• Title/Summary/Keyword: cumulative normal distribution

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Modeling of Remediation Design in Theoretically Heterogeneous Domain

  • Ko, Nak-Youl;Lee, Kang-Kun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Soil and Groundwater Environment Conference
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    • 2004.09a
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    • pp.302-306
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    • 2004
  • Probabilistic approaches are applied to the problem of groundwater remediation design to consider the risk of design and heterogeneity of real condition. Hydraulic conductivity fields are generated by two methods. First, the homogeneous domains which have the hydraulic conductivity with log-normal distribution are constructed by using Latin Hypercube method. Second, random fields with a certain spatial correlation are also generated. The optimal solutions represented by cumulative distribution function (CDF) of relative cost are calculated by three different manners. The one uses the homogeneous domains with the optimal design of base condition. It shows that ver)'wide range of cost and the influences of different penalty values. The other one uses the random field with same design and shows narrow range of cost. These CDF can reflect on the risk of optimal solution in a simple exampie condition and be effective in estimating the cost of groundwater remediation.

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On Estimating Good Reliability Coefficient when the Test is Split into Several Formats of Subtests and Standardizing the Raw Score, whose Distribution is Departed from Normality. (부문항이 분할된 고사에서 우량한 신뢰도 계수추경과 그 평가치 분포의 정규화)

  • 홍석강
    • The Mathematical Education
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.109-126
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    • 2002
  • In this thesis. we estimated the good reliability coefficient ${\beta}$$\sub$k/ that is unbiased, consistent and more efficient than Cronbach's ${\alpha}$$\sub$k/ in splitting of a test into several formats of subtests and several properties of ${\beta}$$\sub$k/ are also represented. The tables of coefficients of skewness and kurtosis are represented to test the significance of departures from normality. We got the cumulative normal plots of z'from the distribution which is departed from normality using the Bock's approximation procedure and we finally enumerated the transformed standardized scores z'and a new raw score X' which enable us to proceed further evaluation procedures depending on our assessment policy.

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Particle Size Distribution of Suspended Particulates in the Atmosphere of a Seoul Residential Area (한 도시 분진의 유해성 입도 분포에 대한 조사 연구)

  • Han, Eui-Jung;Chung, Yong;Kwon, Sook-Pyo
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.19 no.1 s.19
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    • pp.130-136
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    • 1986
  • The particle size of suspended particulates was measured by a Anderson air sampler from Mar. 1982 to Feb. 1984 in a part of Seoul. It was concluded as follows : 1) The arithmetic concentration of suspended particulates was $147.8{\mu}g/m^3$ in Spring, 136.9 in Summer, 131.9 in Autumn and 158.1 in Winter respectively. 2) The cumulative distribution of suspended particulates size in logarithmic diagram showed similar to normal log distribution. 3) The atmospheric particulate matters showed a bimodal size distribution on the base of unit particle concentrations, which divided at approximately $2{\mu}m$ in the diameter. 4) While the fine particulates less than $2.1{\mu}m\;was\;35.4{\sim}45.0%$, the coarse particulates was $55.0{\sim}64.5%$. 5) The higher the concentration of suspended particulates, the more increased the ratio of fine particulates. The higher the concentration of suspended particulates, the lower median size of suspended particulate as well. 6) The respirable dust particulates less than $4.7{\mu}m\;was\;52.2{\sim}62.9%$ in seasonal average through the 2 year samples. With the above result, air pollution concerned with public health could be evaluated and the control measures also are suggested.

