• Title/Summary/Keyword: crop yield estimation

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Machine Learning Approaches to Corn Yield Estimation Using Satellite Images and Climate Data: A Case of Iowa State

  • Kim, Nari;Lee, Yang-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.383-390
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    • 2016
  • Remote sensing data has been widely used in the estimation of crop yields by employing statistical methods such as regression model. Machine learning, which is an efficient empirical method for classification and prediction, is another approach to crop yield estimation. This paper described the corn yield estimation in Iowa State using four machine learning approaches such as SVM (Support Vector Machine), RF (Random Forest), ERT (Extremely Randomized Trees) and DL (Deep Learning). Also, comparisons of the validation statistics among them were presented. To examine the seasonal sensitivities of the corn yields, three period groups were set up: (1) MJJAS (May to September), (2) JA (July and August) and (3) OC (optimal combination of month). In overall, the DL method showed the highest accuracies in terms of the correlation coefficient for the three period groups. The accuracies were relatively favorable in the OC group, which indicates the optimal combination of month can be significant in statistical modeling of crop yields. The differences between our predictions and USDA (United States Department of Agriculture) statistics were about 6-8 %, which shows the machine learning approaches can be a viable option for crop yield modeling. In particular, the DL showed more stable results by overcoming the overfitting problem of generic machine learning methods.

Assessing the EPIC Model for Estimation of Future Crops Yield in South Korea (미래 작물생산량 추정을 위한 EPIC 모형의 국내 적용과 평가)

  • Lim, Chul-Hee;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Song, Yongho;Eom, Ki-Cheol
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.21-31
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    • 2015
  • Various crop models have been extensively used for estimation of the crop yields. Compared to the other models, the EPIC model uses a unified approach to simulate more than 100 types of crops. It has been successfully applied in simulating crop yields for various combinations of weather conditions, soil properties, crops, and management schemes in many countries. The objective of this study was to estimate the rice and maize yield in South Korea using the EPIC model. The input datasets for the 30 types in the 11 categories were created for the EPIC model. The EPIC model simulated rice and maize yields. The performance of the EPIC model was evaluated with the goodness-of-fit measures including Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Relative Error (RE), Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency Coefficient (NSEC), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Pearson Correelation Coefficient (r). The rice yield showed to more high accuracy than maize yield on four type of method without NSEC. Theses results showed that the EPIC model better simulated rice yields than maize yields. The results suggest that the EPIC crop model can be useful to estimate crop yield in South Korea.

Relating Hyperspectral Image Bands and Vegetation Indices to Corn and Soybean Yield

  • Jang Gab-Sue;Sudduth Kenneth A.;Hong Suk-Young;Kitchen Newell R.;Palm Harlan L.
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.183-197
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    • 2006
  • Combinations of visible and near-infrared (NIR) bands in an image are widely used for estimating vegetation vigor and productivity. Using this approach to understand within-field grain crop variability could allow pre-harvest estimates of yield, and might enable mapping of yield variations without use of a combine yield monitor. The objective of this study was to estimate within-field variations in crop yield using vegetation indices derived from hyperspectral images. Hyperspectral images were acquired using an aerial sensor on multiple dates during the 2003 and 2004 cropping seasons for corn and soybean fields in central Missouri. Vegetation indices, including intensity normalized red (NR), intensity normalized green (NG), normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), green NDVI (gNDVI), and soil-adjusted vegetation index (SAVI), were derived from the images using wavelengths from 440 nm to 850 nm, with bands selected using an iterative procedure. Accuracy of yield estimation models based on these vegetation indices was assessed by comparison with combine yield monitor data. In 2003, late-season NG provided the best estimation of both corn $(r^2\;=\;0.632)$ and soybean $(r^2\;=\;0.467)$ yields. Stepwise multiple linear regression using multiple hyperspectral bands was also used to estimate yield, and explained similar amounts of yield variation. Corn yield variability was better modeled than was soybean yield variability. Remote sensing was better able to estimate yields in the 2003 season when crop growth was limited by water availability, especially on drought-prone portions of the fields. In 2004, when timely rains during the growing season provided adequate moisture across entire fields and yield variability was less, remote sensing estimates of yield were much poorer $(r^2<0.3)$.

