• Title/Summary/Keyword: climate(氣候)

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Generation of High Resolution Scenarios for Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources (I): Climate Scenarios on Each Sub-basins (수자원에 대한 기후변화 영향평가를 위한 고해상도 시나리오 생산(I): 유역별 기후시나리오 구축)

  • Bae, Deg-Hyo;Jung, Il-Won;Kwon, Won-Tae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.191-204
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    • 2007
  • To evaluate the climate change impacts on water resources, this study generates and analyzes the climate change scenarios for 139 sub-basins in Korea using high resolution ($27km\;{\times}\; 27km$) SHES A2 scenario and LARS-WG. The $27km\;{\times}\; 27km$ high resolution NCAR/PSU MM5 scenario is downscaled from 350km horizontal resolution ECHO-G data. The A2 scenario relatively well reproduced Korean spatial precipitation characteristics, but it underestimated the precipitation over the Han River and the Gum River basins. The LARS-WG was selected and evaluated to overcome the limitation of climate model and to create a highly reliable climate scenario. The results show that the monthly mean minimum and maximum temperature and monthly mean precipitation are within ${\pm}20%$ from the observed mean, and ${\pm}50%$ from the standard deviation that represents the generated data are highly reliable. Moreover, the comparison results between observed data and generated data from LARS-WG show that the latter can reflect the regional climate characteristic very well that can not be simulated from the former.

Risk Assessment and Clasification for Climate Change Adaptation: Application on the Method of Climate Change Risk Assessment in the UK (기후변화 적응을 위한 리스크 평가 및 유형화: 영국의 정성적 리스크 평가 방법론 적용)

  • Kim, Dong Hyun
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.53-83
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    • 2015
  • Recently, climate change risk assessment has been discussed as a medium process for making climate change adaptation policies in the research field of climate change adaptation. Climate change risk assessment has been understood to have an intermediary role among impact assessment, vulnerable assessment and policy, and is used in the process of devising adaptation policies in the United Kingdom (UK). This paper quantitatively assessed the risks of climate change in Korea, applied the methods used in the UK, underwent the classification process and suggested implications of Korean adaptation policies. A survey of experts, based on Delphi's method and the classification criterion developed by Klinke and Renn(2002), was also carried out. A list of climate risks was created from the climate change impact and vulnerability assessment report of Korea, first national adaptation policy of Korea, and general climate risks of the UK. From the results, 42 risks out of total 125 risks were selected based on their importance. The assessed risks with factors, such as high impact and urgency, are related to repeated and large scale damage from storms and floods caused by abnormal or extreme weather events. Ecological changes and social infrastructure risks were engaged as required as a policy response for medium to longer term. As for making the classification, types of climate risks were suggested to manage the basic capacity in relation to social trust, triggering mechanism and responsibility. Following suggestions are put forward as the base of autonomous adaptation: increasing the capacity of civil society, mutual trust and civil participation in adaptation policy process.

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Analysis of Future Bioclimatic Zones Using Multi-climate Models (다중기후모형을 활용한 동북아시아의 미래 생물기후권역 변화분석)

  • Choi, Yuyoung;Lim, Chul-Hee;Ryu, Jieun;Jeon, Seongwoo
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.489-508
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    • 2018
  • As climate changes, it is necessary to predict changes in the habitat environment in order to establish more aggressive adaptation strategies. The bioclimatic classification which clusters of areas with similar habitats can provide a useful ecosystem management framework. Therefore, in this study, biological habitat environment of Northeast Asia was identified through the establishment of the bioclimatic zones, and the impac of climate change on the biological habitat was analyzed. An ISODATA clustering was used to classify Northeast Asia (NEA)into 15 bioclimatic zones, and climate change impacts were predicted by projecting the future spatial distribution of bioclimatic zones based upon an ensemble of 17 GCMs across RCP4.5 and 8.5 scenarios for 2050s, and 2070s. Results demonstrated that significant changes in bioclimatic conditions can be expected throughout the NEA by 2050s and 2070s. The overall zones moved upward, and some zones were predicted to be greatly expanded or shrunk where we suggested as regions requiring intensive management. This analysis provides the basis for understanding potential impacts of climate change on biodiversity and ecosystem. Also, this could be used more effectively to support decision making on climate change adaptation.

