• Title/Summary/Keyword: change of observation

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Time-series Analysis and Prediction of Future Trends of Groundwater Level in Water Curtain Cultivation Areas Using the ARIMA Model (ARIMA 모델을 이용한 수막재배지역 지하수위 시계열 분석 및 미래추세 예측)

  • Baek, Mi Kyung;Kim, Sang Min
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.65 no.2
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzed the impact of greenhouse cultivation area and groundwater level changes due to the water curtain cultivation in the greenhouse complexes. The groundwater observation data in the Miryang study area were used and classified into greenhouse and field cultivation areas to compare the groundwater impact of water curtain cultivation in the greenhouse complex. We identified the characteristics of the groundwater time series data by the terrain of the study area and selected the optimal model through time series analysis. We analyzed the time series data for each terrain's two representative groundwater observation wells. The Seasonal ARIMA model was chosen as the optimal model for riverside well, and for plain and mountain well, the ARIMA model and Seasonal ARIMA model were selected as the optimal model. A suitable prediction model is not limited to one model due to a change in a groundwater level fluctuation pattern caused by a surrounding environment change but may change over time. Therefore, it is necessary to periodically check and revise the optimal model rather than continuously applying one selected ARIMA model. Groundwater forecasting results through time series analysis can be used for sustainable groundwater resource management.

Comparison of wind data for review of take-off and landing directions of UAM port (UAM Port의 이·착륙 방향 검토를 위한 바람 자료 비교)

  • Jaewoo Park;GeonHwan Park;HyeJin Hong;SungKwan Ku
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.393-403
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    • 2022
  • Various studies suggest that the initial operating form of UAM, which is being presented as a solution to the urban traffic problem, will be similar to VTOL aircraft among current aircraft. In a form similar to determining the direction of the runway where fixed-wing aircraft take off and land, the vertiport where take-off and landing of VTOL aircraft takes place determines the flight direction of departure and arrival in consideration of the direction of the wind. Unlike areas where airports are generally built, in the case of downtown areas, it is expected that the characteristics of wind may continuously change depending on the environment of changing terrain or obstacles such as the construction of new buildings. In this study, long-term actual observation data for reviewing the take-off and landing directions at the city center where the location of the vertiport is expected are compared using a wind speed map, and the characteristics of the ground wind and the possibility of change in the direction of the predominant wind depending on the observation period and observation location confirmed.

Characteristics of Road Weather Elements and Surface Information Change under the Influence of Synoptic High-Pressure Patterns in Winter (겨울철 고기압 영향에서 도로 위 기상요소와 노면정보 변화 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Baek-Jo;Nam, Hyounggu;Kim, Seon-Jeong;Kim, Geon-Tae;Kim, Jiwan;Lee, Yong Hee
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.329-339
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    • 2022
  • Better understanding the mechanism of black ice occurrence on the road in winter is necessary to reduce the socio-economic damage it causes. In this study, intensive observations of road weather elements and surface information under the influence of synoptic high-pressure patterns (22nd December, 2020 and 29th January, and 25th February, 2021) were carried out using a mobile observation vehicle. We found that temperature and road surface temperature change is significantly influenced by observation time, altitude and structure of the road, surrounding terrain, and traffic volume, especially in tunnels and bridges. In addition, even if the spatial distribution of temperature and road surface temperature for the entire observation route is similar, there is a difference between air and road surface temperatures due to the influence of current weather conditions. The observed road temperature, air temperature and air pressure in Nongong Bridge were significantly different to other fixed road weather observation points.

