• Title/Summary/Keyword: causal map

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Development of a Performance Reference Model (PRM) for Ubiquitous City Operations (U-City 전략 성과 참조모델로서의 운영성과 측정 지표체계 개발에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Dong-Wan;Lee, Jung-Hoon;Kim, Jae-Min
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.25-44
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    • 2010
  • In recent years, Ubiquitous City (u-City), the integrated and convergence of ubiquitous services, infrastructure, technologies and city management of the new future development city, is being initiated by the Korean government and local authorities as their new national growth engine. However, a performance measurement system for evaluating and monitoring the impacts of U-City implementation is yet to be established. This paper aims to develop an integrated performance management system (PMS) and extensively used as a tool for managing performance activities to support the visions and goals of the u-City operations. Based on current reviews on the literature and interviews with experts drew Critical Success Factors (CSF) and Key Performance Indicators (KPI) by four different measurement domains including U-City services, infrastructure, technologies, management and developed into an integrated performance measurement system based on the Balanced Scored Card (BSC) perspective. The system also provides number of examples of 'u-City Strategy Map' which illustrates a causal relationship between CSFs to execute u-City visions and goals.

A Study on the Establishment of Korean Regional Nuclear Safety Offices (원자력안전 지역사무소 설치 타당성 평가 : 시스템 다이내믹스 접근법)

  • Kim, Seong-Ho;Song, I.J.;Choi, Y.S.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Energy Engineering kosee Conference
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.253-258
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    • 2008
  • 우리나라에서 원자력 시설의 안전 확보를 위한 현장 규제는 원전 부지내에 설치되어 운용되고 있는 주재관실과 방사능 재난 발생에 대응하기 위한 현장방사능방재지휘센터 등으로 분산되어 있다. 원유 고유가, 에너지 안보, 및 기후 변화 협약 등에 대한 대응책으로, 신규 원자력 시설의 건설이 진행 중에 있으며, 이에 따라 원자력 규제 대상이 증가하고 있다. 지역주민이 신뢰하는 원자력 시설의 안전 규제의 필요성에 따라 현장 규제의 업무량도 증가하고 현장 규제 요건도 강화되고 있는 추세이다. 분산되어 있는 원자력 안전규제 시스템을 통합적인 체계로 전환하기 위한 방안들 가운데, 이 연구에서는 규제의 효율성/효과성을 향상시키기 위해 원자력 안전 지역사무소의 설치가 고려되었다. 이 연구의 주요 목적은 시스템 다이내믹스 기법을 활용한 지역사무소 설치의 타당성 모델을 제시하는 것이다. 이 SD 모델을 통해 지역사무소 설치가 규제 효과성을 포함한 다른 변수들에 미치는 영향을 전체론적 (holistic) 관점에서 평가할 수 있다. 이 SD 모델에서 이해관계자 (예: 중앙행정기관, 규제기관, 지방자지단체, NGO, 국민 등) 각각의 우선적인 목표는 갈등적 다중목표가 된다. 이러한 다중목표는 원자력 안전 규제의 의사결정 단계에서 거버넌스(governance) 체제 (예: 규제 기관, 사업자, 지역주민 등이 참여하는 체제)의 구축, 원자력 관련 민원 해결을 통해 성취될 수 있다. 시스템 다이내믹스 접근법의 주요 변수 정의 단계에서는 다양한 관점의 상호영향을 고려하면서 지역사무소 설치에 필요한 기본 개념이 도출되었다. 시스템 다이내믹스 접근법의 모델링 단계에서는 이들 기본 개념에서부터 지역사무소 설치 타당성 정책의 인과 지도(causal map)가 작성되었다. 이러한 인과 지도들로부터 지역사무소의 설치 타당성으로 이끄는 다양한 자기-강화 (self-reinforcing) 루프들이 발견되었다.