Assessment of Regional Climate Change in Urban and Rural Areas Based on Anthropogenic Climate Change and Urbanization (도시화에 따른 도시 및 농촌 지역의 국지적 기후변화 비교 분석)

  • Nam, Won-Ho;Yoon, Dong-Hyun;Hong, Eun-Mi;Kim, Taegon;Baigorria, Guillermo A.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.25-25
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    • 2017
  • 국지 혹은 지역적인 기후의 특성은 지구규모 또는 종관규모에서의 온실가스 증가로 인한 온난화와 동시에 도시화 (urbanization)에 따른 열섬 현상 (heat island effect)을 포함한 인위적인 요소들이 복합적으로 작용하여 나타날 수 있다. 도시화에 따른 지면피복의 변화는 관측된 온난화 신호에 일정부분 기여하며, 도시 지역은 농촌 및 산림 지역과 비교하여 수문 및 기후학적 측면에서 지역 내 에너지수지 및 물수지의 특성이 상이하기 때문에, 지구온난화에 의한 전 지구적 현상과 도시화에 의한 국소적 현상을 구분하여 파악하는 것은 중요하다. 또한 향후 도시/비도시에 따른 도시화 편향 영향으로 인한 기후변화 예측의 편이를 분석하는데 필수적으로 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 급격한 도시화로 인한 인위적인 기후변화 (anthropogenic climate change)와 종관규모에서의 자연적 기후변화 (natural climate change or climate change)에 기인한 부분을 정량적으로 구분하고자 한다. 이를 위해 도시화의 정도가 서로 다른 도시 지역 및 농촌, 산림 지역을 선정하여 최근 50년간 (1966~2015년) 기상청 관측소의 기상자료와 각 관측지점별 인구수 및 인구증가/감소 추세를 비교함으로써 도시화율의 변화가 기상요소에 미치는 영향의 지역별 차이를 정량적으로 분석하였다.

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Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment Based on Spatio-Temporal Information (시.공간정보기반 기후변화 취약성 평가)

  • Choi, Hyun-Ah;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Kwak, Han-Bin;Choi, Sung-Ho;Byun, Jae-Gyun;Yoo, Sung-Jin;Cui, Guishan
    • Journal of Korea Spatial Information System Society
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.63-69
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    • 2009
  • Climate change has influenced on various sectors including ecosystem, water resource, natural hazards and health and so on. Thus, it is essential to more accurately assess climate change impact and prepare adaptation strategy. However, it is difficult to assess for climate change impact on various sectors with integrated form due to various data format by sectors. In this study, we prepared criteria and indicators for assessing climate change impact and integrated GIS based data which in correspond to indicators based on spatio-temporal information using GIS. Finally we suggest a guideline to assess vulnerability of each sectors to climate change based on integrated spatio-temporal information.

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The Effects of Climate Elements on Heat-related Illness in South Korea (기후요소가 온열질환자수에 미치는 영향)

  • Jeong, Daeun;Lim, Sook Hyang;Kim, Do-Woo;Lee, Woo-Seop
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.205-215
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    • 2016
  • The relationship between the climate and the number of heat-related patients in South Korea was analysed in this study. The number of the patients was 1,612 during the summer 2011 to 2015 according to the Heat-related Illness (HRI) surveillance system. The coefficient of determination between the number of the patients and the daily maximum temperature was higher than that between the number of them and the other elements: the daily mean/minimum temperature and relative humidity. The thresholds of daily maximum and minimum temperature in metropolitan cities (MC) were higher than those in regions except for MC (RMC). The higher the maximum and minimum temperature became, the more frequently the heat-related illness rate was observed. The regional difference of this rate was that the rate in RMC was higher than that in MC. Prolonged heat wave and tropical night tended to cause more patients, which continued for 20 days and 31 days of maximum values, respectively. On the other hand, the relative humidity was not proportional to the number of the patients which was rather decreasing at over 70% of relative humidity.

Future Development Plans for the Next 60 Years of the Korean Meteorological Society (한국기상학회 향후 60년을 향한 미래 발전 방안)

  • Ki-Hong Min;June-Yi Lee;Seon-Ki Park;Kyung-Ja Ha;Yun Hong;Yongsoek Seo
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.297-306
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    • 2023
  • Celebrating its 60th anniversary, this study suggests the future vision of the Korean Meteorological Society (KMS) for the next 60 years. The vision is "to advance atmospheric science and technology that contributes to human society as well as protect people from not only climate change risks but also weather, climate, and environmental disasters". Based on the suggestions from its members, this study proposes the KMS future development plan as follows. The first plan is to strengthen in leading the development and growth of atmospheric sciences in Korea, especially to improve weather, climate, and environment forecasts and to reduce uncertainty in future climate projections. The second is to enhance interaction not only among its members in academy, Korea Meteorological Administration and related organizations, meteorological industry, and science communicators but also with other related fields such as energy, water resources, agriculture, fishery, and forestry. The third is to enhance in nurturing young scientists by supporting domestic and international networks and training the state-of-the-art sciences, and to create opportunities for young scientists to advance into a wider field. The last is to expand its international activities for solving the challenges facing mankind, such as climate change risks and weather, climate, and environment disasters. The KMS should also continue the efforts to establish an integrative platform for leading fundamental and interdisciplinary research in weather, climate, and environment.