Development and Application of Horticultural Kit for Children's Horticulture Education

  • Kwack, Hye Ran
    • Journal of People, Plants, and Environment
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.595-608
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    • 2021
  • Background and objective: For effective horticultural education, it is required to develop kits for practice. In this study, we developed a horticultural kit for germination that introduces storytelling, characterization, and assembly, and investigated the educational effects of using it to study its educational differentiation and usefulness. Methods: First, we developed a seed germination kit for learning. It consists of three components: the kit main frame for hydroponics, the activity sheet for storytelling, and the instruction manual. It is made into an acrylic assembly in consideration of the ease of delivery for contactless learning. Second, we developed two programs, each using a germination kit for horticultural education (experimental group) and a general germination kit program (control group). At this time, the class consists of pre-questionnaire, the 1st and 2nd classes, observation log writing (total six times for two weeks), the 3rd class, and post-questionnaire. The experimental group and control group were separately executed. Third, the application results were compared and analyzed before and after class. As a quantification questionnaire, the effects before and after class were compared through t-test with a questionnaire on program satisfaction and attitude change toward plants. The quantitative results were analyzed through observation activity sheets and effects before and after the class were analyzed through t-test with quantification and language coding. Results: The effect of horticulture education using the developed kit was estimated by a quantification questionnaire. Both the program satisfaction and the change in attitude toward plants showed high in the experimental group, and this difference was statistically significant (p < .05). As a result of analyzing the observation paper with a qualitative questionnaire, various cognitive and affective expressions appeared in the experimental group as well as the contents of the observation paper. The number of syllables and various qualitative expressions appeared, and these differences were also statistically significant (p < .05). Conclusion: Compared to general germination activities, it was found that the germination activities using storytelling-based horticultural kits would be effective for contactless classes in the post-COVID-19 era and in increasing the educational effect of horticultural activities.

Change of Brain Activation due to Change of Viewpoint in Action during Action Observation: an EEG Analysis Study (동작관찰 중 동작 수행 시 시점의 변화에 따른 뇌 활성의 변화)

  • Kim, Oi-Jin;Sim, Ji-Young;Lee, Se-Young;Jin, Hyun-Jin
    • PNF and Movement
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.209-217
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: Treatments using a mirror neuron system, such as 3D virtual reality therapy, are used in stroke rehabilitation, but they need to be constructed according to a detailed procedure. The aims of this study were to analyze electroencephalograms (EEG) during relaxation and action while observing first person perspective (1AE) and third person perspective (3AE) videos of the right hand for 20's. Methods: Thirty participants (Male=4, Female=26) were recruited for this study. Participants were selected by a vividness of movement imagery questionnaire (VMIQ). EEG was measured during relaxxation and during action with 1AE and 3AE videos, focusing on the supination and pronation actions of participants' right hands. An absolute mu rhythm, a relatively high alpha power, and a relative beta power were identified. In each group, one-way repeated measures ANOVA was used for statistical analysis. Results: Measurement of absolute mu rhythms was significantly suppressed for both 1AE and 3AE compared with relaxation in C3 and C4 regions. High alpha wave measurements were significantly suppressed for both 1AE and 3AE in all regions, while beta wave measurements were significantly increased only for 3AE in F3 and F4 regions. Conclusion: Based on this study, we suggest that the mirror neuron system is activated during actions accompanied by action observation, especially actions with 3AE video observation, which can be a great therapeutic mathod in stroke rehabilitation.

Observation of Water Property Variations in the Western Channel of the Korea Strait During 2006-2010 (2006~2010년 기간 동안 대한해협 서수도에서 관측된 해수 물성의 변동)

  • Min, Hong-Sik;Park, Jae-Hun;Choi, A-Ra;Park, Young-Gyu;Shin, Kyoung-Soon;Jang, Pung-Guk
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.33 no.spc3
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    • pp.325-336
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    • 2011
  • Seasonal to inter-annual variations of water properties in the western channel of the Korea Strait are investigated using quasi-monthly hydrographic observations collected during 2006-2010. Weak vertical temperature and salinity gradients are observed during the winter months and these remain until May. At the upper layer, temperature increases from March and reaches a maximum in August, while salinity decreases during the same period. Near-bottom water shows low temperatures during late winter and fall with a minimum peak in September. Korea Strait Bottom Cold Water produces thick layers (>20 m) in 2006 and 2010, while it is observed very near the bottom with relatively high temperature in 2008 and 2009.

