• Title/Summary/Keyword: correctness of estimation

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Lifetime estimation of a covered overhead line conductor

  • Leskinen, Tapio;Kantola, Kari
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.307-324
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    • 2003
  • The paper presents results of studies concerning wind-induced aeolian vibration and fatigue of a 110 kV covered conductor overhead line. Self-damping measurement techniques are discussed: power method is found to be the most reliable technique. A method for compensating tension variations during the self-damping test is presented. Generally used empirical self-damping power models are enhanced and the different models are compared with each other. The Energy Balance Analysis (EBR) is used to calculate the aeolian vibration amplitudes, which thereafter are converted to bending stress for the calculation of conductor lifetime estimate. The results of EBA are compared with field measurements, Results indicate that adequate lifetime estimates are produced by EBA as well as field measurements. Generally the EBA gives more conservative lifetime expectancy. This is believed to result from the additional damping existing in true suspension structures not taken into account by EBA. Finally, the correctness of the line design is verified using Cigre's safe design tension approach.

Comparison of confidence intervals for testing probabilities of a system (시스템의 확률 값 시험을 위한 신뢰구간 비교 분석)

  • Hwang, Ik-Soon
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.5 no.5
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    • pp.435-443
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    • 2010
  • When testing systems that incorporate probabilistic behavior, it is necessary to apply test inputs a number of times in order to give a test verdict. Interval estimation can be used to assert the correctness of probabilities where the selection of confidence interval is one of the important issues for quality of testing. The Wald interval has been widely accepted for interval estimation. In this paper, we compare the Wald interval and the Agresti-Coull interval for various sizes of samples. The comparison is carried out based on the test pass probability of correct implementations and the test fail probability of incorrect implementations when these confidence intervals are used for probability testing. We consider two-sided confidence intervals to check if the probability is close to a given value. Also one-sided confidence intervals are considered in the comparison in order to check if the probability is not less than a given value. When testing probabilities using two-sided confidence intervals, we recommend the Agresti-Coull interval. For one-sided confidence intervals, the Agresti-Coull interval is recommended when the size of samples is large while either one of two confidence intervals can be used for small size samples.

A Study on the Target Values Fixing of Green Vehicle Emissions in Consideration of In-use Deterioration (운행차 열화특성을 고려한 제작차 배출가스 목표치 설정에 관한 연구)

  • 김현우
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.104-110
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    • 2003
  • As exhaust emission standards are more stringent, higher conversion efficiency of automotive catalytic converter is required. In addition, catalytic converter is deteriorated during mileage accumulation of vehicle. Therefore the specification of catalytic converter should be decided in consideration of emission standards and deterioration. Because the decision of the specification of catalytic converter is required at the beginning of vehicle development procedure, it is important and necessary to fix the target values of green vehicle exhaust emissions. To do this, a linear regression analysis was done with in-use exhaust emissions data of 5 different kinds of vehicle that received US94 emission standards certification, and data handling methods including some statistical estimation were proposed. As a result, the fixed target values of NMHC, CO, NOx of green vehicle against US94 emission standards were 0.079, 0.83, 0.116, respectively. And expected in-use deterioration factor of NMHC, CO, NOx were 1.75, 2.02, 1.38, respectively. And also it was blown that even if failure rate is 30% after 80,000km driven, it might be sufficiently safe from emission failure confirmatory test of Korea. It is hopeful to make a database of in-use emissions to increase the confidence in correctness of the calculated target values.

Development of a Computer Software System for Improving Chick Breeder (우량종계 육종을 위한 컴퓨터 소프트웨어 시스템 개발에 관한 연구)

  • 최연호;조상문;장종준
    • Korean Journal of Poultry Science
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.15-31
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    • 1995
  • This study was carried out to develop a computer software system for poultry breeding by using microcomputer(PC). Through this study, SPPB(Statistical Package for Poultry Breeding) was designed and developed, which can help poultry breeder collect and analyse the chick records. A main feature of the system was the application of user-oriented procedure, for example, choice of the flock file, selection of the family size and the desired traits. Creation of the data files and the breeding files. calculation of the elementary statistics, estimation of the heritability and the genetic and phenotypic correlation coefficients can be obtained by user's choice of the sire and dam family size. Also, it is possible to estimate the various selection indices through this system. Easiness of using this system and the flexibility of the file management could help increasing the efficiency of related practical poultry breeding jobs. Correctness and relationships between the unit programs in the system were proved through the run-test of the SPPB using sample data. Because it wasn't able to collect breeding records at the commercial breeding farm, effectiveness of the system was not proved totally. Also. it will be necessary to develop the integrated software system which make possible to computerize the general works at breeding farm and the genetic analyses of the records from chick breeders.

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Land Suitability Analysis using GIS and Satellite Imagery

  • Yoo, Hwan-Hee;Kim, Seong-Sam;Ochirbae, Sukhee;Cho, Eun-Rae;Park, Hong-Gi
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.25 no.6_1
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    • pp.499-505
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    • 2007
  • A method of improving the correctness and confidence in land use classification as well as urban spatial structure analysis of local governments using GIS and satellite imagery is suggested. This study also compares and analyzes LSAS (Land Suitability Assessment System) results using two approaches-LSAS with priority classification, and LSAS using standard estimation factors without priority classification. The conclusions that can be drawn from this study are as follows. First, a method of maintaining up-to-date local government data by updating the LSAS database using high-resolution satellite imagery is suggested. Second, to formulate a scientific and reasonable land use plan from the viewpoint of territory development and urban management, a method of simultaneously processing the two described approaches is suggested. Finally, LSAS was constructed by using varieties of land information such as the cadastral map, the digital topographic map, varieties of thematic maps, and official land price data, and expects to utilize urban management plan establishment widely and effectively through regular data updating and problem resolution of data accuracy.

