• Title/Summary/Keyword: coupled model

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Low-Flow Projection according to the Actual Evapotranspiration scenarios under the Climate Change -Chungju Dam Case- (기후변화 실제증발산 시나리오에 따른 갈수량전망 - 충주댐 사례 -)

  • Sun, HoYoung;Kang, BooSik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.104-104
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    • 2018
  • 이수안전도의 기준이 되는 갈수량에 대해 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 전망을 제시하였다. 충주 댐 유역을 대상으로 기준기간(1986~2000년)에서의 기상청의 관측 기상자료와 IPCC 보고서의 RCP 4.5/8.5 시나리오를 대상으로 CMIP5(Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5)에서 제공하는 기후변화 자료 중 5개의 모델(ACCESS1.3 CanESM2, CNRM-CM5, GFDL-ESM2G, HadGEM2-AO)의 기준기간과 미래기간(2011~2100년)의 기상자료를 수집하였다. 기후변화 자료는 정상성/비정상성 분위사상법과 베이지안 모델 평균기법을 통해 불확실성과 통계적 오차를 저감하였다. 미래기간에서, 강우는 RCP 4.5에서 1.74mm/year, RCP 8.5에서 3.22mm/year, 실제증발산은 RCP 4.5에서 1.09mm/year, RCP 8.5에서 1.78mm/year의 증가율을 보였다. 실제증발산을 입력자료로 활용할 수 있도록 IHACRES모델의 CMD(Catchment Moisture Deficit) 비선형 모듈의 매개변수를 변이하여 유효강우량 산정 과정을 개선하였다. 기준기간에서 관측유량자료와 IHACRES의 시뮬레이션을 통해 산정된 유량자료의 R-squared는 0.65이다. 기준기간에서의 매개변수를 고정하여 미래기간의 유량을 산정하고 유황분석을 통해 갈수량 전망하였다. 유량은 RCP 4.5에서 4.41MCM/year, RCP 8.5에서 9.66MCM/year의 증가율을 보였다. 갈수량은 RCP 4.5에서 0.30MCM/year, RCP 8.5에서 -0.47MCM/year의 증감율을 보였다. 연간 강수량 대비 실제증발산의 비율의 추세분석 결과, RCP 4.5에서는 홍수기에는 0.014%/year, 비홍수기에는 0.027%/year의 증가율을 보이며 거의 변화가 없는 추세를 확인할 수 있었다. RCP 8.5의 홍수기에는 -0.042%/year, 비홍수기에서는 0.167%/year의 증감율을 보이며 홍수기에는 실제증발산에 비해 강수량의 증가가 확연히 보였으며 비홍수기에는 강수량에 비해 실제증발산의 증가가 뚜렷이 확인되었다. RCP 8.5에서 비홍수기의 강수량 대비 실제증발산의 증가가 갈수량의 감소로 반영된 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 미래기간의 RCP 4.5/8.5에서 실제증발산의 증가로 인하여 강수량이 증가함에 따라 유입량이 증가함에도 불구하고 갈수량의 증가로 이어지지 않았다. 미래 갈수량의 감소는 하천의 건전성과 이수안전도의 위협이 될 수 있다.

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Changes of Current and Wave Patterns Depending on Typhoon Pathways in a Shallow Channel between Jeju and Udo Island (태풍 경로에 따른 제주 우도수로에서의 해류와 파랑 특성 변화)

