• 제목/요약/키워드: change point

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A Study on the Trend Change Point of NBUE-property

  • Kim, Dae-Kyung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.275-282
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    • 1996
  • A life distribution F with survival function $\overline{F}$=1-F, finite mean $\mu$ and mean residual life m(t) is said to be NBUE(NWUE) if m(t)$\leq$($\geq$) .$\mu$ for t$\geq$0. This NBUE property can equivalently be characterized by the fact that $\varphi$(u)$\geq$($\leq$)u for 0$\leq$u$\leq$1, where $\varphi$(u) is the scaled total-time-on test transform of F. A generalization of the NBUE properties is that there is a value of p such that $\varphi$(u)\geq.u$ for 0$\leq$u$\leq$p and $\varphi$(u)\leq$$\leq$u$\leq$1, or vice versa. This means that we have a trend change in the NBUE property. In this paper we point out an error of Klefsjo's paper (1988). He erroneously takes advantage of trend change point of failure rate to calculate the empirical test size and power in lognormal distribution. We solves the trend change point of mean residual lifetime and recalculate the empirical test size and power of Klefsjo (1988) in mocensoring case.

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국가산림자원조사 고정표본점 자료를 이용한 토지이용변화 평가 (Land-use Change Assessment by Permanent Sample Plots in National Forest Inventory)

  • 임종수;김래현;이선정;손영모
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2015
  • Forests are to be recognized as an important carbon sink under the UNFCCC that consist of above- and below-biomass, dead organic matter (DOM) such as dead wood and litter, and soil organic matter (SOM). In order to asses for DOM and SOM, however, it is relevant to land-use change matrices over last 20 years for each land-use category. In this study, a land-use change matrix was produced and its uncertainty was assessed using a point sampling technique with permanent sample plots in national forest inventory at Chungbuk province. With point sampling estimated areas at 2012 year for each land-use category were significantly similar to the true areas by given six land-use categories. Relative standard error in terms of uncertainty of land-use change among land-use categories ranged in 4.3~44.4%, excluding the other land. Forest and cropland covered relatively large areas showed lower uncertainty compared to the other land-use categories. This result showed that selected permanent samples in the NFI are able to support for producing land-use change matrix at a national or province level. If the $6^{th}$ NFI data are fully collected, the uncertainty of estimated area should be improved.

Monitoring with VSR Charts and Change Point Estimation

  • Lee, Jae-Heon;Park, Chang-Soon
    • 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국통계학회 2005년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.191-196
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    • 2005
  • Knowing the time of the process change could lead to quicker identification of the responsible special cause and less process down time, and it could help to reduce the probability of incorrectly identifying the special cause. In this paper, we propose a MLE of the process change point when control charts with the fixed sampling rate (FSR) scheme or the variable sampling rate (VSR) scheme monitor a process to detect changes in the process mean and/or variance of a normal quality variable.

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강우자료의 비동질성 규명을 위한 변동점 분석기법의 상호비교 및 적용 (Intercomparison of Change Point Analysis Methods for Identification of Inhomogeneity in Rainfall Series and Applications)

  • 이상호;김상욱;이영섭;성장현
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제47권8호
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    • pp.671-684
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    • 2014
  • 변동점 분석은 강우, 유량, 온도 등의 수문기상자료의 기초적인 정보를 이해함에 있어 유용한 수단으로 활용될 수 있다. 특히 합리적인 방법으로 분석된 미래 강우량에 대한 변동점 분석 결과는 최근 기후변화로 인해 발생되는 홍수나 가뭄과 같은 수문현상을 예측하는 데 있어 문제가 되는 비동질성 또는 비정상성 요인을 해결하는 데 있어 중요하게 활용될 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 변동성 분석을 위해 이용되는 3가지의 이론(CUSUM, BCP, DP)을 소개함과 함께 3가지 기법들의 특성을 알아보기 위한 상호비교 연구를 수행하였다. 3가지 종류의 합성 모의 강우자료의 생성을 통해 3가지 기법들을 수행한 뒤 그 결과를 특정 성능평가 절차를 거쳐 평가하였으며, 그 중 2가지 기법을 국내 관측 강우자료 및 미래 강우자료의 변동점 분석에 적용하고 그 결과를 제시하였다. 기법 간 비교를 통해 BCP 0.9가 가장 우수한 탐색능력이 있는 것으로 분석되었으며, DP 또한 합리적으로 사용될 수 있을 것으로 판단되었다. 향후 이와 같은 강우자료에 대한 변동점 분석에 관한 연구는 비동질성이나 비정상성을 고려하여 수문모형을 구축하는 연구 등에 있어 효율적으로 사용될 수 있다.

중환자 통증사정 도구의 타당성 평가 (Validation of Critical Care Non-verbal Pain Scale for Critically Ill Patients)

  • 최은희;김진희;고미숙;김지양;권은옥;장인순
    • 임상간호연구
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.245-254
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: This study was done to examine predictive validity of Critical Care Non-verbal Pain Scale (CNPS) and develop criteria for pain assessment using CNPS with critically ill patients who have communication problems. Methods: Data were collected from intensive care units at three major general hospitals in Seoul and Kyunggi province. During each observation, a nurse assessed pain severity using CNPS ratings (range 0-9) at four treatment stages: at rest, during central catheter dressing change (nonpainful procedure), position change and suctioning (routine painful procedures). Patients also assessed their pain using a self-report 4-point VRS-4. Results: There were significant differences between the four treatment stages except between "at rest" and "nonpainful procedure". Strong correlations were found between CNPS and VRS-4 for "at rest" (r=.552, p<.001), central catheter dressing change (r=.505, p<.001), position change (r=.709, p<.001), and suctioning (r=.662, p<.001). ROC curve analysis of CNPS based on 3 point on VRS-4 showed the cutoff point was 3 for CNPS, the starting point for pain management with 73% sensitivity, 92.2% specificity, 73% positive predictive value, and 92.8% negative predictive value. Conclusion: Results indicate that CNPS is a valid tool for measuring pain in critically ill patients with communication problems and 3 point should be the standardized pain treatment point.