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Uncertainty Assessment of Emission Factors for Pinus densiflora using Monte Carlo Simulation Technique (몬테 카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 소나무 탄소배출계수의 불확도 평가)

  • Pyo, Jung Kee;Son, Yeong Mo;Jang, Gwang Min;Lee, Young Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.102 no.4
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    • pp.477-483
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to calculate uncertainty of emission factor collected data and to evaluate the applicability of Monte Carlo simulation technique. To estimate the distribution of emission factors (Such as Basic wood density, Biomass expansion factor, and Root-to-shoot ratio), four probability density functions (Normal, Lognormal, Gamma, and Weibull) were used. The two sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and cumulative density figure were used to compare the optimal probability density function. It was observed that the basic wood density showed the gamma distribution, the biomass expansion factor results the log-normal distribution, and root-shoot ratio showd the normal distribution for Pinus densiflora in the Gangwon region; the basic wood density was the normal distribution, the biomass expansion factor was the gamma distribution, and root-shoot ratio was the gamma distribution for Pinus densiflora in the central region, respectively. The uncertainty assessment of emission factor were upper 62.1%, lower -52.6% for Pinus densiflora in the Gangwon region and upper 43.9%, lower -34.5% for Pinus densiflora in the central region, respectively.

Effects of Different Methods for Determining the Number of Transferable Embryos on Genetic Gain and Inbreeding Coefficient in a Japanese Holstein MOET Breeding Population

  • Terawaki, Y.;Asada, Y.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.597-602
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    • 2001
  • This study was conducted to examine the relationships between the methods used to determine the number of transferable embryos collected per flush and the estimated cumulative genetic improvements in the Japanese Holstein MOET breeding population. Cumulative genetic improvements were predicted by Monte Carlo simulation using three different determination methods (MODEL 1, MODEL 2, and MODEL 3), for calculating the number of embryos collected per flush. Moreover EBVs were estimated including or ignoring coefficients of inbreeding in MME. Inbreeding coefficients were also predicted. The number of transferable embryos was determined using normal, gamma, and Poisson distributions in MODEL 1, gamma and Poisson distributions in MODEL 2, and only the Poisson distribution in MODEL 3. The fitness of MODEL 2 in relation to field data from Hokkaido Japan was the best, and the results for MODEL3 indicated that this model is unsuitable for determining the number of transferable embryos. The largest cumulative genetic improvement (3.11) in the 10th generation was predicted by MODEL 3 and the smallest (2.83) by MODEL 2. Mean coefficients of correlation between the true and estimated breeding values were 0.738, 0.729, and 0.773 in MODELS 1, 2, and 3, respectively. It is suggested that the smallest genetic improvement in MODEL 2 resulted from the smallest correlation coefficient between the true and estimated breeding values. The differences in milk, fat, and protein yields between MODELS 2 and 3 were 182.0, 7.0, and 5.6 kg, respectively, in real units when each trait was independently selected. The inbreeding coefficient was the highest (0.374) in MODEL 2 and the lowest (0.357) in MODEL 3. The effects of different methods for determining the number of transferable embryos per flush on genetic improvements and inbreeding coefficients of the simulated populations were remarkable. The effects of including coefficients of inbreeding in MME, however, were unclear.

Lifetime Assessments on 154 kV Transmission Porcelain Insulators with a Bayesian Approach (베이지안 방법론을 적용한 154 kV 송전용 자기애자의 수명 평가 개발)

  • Choi, In-Hyuk;Kim, Tae-Kyun;Yoon, Yong-Beum;Yi, Junsin;Kim, Seong Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.30 no.9
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    • pp.551-557
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    • 2017
  • It is extremely important to improve methodologies for the lifetime assessment of porcelain insulators. While there has been a considerable amount of work regarding the phenomena of lifetime distributions, most of the studies assume that aging distributions follow the Weibull distribution. However, the true underlying distribution is unknown, giving rise to unrealistic inferences, such as parameter estimations. In this article, we review several distributions that are commonly used in reliability and survival analysis, such as the exponential, Weibull, log-normal, and gamma distributions. Some properties, including the characteristics of failure rates of these distributions, are presented. We use a Bayesian approach for model selection and parameter estimation procedures. A well-known measure, called the Bayes factor, is used to find the most plausible model among several contending models. The posterior mean can be used as a parameter estimate for unknown parameters, once a model with the highest posterior probability is selected. Extensive simulation studies are performed to demonstrate our methodologies.