  • Hong, Ji-Seok;Moon, Jae-Hong;Yoon, Seok-Hoon;Yoon, Woo Seok
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.205-217
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    • 2021
  • A shallow channel between Jeju and Udo Islands, which is located in the northeastern Jeju Island, is influenced by storm- or typhoon-induced currents and surface waves as well as strong tidal currents. This study examines the typhoon-induced current and wave patterns in the channel, using Acoustic Doppler Current Meter (ADCP) measurements and an ocean-wave coupled modeling experiment. Three typhoons were chosen - Chaba (2016), Soulik (2018), and Lingling (2019) - to investigate the responses of currents and waves in their pathways. During the pre-typhoon periods, dominant northward flow and wave propagation were observed in the channel due to the southeasterly winds before the three typhoons. After the passage of Chaba, which passed over the eastern side of Jeju Island, the northward flow and wave propagation were totally reversed to the opposite direction, which was attributed to the strong northerly winds on the left side of the typhoon. In contrast, in the cases of Soulik and Lingling, which passed over the western side of Jeju Island, strong southerly winds on the right side of the typhoons continuously intensified the northward current and wave propagation in the channel. The model-simulated current and wave fields reasonably coincided with observational data, showing southward/northward flow and wave propagation in response to the right/left side of the typhoon pathways. Typhoon-induced downwind flows, and surface waves could enhance up to 2m/s and 3m due to the strong winds that lasted for more than 12 hours. This suggests that the flow and wave patterns in the Udo channel are highly sensitive to the pathway of typhoons and accompanying winds; thus, this may be a crucial factor with regard to the movement of seabed sediments and subsequent coastal erosion.

Estimation of Waxy Corn Harvest Date over South Korea Using PNU CGCM-WRF Chain (PNU CGCM-WRF Chain을 활용한 남한지역 찰옥수수 수확일 추정)

  • Hur, Jina;Kim, Yong Seok;Jo, Sera;Shim, Kyo Moon;Ahn, Joong-Bae;Choi, Myeong-Ju;Kim, Young-Hyun;Kang, Mingu;Choi, Won Jun
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.405-414
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    • 2021
  • This study predicted waxy corn harvest date in South Korea using 30-year (1991-2020) hindcasts (1-6 month lead) produced by the Pusan National University Coupled General Circulation Model (PNU CGCM)-Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) chain. To estimate corn harvest date, the cumulative temperature is used, which accumulated the daily observed and predicted temperatures from the seeding date (5 April) to the reference temperature (1,650~2,200℃) for harvest. In terms of the mean air temperature, the hindcasts with a bias correction (20.2℃) tends to have a cold bias of about 0.1℃ for the 6 months (April to September) compared to the observation (20.3℃). The harvest date derived from bias-corrected hindcasts (DOY 187~210) well simulates one from observation (DOY 188~211), despite a slight margin of 1.1~1.3 days. The study shows the possibility of obtaining the gridded (5 km) daily temperature and corn harvest date information based on the cumulative temperature in advance for all regions of South Korea.

Analysis of the Contribution of Biomass Burning Emissions in East Asia to the PM10 and Radiation Energy Budget in Korea (동아시아의 생체연소 배출물에 대한 한국의 미세먼지 기여도 및 복사 에너지 수지 분석)

  • Lee, Ji-Hee;Cho, Jae-Hee;Kim, Hak-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.265-282
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    • 2022
  • This study analyzes the impact of long-range transport of biomass burning emissions from northeastern China on the concentration of particulate matter of diameter less than 10 ㎛ (PM10) in Korea using the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem). Korea was impacted by anthropogenic emissions from eastern China, dust storms from northern China and Mongolia, and biomass burning emissions from northeast China between April 4-and 7, 2020. The contributions of long-range PM10 transport were calculated by separating biomass burning emissions from mixed air pollutants with anthropogenic emissions and dust storms using the zeroing-out method. Further, the radiation energy budget over land and sea around the Korean Peninsula was analyzed according to the distribution of biomass burning emissions. Based on the WRF-Chem simulation during April 5-6, 2020, the contribution of long-range transport of biomass burning emissions was calculated as 60% of the daily PM10 average in Korea. The net heat flux around the Korean Peninsula was in a negative phase due to the influence of the large-scale biomass burning emissions. However, the contribution of biomass burning emissions was analyzed to be <45% during April 7-8, 2020, when the anthropogenic emissions from eastern China were added to biomass burning emissions, and PM10 concentration increased compared with the concentration recorded during April 5-6, 2020 in Korea. Furthermore, the net heat flux around the Korean Peninsula increased to a positive phase with the decreasing influence of biomass burning emissions.