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Social Network Service Research for Quality of Life of Older Adults: Comparing Old and Young adults Using Qualitative and Quantitative Analysis (노인의 Quality of Life 향상을 위한 Social Network Service 연구 -정성 분석과 정량 분석 방법을 이용한 노인과 젊은 세대 비교 분석-)

  • Kang, Jung-Min;Kim, Sun-Jae;Lee, In-Seong;Kim, Jin-Woo
    • 한국HCI학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2009.02a
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    • pp.799-810
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    • 2009
  • 전 세계적으로 노령화 문제가 사회적 이슈로 대두되고 있는 가운데, 노인이 느끼는 전반적인 삶의 질 (Quality of Life, QoL) 이 하락하는 문제가 사회 전반에 걸쳐 중요한 문제로 인식되고 있다. 이에 다양한 형태로 발생하고 있는 노인들의 문제를 해결하기 위하여 노인학, 사회 복지학 등의 분야에서 많은 연구가 진행되고 있다. 이 중 노인의 사회적 관계 (Social Network, SN) 를 강화, 확장하여 노인의 삶의 만족도 향상을 추구하고자 하는 연구를 찾아볼 수 있다. 이러한 관점에서 노인의 사회적 관계를 인터넷을 이용해 개선함으로써, 노인의 삶의 질을 향상시키고자 하는 것이 본 연구의 궁극적인 목표이다. 이에 본 연구의 세부적인 목적은 현재 젊은 층을 중심으로 많이 사용되고 있는 SNS 를 노인들이 사용하지 않는 이유에 대한 분석, 노인을 위한 SNS 의 핵심적인 기능적, 서비스적 요소를 파악하는데 있다. 이를 위해 현재 인터넷을 잘 활용하고 있는 60 세 이상의 노인 22 명을 대상으로 개별 인터뷰, 참가자가 사용하는 서비스 분석, FGI 의 3 가지 방식으로 데이터를 수집하였다. 이후 수집한 데이터를 이용하여 정성적 분석 방법으로 Casual Network 를 도출하였으며, 정량적 분석 방법인 Laddering 분석으로 Hierarchical Map 도출하여 비교하였다. 또한 도출된 결과가 노인들만의 특징인지를 파악하기 위하여 대학생, 직장인 각 10 명씩을 대상으로 노인을 대상으로 한 연구 방식과 동일한 방법으로 데이터를 수집, 분석 하였다. 최종적으로 본 연구는 사회감성적 선택 이론 (Socioemotional Selectivity Theory, SST)를 바탕으로 인터넷에서의 Social Network 활동도 오프라인과 유사한 특징을 가지고 있으며, 현재 친하게 지내고 있는 사람들을 중심으로 SN 을 강화시키려 하는 강화형 타입과 새로운 SN을 생성하기 위하여 노력하는 확장형 타입으로 구분할 수 있었다. 추후 이러한 특징들을 반영하여 노인들을 위한 SNS 가 지녀야 할 기능적, 시스템적 요소를 제안하고, 추후 연구 및 SNS 개발과 관련한 계획을 정리하였다.

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A SD approach to the Efficiency Improvement of Electric Power Industry in Korea: Focused on the Nuclear Industry (시스템 다이내믹스(SD)에 의한 국내 전력산업의 효율성 제고에 관한 연구: 원자력산업을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Myoung-Ho;Lee, Hee-Sang;Jang, In-Sung;Choi, Bong-Sik;Huh, Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.99-109
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    • 2001
  • In this study, we tried to build a model which can deal with the efficient and effective operation of electric power industry, especially focused on the nuclear industry. Here, SD (System Dynamics) approach is used to visualize the underlying phenomenon of the nuclear power industry. SD is a methodology for studying and managing complex feedback systems, such as one finds in business and other social systems. The spend of SD applications has grown extensively and now encompasses work in corporate planning and policy design, public management and policy, biological and medical modeling, energy and the environment. Recently, according to the report from KEPCO (Korea Electric Power Corporation), they are considering delaying a new power plant construction. It may be based upon business fluctuation downsized from Korean economic crisis in 1997 and freezing of construction funds due to unstable foreign exchange rate. At this point, we need disparately a kind of strategic model that would contribute to cope with the current business situation, energy generation, production, and resulting pollution. Specifically, this model, using SD approach, starts with the detailed drawing of influence diagram, which describes those relevant key points on nuclear power generation systems in electric power industry of Korea. These include such factors as the operation of nuclear industry and parameters related to the decision making for business policy. Based upon the above-mentioned influence diagram drawn, we developed SD simulation model to evaluate and analyze strategic management of KEPCO. Based on our analysis, we could demonstrate how simulation model can be applied to the real electric power generation in Korea.