맵핑 테이블을 이용한 전역 밝기 보상 (Global Intensity Compensation using Mapping Table)

  • 오상진;이지홍;고윤호
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2006년도 심포지엄 논문집 정보 및 제어부문
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    • pp.15-17
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents a new global intensity compensation method for extracting moving object in a visual surveillance system by compensating time variant intensity changes of background region. The method that compensates a little changes of intensity due to time variant illumination change and automatic gain control of camera is called global intensity compensation. The proposed method expresses global intensity change with a mapping table to describe complex form of intensity change while the previous method models this global intensity change with a simple function as a straight line. The proposed method builds the mapping table by calculating the cross histogram between two images and then by selecting an initial point for generating the mapping table by using Hough transform applied to the cross histogram image. Then starting from the initial point, the mapping table is generated according to the proposed algorithm based on the assumption that reflects the characteristic of global intensity change. Experimental results show that the proposed method makes the compensation error much smaller than the previous GIC method

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소형풍력발전시스템을 위한 퍼지로직 기반의 가변 스텝 사이즈 MPPT 제어 (Variable Step-Size MPPT Control based on Fuzzy Logic for a Small Wind Power System)

  • 최대근;이교범
    • 전력전자학회논문지
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.205-212
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    • 2012
  • This paper proposes the fuzzy logic based variable step-size MPPT (Maximum Power Point Tracking) method for the stability at the steady state and the improvement of the transient response in the wind power system. If the change value of duty ratio is set on stability of the steady state, MPPT control traces to maximum power point slowly. And if the change value is set on improvement of the transient response, the system output oscillates at the maximum power point. By adjusting the step size with fuzzy logic, it can be improved the MPPT response speed and stability at steady state when MPPT control is performed to track the maximum power point. The effectiveness of the proposed method has been verified by simulations and experimental results.

가보필터기반 얼굴인식에서의 유동적 Jet Point Setting (Flexible Jet Point Setting In Gabor Filter Based Face Recognition)

  • 신하송;김병우;이정안;김민기
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전자공학회 2003년도 하계종합학술대회 논문집 Ⅳ
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    • pp.2032-2035
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    • 2003
  • This paper focused on the possibility of face recognition using Flexible let Point Setting method in Gabor Filter Based Face Recognition. Gabor Filter is very sensible to the Texture variation. Therefore, any little change in the face expression or rotation of posture make recognition rate down significantly. A suggested solution for this problem is the Flexible Jet Point Setting. A significant effect of this method is that the number of Jet Point has been reduced from over 150 to under 30 even though the change of recognition rate between two methods is neglectable, Furthermore a set of feature values which results from a set of Gabor filtering became insensible to face variation such as expression, rotation, and light effect. Retinex Algorithm which has been developed by NASA are used as pre-processing.

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Evaluation of a Land Use Change Matrix in the IPCC's Land Use, Land Use Change, and Forestry Area Sector Using National Spatial Information

  • Park, Jeongmook;Yim, Jongsu;Lee, Jungsoo
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.295-304
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    • 2017
  • This study compared and analyzed the construction of a land use change matrix for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) land use, land use change, and forestry area (LULUCF). We used National Forest Inventory (NFI) permanent sample plots (with a sample intensity of 4 km) and permanent sample plots with 500 m sampling intensity. The land use change matrix was formed using the point sampling method, Level-2 Land Cover Maps, and forest aerial photographs (3rd and 4th series). The land use change matrix using the land cover map indicated that the annual change in area was the highest for forests and cropland; the cropland area decreased over time. We evaluated the uncertainty of the land use change matrix. Our results indicated that the forest land use, which had the most sampling, had the lowest uncertainty, while the grassland and wetlands had the highest uncertainty and the least sampling. The uncertainty was higher for the 4 km sampling intensity than for the 500 m sampling intensity, which indicates the importance of selecting the appropriate sample size when constructing a national land use change matrix.

N-point modified exponential model for household projections in Korea using multi-point register-based census data

  • Saebom Jeon;Tae Yeon Kwon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.377-391
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    • 2024
  • Accurate household projections are essential for sectors such as housing supply and tax policy planning, given the rapid social changes like declining birthrates, an aging population, and a rise in single-person households that impact household size and type. Korea introduced its first register-based census in 2015, transitioning from five-year general survey-based approach to an annual administrative data-based census. This change in census allows for more frequent and effective capturing the rapid demographic shifts and trends. However, this change in census has caused challenges in future projection by the existing household projection model due to the rapid dynamics. This paper proposes a new household projection method, the N-point Modified Exponential Model (MEM), that accurately reflects register-based census data and mitigates the impact of rapid demographic changes, in three types: the Weighted N-point MEM, the Regression-based N-point MEM, and the Rolling Weighted N+point MEM. Using register-based census data from 2016 to 2020 to forecast household headship rates by age, household size, and household type to 2051, the N-point modified exponential model outperformed the existing model in both long- and short-term forecast accuracy, suggesting its suitability as a future household projection model for Korea.