• 인터넷정보학회논문지
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• 제19권6호
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• pp.101-112
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• 2018

A lot of manpower and budgets are being used to prevent fires, and only a small portion of the data generated during this process is used for disaster prevention activities. This study develops a prediction model of fire occurrence probability based on data mining in order to more actively use these data for disaster prevention activities. For this purpose, variables for predicting fire occurrence probability of various buildings were selected and data of construction administrative system, national fire information system, and Korea Fire Insurance Association were collected and integrated data set was constructed. After appropriate data cleansing and preprocessing, various data mining methodologies such as artificial neural network, decision trees, SVM, and Naive Bayesian were used to develop a prediction model of the fire occurrence probability of buildings. The most accurate model among the derived models is Linear SVM model which shows 68.42% as experimental data and 63.54% as verification data and it is the best model to predict fire occurrence probability of buildings. As this study develops the prediction model which uses only the set values of the specific ranges, future studies may explore more opportunites to use various setting values not shown in this study.

• Steel and Composite Structures
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• 제44권1호
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• pp.119-139
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• 2022

This paper aims to use the artificial intelligence approach to develop a new model for predicting the ultimate axial strength of the circular concrete-filled steel tubular (CFST) stub columns. For this, the results of 314 experimentally tested circular CFST stub columns were employed in the generation of the design model. Since the influence of the column diameter, steel tube thickness, concrete compressive strength, steel tube yield strength, and column length on the ultimate axial strengths of columns were investigated in these experimental studies, here, in the development of the design model, these variables were taken into account as input parameters. The model was developed using the backpropagation algorithm named Bayesian Regularization. The accuracy, reliability, and consistency of the developed model were evaluated statistically, and also the design formulae given in the codes (EC4, ACI, AS, AIJ, and AISC) and the previous empirical formulations proposed by other researchers were used for the validation and comparison purposes. Based on this evaluation, it can be expressed that the developed design model has a strong and reliable prediction performance with a considerably high coefficient of determination (R-squared) value of 0.9994 and a low average percent error of 4.61. Besides, the sensitivity of the developed model was also monitored in terms of dimensional properties of columns and mechanical characteristics of materials. As a consequence, it can be stated that for the design of the ultimate axial capacity of the circular CFST stub columns, a novel artificial intelligence-based design model with a good and robust prediction performance was proposed herein.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2021년도 학술발표회
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• pp.373-373
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• 2021

Rainfall forecasting is an important issue that is applied in many areas, such as agriculture, flood warning, and water resources management. In this context, this study proposed a statistical and machine learning-based forecasting model for monthly rainfall. The Bayesian Gaussian process was chosen to optimize the hyperparameters of the Stacked Long Short-term memory (SLSTM) model. The proposed SLSTM model was applied for predicting monthly precipitation of Seoul station, South Korea. Data were retrieved from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) in the period between 1960 and 2019. Four schemes were examined in this study: (i) prediction with only rainfall; (ii) with deseasonalized rainfall; (iii) with rainfall and minimum temperature; (iv) with deseasonalized rainfall and minimum temperature. The error of predicted rainfall based on the root mean squared error (RMSE), 16-17 mm, is relatively small compared with the average monthly rainfall at Seoul station is 117mm. The results showed scheme (iv) gives the best prediction result. Therefore, this approach is more straightforward than the hydrological and hydraulic models, which request much more input data. The result indicated that a deep learning network could be applied successfully in the hydrology field. Overall, the proposed method is promising, given a good solution for rainfall prediction.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2020년도 학술발표회
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• pp.292-292
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• 2020

방조제는 국토 확장, 수자원 확보 및 배수 개선에 사용되는 구조물로, 재난 발생 시 자산, 국가산업 및 환경에 큰 영향을 끼칠 위험이 있다. 따라서, 파도월류, 지진, 투수, 액상화와 같은 다양한 피해 원인에 대비하여 구조적 사용성과 안정성을 확보하기 위해 신중한 검토 및 분석이 수행된다. 그러나 변화하는 환경조건에서 방조제는 다양한 외력의 변동성과 불확실성에 노출되며, 설계 시 고려된 손상 요인이 개별적으로 발생하기보다는 여러 요인이 복합적으로 반응하고 그 영향이 전달되어 피해의 발생과 전파 과정이 복잡한 양상을 나타낸다. 따라서 방조제에 대한 사고 예방 및 안정적인 유지관리를 위해서는 발생 가능한 위험을 종합적으로 고려한 위험도 평가가 중요하게 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 방조제 손상 원인 중 큰 비중을 차지하는 제체 내부 침식 위험에 대하여 위험인자 간 상호작용을 고려할 수 있는 확률통계학적 접근으로 Bayesian network 기법을 도입하였다. 위험인자에 대한 파괴 메커니즘을 조사하여 분류 후, 설계값과 측정자료를 기반으로 위험변수의 통계적 특성을 반영하기 위해 Monte Carlo 시뮬레이션을 수행하여 파괴 매커니즘의 위험도를 계산하였다. 위험도는 연간기대피해액으로 제공되었으며, 이는 방조제 손상으로 인한 피해에 대비하여 예방할 수 있는 솔루션을 제공할 것으로 기대된다.

• Steel and Composite Structures
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• 제47권6호
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• pp.759-779
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• 2023

The paper proposes two hybrid metaheuristic optimization and artificial neural network (ANN) methods for the close prediction of the ultimate axial compressive capacity of concentrically loaded concrete filled double skin steel tube (CFDST) columns. Two metaheuristic optimization, namely genetic algorithm (GA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO), approaches enable the dynamic training architecture underlying an ANN model by optimizing the number and sizes of hidden layers as well as the weights and biases of the neurons, simultaneously. The former is termed as GA-ANN, and the latter as PSO-ANN. These techniques utilize the gradient-based optimization with Bayesian regularization that enhances the optimization process. The proposed GA-ANN and PSO-ANN methods construct the predictive ANNs from 125 available experimental datasets and present the superior performance over standard ANNs. Both the hybrid GA-ANN and PSO-ANN methods are encoded within a user-friendly graphical interface that can reliably map out the accurate ultimate axial compressive capacity of CFDST columns with various geometry and material parameters.

