• Title/Summary/Keyword: changing point

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A development of hierarchical bayesian model for changing point analysis at watershed scale (유역단위에서의 연강수량의 변동점 분석을 위한 계층적 Bayesian 분석기법 개발)

  • Kim, Jin-Guk;Kim, Jin-Young;Kim, Yoon-Hee;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.2
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    • pp.75-87
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    • 2017
  • In recent decades, extreme events have been significantly increased over the Korean Peninsula due to climate variability and climate change. The potential changes in hydrologic cycle associated with the extreme events increase uncertainty in water resources planning and designing. For these reasons, a reliable changing point analysis is generally required to better understand regime changes in hydrologic time series at watershed scale. In this study, a hierarchical changing point analysis approach that can apply in a watershed scale is developed by combining the existing changing point analysis method and hierarchical Bayesian method. The proposed model was applied to the selected stations that have annual rainfall data longer than 40 years. The results showed that the proposed model can quantitatively detect the shift in precipitation in the middle of 1990s and identify the increase in annual precipitation compared to the several decades prior to the 1990s. Finally, we explored the changes in precipitation and sea level pressure in the context of large-scale climate anomalies using reanalysis data, for a given change point. It was concluded that the identified large-scale patterns were substantially different from each other.

The analysis of MPPT algorithms (최대전력추종제어기법 비교 분석)

  • Lee, Kyung-Soo;Jung, Young-Seck;So, Jung-Hoon;Yu, Gwon-Jong;Choi, Jae-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.212-214
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    • 2004
  • As the maximum power operating point(MPOP) of photovoltaic(PV) power generation systems changes with changing atmospheric conditions such as solar radiation and temperature, an important consideration in the design of efficient PV system is to track the MPOP correctly. Many maximum power point tracking(MPPT) techniques have been considered in the past, however, techniques using microprocessors with appropriate MPPT algorithms are favored because of their flexibility and compatibility with different PV arrays. Although the efficiency of these MPPT algorithms is usually high, it drops noticeably in case of rapidly changing atmospheric conditions. This paper analysed and researched the characteristics of three MPPT algorithms; P&O, Inc&Cond, ImP&O and simulated them with irradiance changing.

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A New MPPT Algorithm based on P&O Algorithm (P&O 알고리즘을 개선한 새로운 MPPT 알고리즘)

  • Jung Y.S.;Yu G.J.;So J.H.;Choi J.Y.;Choi J.H.
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 2003.07b
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    • pp.925-928
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    • 2003
  • As the maximum power operating point(MPOP) of photovoltaic(PV) power generation systems changes with changing atmospheric conditions such as solar radiation and temperature, an important consideration in the design of efficient PV system is to track the MPOP correctly. Many maximum power point tracking(MPPT) techniques have been considered in the past, however, techniques using microprocessors with appropriate MPPT algorithms are favored because of their flexibility and compatibility with different PV arrays. Although the efficiency of these MPPT algorithms is usually high, it drops noticeably in case of rapidly changing atmospheric conditions. This paper proposed a new MPPT algorithm based on perturb & observe(P&O) algorithm with experiment. The results shows that the new P&O algorithm has successfully tracked the MPOP, even in case of rapidly changing atmospheric conditions, and has higher efficiency than ordinary algorithms.

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A Study of MPPT Algorithm for PV PCS (태양광발전용 PCS의 MPPT 제어알고리즘 고찰)

  • Jung, Young-Seok;Yu, Gwon-Jong;So, Jeong-Hun;Choi, Ju-Yeop;Choi, Jae-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.07b
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    • pp.1359-1361
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    • 2003
  • As the maximum power operating point(MPOP) of Photovoltaic(PV) power generation systems changes with changing atmospheric conditions such as solar radiation and temperature, an important consideration. In the design of efficient PV system is to track the MPOP correctly. Many maximum power point tracking(MPPT) techniques have been considered in the past, however, techniques using microprocessors with appropriate MPPT algorithms are favored because of their flexibility and compatibility with different PV arrays. Although the efficiency of these MPPT algorithms is usually high, it drops noticeably in case of rapidly changing atmospheric conditions. This pager proposed a new MPPT algorithm based on perturb & observe(P&O) algorithm with experiment. The results shows that the new P&O algorithm has successfully tracked the MPOP, even in case of rapidly changing atmospheric conditions, and has higher efficiency than ordinary algorithms.

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Optimal Current Detect MPPT Control of PV System for Robust with Environment Changing (환경변화에 강인한 태양광 발전의 최적전류 MPPT 제어)

  • Choi, Jung-Sik;Ko, Jae-Sub;Chung, Dong-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.25 no.10
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 2011
  • This paper proposes the optimal current detect(OCD) maximum power point tracking(MPPT) control of photovoltaic(PV) system for robust with environment changing. The output characteristics of the solar cell is a nonlinear and affected by a temperature, the solar radiation and temperature. Conventional MPPT control methods are tracked the maximum power point by constant incremental value. So these methods are slow the response speed and generated the vibration in steady state and cannot track the MPP in environment condition changing. And power loss is generated because of the self-excitation vibration in MPP region. To solve this problem, this paper proposes the novel control algorithm. Proposed algorithm is detected the optimal current in two control region using the output power and current curve. Detected current is used the converter switching for tracking the MPP. Proposed algorithm is compared output power error to conventional algorithm with radiation and temperature changing. In addition, the validity of the algorithm is proved through the output error response characteristics.