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A Study on Forecasting Model based Weighted Moving Average for Cable TV Advertising Market (가중이동평균법을 이용한 케이블TV 광고시장에 대한 예측모형 개발)

  • Cho, Jae Hyung;Kim, Ho Young
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.153-171
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    • 2016
  • Purpose This study suggests the development of forecasting model for local cable TV advertisement. In order to verify the expected effect of the suggestion, using the causal loop map of System Dynamics, the factors affecting the prospects of cable TV commercial market were divided into 5 groups. Then targeting 97 people involved in the cable TV commercial market in Busan, Ulsan, and Gyeongnam, a survey was conducted on their perception of the current status of local advertisement market and future prospect. Design/methodology/approach The analysis of the collected data shows that workers in advertising and advertisers perceive the influence of cable TV as an advertising media to be high, while clearly understanding the problems of cable TV commercial market. Based on this the effects on the prospects of cable TV commercial market were analyzed and a forecasting method called Weighted Moving Average was applied. In order to improve accuracy of the added value of Weighted Moving Average, the 5 factors were divided into qualitative factors and quantitative factors, and using Multi-attribute Decision Making method, all the factors were normalized and weighting factors were deduced. The result of simulating the prospects of cable TV commercial market using Weighted Moving Average, both qualitative and quantitative factors showed downward turn in the market prospect for the following 10 years. Findings The result reflects generally negative perception of advertisement viewers about the prospects of cable TV commercial market. Compared to the previous studies on domestic cable TV commercials that focused on policy suggestions and surveys on perception of current status, this study has its significance in that it used scientific method and simulation for verification.

Evaluation of a New Fine-mapping Method Exploiting Linkage Disequilibrium: a Case Study Analysing a QTL with Major Effect on Milk Composition on Bovine Chromosome 14

  • Kim, JongJoo;Georges, Michel
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.15 no.9
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    • pp.1250-1256
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    • 2002
  • A novel fine-mapping method exploiting linkage disequilibrium (LD) was applied to better refine the quantitative trait loci (QTL) positions for milk production traits on bovine chromosome 14 in the pedigree comprising 22 paternal half-sib families of a Black-and-White Holstein-Friesian grand-daughter design in the Netherlands for a total of 1,034 sons. The chromosome map was constructed with the 31 genetic markers spanning 90 Kosambi cM with the average inter-marker distance of 3.5 cM. The linkage analyses, in which the effects of sire QTL alleles were assumed random and the random factor of the QTL allelic effects was incorporated into the Animal Model, found the QTL for milk, fat, and protein yield and fat and protein % with the Lod scores of 10.9, 2.3, 6.0, 25.4 and 3.2, respectively. The joint analyses including LD information by use of multi-marker haplotypes highly increased the evidence of the QTL (Lod scores were 25.1, 20.9, 11.0, 85.7 and 17.4 for the corresponding traits, respectively). The joint analyses including DGAT markers in the defined haplotypes again increased the QTL evidence and the most likely QTL positions for the five traits coincided with the position of the DGAT gene, supporting the hypothesis of the direct causal involvement of the DGAT gene. This study strongly indicates that the exploitation of LD information will allow additional gains of power and precision in finding and localising QTL of interest in livestock species, on the condition of high marker density around the QTL region.

Position and Validation of Local Finance Decentralization : Focusing on Dynamics of System Thinking (지방재정분권화의 차원과 타당성 : 시스템사고의 동태적 역학관계를 중심으로)

  • Choi, Ho-Taek;Jung, Seok-Hwan
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.235-243
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    • 2013
  • This study analyzes the interaction of variables consisting of the local finance system based on the theory of system thinking regarding how financial decentralization can be understood as the political means for local decentralization and why it is needed. The results gained from this research are as follows: first, variables consisting of the local finance system form interactional relationship in the significant level, and it has been found that rapid growth and rapid decline repeat with five positive feedback loops as the center. Second, strategic points for the validity of local finance decentralization were discovered through causal map modeling. In particular, it has been shown that the virtuous cycle structure declines the local finance system through the constant operation of variables (government subsidies, taxation for real estate transactions, central government's local finance mediation system, and local government debt, etc.) that deteriorate the vicious cycle structure. Based on this, strategic policy tasks were drawn. It is expected that this study will help the understanding of the local finance system and increase academic width for local finance from the aspects of general knowledge, not the knowledge about local finance decentralization.

