• Title/Summary/Keyword: bootstrap test

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Causality change between Korea and other major equity markets

  • Kwon, Tae Yeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.397-409
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    • 2018
  • The world financial markets are inter-linked in ways that varies according to market and time. We examine the causality of change focusing on the Korean market as related to the U.S. (S&P 500), Japan (Nikkei 225), Hong-Kong (HSI), and European (DAX) markets. In order to capture time-varying causality running from and to the Korea stock market, we apply the Granger causality test under a VAR model with a wild bootstrap rolling-window approach. We also propose a new concept of a significant causality ratio to measure the intensity of the Granger causality in each time unit. There are many asymmetric strengths in mutual Granger causal relationships. Moreover, there are cases with significant Granger causal relations only in one direction. The period with the most severe Granger causality both running from and to the KOSPI market is the GFC. The market that formed the two-way Granger causal relationship with the KOSPI market for the longest period is the S&P 500. The HSI and DAX markets have the strongest two-way Granger causal relationship with the KOSPI shortly after 2000, and the Nikkei market had the strongest two-way Granger causal relationship with the KOSPI market before the Asian financial crisis.

Size Refinement of Empirical Likelihood Tests in Time Series Models using Sieve Bootstraps

  • Lee, Jin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.199-205
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    • 2013
  • We employ sieve bootstraps for empirical likelihood tests in time series models because their null distributions are often vulnerable to the presence of serial dependence. We found a significant size refinement of the bootstrapped versions of a Lagrangian Multiplier type test statistic regardless of the bandwidth choice required by long-run variance estimations.

Reference Intervals from Hospital-Based Data for Hematologic and Serum Chemistry Values in Dogs (병원자료에 근거한 혈액 및 혈액화학 검사항목의 참고구간 설정)

  • Kwon, Young-Wook;Pak, Son-Il
    • Journal of Veterinary Clinics
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.66-70
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    • 2010
  • Reference interval is critical for interpreting laboratory results, monitoring response to therapy and predicting the prognosis of the patients in clinical settings. The aim of the present study was to update established reference intervals for routine hematologic and serum chemistry values for a population of clinically healthy dogs (range, 1-8 years) seen in an animal hospital. Blood was obtained by venipuncture while animals were physically restrained, and samples were analyzed for 9 chemistries on MS9-5H (Melot Schloesing Lab, France) and 6 hematology on Vet Test 8008 (IDEXX, USA). Data from 105 dogs (52 males and 53 females) for hematology and 113 dogs (37 males and 76 females) for chemistry were used to determine reference intervals using the parametric, nonparametric and bootstrap methods. Prior to analysis, all parameters were tested for normal distribution using Anderson-Darling criterion. Of the 9 biochemical analytes, alkaline phosphatase, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, creatinine, total protein, and glucose concentrations did not fit normal distribution for both original and transformed data. All but eosinophil count satisfied normal distribution for either original or transformed data. Parametric method can be used for original cholesterol concentrations, RBC, WBC, and neutrophil counts. This technique can also be used for power-transformed values of blood urea nitrogen concentrations and for logarithm of lymphocyte and monocyte counts. Non-parametric or bootstrap method was the preferred choice for the remaining 7 biochemical parameters and eosinophil count as they did not follow normal distributions. All three statistical techniques performed in similar reference intervals. When establishing reference intervals for clinical laboratory data, it is essential to assess the distribution of the original data to increase the accuracy of the interval, and non-parametric or bootstrap methods are of alternative for the data that do not fit normal distribution.

A Unit Root Test via a Discrete Cosine Transform (이산코사인변환을 이용한 단위근 검정)

  • Lee, Go-Un;Yeo, In-Kwon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we introduce a unit root test via discrete cosine transform in the AR(1) process. We first investigate the statistical properties of DCT coefficients under the stationary AR(1) process and the random walk process in order to verify the validity of the proposed method. A bootstrapping approach is proposed to induce the distribution of the test statistic under the unit root. We performed simulation studies for comparing the powers of the Dickey-Fuller test and the proposed test.

Bootstrap inference for covariance matrices of two independent populations (두 독립 모집단의 공분산 행렬에 대한 붓스트랩 추론)

  • 김기영;전명식
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 1991
  • It is of great interest to consider the homogeniety of covariance matrices in MANOVA of discriminant analysis. If we lock at the problem of testing hypothesis, H : $\Sigma_1 = \Sigma_2$ from an invariance point of view where $\Sigma_i$ are the covariance matrix of two independent p-variate distribution, the testing problem is invariant under the group of nonsingular transformations and the hypothesis becomes H : $\delta_1 = \delta_2 = \cdots = \delta_p = 1$ where $\delta = (\delta_1, \delta_2, \cdots, \delta_p)$ is a vector of latent roots of $\Sigma$. Bias-corrected estimators of eigenvalues and sampling distribution of the test statistics proposed are obtained. Pooled-bootstrap method also considered for Bartlett's modified likelihood ratio statistics.