RANS simulation of secondary flows in a low pressure turbine cascade: Influence of inlet boundary layer profile

  • Michele, Errante;Andrea, Ferrero;Francesco, Larocca
    • Advances in aircraft and spacecraft science
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.415-431
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    • 2022
  • Secondary flows have a huge impact on losses generation in modern low pressure gas turbines (LPTs). At design point, the interaction of the blade profile with the end-wall boundary layer is responsible for up to 40% of total losses. Therefore, predicting accurately the end-wall flow field in a LPT is extremely important in the industrial design phase. Since the inlet boundary layer profile is one of the factors which most affects the evolution of secondary flows, the first main objective of the present work is to investigate the impact of two different inlet conditions on the end-wall flow field of the T106A, a well known LPT cascade. The first condition, labeled in the paper as C1, is represented by uniform conditions at the inlet plane and the second, C2, by a flow characterized by a defined inlet boundary layer profile. The code used for the simulations is based on the Discontinuous Galerkin (DG) formulation and solves the Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) equations coupled with the Spalart Allmaras turbulence model. Secondly, this work aims at estimating the influence of viscosity and turbulence on the T106A end-wall flow field. In order to do so, RANS results are compared with those obtained from an inviscid simulation with a prescribed inlet total pressure profile, which mimics a boundary layer. A comparison between C1 and C2 results highlights an influence of secondary flows on the flow field up to a significant distance from the end-wall. In particular, the C2 end-wall flow field appears to be characterized by greater over turning and under turning angles and higher total pressure losses. Furthermore, the C2 simulated flow field shows good agreement with experimental and numerical data available in literature. The C2 and inviscid Euler computed flow fields, although globally comparable, present evident differences. The cascade passage simulated with inviscid flow is mainly dominated by a single large and homogeneous vortex structure, less stretched in the spanwise direction and closer to the end-wall than vortical structures computed by compressible flow simulation. It is reasonable, then, asserting that for the chosen test case a great part of the secondary flows details is strongly dependent on viscous phenomena and turbulence.

Numerical Analysis of Runup and Wave Force Acting on Coastal Revetment and Onshore Structure due to Tsunami (해안안벽과 육상구조물에서 지진해일파의 처오름 및 작용파력에 관한 수치해석)

  • Lee, Kwang Ho;Kim, Chang Hoon;Kim, Do Sam;Yeh, Harry;Hwang, Young Tae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.3B
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    • pp.289-301
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    • 2009
  • In this work, wave run-up heights and resultant wave forces on a vertical revetment due to tsunami (solitary wave) are investigated numerically using a numerical wave tank model called CADMAS-SURF (CDIT, 2001. Research and Development of Numerical Wave Channel (CADMAS-SURF). CDIT library, No. 12, Japan.), which is based on a 2-D Navier-Stokes solver, coupled to a volume of fluid (VOF) method. The third order approximate solution (Fenton, 1972. A ninth-order solution for the solitary wave. J. of Fluid Mech., Vol. 53, No.2, pp.257-271) is used to generate solitary waves and implemented in original CADMAS-SURF code. Numerical results of the wave profiles and forces are in good agreements with available experimental data. Using the numerical results, the regression curves determined from the least-square analysis are proposed, which can be used to determine the maximum wave run-up height and force on a vertical revetment due to tsunami. In addition, the capability of CADMAS-SURF is demonstrated for tsunami wave forces acting on an onshore structure using various configuration computations including the variations of the crown heights of the vertical wall and the position of the onshore structure. Based on the numerical results such as water level, velocity field and wave force, the direct effects of tsunami on an onshore structure are discussed.

GPU Based Feature Profile Simulation for Deep Contact Hole Etching in Fluorocarbon Plasma

