• Title/Summary/Keyword: coefficients estimates

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Do the Futures and Spot Markets Respond Differently to the News? : An Empirical Study of KOSPI200 Futures Market (선물 및 현물시장은 뉴스에 대해 동일하게 반응하는가? : 코스피200 선물시장에 대한 실증적 연구)

  • Cho, Dam
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.85-107
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    • 2006
  • This paper investigates whether the futures market responds to the news more sensitively and uses more diverse information than the spot market. The sensitivity to the news is measured by the coefficients of the model which regresses the daily changes in the futures prices to the daily changes in the theoretical prices computed from spot prices using the spot-futures parity. The diversity of news is measured by the mean range differences ($\overline{RD}$), mean hi-price differences($\overline{HD}$) and mean low-price differences. The data in this paper is the closing prices of the nearest-to-maturity and the second-nearest-to-maturity contracts of the KOSPI 200 index futures. As the estimates of the relative sensitivity of the futures prices($^{\beta}$) for the whole-period sample are not significantly different from 1, the sensitivity of two markets to the news are not different. However, $\hat{\beta}$ of the most recent period(Nov. 2002 to Dec. 2005) are strongly different from 1. And, in the most recent period, the futures price changes for the good news, which is defined as the price increase of KOSPI of more than 1.5% in a day, show additional sensitivity. Since the mean range different which measures the relative diversity of information used, are not significantly different from 0 for the whole-period and subperiod samples, and this can be interpreted that the futures market does not use more diverse information than the spot market. However, the mean high-price difference, which measures the relative diversity of good news, are significantly different from 0 for the nearest-maturity contracts in the whole-period and subperiod samples. This evidence supports that the futures prices reflects more diverse good news which brings price increase in the market.

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Within- and Between-Individual Variation in Nutrient Intakes with Day of the Week and Season in Korean Adults (계절별, 요일별로 측정한 성인 남녀의 영양소 섭취량에서의 개인간 변이와 개인내 변이)

  • Kwon Eun Sil;Ahn YounJhin;Shim Jae Eun;Paik HeeYoung;Park Chan;Kimm Kuchan;Ju Young Su;Kim Dong Hyun
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • v.37 no.10
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    • pp.917-927
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    • 2004
  • This study was performed to examine component of variance in nutrient intakes and to estimate the level of accuracy with varying degree of precision in order to achieve estimates of usual nutrient intakes. Three-day dietary records including both weekdays and weekends were collected every 4 season over a I-year period from 36 males and 93 females aged 40 - 65 y. For each nutrient, we partitioned total intake variance into weekly (weekday vs weekend), seasonal, within- and between- individual variation as components of variance, using analysis of variance. It was found that major components of variance were within- and between-individual variation. Particularly, within-individual variation (57.2 - 87.1 %) was greater than between-individual variation (12.2 - 37.4%) for all nutrients. Weekly and seasonal variation contributed small components of variance for most nutrients. For protein, fat and carbohydrate, there were a little significant weekly variation (0.00 - 1.35%) in females but not in males. For some micronutrients, there were moderately significant seasonal variation (0.15 - 5.48%) in both sexes. Ratio of within- to between- individual variation ranged 1.4 (vitamin B$_2$) -4.5 (vitamin B$_1$) in males and 1.6 (carbohydrate) -2.9 (fat) in females. With total 12-day dietary records data, the maximum percentage deviation of observed intakes from usual (true) intakes ranged 12-37%. To estimate usual individual intakes within 20% of the true mean with 90% confidence level, 3 - 9 days of dietary survey were required for energy, protein, carbohydrate, phosphorus and iron, 13 - 19 days for fat and calcium, 25 - 29 days for vitamin A and vitamin C. Correlation coefficients between observed and true nutrient intakes were 0.71 - 0.91 for males, 0.81-0.91 for females. In conclusion, mean intakes of several nutrients can be reliably measured with the record method, using a limited number of days. Both nutrients of interest and the primary objectives should be taken account when planning method of assessment and number of replicates.

A study on simulation modeling of the underground space environment-focused on storage space for radioactive wastes (지하공간 환경예측 시뮬레이션 개발 연구-핵 폐기물 저장공간 중심으로)

  • 이창우
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.306-314
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    • 1999
  • In underground spaces including nuclear waste repository, prediction of air quantity, temperature/humidity and pollutant concentration is utmost important for space construction and management during the normal state as well as for determining the measures in emergency cases such as underground fires. This study aims at developing a model for underground space environment which has capabilities to take into account the effects of autocompression for the natural ventilation head calculation, to find the optimal location and size of fans and regulators, to predict the temperature and humidity by calculating the convective heat transfer coefficient and the sensible and latent heat transfer rates, and to estimate the pollutant levels throughout the network. The temperature/humidity prediction model was applied to a military storage underground space and the relative differences of dry and wet temperatures were 1.5 ~ 2.9% and 0.6 ~ 6.1%, respectively. The convection-based pollutant transport model was applied to two different vehicle tunnels. Coefficients of turbulent diffusion due to the atmospheric turbulence were found to be 9.78 and 17.35$m^2$/s, but measurements of smoke and CO concentrations in a tunnel with high traffic density and under operation of ventilation equipment showed relative differences of 5.88 and 6.62% compared with estimates from the convection-based model. These findings indicate convection is the governing mechanism for pollutant diffusion in most of the tunnel-type spaces.