TRIPLE SOLUTIONS FOR THREE-ORDER PERIODIC BOUNDARY VALUE PROBLEMS WITH SIGN CHANGING NONLINEARITY

  • Tan, Huixuan;Feng, Hanying;Feng, Xingfang;Du, Yatao
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.32 no.1_2
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we consider the periodic boundary value problem with sign changing nonlinearity $$u^{{\prime}{\prime}{\prime}}+{\rho}^3u=f(t,u),\;t{\in}[0,2{\pi}]$$, subject to the boundary value conditions: $$u^{(i)}(0)=u^{(i)}(2{\pi}),\;i=0,1,2$$, where ${\rho}{\in}(o,{\frac{1}{\sqrt{3}}})$ is a positive constant and f(t, u) is a continuous function. Using Leggett-Williams fixed point theorem, we provide sufficient conditions for the existence of at least three positive solutions to the above boundary value problem. The interesting point is the nonlinear term f may change sign.

The Changing Point Analysis of Annual Maximum Rainfall

  • Sung, Jang-Hyun;Kang, Hyun-Suk;Park, Su-Hee;Cho, Chun-Ho;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.22-22
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    • 2011
  • 기존의 빈도해석(frequency analysis) 방법은 자료의 정상성(stationarity)을 가정하고 있다. 즉, 자료 분포가 기상에 영향을 받는 정도가 통계적으로 유의하지 않다는 것을 의미하는데 최근의 관측값들은 주기를 나타내거나 증가, 감소하는 경향을 자주 보이고 있고 이는 정상성에 대한 가정이 더 이상 유효하지 않음을 의미한다. 본 연구는 최근 증가경향이 두드러지게 나타나고 있는 관측 연최대 일강우량을 대상으로 증가 변동점(changing point)을 탐색하였다. 이를 위하여 Barry and Hartigan이 1999년에 제안한 BCP (Bayesian Change Point) 방법을 우리나라 전체 강우 관측지점에 적용하였다. 적용 결과, 2000년대를 기준으로 이전의 관측값과 통계적 특성이 다른 관측값들이 많이 발생하는 것을 알 수 있었다. 향후, 매개변수와 시간의 회귀분석(regression analysis)으로 확률분포형의 미래 매개변수를 구하는 비정상성 빈도해석 방법 적용시, BCP 결과로 얻은 변동점을 바탕으로 회귀분석의 구간을 적절하게 선택한다면 계산된 결과의 신뢰성이 더욱 향상되리라 본다.

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A Clinical Application with the Principle of Hanging Point In the Sling Exercise Therapy (슬링운동치료에서 Hanging Point의 원리와 임상적 적용)

  • Kim, Suhn-Yeop;Kim, Taek-Yean;Park, Sung-Jin
    • The Journal of Korean Academy of Orthopedic Manual Physical Therapy
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.25-45
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    • 2003
  • Sling exercise treatment(S-E-T) is a therapeutic exercise based on scientific studies for the purpose of treating musculoskeletal or neurological disorders thereby improving strength, endurance, and skills for sensory-motor integration. Exercise resistance and intensity can be modified in various ways by changing the length of rope, patient position, therapist's manual resistance, and using elastic rope. The therapist can also progress to successively higher levels of exercise resistance and intensity by changing the position of the hanging point: the subject of this article. In brief, there are three axial components in S-E-T; hanging point, motor axis, and suspension point. The hanging point can be changed in several ways in relation to the joint; axial, superior, inferior, medial, and posterior hanging points. The position of the hanging point affects the amount of load on agonist and antagonist muscles as well as on the range of motion. To create an advanced exercise program, selection of hanging point can be two-dimensional such as superior-lateral or anterior-medial. Therapists, therefore, can freely but carefully select the best hanging point based on the purpose of the exercise and their level of knowledge in S-E-T.

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AN EOQ MODEL FOR DETERIORATING INVENTORY WITH ALTERNATING DEMAND RATES

  • A.K. Pal;B. Mabdal
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.457-468
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    • 1997
  • The present paper deals with an economic order quan-tity model for items deteriorating at some constant rate with demand changing at a known and at a random point of time in the fixed pro-duction cycle.

Performance Comparison of Phase Detectors for the Synchronization Analysis of Electroencephalographic Signal (뇌파신호의 동기해석을 위한 위상검출기의 성능비교)

  • Kim, HyeJin;Lee, JeeEun;Yoo, Sun K.
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.50 no.12
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    • pp.277-284
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    • 2013
  • The analysis of phase synchronization characteristics from EEG signals is important for the understanding of information processing functionality in the brain network. In this paper, wavelet transformation(WT), Hilbert tansformation (HT), complex demodulation (CD) methods having time localization characteristics were applied to real evoked potential data and noise added simulation data with center frequencies corresponding to EEG bands for the estimation performance analysis of phase offset, phase changing point, and interband crosstalk. The WT is the best both in ${\delta}$, ${\theta}$, and ${\alpha}$ band signal decomposition, and in analyzing phase synchronization performance. The CD can be efficiently used in changing point detection under tolerant noise condition because of its abrupt performance degradation over noise endurance level. From experimental observations, the WT is the most suitable in phase synchronization application of EEG signal, and the CD can be affordable in restricted application such as changing point detection for higher bands than ${\delta}$. Particularly, WT and CD can be used to detect the changing instant of brain function by indirectly estimating the phase changing point.