Regional Scale Rice Yield Estimation by Using a Time-series of RADARSAT ScanSAR Images

  • Li, Yan;Liao, Qifang;Liao, Shengdong;Chi, Guobin;Peng, Shaolin
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.917-919
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    • 2003
  • This paper demonstrates that RADARSAT ScanSAR data can be an important data source of radar remote sensing for monitoring crop systems and estimation of rice yield for large areas in tropic and sub-tropical regions. Experiments were carried out to show the effectiveness of RADARSAT ScanSAR data for rice yield estimation in whole province of Guangdong, South China. A methodology was developed to deal with a series of issues in extracting rice information from the ScanSAR data, such as topographic influences, levels of agro-management, irregular distribution of paddy fields and different rice cropping systems. A model was provided for rice yield estimation based on the relationship between the backscatter coefficient of multi-temporal SAR data and the biomass of rice.

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Estimation of Corn and Soybean Yields Based on MODIS Data and CASA Model in Iowa and Illinois, USA

  • Na, Sangil;Hong, Sukyoung;Kim, Yihyun;Lee, Kyoungdo
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.92-99
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    • 2014
  • The crop growing conditions make accurate predictions of yield ahead of harvest time difficult. Such predictions are needed by the government to estimate, ahead of time, the amount of crop required to be imported to meet the expected domestic shortfall. Corn and soybean especially are widely cultivated throughout the world and a staple food in many regions of the world. On the other hand, the CASA (Carnegie-Ames-Stanford Approach) model is a process-based model to estimate the land plant NPP (Net Primary Productivity) based on the plant growing mechanism. In this paper, therefore, a methodology for the estimation of corn/soybean yield ahead of harvest time is developed specifically for the growing conditions particular to Iowa and Illinois. The method is based on CASA model using MODIS data, and uses Net Primary Productivity (NPP) to predict corn/soybean yield. As a result, NPP at DOY 217 (in Illinois) and DOY 241 (in Iowa) tend to have high correlation with corn/soybean yields. The corn/soybean yields of Iowa in 2013 was estimated to be 11.24/3.55 ton/ha and Illinois was estimated to be 10.09/3.06 ton/ha. Errors were 6.06/17.58% and -10.64/-7.07%, respectively, compared with the yield forecast of the USDA. Crop yield distributions in 2013 were presented to show spatial variability in the state. This leads to the conclusion that NPP changes in the crop field were well reflected crop yield in this study.

Crop Yield Estimation Utilizing Feature Selection Based on Graph Classification (그래프 분류 기반 특징 선택을 활용한 작물 수확량 예측)

  • Ohnmar Khin;Sung-Keun Lee
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.1269-1276
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    • 2023
  • Crop estimation is essential for the multinational meal and powerful demand due to its numerous aspects like soil, rain, climate, atmosphere, and their relations. The consequence of climate shift impacts the farming yield products. We operate the dataset with temperature, rainfall, humidity, etc. The current research focuses on feature selection with multifarious classifiers to assist farmers and agriculturalists. The crop yield estimation utilizing the feature selection approach is 96% accuracy. Feature selection affects a machine learning model's performance. Additionally, the performance of the current graph classifier accepts 81.5%. Eventually, the random forest regressor without feature selections owns 78% accuracy and the decision tree regressor without feature selections retains 67% accuracy. Our research merit is to reveal the experimental results of with and without feature selection significance for the proposed ten algorithms. These findings support learners and students in choosing the appropriate models for crop classification studies.