  • Im, Yeon-Ho;Chang, Won-Seok;Choi, Kwang-Sung;Yu, Dong-Hun;Cho, Deog-Gyun;Yook, Yeong-Geun;Chun, Poo-Reum;Lee, Se-A;Kim, Jin-Tae;Kwon, Deuk-Chul;Yoon, Jung-Sik;Kim3, Dae-Woong;You, Shin-Jae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Vacuum Society Conference
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    • 2012.08a
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    • pp.80-81
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    • 2012
  • Recently, one of the critical issues in the etching processes of the nanoscale devices is to achieve ultra-high aspect ratio contact (UHARC) profile without anomalous behaviors such as sidewall bowing, and twisting profile. To achieve this goal, the fluorocarbon plasmas with major advantage of the sidewall passivation have been used commonly with numerous additives to obtain the ideal etch profiles. However, they still suffer from formidable challenges such as tight limits of sidewall bowing and controlling the randomly distorted features in nanoscale etching profile. Furthermore, the absence of the available plasma simulation tools has made it difficult to develop revolutionary technologies to overcome these process limitations, including novel plasma chemistries, and plasma sources. As an effort to address these issues, we performed a fluorocarbon surface kinetic modeling based on the experimental plasma diagnostic data for silicon dioxide etching process under inductively coupled C4F6/Ar/O2 plasmas. For this work, the SiO2 etch rates were investigated with bulk plasma diagnostics tools such as Langmuir probe, cutoff probe and Quadruple Mass Spectrometer (QMS). The surface chemistries of the etched samples were measured by X-ray Photoelectron Spectrometer. To measure plasma parameters, the self-cleaned RF Langmuir probe was used for polymer deposition environment on the probe tip and double-checked by the cutoff probe which was known to be a precise plasma diagnostic tool for the electron density measurement. In addition, neutral and ion fluxes from bulk plasma were monitored with appearance methods using QMS signal. Based on these experimental data, we proposed a phenomenological, and realistic two-layer surface reaction model of SiO2 etch process under the overlying polymer passivation layer, considering material balance of deposition and etching through steady-state fluorocarbon layer. The predicted surface reaction modeling results showed good agreement with the experimental data. With the above studies of plasma surface reaction, we have developed a 3D topography simulator using the multi-layer level set algorithm and new memory saving technique, which is suitable in 3D UHARC etch simulation. Ballistic transports of neutral and ion species inside feature profile was considered by deterministic and Monte Carlo methods, respectively. In case of ultra-high aspect ratio contact hole etching, it is already well-known that the huge computational burden is required for realistic consideration of these ballistic transports. To address this issue, the related computational codes were efficiently parallelized for GPU (Graphic Processing Unit) computing, so that the total computation time could be improved more than few hundred times compared to the serial version. Finally, the 3D topography simulator was integrated with ballistic transport module and etch reaction model. Realistic etch-profile simulations with consideration of the sidewall polymer passivation layer were demonstrated.

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Signal Transduction Factors on the Modulation of Radiosusceptibility in K562 Cells (K562 세포의 방사선 감수성 변화에 영향을 미치는 신호전달인자)

  • Yang Kwang Mo;Youn Seon-Min;Jeong Soo-Jin;Jang Ji-Yeon;Jo Wol-Soom;Do Chang-Ho;Yoo Y대-Jin;Shin Young-Cheol;Lee Hyung Sik;Hur Won Joo;Lim Young-Jin;Jeong Min-Ho
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.227-237
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    • 2003
  • Purpose: The human chronic myelogenous leukemia cell line, K562, expresses the chimeric bcr-abl oncoprotein, whose deregulated protein tyrosine kinase activity antagonizes via DNA damaging agents. Previous experiments have shown that nanomolar concentrations of herbimycin A (HWA) coupled with X-irradiation have a synergistic effect in inducing apoptosis in the Ph-positive K562 leukemia cell line, but genistein, a PTK inhibitor, is non selective for the radiation-induced apoptosils on $p210^{bcr/abl}$ protected K562 cells. In these experiments, the cytoplasmic signal transduction pathways, the Induction on a number of transcription factors and the differential gene expression in this model were investigated. Materials and Methids: K562 cells in the exponential growth phase were used in this study. The cells were irradiated with 0.5-12 Gy, using a 6 Mev Linac (Clinac 1800, Varian, USA). Immediately after irradiation, the cells were treated with $0.25/muM$ of HMA and $25/muM$ of genistein, and the expressions and the activities of abl kinase, MAPK family, NF- kB, c-fos, c-myc, and thymidine kinase1 (TK1) were examined. The differential gene expressions induced by PTK inhibitors were also investigated. Results: The modulating effects of herbimycin A and genistein on the radiosensitivity of K562 cells were not related to the bcr-abl kinase activity. The signaling responses through the MAPK family of proteins, were not involved either in association with the radiation-induced apoptosis, which is accelerated by HMA, the expression of c-myc was increased. The combined treatment of genistein, with irradiation, enhanced NF- kB activity and the TK1 expression and activity. Conclusion: The effects of HMA and genistein on the radiosensitivity on the K562 cells were not related to the bcr-abl kinase activity in this study, another signaling pathway, besides the WAPK family responses to radiation to K562 cells, was found. Further evaluation using this model will provide valuable information for the optional radiosensitization or radioprotection.

