• Title/Summary/Keyword: covariance model

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Bayesian Inversion of Gravity and Resistivity Data: Detection of Lava Tunnel

  • Kwon, Byung-Doo;Oh, Seok-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.15-29
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    • 2002
  • Bayesian inversion for gravity and resistivity data was performed to investigate the cavity structure appearing as a lava tunnel in Cheju Island, Korea. Dipole-dipole DC resistivity data were proposed for a prior information of gravity data and we applied the geostatistical techniques such as kriging and simulation algorithms to provide a prior model information and covariance matrix in data domain. The inverted resistivity section gave the indicator variogram modeling for each threshold and it provided spatial uncertainty to give a prior PDF by sequential indicator simulations. We also presented a more objective way to make data covariance matrix that reflects the state of the achieved field data by geostatistical technique, cross-validation. Then Gaussian approximation was adopted for the inference of characteristics of the marginal distributions of model parameters and Broyden update for simple calculation of sensitivity matrix and SVD was applied. Generally cavity investigation by geophysical exploration is difficult and success is hard to be achieved. However, this exotic multiple interpretations showed remarkable improvement and stability for interpretation when compared to data-fit alone results, and suggested the possibility of diverse application for Bayesian inversion in geophysical inverse problem.

Inverse Model Parameter Estimation Based on Sensitivity Analysis for Improvement of PM10 Forecasting (PM10 예보 향상을 위한 민감도 분석에 의한 역모델 파라메터 추정)

  • Yu, Suk Hyun;Koo, Youn Seo;Kwon, Hee Yong
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.18 no.7
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    • pp.886-894
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we conduct sensitivity analysis of parameters used for inverse modeling in order to estimate the PM10 emissions from the 16 areas in East Asia accurately. Parameters used in sensitivity analysis are R, the observational error covariance matrix, and B, a priori (background) error covariance matrix. In previous studies, it was used with the predetermined parameter empirically. Such a method, however, has difficulties in estimating an accurate emissions. Therefore, an automatically determining method for the most suitable value of R and B with an error measurement criteria and posteriori emissions accuracy is required. We determined the parameters through a sensitivity analysis, and improved the accuracy of posteriori emissions estimation. Inverse modeling methods used in the emissions estimation are pseudo inverse, NNLS (Nonnegative Least Square), and BA(Bayesian Approach). Pseudo inverse has a small error, but has negative values of emissions. In order to resolve the problem, NNLS is used. It has a unrealistic emissions, too. The problems are resolved with BA(Bayesian Approach). We showed the effectiveness and the accuracy of three methods through case studies.

Steady State Kalman Filter based IMM Tracking Filter for Multi-Target Tracking (다중표적 추적을 위한 정상상태 칼만필터 기반 IMM 추적필터)

  • 김병두;이자성
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.34 no.8
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2006
  • When a tracking filter may be designed in the Cartesian coordinate, the covariance of the measurement errors varies according to the range and the bearing of an interested target. In this paper, interacting multiple model based tracking filter is formulated in the Cartesian coordinate utilizing the analytic solution of the steady state Kalman filter, which can be able to consider the variation of the measurement error covariance. 100 Monte Carlo runs performed to verify the proposed method. The performance of the proposed method is compared with the conventional fixed gain and Kalman filter based IMM tracking filter in terms of the root mean square error. The simulation results show that the proposed approach meaningfully reduces the computation time and provides a similar tracking performance in comparison with the conventional Kalman filter based IMM tracking filter.

A Study on 4DOF Ship Dynamics in Maneuver by Principal Component Analysis (주성분 분석을 통한 선박 조종 중 4자유도 동역학 특성 연구)

  • Dong-Hwan Kim;Minchang Kim;Seungbeom Lee;Jeonghwa Seo
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.61 no.1
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    • pp.29-43
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    • 2024
  • The present study concerns a feasibility study for applying principal component analysis to ship dynamics in maneuver. Using the four degrees of freedom standard modular model for ship dynamics maneuver simulations of large angle zigzag tests with rudder deflection angle variations are conducted. The datasets of ship motion, hydrodynamic force, and moment during the maneuver are acquired to identify the principal modes. The covariance matrix of obtained ship dynamics variables shows a strong linear correlation between the motion, hydrodynamic force, and moment, except the surge force. Four eigenvectors of the covariance matrix are selected as the principal modes of ship dynamics. Using the principal modes, ship motion in turning circle and zigzag tests is reconstructed, showing good agreement with the original data.

A Note on the Asymptotic Property of S2 in Linear Regression Model with Correlated Errors

  • Lee, Seung-Chun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.233-237
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    • 2003
  • An asymptotic property of the ordinary least squares estimator of the disturbance variance is considered in the regression model with correlated errors. It is shown that the convergence in probability of S$^2$ is equivalent to the asymptotic unbiasedness. Beyond the assumption on the design matrix or the variance-covariance matrix of disturbances error, the result is quite general and simplify the earlier results.