Monitoring on Crop Condition using Remote Sensing and Model (원격탐사와 모델을 이용한 작황 모니터링)

  • Lee, Kyung-do;Park, Chan-won;Na, Sang-il;Jung, Myung-Pyo;Kim, Junhwan
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.33 no.5_2
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    • pp.617-620
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    • 2017
  • The periodic monitoring of crop conditions and timely estimation of crop yield are of great importance for supporting agricultural decision-makings, as well as for effectively coping with food security issues. Remote sensing has been regarded as one of effective tools for crop condition monitoring and crop type classification. Since 2010, RDA (Rural Development Administration) has been developing technology for monitoring on crop condition using remote sensing and model. These special papers address recent state-of-the-art of remote sensing and geospatial technologies for providing operational agricultural information, such as, crop yield estimation methods using remote sensing data and process-oriented model, crop classification algorithm, monitoring and prediction of weather and climate based on remote sensing data,system design and architecture of crop monitoring system, history on rice yield forecasting method.

Estimation of Oil Yield of Perilla by Seed Characteristics and Crude Fat Content

  • Oh, Eunyoung;Lee, Myoung Hee;Kim, Jung In;Kim, Sungup;Pae, Suk-Bok;Ha, Tae Joung
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.63 no.2
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    • pp.158-163
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    • 2018
  • Perilla (Perilla frutescens var.frutescens) is an annual plant of the Lamiaceae family, mainly grown for obtaining oil by press extraction after roasting the seeds. Oil yield is one of its important traits, but evaluating this yield is time-consuming, requires many seeds, and is hard to adjust to pedigrees in a breeding field. The objective of this study was to develop a method for selecting high-oil-yield lines in a breeding population without oil extraction. Twenty-three perilla cultivars were used for evaluating the oil yield and seed traits such as seed hardness, seed coat thickness, seed coat proportion and crude fat. After evaluation of the seed traits of 23 perilla cultivars, the ranges of oil yields, seed hardness, seed coat thickness, seed coat proportion, 100-seed weight, and crude fat were 24.68-38.75%, 157-1166 gf, $24-399{\mu}m$, 15.4-41.5%, 2.79-6.69 g, and 33.0-47.8%, respectively. In an analysis of correlation coefficients, the oil yield negatively correlated with seed length, seed width, the proportion of seed coat, seed hardness, and 1000-seed weight, but positively correlated with crude fat content. It was observed that as the seed coat proportion increased, the seed coat thickness, hardness, and 1000-seed weight also increased. Multiple linear regression (MLR) was employed to find major variables affecting the oil yield. Among the variables, traits crude fat content and seed coat proportion were assumed to be indirect parameters for estimating the potential oil yield, with respect to a significant positive correlation with the observed oil yield ($R^2=0.791$). Using these two parameters, an equation was derived to predict the oil yield. The results of this study show that various seed traits in 23 perilla cultivars positively or negatively correlated with the oil yield. In particular, crude fat and the seed coat proportion can be used for predicting the oil yield with the newly developed equation, and this approach will improve the efficiency of selecting prominent lines for the oil yield.

Introduction to Empirical Approach to Estimate Rice Yield and Comparison with Remote Sensing Approach (경험적 벼 작황예측 방법에 대한 소개와 원격탐사를 이용한 예측과의 비교)

  • Kim, Junhwan;Lee, Chung-Kuen;Sang, Wangyu;Shin, Pyeong;Cho, Hyeounsuk;Seo, Myungchul
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.33 no.5_2
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    • pp.733-740
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    • 2017
  • This review introduces the empirical approach of rice yield forecasting and compares it with remote sensing approach. The empirical approach, was based on the results of the rice growth and yield monitoring experiment in 17 sites, estimated rice yield by recombination of yield components. The number of spikelet per unit area was from results of experiment sites and grain filling rate was estimated from linear regression with sunshine hours. The estimation results were relatively accurate from 2010 to 2016. The smallest error was 1 kg / 10a and the largest error was 19 kg / 10a. The largest error was caused by the typhoon. The empirical approach did not fully reflect the spatial variation caused by disasters such as typhoon or pest. On the other hand, remote sensing could explain spatial variation caused by disasters. Therefore, if there are not any disaster in rice field, both approaches are valid and remote sensing will be more accurate when any local disaster occurs.