Green Infrastructure Types and Effects for Climate Change (기후변화 대응을 위한 녹색기반시설의 유형과 효과)

  • Kim, Seung Hyun
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.191-201
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    • 2011
  • This study investigates how green infrastructure, including natural and open space such as forests, rivers, parks, and streets, could effectively counteract climate change in terms of mitigation and adaption, respectively. As a result, green infrastructure, such as forests, parks, vegetable gardens, roof gardens, pedestrian walkways, bike lanes, etc, could effectively mitigate climate change: 1) Carbon storage and sequestration; 2) Fossil fuel substitution; 3) Material substitution; 4) Food production 5) Reducing the need to travel by car. Secondly, green infrastructure, such as rivers, tree-lined streets, farmland, wetlands, dunes, wind ways, etc, could adapt to climate change: 1) Managing high temperatures; 2) Managing water supply; 3) Managing ravine flooding; 4) Managing costal flooding; 5) Managing surface water; 6) Reducing soil erosion; 7) Helping other species to adapt.

Comparison of N2O Emissions by Greenhouse Gas Emission Estimation Method (온실가스 배출량 산정 방법에 따른 N2O 배출량 비교)

  • Kang, Soyoung;Cho, Chang-Sang;Kim, Seungjin;Kang, Seongmin;Yoon, Hyeongi;Jeon, Eui-Chan
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.175-184
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    • 2015
  • In this study GC and PAS were used to calculate $N_2O$ concentration of exhaust gas from Wood Chip combustion system. Fuel supplied to the incinerator was collected and analyzed and then the analysis result was used to calculate $N_2O$ emissions. Tier 3 and Tier 4 Method were used to calculate the $N_2O$ emissions. Plant's Specific emission factor of $N_2O$ by Tier 3 Method was 0.35 kg/TJ, while default emission factor of Wood?Wood Waste proposed by 2006 IPCC G/L was 4 kg/TJ. So the $N_2O$ emission factor of this study was 3.65 kg/TJ lower compared to the IPCC G/L. The total emissions calculated by Plant's specific emission factor was 4.22 kg during the measuring period, but by Tier 4 Method it was 7.88 kg. This difference in emissions was caused by the difference of continuous measuring and intermittent sampling. It would be necessary to apply continuous measuring to calculate emissions of $Non-CO_2$ gas whose the density distribution is relatively high. However currently, according to the target management guideline of greenhouse gas and energy, the continuous measuring method to calculate greenhouse gas emission is applied only to $CO_2$. Therefore for reliable greenhouse gas emission calculation it would be necessary to apply continuous measuring to calculate $Non-CO_2$ gas emission.

Characteristics of Climate Change in Sowing Period of Winter Crops (최근 동계작물의 파종기간 동안 기후변화 특징)

  • Shim, Kyo Moon;Kim, Yong Seok;Jeong, Myung Pyo;Choi, In Tae
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.203-208
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    • 2015
  • This study was conducted to provide the agricultural climatological basic data for the reset of sowing period of the winter crop on the double cropping system with rice. During the past 30 years from 1981 to 2010, mean air temperature has risen by $0.45^{\circ}C$ per 10 years (with statistical significance), while precipitation has decreased by 6.74 mm per 10 years and the numbers of days for precipitation has reduced by 0.23 days per 10 years (with no statistical significance) in the sowing period ($1^{st}$ Oct. to $5^{th}$ Nov.) of winter crop. It was analyzed that double cropping system of rice and winter crops need to be reset in the way of delaying the sowing time of winter crops, because rising trend of temperature was clear while variability of precipitation was great and the trend was not clear in the sowing period of winter crops. We have also analyzed the meteorological features of the sowing period of winter crops in 2014, and found that mean air temperature in 2014 was higher than that in normal years (similar to recent temperature change feature) while precipitation in 2014 was much more frequent than that in normal years (unlike recent precipitation features). Such tendency in 2014 made the sowing of winter crops difficult because mechanical sowing could not be worked in flooded paddy fields. Heavy rain in October 2014 was also analyzed as a rare phenomenon.