Cause Analysis and Reduction of Safety Accident in Modular Construction - Focusing on Manufacturing and Construction Process - (모듈러 건축에서의 안전사고 원인 분석 및 저감방안 - 제작 및 시공단계 작업을 중심으로 -)

  • Jeong, Gilsu;Lee, Hyunsoo;Park, Moonseo;Hyun, Hosang;Kim, Hyunsoo
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Structure & Construction
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    • v.35 no.8
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    • pp.157-168
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    • 2019
  • Modular Construction is regarded as having enhanced safety compared to traditional construction since most of modular manufacturing process in plants. Unlike general consideration for safety in modular construction, several industrial accident data and studies have pointed out that the accident rate of modular construction is not enough less as much as the practitioners have expected. It means that there is a clear need for improvement of safety management in modular construction. To enhance safety, it is necessary to identify the type and cause of accident through accident cases in order to prevent safety accident in advance. In this consideration, this study analyzed the types and causes of accidents through root cause analysis procedure with accident cases of U.S. OSHA. The classification was carried out in the order of process type, accident type and cause of accident. By following the classification criteria in this study, the causal factor was derived and the root cause map was created. Based on the analysis results, cross-analysis was conducted and it is shown that activity characteristics of modular construction are related to safety accidents. In addition, prevention methods to reduce safety accident by major activity are presented in terms of organizational, educational and technical aspects. This study contributes that the result can be used as the basic safety management in the manufacturing and construction process of modular construction.

Development of a Demand Model for Physician Workforce Projection on Regional Inequity Problem in Korea Using System Dynamics (시스템 다이내믹스를 활용한 지역별 국내 의사인력 수요에 대한 추계모델 개발)

  • Lee, Gyeong Min;Yoo, Ki-Bong
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.73-93
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    • 2022
  • Background: Appropriate physician workforce projection through reasonable discussions and decisions with a broad view on supply and demand of the workforce, thus, is very important for high-quality healthcare services. The study expects to provide preliminary research data on the workforce diagnosis standard model for Korean physician workforce policy decision through more flexible and objective physician workforce projection in reflection of diverse changes in healthcare policy and sociodemographic environments. Methods: A low flow rate through the causal map was developed, and an objective workforce demand projection from 2019 to 2040 was conducted. In addition, projections by scenarios under various situations were conducted with the low flow rate developed in the study. Lastly, the demand projection of the physician workforce by region of 17 cities and provinces was conducted. Results: First, demand of physicians in 2019 was 110,665, 113,450 in 2020, 129,496 in 2025, 146,837 in 2030, 163,719 in 2035, and 179,288 in 2040. Second, the scenario for the retirement of baby boomers led to a decrease in the growth rate due to time delay. Third, Seoul and Gyeonggi-do account for a high percentage of demand, a very high upward trend was identified in Gyeonggi-do, and as a result, the projection showed that the demand of the physician workforce in Gyeonggi-do would worsen over time. Conclusion: This study is meaningful in that rational and collective physician workforce supply and demand and its imbalance in workforce distribution were verified through various projections by scenarios and regions of Korea with System Dynamics.

An Investigation of the Types of Analogies Generated by Science-Gifted Student, Mapping Errors on the Chromatography, and the Perceptions on Generating Analogy (크로마토그래피 개념에 대해 중학교 과학영재가 만든 비유의 유형과 대응 오류 및 비유 만들기 활동에 대한 인식 조사)

  • Kim, You-Jung;Moon, Se-Jeong;Noh, Tae-Hee
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.29 no.8
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    • pp.861-873
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    • 2009
  • This study investigated the types of analogies generated by science-gifted students, mapping errors on the chromatography, and the perceptions on generating analogy. The subjects were science-gifted eighth-graders (N=68) enrolled at four gifted-education centers in Seoul. Analyses of the results revealed that most science-gifted students represented the analogies using verbal and pictorial forms based on concrete and everyday experiences, and they elaborately explained them including the functional attributes and the causal relationships of the target concept. Science-gifted students selected the analogies having rich similarities or similar structure and principle between the target concept and the analogy as the best of the self-generated analogies. And they used mainly their 'school life' as analogy materials. The results of the mapping test showed that many science-gifted students had mapping errors such as 'failure to map' and 'overmapping'. They were found to have the positive perceptions on generating analogy. The present study will provide the basic information to develop an instructional model in generating analogy in an education program for science-gifted students.