• 제목/요약/키워드: contingency table

검색결과 118건 처리시간 0.026초

무응답을 가지고 있는 범주형 자료에 대한 모형 선택 방법 (Model selection method for categorical data with non-response)

  • 윤용화;최보승
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.627-641
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구는 다차원 분할표 형태로 정리된 범주형 자료가 결측치나 무응답을 가지고 있을 때 주어진 자료를 가장 잘 설명하고 예측의 정확도를 높일 수 있는 모형의 추정과 모형의 선택 문제를 다루었다. 무시할 수 없는 무응답 (non-ignorable non-response)체계하에서 최대우도 추정에서 발생할 수 있는 변방값 문제를 해결하기 위하여 계층적 베이지안 모형을 고려하였다. 또한 모형 적도를 높이기 위한 변수 조합을 찾는 모형 선택의 문제를 함께 다루었다. 베이지안 접근하에서 모형 선택의 문제를 다루기 위하여 베이즈 인자 (Bayes factor)를 모형 선택의 기준으로 이용하였다. 제시된 방법은 2004년 실시된 우리나라 국회의원 선거를 앞두고 수행된 여론조사 데이터를 이용하여 실증분석을 수행하였다. 분석결과 무시할 수 없는 무응답 체계하에서 설명변수로 투표참여여부를 이용하는 것이 가장 적합한 모형으로 판명되었다.

Beyond the clinical walls: registered dietitian nutritionists providing medical nutrition therapy in the home setting

  • Hicks-Roof, Kristen;Xu, Jing;Fults, Amanda K.;Latortue, Krista Yoder
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • 제15권6호
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    • pp.789-797
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    • 2021
  • BACKGROUD/OBJECTIVES: Registered dietitian nutritionists (RDN) are providers of medical nutrition therapy (MNT) to address health and chronic disease. Traditionally, RDNs have provided care in healthcare facilities including hospitals and private care facilities. The purpose of this study was to determine how RDN individualized MNT in the home impacted nutrition, physical activity, and food security. SUBJECTS/METHODS: This is a secondary data analysis. The mean age of the participants (n = 1,007) was 51.6 years old with a mean body mass index (BMI) of 34.1 kg/m2. Individualized MNT visits were delivered by an RDN in the home setting from January to December 2019. Participants were referred by healthcare professionals or self-referred. Participants had MNT benefits covered by their health insurance plan (43.3% Medicaid; 39.8% private insurance; 7.9% Medicare, 9% other). Health outcomes related to nutrition care were measured. Outcomes included self-reported consumption of nutrition factors and physical activity. Our secondary outcome focused on food security. The changes in weight, BMI, physical activity, and nutrition factors were analyzed by a linear regression model or linear mixed model, adjusting for age, sex, baseline value, and number of appointments. Food security was summarized in a 2 by 2 contingency table. RESULTS: Baseline values had significantly negative impacts for all changes and number of appointments was significant in the changes for weight and BMI. Increases in physical activity were significant for both female and male participants, 10.4 and 12.6 minutes per day, respectively, while the changes in weight and BMI were not. Regarding dietary factors, the consumption total servings per day of vegetables (0.13) and water (3.35) significantly increased, while the consumption of total servings of whole grain (-0.27), fruit (-0.32), dairy (-0.80) and fish (-0.81) significantly decreased. About 24% (of overall population) and 45% (of Medicaid population) reported improvements in food security. CONCLUSIONS: This study found that home visits were a useful setting for MNT delivered by RDNs. There is a strong need for individualized counseling to meet the participants' needs and personal goals.