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Studies on the characteristics of recommended soybean varieties in Korea -II. Estimates of their phenotypic and geotypic correlations and heritabilities of some traits measured (한국의 대두장려품종의 특성에 관한 연구 -II. 파종시기별로 본 실용형질간의 표현형상관 및 유전상관과 유전력)

  • M.h., Huh
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.2
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    • pp.39-45
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    • 1964
  • The phenotypic and genotypic correlations and heritabitities were calculated on 10 characters measured, using 10 native and 10 of introduced soybean varieties planted on 7 times with 15 days interval from April 15th. The genotypic correlations associated with grain yield were partitioned in to direct and indirect effects through the path coefficient analysis. The results are summarized as follows; 1. Generally high associations between characters were found, with high genotypic correlations than phenotypic, due to, probably, the fact that non segregating fixed varieties were used, and that the environmental effects were not elliminated appropreately here. Neverthless, the relative degree of association could be estimated. 2. The degree of associations of characters were different according the planting time, requiring the considerations on the specific characteristics depending on the specific planting time. 3. The introduced varieties were different with native ones in many respects, especially on the associations with stem length, stem diameter and seed weight. Here, the degree and the directions of the associations in the introduced ones were some peculier. 4. The less significant differences of characters between native varieties caused the heritability of native lower than that of introduced except the heritability of days from blooming to mature and seed weight. 5. The genetic associations of characters, measured, with grain yield were partitioned in to direct and indirect effects, calculating path coefficients. The days to bloom, stem length and stem diameter were most significantly affected the grain yield in the 5th planting of native ones.

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Consumers' Subjective Risk Perceptions of Tab Water and Stated Preferences for Safe Drinking Water (소비자들의 수돗물에 대한 주관적 위험인지와 안전한 음용수에 대한 진술선호 분석)

  • Eom, Young Sook
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.147-175
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    • 2006
  • This paper attempts to incorporate three important factors-perceptions, behavior and valuation-in analysing consumers' responses to health risks from environmental pollutants. Using a survey sample of 500 consumers in the Chonbuk province area, this paper empirically investigated determinants of risk perceptions from using tap water as drinking water. Most consumers were considerably concerned about health risks from drinking tap water. Moreover, those subjective concerns were not random, but were systematically related to individuals' demographic variables such as age, gender, and family size. Those subjective beliefs also influenced respondents' purchase intentions on safer water bottles, in response to a contingent behavior question of presenting two types of water bottles. The technical risk information provided in the survey had significant effects on purchase intentions only when it was interacted with respondents' actual averting practice. In addition, the sample selection effects were present by eliminating respondents who decided not to purchase either of two types of water bottles. The potential selection bias had impacts on the coefficients of the price difference variable, and subsequently the estimates of the price increments for health risk reductions.

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Effects of Areal Interpolation Methods on Environmental Equity Analysis (면내삽법이 환경적 형평성 분석에 미치는 영향)

  • Jun, Byong-Woon
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.736-751
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    • 2008
  • Although a growing number of studies have commonly used a simple areal weighting interpolation method to quantify demographic characteristics of impacted areas in environmental equity analysis, the results obtained are inevitably imprecise because of the method's unrealistic assumption that population is evenly distributed within a census enumeration unit. Two alternative areal interpolation methods such as intelligent areal weighting and regression methods can account for the distributional biases in the estimation of impacted populations by making use of additional information about the geographic distribution of population. This research explores five areal interpolation methods for estimating the population characteristics of impacted areas in environmental equity analysis and evaluates the sensitivity of the outcomes of environmental equity analysis to areal interpolation methods. This study used GIS techniques to allow areal interpolation to be informed by the distribution of land cover types, as inferred from a satellite image. in both the source and target units. Independent samples t-test statistics were measured to verify the environmental equity hypothesis while coefficients of variation were calculated to compare the relative variability and consistency in the socioeconomic characteristics of populations at risk over different areal interpolation methods. Results show that the outcomes of environmental equity analysis in the study area are not sensitive to the areal interpolation methods used in estimating affected populations, but the population estimates within the impacted areas are largely variable as different areal interpolation methods are used. This implies that the use of different areal interpolation methods may to some degree alter the statistical results of environmental equity analysis.

