. For this purpose, land cover classifications by using satellite image in addition to the exiting SCS's land cover and treatment classifications studies and land cover classifications suggested by Ministry of Environment are selected to provide CNs depending on the classifications. CNs estimation method is statistical approach that is suggested by Hjelmfelt(1991). Result of this study may contribute to use efficiently for the estimation of CNs in using satellite image.

Study on Demand Estimation of Agricultural Machinery by Using Logistic Curve Function and Markov Chain Model (로지스틱함수법 및 Markov 전이모형법을 이용한 농업기계의 수요예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yun Y. D.
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.29 no.5 s.106
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    • pp.441-450
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    • 2004
  • This study was performed to estimate mid and long term demands of a tractor, a rice transplanter, a combine and a grain dryer by using logistic curve function and Markov chain model. Field survey was done to decide some parameters far logistic curve function and Markov chain model. Ceiling values of tractor and combine fer logistic curve function analysis were 209,280 and 85,607 respectively. Based on logistic curve function analysis, total number of tractors increased slightly during the period analysed. New demand for combine was found to be zero. Markov chain analysis was carried out with 2 scenarios. With the scenario 1(rice price $10\%$ down and current supporting policy by government), new demand for tractor was decreased gradually up to 700 unit in the year 2012. For combine, new demand was zero. Regardless of scenarios, the replacement demand was increased slightly after 2003. After then, the replacement demand is decreased after the certain time. Two analysis of logistic owe function and Markov chain model showed the similar trend in increase and decrease for total number of tractors and combines. However, the difference in numbers of tractors and combines between the results from 2 analysis got bigger as the time passed.

Improvement of Rating-curve by HEC-RAS (HEC-RAS를 이용한 수위-유량곡선의 개선방안)

  • Lee, Yeong Hwa;Lee, Chang Su;Park, Gi Beom
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.13 no.9
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    • pp.759-765
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    • 2004
  • HEC-RAS model is used for estimation of rating-curve of Musung in Wi stream. Discharge is computed from stage estimated by HEC-RAS model, is compared with the discharge of water surface slope method. The relative deviation of observed and computed discharge is 5.37%, and shows as a good results. A rating-curve by HEC-RAS model shows better results than by water surface slope method.

Improvement of Rating Curve Fitting Considering Variance Function with Pseudo-likelihood Estimation (의사우도추정법에 의한 분산함수를 고려한 수위-유량 관계 곡선 산정법 개선)

  • Lee, Woo-Seok;Kim, Sang-Ug;Chung, Eun-Sung;Lee, Kil-Seong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.8
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    • pp.807-823
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents a technique for estimating discharge rating curve parameters. In typical practical applications, the original non-linear rating curve is transformed into a simple linear regression model by log-transforming the measurement without examining the effect of log transformation. The model of pseudo-likelihood estimation is developed in this study to deal with heteroscedasticity of residuals in the original non-linear model. The parameters of rating curves and variance functions of errors are simultaneously estimated by the pseudo-likelihood estimation(P-LE) method. Simulated annealing, a global optimization technique, is adapted to minimize the log likelihood of the weighted residuals. The P-LE model was then applied to a hypothetical site where stage-discharge data were generated by incorporating various errors. Results of the P-LE model show reduced error values and narrower confidence intervals than those of the common log-transform linear least squares(LT-LR) model. Also, the limit of water levels for segmentation of discharge rating curve is estimated in the process of P-LE using the Heaviside function. Finally, model performance of the conventional log-transformed linear regression and the developed model, P-LE are computed and compared. After statistical simulation, the developed method is then applied to the real data sets from 5 gauge stations in the Geum River basin. It can be suggested that this developed strategy is applied to real sites to successfully determine weights taking into account error distributions from the observed discharge data.

A Study on Improving Reliability of Durability Life Estimation for Excavator Fuel Tank Mounting Using Equivalent S-N Curve Method (등가 S-N 선도 모형에서의 굴착기 연료탱크 마운팅부 내구수명 예측 신뢰성 향상 방안 연구)

  • Lee, Sung-Won;Jeong, Jin-Wook;Kim, Seong-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.17-26
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    • 2021
  • It is challenging to estimate the fatigue life of construction equipment consisting of a welded joint using field structure test owing to the uncertainty of the S-N curve. IIW recommends different S-N curves for various welded joint types. However, there is no way to define an appropriate curve considering complex design shape and strain gauge characteristics. This paper proposes an equivalent S-N curve method based on the relationship between IIW effective notch stress and virtual stress using finite element analysis. Moreover, a case study was conducted for the excavator fuel tank. The proposed method is expected to enhance accuracy and consistency in calculating the fatigue life for the welded structure of construction equipment.

Material Estimation Method Using Dual-Energy X-Ray Image for Cargo Inspection System (화물 검색 시스템을 위한 듀얼 에너지 X-ray 검색기 영상을 이용한 물질 추정 방법)

  • Lee, TaeBum;Kang, HyunSoo
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2018
  • This paper presents a material estimation method using dual-energy X-ray images generated as a result of cargo inspection system in MeV region. We use new discrimination curve using logarithmic function rather than four discrimination curves commonly used in existing estimation algorithms. We also propose an atomic number estimation using the probability distribution of the logarithmic curve rather than linear interpolation. When the probability distribution is used as a weight, we used two methods of using the weight for the two nearest reference materials and the weight for all the reference materials. Experimental results showed that the atomic number estimation of materials using the probability distribution as a weight is more accurate than the existing methods. In order to visualize the estimated atomic number, the HSI model was used for color the resulting image.