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TPP versus RCEP: Control of Membership and Agenda Setting

  • Hamanaka, Shintaro
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.163-186
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    • 2014
  • This paper argues that the formation of regional integration frameworks can be best understood as a dominant state's attempt to create a preferred regional framework in which it can exercise exclusive influence. In this context, it is important to observe not only which countries are included in a regional framework, but also which countries are excluded from it. For example, the distinct feature of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) is its exclusion of China, and that of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) is its exclusion of the United States (US). An exclusion of a particular country does not mean that the excluded country will perpetually remain outside the framework. In fact, TPP may someday include China, resulting from a policy of the US "engaging" or "socializing" China rather than "balancing" against it. However, the first step of such a policy is to establish a regional framework from which the target country of engagement is excluded.

Sophistication of Export Basket: The Case of Petrochemical Industries in Ulsan, Korea (수출산업 고도화전략에 대한 연구: 울산지역 석유화학산업을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Byeong Wan;Kim, Tae-Hyun
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.237-251
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    • 2019
  • This paper seeks to recommend strategic policy options geared towards enhancing sophistication level of Ulsan City's major export industries in the Republic of Korea. Ulsan's major export industries, including shipbuilding, automobile and petrochemical industries, turn out to be based mostly on low to medium technology with low R&D intensity suggesting relatively low level of product sophistication. Using a recent Eurostat high-tech industry classification table which suggests 9 high-tech industries, the paper identifies Ulsan's chemical industry as the only RCA industry. Focusing on chemical industry products at HS 6-digit level, specific products are identified at the efficiency frontier for future policy considerations.

Impacts of US Monetary Policy on Domestic Bond and FX Swap Markets (미국 통화정책이 국내 채권 및 외환스왑시장에 미치는 영향)

  • Kwon, Yongo;Kim, Mira;So, Inhwan
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.1-36
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    • 2021
  • Given the US dollar's status as a global safe haven, global factors, such as US monetary policy, may have considerable impacts on financial markets in other countries. Regarding such hypothesis, this paper looked at the impacts of US monetary policy on domestic bond and FX swap markets through an event study. According to our analysis, US monetary policy had significant positive impacts on domestic interest rates. In particular, it turned out to have bigger impacts on long-term products with high term premiums. By period, the correlation between US monetary policy and domestic interest rates was not significant before the financial crisis, but was clearly positive after the crisis. The US conventional monetary policy was seen to have big impacts on short-term and medium-term KTB yields, while its unconventional monetary policy had major impacts on long-term KTB yields. Moreover, FX swap rates reacted very sensitively to US monetary policy shocks before the financial crisis, while they did not show any significant reactions after the crisis. This suggests that, in line with the covered interest rate parity, the impact of US monetary policy shocks was transmitted to domestic financial markets mainly through swap rate adjustments before the global financial crisis, but through the changes in domestic interest rates during the post-crisis period.

An Estimation of ASL in Appraisal : Using Korea National Wealth Survey Data (유형고정자산 감정을 위한 내용연수 산정)

  • Oh, H.S.;Lee, S.J.;Kwon, J.H.;Jung, N.Y.;Cho, J.H.
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.141-152
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    • 2018
  • Although the 1997 Raw Data of the National Wealth Statistical Survey (South Korea) is timely 20-year-old data, it is meaningful as a benchmarking in the capital stock estimations of Korea, which is estimated by PIM (permanent inventory method). In the case of machinery/equipment, it is the data that can analyze in depth the changes in the industrial structure of Korea. In the case of ASL (average service life) which has economic concept, since the change of ASL is not so large, ASL yielded by the Raw Data of the 1997 National Wealth Statistical Survey is meaningful as reference value for the ASL estimated by the Bank of Korea and the National Statistical Office. As you know Japan has changed its service life due to changes in its industrial structure. However, many of its assets are still used for the years indicated in Showa (before 1989). The same trend with other countries such as Japan. However, the United States is constantly devoted to assessing the useful ASL and value of assets by distinguishing between the Hulten-Wykoff models and those not. Korea has also benchmarked the useful ASL of the United States and Japan when it conducted its own survey every 10 years by due diligence until 1997. In this study, the 'constraint' Iowa curve estimation by the Raw Data of the 1997 National Wealth Statistical Survey is based on the age records of the assets and the maximum age of the assets appropriately derived. And then we made modified Iowa curve by smoothing. From this modified one, we suggested ASL by asset. After 1997, the vintage disposal data directly were collected by the National Statistical Office with Oh Hyun Seung, Cho Jin Hyung, in order to estimate the useful ASL. Since then, the B/S team of the Economic and Statistics Bureau of the Bank of Korea has been working on a new concept of content training.