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Genetic Relationship Between Weaning Weight and Carcass Traits in Hanwoo (한우의 이유시 체중과 도체형질과의 유전적 관계)

  • Hwang, J.M.;Choi, J.G.;Kim, H.C.;Choy, Y.H.;Lee, C.;Yang, B.K.;Shin, J.S.;Kim, Jong-Bok
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.177-182
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    • 2007
  • The objective of this study was to evaluate the genetic relationship between weaning weight (WW) and carcass traits. Carcass traits were eye muscle area(EMA), back fat thickness(BFT), marbling score 1(MS1) in 21 grade scales, marbling score 2(MS2) in 7 grade scales and meat color scores(Mcolor). Parameters were estimated by REML procedure with MTDFREML package. Models included contemporary group as defined by the same year-season-sex at birth, linear covariates of age(days) at weaning, age of dam(days) and age at slaughter(days) as fixed effects and animal random effects for all the traits. Heritability estimates of WW, EMA, BFT, MS1, MS2 and Mcolor were 0.25, 0.20, 0.20, 0.32, 0.32 and 0.22, respectively. Genetic(phenotypic) correlation coefficients of WW with EMA, BFT, MS1, MS2 and Mcolor were 0.75(0.16), 0.18(0.05), -0.41(-0.09), -0.40(0.11) and -0.07(0.05), respectively. Results from this study suggest that single trait selection for weaning weight would lead to progeny population having carcass with large EMA, thick BFT and decreased MS.

Application of the Radar Rainfall Estimates Using the Hybrid Scan Reflectivity Technique to the Hydrologic Model (Hybrid Scan Reflectivity 기법을 이용한 레이더 강우량의 수문모형 적용)

  • Lee, Jae-Kyoung;Lee, Min-Ho;Suk, Mi-Kyung;Park, Hye-Sook
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.10
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    • pp.867-878
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    • 2014
  • Due to the nature of weather radar, blank areas occur due to impediments to observation, such as the ground clutter. Radar beam blockages have resulted in the underestimation rainfall amounts. To overcome these limitations, this study developed the Hybrid Scan Reflectivity (HSR) technique and compared the HSR results with existing methods. As a result, the HSR technique was able to estimate rainfalls in areas from which no reflectivity information was observable using existing methods. In case of estimating rainfalls depending on reflectivity scan techniques and beam-blockage/non beam-blockage, the HSR accuracy is superior. Furthermore, rainfall amounts derived from each method was inputted to the HEC-HMS to examine the accuracy of the flood simulations. The accuracy of the results using the HSR technique in contrast to the RAR calculation system and M-P relation was improved by 7% and 10%(based on correlation coefficients), and 18% and 34%(based on Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency), on average, respectively. Therefore, it is advised that the HSR technique be utilized in the hydrology field to estimate flood discharge more accurately.

Adjustment of heterogeneous variance by milk production level of dairy herd (젖소군의 유생산 수준별 이질성 분산 보정)

  • Cho, Kwang-Hyun;Lee, Joon-Ho;Park, Kyung-Do
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.737-743
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    • 2014
  • This experiment was conducted to compare heterogeneity for the variance in dairy cattle population and to induce homogeneity of variance using 502,228 performance test records of dairy cattle. The estimates of heritability for milk yields, fat yields and protein yields were 0.28, 0.26 and 0.24, respectively and the estimate of average breeding value by birth year was lower in HV (heterogenous variance) model than in animal model, collectively. The average breeding values of milk yields, fat yields and protein yields for 545 sire bulls applicable to the criteria of interbull MACE programme were 453.54kg, 10.75kg and 14.33kg, respectively and when the heterogeneity was adjusted they were 432.06kg, 10.15kg and 13.40kg, respectively, which were lower in all milk traits collectively. In animal model, coefficients of phenotypic correlation between dataset I and II were 0.839 in milk yields, 0.821 in fat yields, and 0.837 in protein yields, while in HV model, they were 0.841 in milk yields, 0.820 in fat yields, and 0.836 in protein yields, showing similar results in 2 models. When compared using animal model and HV model, the regression coefficient for ratio of number of daughters by calving year of milk yields increased from 15.157 to 16.105 and that of fat yields increased from =0.227 to =0.196, but that of protein yields decreased from 0.630 to 0.586.

A REVIEW OF SOME ASPECTS OF THE YELLOWFIN TUNA FISHERY IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN (대서양 황다랭이의 자원생물학적 연구)

  • CHOO Woo Il
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.37-47
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    • 1977
  • Korea started the Atlantic tuna fishery from 1964 by means of longline, then added bait-boats in 1972. Both fisheries have given the top priority to catch yellowfin tuna(Thunnus albacares). The paper reviews available catch, effort and biological data, estimates some population parameters in order to understand the status of the Atlantic yellowfin tuna as a whole. The main findings are summarized as follows: 1. The total of 476 million hook-equivalent fishing effort was thrown to catch yellowfin tuna in 1974, among which one thired was shared by longliners. 2. The dominant age group becomes younger in both surface and longline fisheries. 3. The recent mortality coefficients were calculated as 1.5 for total mortality and 0.7 for fishing mortality. 4. The weight at recruitment was 2.7 kg in 1973 which was smaller than the regulation size(3.2kg) proposed by ICCAT. 5. The maximum sustained yield was calculated to 95-145 thousand metric tons, which was the level of recent catch. Therefore, it is apparent that the present yellowfin tuna fishery should continue to receive close attention.

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