Estimation of sewer deterioration by Weibull distribution function (와이블 분포함수를 이용한 하수관로 노후도 추정)

  • Kang, Byongjun;Yoo, Soonyu;Park, Kyoohong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.251-258
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    • 2020
  • Sewer deterioration models are needed to forecast the remaining life expectancy of sewer networks by assessing their conditions. In this study, the serious defect (or condition state 3) occurrence probability, at which sewer rehabilitation program should be implemented, was evaluated using four probability distribution functions such as normal, lognormal, exponential, and Weibull distribution. A sample of 252 km of CCTV-inspected sewer pipe data in city Z was collected in the first place. Then the effective data (284 sewer sections of 8.15 km) with reliable information were extracted and classified into 3 groups considering the sub-catchment area, sewer material, and sewer pipe size. Anderson-Darling test was conducted to select the most fitted probability distribution of sewer defect occurrence as Weibull distribution. The shape parameters (β) and scale parameters (η) of Weibull distribution were estimated from the data set of 3 classified groups, including standard errors, 95% confidence intervals, and log-likelihood values. The plot of probability density function and cumulative distribution function were obtained using the estimated parameter values, which could be used to indicate the quantitative level of risk on occurrence of CS3. It was estimated that sewer data group 1, group 2, and group 3 has CS3 occurrence probability exceeding 50% at 13th-year, 11th-year, and 16th-year after the installation, respectively. For every data groups, the time exceeding the CS3 occurrence probability of 90% was also predicted to be 27th- to 30th-year after the installation.

The Relationship between Photosynthetic Active Radiation and Leaf Orientation (光合成有效放斜와 葉向과의 關係)

  • Chang, Nam-Kee;Heui-Baik Kim
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.99-107
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    • 1985
  • Photosynthetically Active Radiation (PAR) affects the growth of plants as well as their photosynthetic rates. A mathematical model for intercepted solar radiation on the tilted leaf with any azimuth angle was established and the leaf orientation in which receives the maximum solar radiation was determined each month, during the growing season, and for an year. PAR was maximized at the leaf elevation of 50。~60。 in the winter, at that of 20。~40。. On the whole the leaves of tilt angle 0。~40。 received much radiation comparing with those of other tilt angles. The theoretical tendencies were compared with the distribution of leaf orientation measused practically. The average leaf elevation of maple tree was 17.0。$\pm$12.0。, and that of ginkgo was 29.8。$\pm$16.0。. Several results from other literatures support our suggestion that cumulative effevct of the relationships between surface normal vector and a vector pointing in the direction of the radiation determine the leaf orientation.

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A Study on the Low Temperature Mechanical Characteristics of SM490A for the Railroad Vehicle Structure (철도차량 구조물용 연강(SM490A)의 기계적 내한 특성 연구)

  • Kang, K.W.;Goo, B.C.;You, W.H.;Kim, J.H.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.9 no.6 s.37
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    • pp.695-700
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    • 2006
  • This study investigates the effects of the material properties and the fatigue behavior in the SM490A material specimens due to the low-temperature atmosphere. In the fatigue behavior, the low-temperature affects the fatigue life. As the temperature get low, the fatigue limit increase, also As the yield strength and the tensile strength increase, the impact absorbed energy decrease. The difference of fatigue lift represents to normal distribution and it is larger between the room temperature and the low temperature, but in the result of the cumulative density function, the effect of temperature is not too large on it.

A Study on the Microscopically Characteristics of Properties of the Magnetic Recording Disk (자기저장 디스크 표면의 물성치에 관한 미소특성 연구)

  • Hwang, Pyung;Kim, Do-Hyung;Kim, Jang-Kyo
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.52-58
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    • 1999
  • Nano-indentation and nano-scratch tests were peformed to assess the mechanical and tribological properties of the coating on a commercially available thin-film magnetic recording disk. Surface topography and roughness of the disk was studied using atomic force microscopy. The hardness and elastic modulus data show a peak at an indentation depth equivalent to the thickness of carbon overcoat, indicating strong influence of the coatin $g_strate interaction and the coating surface roughness on the measurements. The variations of surface roughness data were analysed statistically based on the normal probability distribution theories and Weibull cumulative probability theories.es.