PNU CGCM 앙상블 예보 시스템의 겨울철 남한 기온 예측 성능 평가 (Evaluation of PNU CGCM Ensemble Forecast System for Boreal Winter Temperature over South Korea)

  • 안중배;이준리;조세라
    • 대기
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.509-520
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    • 2018
  • The performance of the newly designed Pusan National University Coupled General Circulation Model (PNU CGCM) Ensemble Forecast System which produce 40 ensemble members for 12-month lead prediction is evaluated and analyzed in terms of boreal winter temperature over South Korea (S. Korea). The influence of ensemble size on prediction skill is examined with 40 ensemble members and the result shows that spreads of predictability are larger when the size of ensemble member is smaller. Moreover, it is suggested that more than 20 ensemble members are required for better prediction of statistically significant inter-annual variability of wintertime temperature over S. Korea. As for the ensemble average (ENS), it shows superior forecast skill compared to each ensemble member and has significant temporal correlation with Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) temperature at 99% confidence level. In addition to forecast skill for inter-annual variability of wintertime temperature over S. Korea, winter climatology around East Asia and synoptic characteristics of warm (above normal) and cold (below normal) winters are reasonably captured by PNU CGCM. For the categorical forecast with $3{\times}3$ contingency table, the deterministic forecast generally shows better performance than probabilistic forecast except for warm winter (hit rate of probabilistic forecast: 71%). It is also found that, in case of concentrated distribution of 40 ensemble members to one category out of the three, the probabilistic forecast tends to have relatively high predictability. Meanwhile, in the case when the ensemble members distribute evenly throughout the categories, the predictability becomes lower in the probabilistic forecast.

Sex-related demographics in two remnant populations of a dioecious tree Ilex cornuta (Aquifoliaceae): implications for conservation

  • Shin, Sookyung;Lee, Hakbong;Lee, Jei-Wan;Kang, Hyesoon
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제43권3호
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    • pp.320-331
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    • 2019
  • Background: Dioecious plant species having both male and female plants have been investigated regarding sex-related characteristics such as sex ratio, sex-differential resource requirements, and spatial segregation of the sexes. Habitat loss and fragmentation are major threats to the survival of plant populations, but dioecious species are particularly more prone to such habitat degradation than non-dioecious species because of their dimorphic sexual system. We examined the sex-related demographics of two Ilex cornuta populations being different regarding land use history. Methods: During 2016-2017, we examined I. cornuta trees with a basal diameter ${\geq}1.5cm$ in the Yongsu-ri population (YS population) and the Gotjawal Provincial Park population (GP population). Plant sex (male, female, or unsexed) was identified. The tree size (basal diameter and height of the main stem), clonal production (the ramet numbers per genet), and vitality for each clone were measured. The associations between population, sex, tree size, clonal production, and vitality were examined using ANOVAs and contingency table analyses. Finally, point pattern analyses using O-ring statistics were conducted to assess spatial patterns. Results: Upon excluding unsexed trees, the YS population with 74 trees was significantly male-biased (0.66), while the GP population with only 26 trees had a 1:1 sex ratio. In both populations, males and females did not differ in tree size. Although the mean number of ramets differed significantly between populations, females tended to produce more ramets than males. The proportion of weak trees was significantly higher in the YS than in the GP population. Neither population showed evidence of spatial segregation of the sexes. Conclusions: The two populations of dioecious I. cornuta are characterized by the small number of trees and relatively high frequencies of non-reproductive trees. Both indicate that these populations are quite susceptible to environmental and genetic stochasticity. On the other hand, the differences between populations in sex ratio, clonal production, and vitality suggest that conservation efforts for I. cornuta need to be population-specific. In order to help recover and enable this vulnerable species to persist, it is necessary to find ways to enhance their sexual reproduction and simultaneously reduce habitat disturbances due to anthropogenic activities.

코로나 홀을 이용한 CIR과 지자기 폭풍의 경험적 예보 연구 (Empirical Forecast of Corotating Interacting Regions and Geomagnetic Storms Based on Coronal Hole Information)