Review of Policy Direction and Coupled Model Development between Groundwater Recharge Quantity and Climate Change (기후변화 연동 지하수 함양량 산정 모델 개발 및 정책방향 고찰)

  • Lee, Moung-Jin;Lee, Joung-Ho;Jeon, Seong-Woo;Houng, Hyun-Jung
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.157-184
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    • 2010
  • Global climate change is destroying the water circulation balance by changing rates of precipitation, recharge and discharge, and evapotranspiration. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC 2007) makes "changes in rainfall pattern due to climate system changes and consequent shortage of available water resource" a high priority as the weakest part among the effects of human environment caused by future climate changes. Groundwater, which occupies a considerable portion of the world's water resources, is related to climate change via surface water such as rivers, lakes, and marshes, and "direct" interactions, being indirectly affected through recharge. Therefore, in order to quantify the effects of climate change on groundwater resources, it is necessary to not only predict the main variables of climate change but to also accurately predict the underground rainfall recharge quantity. In this paper, the authors selected a relevant climate change scenario, In this context, the authors selected A1B from the Special Report on Emission Scenario (SRES) which is distributed at Korea Meteorological Administration. By using data on temperature, rainfall, soil, and land use, the groundwater recharge rate for the research area was estimated by period and embodied as geographic information system (GIS). In order to calculate the groundwater recharge quantity, Visual HELP3 was used as main model for groundwater recharge, and the physical properties of weather, temperature, and soil layers were used as main input data. General changes to water circulation due to climate change have already been predicted. In order to systematically solve problems associated with how the groundwater resource circulation system should be reflected in future policies pertaining to groundwater resources, it may be urgent to recalculate the groundwater recharge quantity and consequent quantity for using via prediction of climate change in Korea in the future and then reflection of the results. The space-time calculation of changes to the groundwater recharge quantity in the study area may serve as a foundation to present additional measures for the improved management of domestic groundwater resources.

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Development Strategy for New Climate Change Scenarios based on RCP (온실가스 시나리오 RCP에 대한 새로운 기후변화 시나리오 개발 전략)

  • Baek, Hee-Jeong;Cho, ChunHo;Kwon, Won-Tae;Kim, Seong-Kyoun;Cho, Joo-Young;Kim, Yeongsin
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.55-68
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    • 2011
  • The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC) has identified the causes of climate change and come up with measures to address it at the global level. Its key component of the work involves developing and assessing future climate change scenarios. The IPCC Expert Meeting in September 2007 identified a new greenhouse gas concentration scenario "Representative Concentration Pathway(RCP)" and established the framework and development schedules for Climate Modeling (CM), Integrated Assessment Modeling(IAM), Impact Adaptation Vulnerability(IAV) community for the fifth IPCC Assessment Reports while 130 researchers and users took part in. The CM community at the IPCC Expert Meeting in September 2008, agreed on a new set of coordinated climate model experiments, the phase five of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP5), which consists of more than 30 standardized experiment protocols for the shortterm and long-term time scales, in order to enhance understanding on climate change for the IPCC AR5 and to develop climate change scenarios and to address major issues raised at the IPCC AR4. Since early 2009, fourteen countries including the Korea have been carrying out CMIP5-related projects. Withe increasing interest on climate change, in 2009 the COdinated Regional Downscaling EXperiment(CORDEX) has been launched to generate regional and local level information on climate change. The National Institute of Meteorological Research(NIMR) under the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) has contributed to the IPCC AR4 by developing climate change scenarios based on IPCC SRES using ECHO-G and embarked on crafting national scenarios for climate change as well as RCP-based global ones by engaging in international projects such as CMIP5 and CORDEX. NIMR/KMA will make a contribution to drawing the IPCC AR5 and will develop national climate change scenarios reflecting geographical factors, local climate characteristics and user needs and provide them to national IAV and IAM communites to assess future regional climate impacts and take action.