The 3 Dimensional Triangulation Scheme based on the Space Segmentation in WPAN

  • Lee, Dong Myung;Lee, Ho Chul
    • Journal of Engineering Education Research
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.93-97
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    • 2012
  • Most of ubiquitous computing devices such as stereo camera, ultrasonic sensor based MIT cricket system and other wireless sensor network devices are widely applied to the 2 Dimensional(2D) localization system in today. Because stereo camera cannot estimate the optimal location between moving node and beacon node in Wireless Personal Area Network(WPAN) under Non Line Of Sight(NLOS) environment, it is a great weakness point to the design of the 2D localization system in indoor environment. But the conventional 2D triangulation scheme that is adapted to the MIT cricket system cannot estimate the 3 Dimensional(3D) coordinate values for estimation of the optimal location of the moving node generally. Therefore, the 3D triangulation scheme based on the space segmentation in WPAN is suggested in this paper. The measuring data in the suggested scheme by computer simulation is compared with that of the geographic measuring data in the AutoCAD software system. The average error of coordinates values(x,y,z) of the moving node is calculated to 0.008m by the suggested scheme. From the results, it can be seen that the location correctness of the suggested scheme is very excellent for using the localization system in WPAN.

A Novel Space Vector modulation Scheme and Direct Torque Control for Four-switch BLDCM Using Flux Observer

  • Pan, Lei;Wang, Beibei;Su, Gang;Cheng, Baohua;Peng, Guili
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.251-260
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    • 2015
  • The main purpose of this paper is to describe a DTC (direct torque control) method for four-switch brushless dc motor (BLDCM) drive. In the method, a novel voltage space vector modulation scheme, an optimal switching table, and a flux observation method are proposed. Eight voltage vectors are summarized, which are selected to control BLDCM in SVPWM pattern, and an optimal switching table is proposed to improve the torque distortion caused by midpoint current of the split capacitors. Unlike conventional flux observers, this observer does not require speed adaptation and is not susceptible to speed estimation errors, especially, at low speed. Global asymptotic stability of the flux observer is guaranteed by the Lyapunov stability analysis. DC-offset effects are mitigated by introducing a PI component in the observer gains. This method alleviates the undesired current and torque distortion which is caused by uncontrollable phase. The correctness and feasibility of the method are proved by simulation and experimental results.

Design and Implementation of Network Defense Simulator (네트워크 방어 시뮬레이터 설계 및 구현)

  • 이철원;윤주범;임을규
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.29 no.4C
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    • pp.441-447
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    • 2004
  • Information security simulator is required for the study on the cyber intrusion and defense as information security has been increasingly popular Until now, the main purposes of information security simulation are security estimation of small network as well as performance analysis of information protection systems. However, network simulators that can simulate attacks in a huge network are in needs since large scale internet attacks are very common in these days. In this paper we proposed a simulator design and its implementation details. Our simulator is implemented by expanding the SSFNet program to the client-sewer architecture. A cyber attack scenario used in our simulator is composed by the advanced attack tree model. We analyzed the simulation results to show the correctness of our network defense simulator.

Design and Implementation of Intelligent Web Search Agent using Case Based Reasoning (사례기반 추론을 이용한 지능형 웹 검색 에이전트의 설계 및 구현)

  • 하창승;류길수
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.20-29
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    • 2003
  • According as quantity of information is augmented rapidly in World Wide Web, users are investing more times finding correct information to on. Search function that a search agent is personalized according to user's preference degree or search objective to solve these problem should be offered. Therefore, a search agent accumulates experienced knowledge connected with user's past search in this research. When new query was given, search agent offered learning function of intelligence that decides category group through estimation method of similarity using this knowledge. So this paper showed that case based search can bring superior result in the correctness rate than other search method.

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Study on Pressure Variation around an Open Cavity (공동 주위에서의 압력 변화에 대한 연구)

  • 허대녕;이덕주
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.843-846
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    • 2004
  • Cavity tone is generated due to the feedback between flow and acoustic wave. It is recognized that the period is determined by the time required for the flow convection in one direction, the time required for the acoustic propagation in the other direction and the time for phase shift depending on the flows and mode. Most of the phenomena have been investigated by experiments and a simple but fundamental theory. But the cause of the phase shift and the correctness of the theory have not been clearly explained so far. In this paper, the phenomena are calculated numerically to obtain detail information of flow and acoustic wave to explain the mechanism including the phase. High order high resolution scheme of optimized high order compact is used to resolve the small acoustic quantities and large flow quantities at the same time. The data are reduced using cross correlation function in space and time and cross spectral density function which has phase information. Abrupt change in pressure near corner in cavity is observed and is relate to phase variation. The time required for the feedback between the flow and acoustic wave is calculated after the numerical simulation f3r various modes. The periods based on the time calculated using the above method and direct observation from the acoustic waves generated and propagated in the numerical simulation are compared. It is found that no phase shift is required if we examine the time required carefully. Rossiter's formula for the cavity tone used for quick estimation needs to be modified far some modes.

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