  • 이지혜;문용재;최윤희;유계화
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.305-316
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    • 2009
  • 이 연구에서 우리는 코로나 홀(Coronal hole, CH)의 정보(위치, 면적)를 이용하여 CIR(Corotating Interaction Regions)과 지자기폭퐁(Geomagnetic Storm)에 대한 경험적인 예보를 수행하였다. 이것을 위해 1996년 1월 $\sim$ 2003년 11월까지의 미국 국립 천문대-Kitt Peak 관측소의 He I $1083{\AA}$ 영상으로부터 코로나 홀 자료를 얻고, Choi et al.(2009)로부터 확인된 CIR과 지자기폭풍 자료를 활용하였다. 지자기 폭풍을 일으키는 코로나 홀의 특성을 고려하여 코로나 홀의 중심이 $N40^{\circ}$$S40^{\circ}$ 사이, $E40^{\circ}$$W20^{\circ}$ 사이에 위치하고 태양 반구에 대한 면적 비율이 다음과 같은 세 가지 경우를 선택하였다: (1) case 1: 0.36% 이상, (2) case 2: 0.66% 이상, (3) case 3: $1996{\sim}2000$년 동안에는 0.36%, $2001{\sim}2003$년 동안에는 0.66% 이상. 우리는 각 경우에 대하여 예보의 성공 유무를 확인할 수 있는 예보 분할표(Contingency Table)를 만들고, 그들의 태양 주기 위상(Solar cycle phase)에 대한 의존성을 조사하였다 분할표로부터 우리는 PODy(the probability of detection yes), FAR(the false alarm ratio), Bias(the ratio of "yes" predictions to "yes" observations) 그리고 CSI(critical success index)와 같은 예보 평가 지수를 결정하였다. 이와 같은 예보에서 PODy와 CSI가 상대적으로 더 중요한 사실을 고려하여, 우리는 가장 좋은 후보가 case 3이라는 것을 발견하였다. 이 경우에 두 가지 예보에 대한 예보평가 지수는 아래와 같다: CH-CIR의 경우는 PODy=0.77, FAR=0.66, Bias=2.28, CSI=0.30이고, CH-storm의 경우는 PODy=0.81, FAR=0.84, Bias=5.00, CSI=0.16이다. 또한 태양 활동 극대기 이후 감쇄기간 동안의 지수들이 태양 극대기 이전의 값들 보다 훨씬 잘 예보되고 있음을 알 수 있다. 따라서 코로나 홀을 이용한 CIR의 예보는 충분한 가능성을 보여주고 있으나, 지자기 폭풍의 예보는 너무 많은 허위 예보로 인하여 다소 어려울 것으로 비상된다.

보철 치료 시 디지털 및 전통적 인상채득에 대한 환자 만족도 비교 연구 (Comparison of patient satisfaction with digital and conventional impression for prosthodontic treatment)

  • 윤형인;이수민;박은진
    • 대한치과보철학회지
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    • 제54권4호
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    • pp.379-386
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    • 2016
  • 목적: 본 연구에서는 전통적 인상채득과 디지털 인상채득을 모두 경험한 환자들의 만족도를 조사하여 다양한 항목에 대하여 비교 분석하고자 하였다. 재료 및 방법: 구강 내 디지털 인상채득의 방법을 사용하는 5개의 치과병원에서, 보철 치료를 위해 기존의 인상재를 이용한 방법과 디지털 인상채득을 모두 경험한 만 20세 이상의 성인 환자 170명을 대상으로, 2015년 10월부터 2016년 4월까지 설문조사를 실시하였다. 총128부의 설문지를 분석 자료로 이용하였으며, 빈도분석, 다중응답 빈도분석, 기술통계, 비모수 검정, 교차 분석을 시행하였고, 유의수준은 0.05로 설정하였다. 결과: 디지털 인상채득의 이유는 '임플란트치료'(43.8%), '크라운치료'(30.5%), '인레이치료'(15.6%) 순서로 나타났다. 전통적 인상채득의 평균 만족도보다 디지털 인상채득의 평균 만족도가 유의하게 더 높았다 (P<.05). 재선택하고 싶은 인상채득 방법으로는 전통적 인상채득(11.7%) 보다 디지털 인상채득(60.2%)이 더 높게 나타났다. 디지털 인상채득을 재선택한 이유로는 '구토반사가 없어서'(35.1%), '3D디지털 스캔이라 신뢰가 가서'(33.8%), '시간이짧아서'(33.8%) 순으로 나타났다. 결론: 환자 만족도 및 다시 선택하고 싶은 인상채득의 방법으로 전통적 인상채득 보다 디지털 인상채득의 선택이 더 높게 나타났다.