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Effects of Family Environment and Parental Neglect on Adolescent's Contact with Harmful Environments (가정환경 및 부모의 방임이 청소년의 유해환경 접촉에 미치는 영향)

  • Cho, Yoon-Ju
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.50 no.5
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    • pp.115-124
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the mediating effects of parental neglect on the relationship between family environment, such as economic status and harmony of family and contact with harmful environments. The data came from the 2009 Korean Survey on the Rights of Youth (N = 6,601). The data was analyzed using Structural Equation Modeling by means of SPSS 17.0 and AMOS 7.0. Bootstrap method used to test significant mediating effects. We found that family environment influences an adolescent's contact with harmful environments through parental neglect, showing that family environment has both indirect and direct effects. The results suggested that a family with low socio-economic status and more stress than harmony engenders a negative effect on the behavior of parents providing care and affection. This neglect influences the adolescent's contact with harmful environments such as harmful media and facilities. It must be acknowledged that parental care and suitable affection play a minimal role in adolescent's contact with harmful environments.

Improvement of an Automatic Segmentation for TTS Using Voiced/Unvoiced/Silence Information (유/무성/묵음 정보를 이용한 TTS용 자동음소분할기 성능향상)

  • Kim Min-Je;Lee Jung-Chul;Kim Jong-Jin
    • MALSORI
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    • no.58
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    • pp.67-81
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    • 2006
  • For a large corpus of time-aligned data, HMM based approaches are most widely used for automatic segmentation, providing a consistent and accurate phone labeling scheme. There are two methods for training in HMM. Flat starting method has a property that human interference is minimized but it has low accuracy. Bootstrap method has a high accuracy, but it has a defect that manual segmentation is required In this paper, a new algorithm is proposed to minimize manual work and to improve the performance of automatic segmentation. At first phase, voiced, unvoiced and silence classification is performed for each speech data frame. At second phase, the phoneme sequence is aligned dynamically to the voiced/unvoiced/silence sequence according to the acoustic phonetic rules. Finally, using these segmented speech data as a bootstrap, phoneme model parameters based on HMM are trained. For the performance test, hand labeled ETRI speech DB was used. The experiment results showed that our algorithm achieved 10% improvement of segmentation accuracy within 20 ms tolerable error range. Especially for the unvoiced consonants, it showed 30% improvement.

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A Generalized Likelihood Ratio Test in Outlier Detection (이상점 탐지를 위한 일반화 우도비 검정)

  • Jang Sun Baek
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.225-237
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    • 1994
  • A generalized likelihood ratio test is developed to detect an outlier associated with monitoring nuclear proliferation. While the classical outlier detection methods consider continuous variables only, our approach allows both continuous and discrete variables or a mixture of continuous and discrete variables to be used. In addition, our method is free of the normality assumption, which is the key assumption in most of the classical methods. The proposed test is constructed by applying the bootstrap to a generalized likelihood ratio. We investigate the performance of the test by studying the power with simulations.

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On the Equality of Two Distributions Based on Nonparametric Kernel Density Estimator

  • Kim, Dae-Hak;Oh, Kwang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.247-255
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    • 2003
  • Hypothesis testing for the equality of two distributions were considered. Nonparametric kernel density estimates were used for testing equality of distributions. Cross-validatory choice of bandwidth was used in the kernel density estimation. Sampling distribution of considered test statistic were developed by resampling method, called the bootstrap. Small sample Monte Carlo simulation were conducted. Empirical power of considered tests were compared for variety distributions.

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Auto-Configuration Mechanisms Using Network Management at Optical Internet (광 인터넷에서 망 관리를 이용한 자동 구성 메커니즘)

  • 안명규;권태현;차영욱
    • Proceedings of the Korea Multimedia Society Conference
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    • 2002.11b
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    • pp.640-643
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    • 2002
  • 링크 관리 프로토콜에서 데이터 링크의 연결성 검증 및 링크 식별자의 자동 매핑을 위하여 교환하는 Test 메시지와 제어채널의 IP 주소를 자동으로 발견하기 위한 Bootstrap 메시지는 제어채널이 아닌 데이터 링크로 전달되므로 광 네트워크에서 불투명한 스위칭 기술을 요구한다. 본 논문에서는 불투명한 스위칭 기술을 지원하지 않는 광 네트워크에서 망 관리 기능을 이용하여 인접 노드 사이의 제어채널에 대한 IP 주소 및 인접 노드와 데이터 링크에 대한 식별자를 자동으로 구성 할 수 있는 메커니즘을 제안한다. 망 관리를 통한 자동 구성은 불투명한 스위칭 기술을 지원하지 않는 광 네트워크에서 수동 구성에 따른 오류 발생의 가능성을 개선시킬 수 있다.

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