The Change of Pre-Service Science Teachers' Epistemological Views of Education in the Field Education Programs (현장교육 프로그램에 따른 예비과학교사들의 인식론적 교육관의 변화)

  • Maeng, Hee-Ju
    • Journal of Science Education
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.304-316
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    • 2009
  • This study investigated the change of pre-service science teachers' epistemological views of education according to the stages of the field education programs application. For this study, surveys and interviews were carried out threes times before and after participation through participant observation of classes and teaching practices. All data recorded and collected of 28 pre-service science teachers who had answered entire surveys were transcribed and analyzed. The conclusion is as follows; before the participant observation of classes, the pre-service science teachers had views of traditional education affected by epistemology of objectivism. After the participant observation of classes, the views of traditional education increased due to in-service teachers that showed teaching methods through the course of the participant observation. However, it was changed significantly into the views of modern education affected by epistemology of constructivism through the course of the teaching practices. Based on the conclusions of this study, it was identified that the field education programs might have both positive and negative influence on the change of the views of education for the pre-service science teachers. Therefore, Pre-service science teachers should have a opportunity to intensify of constructivism epistemological views of education through the field education programs. The teacher training institutions have to provide systematic and organic cooperation with schools.

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Change of Temperature using the Twentieth Century Reanalysis Data (20CR) on Antarctica (20세기 재분석 자료(20CR)를 이용한 남극대륙의 기온 변화)

  • Zo, Il-Sung;Jee, Joon-Bum;Lee, Kyu-Tae;Chae, Na-My;Yoon, Young-Jun
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.73-83
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    • 2012
  • Antarctica is very sensitive to climate change but the number of stations is not sufficient to accurately analyze climate change in this regoin. Model reanalysis data supplements the lack of observation and can be used as long term data to verify climate change. In this study, the 20CR (Twentieth Century Reanalysis) Project data from NCEP/NCAR and monthly mean data (temperature, solar radiation and longwave radiation) from 1871 to 2008, was used to analyze the temperature trend and change in radiation. The 20CR data was used to validate the observation data from Antarctica since 1950 and the correlation coefficients between these data were determined to be over 0.95 at all stations. The temperature increased by approximately $0.23^{\circ}C$/decade during the study period and over $0.20^{\circ}C$/decade over all of the months. This increasing trend was observed throughout the Antarctica and a slight increase was observed in the Antarctic Peninsula. In addition, solar radiation (surface) and longwave radiation (surface and top of atmosphere) trends correlated with the increase in temperature. As a result, outgoing longwave radiation at the surface is attenuated by atmospheric water vapor or clouds and radiation at the top of the atmosphere was reduced. In addition, the absorbed energy in the atmosphere increases the temperature of the atmosphere and surface, and then the heated surface emits more longwave radiation. Eventually these processes are repeated in a positive feedback loop, which results in a continuous rise in temperature.

A Study on the Comparison of Production Activity Using Work Sampling Method of Two Periods After/Before Process Change (공정변화전과 후 두기간에서의 워크.샘플링법에 의한 생산활동 비교에 관한 연구)

  • 이근희;박상민
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.5 no.7
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 1982
  • This thesis deals with the method of Work Sampling to compare production activity due to change of productivity, workmen's productivity environment, nonproductivity of machine and plant when there is a process before and after change of work environments. So, this study takes $x^2$ - test to discover significant change of process, and obtains Proper observation number due to ratio difference-test over change of productivity before and after process change. Therefore, this thesis represent statistically effective results between two periods before and after process change.

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Bayesian Multiple Change-Point Estimation and Segmentation

  • Kim, Jaehee;Cheon, Sooyoung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.439-454
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    • 2013
  • This study presents a Bayesian multiple change-point detection approach to segment and classify the observations that no longer come from an initial population after a certain time. Inferences are based on the multiple change-points in a sequence of random variables where the probability distribution changes. Bayesian multiple change-point estimation is classifies each observation into a segment. We use a truncated Poisson distribution for the number of change-points and conjugate prior for the exponential family distributions. The Bayesian method can lead the unsupervised classification of discrete, continuous variables and multivariate vectors based on latent class models; therefore, the solution for change-points corresponds to the stochastic partitions of observed data. We demonstrate segmentation with real data.