옴니채널의 지각된 편리성과 유용성이 옴니채널 사용과 소비자-브랜드 관계에 미치는 영향 (Omnichannel's Perception Effect on Omnichannel Use and Customer-Brand Relationship)

  • 임덕순;한상설
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제14권7호
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - This study focuses on new type distribution channel that named as Omnichannel. Omnichannel is developed from Multichannel which is used in many distribution channels to buy or selling goods. Omnichannel basically needs an Information and Communications Technologies(ICT) to use, so researcher conduct a Technology Acceptance Model(TAM) to research model. Customer-brand relationship was used as dependent variable to focus on the role of Omnichannel. Research design, data, and methodology - The subject of this study is customer who purchase goods or service through omnichannel. Based on the literature from the preceding research analysis of TAM and customer-brand relationship, this study was constructed by the reference to previous studies, final research model design for figure out casual relationship among perceived ease of use, perceived usefulness, omnichannel use and customer-brand relationship. From 2016 February 3 to March 17, questionnaire survey targeted customers who use online and offline channels. 273 questionnaire survey had conducted, then, 252 survey data were available for empirical analysis. Researcher provide descriptive statistics for checking generality. Cronbach's alpha value was used to check the reliability of data. Exploratory factor analysis was used for purification of values and eigenvalue checking. After EFA, Confirmatory factor analysis was used to prepare structural equation modeling with executing structural equation modeling for confirming hypothesis which developed by researcher. Results - The main results of this empirical study are as follows. First, omnichannel's perceived ease of use has positive significant effect on perceived usefulness(estimate: 0.579). Moreover, omnichannel's perceived ease of use and perceived usefulness has positive significant effect on omnichannel use(estimate: 0.325,0.648). Second, using omnichannel has positive significant effect on brand-customer relationship(estimate: 0.521). Every hypothesis adopted as researcher designed. This study found out the intermediate relationship between perceived ease of use and omnichannel use by investigating hypothesis. Conclusions - Base on the empirical result, this study confirmed that TAM theory perceived has relation with omnichannel. First, factors of TAM has positive effect on omnichannel use, so it highlights the important role of customer based interface and usefulness. Especially, perceived usefulness has high indirect influence on ease of use and use of omnichannel. It seems that when customers try to decide use or not use omnichannel, customers focus on percept benefits from omnichannel. Thus, a provider should applicate attractive price table, accurate product or service information and high switching cost strategy to emphasize the usefulness of omnichannel. Second, using omnichannel enhances the relationship between customers and brand, because there are more time and frequency to serve customers. It is important because good relationship between customers can increase the future's financial performance through word of mouse, positive brand image and loyalty to brand or company. Finally, despite of empirical result and implications, this study has limitations. First, there are only a few previous studies about omnicahnnel, so literature reviews are restricted. While set up the factors which can affect the use of omnichannel, next study should be considered with broader theories or models(ex: contingency theory). Second, omnichannel has developed from multichannel, so comparative analysis is needed between these methods because there is a possibility about different forte character of each distribution system on customer's consuming patterns.

정보 분석 및 활용 측면에서의 중학교 2학년 확률 단원 분석 (An Analysis of the Probability Unit in the Middle School Textbook 8-B in the Aspect of Information Analysis and Utilization)

  • 이영하;권세림
    • 대한수학교육학회지:학교수학
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.389-413
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    • 2009
  • 이 논문은 7차 교육과정 중 중학교 2학년 확률 단원의 지도 목표를 정보 분석 및 활용 능력의 신장이라 가정하고, 교과서 구성에 이러한 관점이 반영되어 있는지를 살펴본 연구이다. 연구 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 가능한 모든 경우를 나열해 보는 것을 강조하고, 조직적으로 나열해 보는 경험을 통하여 경우의 수를 구하는 공식을 도출해낼 수 있어야 할 것이다. 둘째, 사건의 발생 빈도인 상대도수를 통하여 경험 중심으로 확률 개념을 지도하면서, 다양한 분포자료로부터 확률을 계산할 수 있도록 하는 것이 요구된다. 셋째, 고등학교 과정보다 조금 더 직관적인 예를 이용하여 영향을 주는 사건에 대한 명확한 인식이 가능하도록 지도하는 것이 필요하다. 넷째, 가능성의 원리를 인식하여 가능성의 크기를 생각할 수 있도록 하고, 확률의 비추이성을 지도하는 것이 적절해 보인다. 다섯째, 학생들이 확률 단원을 학습함으로써 어떠한 행동의 변화를 기대할 수 있는지에 대한 목표를 좀 더 부각시키는 것을 제안한다.