Linear programming models using a Dantzig type risk for portfolio optimization (Dantzig 위험을 사용한 포트폴리오 최적화 선형계획법 모형)

  • Ahn, Dayoung;Park, Seyoung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.229-250
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    • 2022
  • Since the publication of Markowitz's (1952) mean-variance portfolio model, research on portfolio optimization has been conducted in many fields. The existing mean-variance portfolio model forms a nonlinear convex problem. Applying Dantzig's linear programming method, it was converted to a linear form, which can effectively reduce the algorithm computation time. In this paper, we proposed a Dantzig perturbation portfolio model that can reduce management costs and transaction costs by constructing a portfolio with stable and small (sparse) assets. The average return and risk were adjusted according to the purpose by applying a perturbation method in which a certain part is invested in the existing benchmark and the rest is invested in the assets proposed as a portfolio optimization model. For a covariance estimation, we proposed a Gaussian kernel weight covariance that considers time-dependent weights by reflecting time-series data characteristics. The performance of the proposed model was evaluated by comparing it with the benchmark portfolio with 5 real data sets. Empirical results show that the proposed portfolios provide higher expected returns or lower risks than the benchmark. Further, sparse and stable asset selection was obtained in the proposed portfolios.

A Predictive Two-Group Multinormal Classification Rule Accounting for Model Uncertainty

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.477-491
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    • 1997
  • A new predictive classification rule for assigning future cases into one of two multivariate normal population (with unknown normal mixture model) is considered. The development involves calculation of posterior probability of each possible normal-mixture model via a default Bayesian test criterion, called intrinsic Bayes factor, and suggests predictive distribution for future cases to be classified that accounts for model uncertainty by weighting the effect of each model by its posterior probabiliy. In this paper, our interest is focused on constructing the classification rule that takes care of uncertainty about the types of covariance matrices (homogeneity/heterogeneity) involved in the model. For the constructed rule, a Monte Carlo simulation study demonstrates routine application and notes benefits over traditional predictive calssification rule by Geisser (1982).

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Speaker Identification Using PCA Fuzzy Mixture Model (PCA 퍼지 혼합 모델을 이용한 화자 식별)

  • Lee, Ki-Yong
    • Speech Sciences
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.149-157
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we proposed the principal component analysis (PCA) fuzzy mixture model for speaker identification. A PCA fuzzy mixture model is derived from the combination of the PCA and the fuzzy version of mixture model with diagonal covariance matrices. In this method, the feature vectors are first transformed by each speaker's PCA transformation matrix to reduce the correlation among the elements. Then, the fuzzy mixture model for speaker is obtained from these transformed feature vectors with reduced dimensions. The orthogonal Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) can be derived as a special case of PCA fuzzy mixture model. In our experiments, with having the number of mixtures equal, the proposed method requires less training time and less storage as well as shows better speaker identification rate compared to the conventional GMM. Also, the proposed one shows equal or better identification performance than the orthogonal GMM does.

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Analysis of Consumer's Purchasing Behavior on ICT Devices and Convergence Services in Korea (정보통신기기와 융합서비스에 대한 소비자 구매행태 분석)

  • Shin, Jungwoo;Kim, Chang Seob;Lee, Misuk
    • Informatization Policy
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.81-97
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this research is to analyze consumers'choice behavior with regard to information and communication technology(ICT) devices and related services. This research focuses on the relationships not only within each category but also among different categories by considering multiple choice situations in a variety of categories simultaneously. The multivariate probit model with demographic variables and the alternative specific constant model with variance-covariance matrix are estimated using survey data; moreover, the multi-dimensional scaling method is utilized for the presentation of the relationship map. It is evident from the results that some devices and services have a complementary or substitute relationship each other. This study can provide useful information for the development of new products and services by understanding and predicting consumer's behavior.

Efficient strategy for the genetic analysis of related samples with a linear mixed model (선형혼합모형을 이용한 유전체 자료분석방안에 대한 연구)

  • Lim, Jeongmin;Sung, Joohon;Won, Sungho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.1025-1038
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    • 2014
  • Linear mixed model has often been utilized for genetic association analysis with family-based samples. The correlation matrix for family-based samples is constructed with kinship coefficient and assumes that parental phenotypes are independent and the amount of correlations between parent and offspring is same as that of correlations between siblings. However, for instance, there are positive correlations between parental heights, which indicates that the assumption for correlation matrix is often violated. The statistical validity and power are affected by the appropriateness of assumed variance covariance matrix, and in this thesis, we provide the linear mixed model with flexible variance covariance matrix. Our results show that the proposed method is usually more efficient than existing approaches, and its application to genome-wide association study of body mass index illustrates the practical value in real data analysis.