• Journal of Korea Artificial Intelligence Association
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• 제1권1호
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• pp.11-16
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• 2023

Accurate hospital case modeling and prediction are crucial for efficient healthcare. In this study, we demonstrate the implementation of regression analysis methods in machine learning systems utilizing mathematical statics and machine learning techniques. The developed machine learning model includes Bayesian linear, artificial neural network, decision tree, decision forest, and linear regression analysis models. Through the application of these algorithms, corresponding regression models were constructed and analyzed. The results suggest the potential of leveraging machine learning systems for medical research. The experiment aimed to create an Azure Machine Learning Studio tool for the speedy evaluation of multiple regression models. The tool faciliates the comparision of 5 types of regression models in a unified experiment and presents assessment results with performance metrics. Evaluation of regression machine learning models highlighted the advantages of boosted decision tree regression, and decision forest regression in hospital case prediction. These findings could lay the groundwork for the deliberate development of new directions in medical data processing and decision making. Furthermore, potential avenues for future research may include exploring methods such as clustering, classification, and anomaly detection in healthcare systems.

• 정보처리학회 논문지
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• 제13권5호
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• pp.227-235
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• 2024

원자력발전소에서 디지털 계측제어 시스템 비중이 높아지면서 원자력발전소에 대한 확률론적 안정성 평가 시 소프트웨어에 대한 신뢰도 평가가 중요해졌다. 원전 소프트웨어 신뢰도 추정을 위한 방법들이 몇 가지 제안 되었지만 해당 방법의 효과적 적용을 지원하는 도구 지원이 미비하였다. 본 연구에서는 소프트웨어 개발 품질 및 검증 품질과 같은 정성적 정보와 통계적 시험 결과와 같은 정량적 정보를 활용하여 원전 소프트웨어 신뢰도를 정량적으로 측정할 수 있는 자동화 도구를 설계하였고 구현하였다. 개발된 도구를 산업용 원자로 보호 시스템 사례에 적용한 결과, 개발된 도구가 원전 소프트웨어의 신뢰성 평가를 효과적으로 지원할 수 있음을 확인하였다.

• Asia pacific journal of information systems
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• 제29권4호
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• pp.771-788
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• 2019

Deep learning techniques such as Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) show superior performance in text classification than traditional approaches such as Support Vector Machines (SVMs) and Naïve Bayesian approaches. When using CNNs for text classification tasks, word embedding or character embedding is a step to transform words or characters to fixed size vectors before feeding them into convolutional layers. In this paper, we propose a parallel word-level and character-level embedding approach in CNNs for text classification. The proposed approach can capture word-level and character-level patterns concurrently in CNNs. To show the usefulness of proposed approach, we perform experiments with two English and three Korean text datasets. The experimental results show that character-level embedding works better in Korean and word-level embedding performs well in English. Also the experimental results reveal that the proposed approach provides better performance than traditional CNNs with word-level embedding or character-level embedding in both Korean and English documents. From more detail investigation, we find that the proposed approach tends to perform better when there is relatively small amount of data comparing to the traditional embedding approaches.

• 한국전자통신학회논문지
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• 제12권5호
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• pp.923-932
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• 2017

본 논문에서는 기존의 문제점인 얼굴 움직임이 있을 시 시선 식별이 어려운 점과 사용자에 따른 교정작업이 필요하다는 점을 해결하고자 새로운 시선 식별 시스템과 얼굴인식에 필요한 GRNN(: Generalized Regression Neural Network) 알고리즘을 제안한다. Kalman필터를 사용하여 현재 머리의 위치정보를 이용하여 미래위치를 추정하였고 얼굴의 진위 여부를 판단하기 위해서 얼굴의 특징요소를 구조적 정보와 비교적 처리시간이 빠른 수평, 수직 히스토그램 분석법을 이용하여 얼굴의 요소를 검출한다. 그리고 적외선 조명기를 구성하여 밝은 동공효과를 얻어 동공을 실시간으로 검출, 추적하였고 동공-글린트 벡터를 추출하여 의료정보 보호에 도움을 주고자 한다.

• 한국정보과학회논문지:소프트웨어및응용
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• 제35권10호
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• pp.589-599
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• 2008

정확한 소프트웨어 공수 예측은 소프트웨어 관련 여러 커뮤니티들에서 예전부터 항상 이슈가 되어 왔다. 소프트웨어 공수 예측의 정확도를 향상시키기 위해 지금까지 많은 연구들에서는 데이타 품질이 공수 예측에 중요한 요소들 중 하나임에도 불구하고 이것에 대한 고려 없이 공수 예측 기법들에만 초점을 맞추어 왔다. 본 연구에서는 소프웨어어 공수 예측 기법과 이상치 제거 기법들 사이의 영향 관계를 공수 예측 정확도의 관점에서 실험적으로 살펴본다. 두 개의 프로젝트 데이타들(ISBSG와 국내의 한 금융 조직으로부터 수집된 데이타)에 대해 일반적으로 많이 사용되는 세 가지 공수 예측 기법(최소제곱법, 신경망 네트워크, 그리고 베이지안 네트워크)과 두 가지 이상치 제거 기법(최소절사제곱법과 K-means 클러스터링)을 적용시켜 결과들을 서로 비교해 보고 이상치 제거 기법을 적용하지 않은 결과와도 비교해 본다.