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농촌지역 주민의 고혈압 치료순응도와 관련요인 (Therapeutic Compliance and Its Related Factors of Patients with Hypertension in Rural Area)

  • 이상원;천병렬;예민해;강윤식;김건엽;이영숙;박기수;손재희;오희숙;안문영;임부돌;감신
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.215-225
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    • 2000
  • Objective : The purpose of this study was to examine the therapeutic compliance and its related factors in the rural hypertensives. Method : A questionnaire survey and blood pressure measurement were performed to 3,876 residents of a rural area, and 660 hypertensives were selected as subjects of study. The study employed a hypothetical model which was composed of constructs from the health belief model and KAP model. The analysis techniques employed included contingency table analysis and structural equation modeling. Result : The proportion of those who were compliant to the treatment of hypertension was 44.2% of subjects. As the result of structural equation modeling, when patients had more favorable attitude toward treatment, higher perceived benefit, or lower perceived barriers to treatment, the therapeutic compliance was significantly higher(T>2.0). When patients had more knowledge about hypertension, or higher perceived severity of hypertension, the attitude toward the treatment of hypertension was more favorable significantly(T>2.0). And when patients had the support for treatment from family or neighbor, the attitude toward treatment was more favorable(T>2.0). When patients had experience of health education, they had more knowledge, higher perceived susceptibility of complication, perceived severity for hypertension, and perceived benefit of treatment, compare to patients without health education(T>2.0). Conclusion : In consideration of above findings, in order to improve the therapeutic compliance in the rural hypertensives, it would be necessary to change attitude, perception, knowledge about hypertension and its treatment, by various methods such as effective health education and programs for maintaining the supportive environment for hypertension treatment.

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참다래 잎에서의 궤양병 감염 위험도 모형 (A Forecast Model for Estimating the Infection Risk of Bacterial Canker on Kiwifruit Leaves in Korea)

  • 도기석;정봉남;좌재호
    • 식물병연구
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.168-177
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    • 2016
  • 한국에서 발생하는 참다래 잎에서의 궤양병의 감염위험도를 예측하는 모형을 Magarey 등(2005)의 일반 감염 모형식을 이용하여 개발하였다. 이 연구를 통해 개발한 모형과 뉴질랜드에서 개발된 KVH PSA-V 모형을 2015년 서귀포시 남원읍의 녹색참다래 헤이워드 품종 재배 과원과 표선면과 성산읍 신산리의 황색 참다래 Hort16A 품종 재배 과원들에서 수집된 기상 조사 자료와 병조사 자료를 사용하여 분할표 분석을 통해 평가하였다. 자체 개발한 모형과 뉴질랜드에서 개발한 KVH PSA-V 모형, 감염 판단기준을 31로 조정한 KVH PSA-V 모형들은 실제 병이 일어났을 경우에 감염이 일어났다고 경고하는 비율인 probability of detection값이 모두 80% 이상으로 한국의 참다래 궤양병 방제 의사 결정지원용으로 사용하기에는 충분하였다. 모형이 일어나는 현상을 정확히 예측하는 지표인 proportion of correct는 이 연구를 통해 개발된 감염 위험 예측 모형이 가장 높은 51.1%를 나타내고 실제병이 일어났을 경우에 감염이 일어났다고 경고하는 비율인 probability of detection과 모형의 경고에 따라 방제를 결정하였을 때에 효율성 지표인 critical success index도 각각 가장 높은 수치인 90.9%와 47.6%를 나타내어 한국에서 발생하는 참다래 궤양에 대해서는 KVH PSA-V 모형보다 더 우수한 모형으로 판단되었다. 이 연구를 통해 새로 개발된 모형은 한국의 참다래 재배자들의 궤양병 방제를 위한 의사결정에 도움을 주어 궤양병으로 인한 피해를 줄이는 데에 도움이 될 것이다.