Comparison of the RCA Between China and KOR: From the Perspective of Value-Added

  • Xiaosong Jiao;Yingqi Cao;Lily Jiao;Chandaith Neak;Yaqian Zhang
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.23-38
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - This paper empirically explores the RCA of electrical equipment trade between China and Korea from the perspective of gross trade and value-added trade. The goal of this paper is to scan the electrical equipment's RCA, the decomposition of gross exports, and the impacts of an exerted shock. Design/methodology - We applied the domestic value-added method in measuring the RCA, which could be more accurate than traditional RCA since it excludes foreign value-added. Based on the research purpose, this paper follows the framework of Koopman, Wang, and Wei (2014)-as extended by Wang, Wei, and Zhu (2018). It extracts the data from the 2019 Multi-regional Input-Output (MRIO) databases compiled by the Asian Development Bank in January 2021. Findings - After rigorous examination, the main findings are as follows: First, the electrical equipment sector maintains a consistent comparative advantage in either assessing method. Second, China exports more gross goods of electrical equipment to the world than South Korea does, but there is a trade deficit with Korea. Third, South Korea and P.R. China are the most significant bilateral partners of foreign value-added sourcing. Finally, it is surprising that there is a shock on electrical equipment; the partner's service, as well as manufacturing sectors, would be affected. Originality/value - This paper explores the revealed comparative advantage between Korea and China from traditional gross export and value-added perspectives. Second, we apply the information from the 2019 MRIO database compiled by the Asian Development Bank in January 2021, reflecting the current situation. Third, this paper analyzes the electrical equipment and the impacts on other parties' sectors. Finally, we carry out the subjects that deserve to be investigated in the future.

SOHO Bankruptcy Prediction Using Modified Bagging Predictors (Modified Bagging Predictors를 이용한 SOHO 부도 예측)

  • Kim, Seung-Hyuk;Kim, Jong-Woo
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2007
  • In this study, a SOHO (Small Office Home Office) bankruptcy prediction model is proposed using Modified Bagging Predictors which is modification of traditional Bagging Predictors. There have been several studies on bankruptcy prediction for large and middle size companies. However, little studies have been done for SOHOs. In commercial banks, loan approval processes for SOHOs are usually less structured than those for large and middle size companies, and largely depend on partial information such as credit scores. In this study, we use a real SOHO loan approval data set of a Korean bank. First, decision tree induction techniques and artificial neural networks are applied to the data set, and the results are not satisfactory. Bagging Predictors which has been not previously applied for bankruptcy prediction and Modified Bagging Predictors which is proposed in this paper are applied to the data set. The experimental results show that Modified Bagging Predictors provides better performance than decision tree inductions techniques, artificial neural networks, and Bagging Predictors.

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The Strategies of Francaise Business Model in Banking Services (소매금융을 중심으로 한 은행 창구 프랜차이즈화 전략)

  • Han, sun ho;Lee, jung kyu;Yu, jong pil
    • The Korean Journal of Franchise Management
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.87-103
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    • 2010
  • Today, banks offer banking services to a large number of customers by a branch network spread all over the nation. The quantity and quality of services are advanced by fierce competition in their field. So they are attracting customers based on high confidence in the financial industry. In spite of these developments, the retail bank market currently does not satisfy customers demands and various desires. In this research, the problems with banking services were observed. It was proposed that the banking services apply a franchise business model. First, this proposal will reduce the business expenses by collaborating profits with head office of banks and affiliates. Second, it will offer greater satisfaction to the customers. Through the mutual collaboration with head office of banks and affiliates in this proposal, it is anticipated that banks will reduce their business expenses and improve services for customers by offering convenient and fast banking services. It is also expected that the banks will expand and make up their weakness through increased profit and customers will be provided additional services.

A Study on the Effects of Teleservice on Travel Demand (텔레서비스가 교통수요에 미치는 영향)

  • 이선하
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.7-18
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    • 1999
  • This Paper focuses on analyzing the influences of Teleservice on travel behavior and trip demand based on the individual behavior model. The first step is to classify individuals into different Person groups who will follow similar behavior Patterns in terms of travel and communication. And then, the effect of Teleservice on trip demand is estimated using hypothetical scenario. The results on the ability of each person group to adapt themselves to Teleservice show that full-time housekeepers and senior citizens are more likely to be alienated. It is also found that transition probability to Teleservice is high for activities in bank or public office where simple forms of information such as data or text are exchanged. On that basis, it is estimated that in Seoul the savings on trip demand by Teleservice will be 7.6% of total daily trip generations.

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A Study on the Epidemic of Paederus Dermatitis Occurred among Apartment Residents (아파트에서 집단 발생한 페데러스 피부질환에 관한 조사)

  • Lim, Hyun-Sul;Jung, Cheol;Kim, Doo-Hie;Pyun, Sae-Hyun
    • Journal of agricultural medicine and community health
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 1996
  • Paederus dermatitis caused by the contact of staphylinid beetles(Paederus fuscipes) body fluid(pederin) is characterized by linear erythematous vesicopustular lesions. An outbreak of dermatitis occurred at apartments located at the river side after rainy season in summer 1994. Authors surveyed 189 cases(94 males and 95 females) from 103 households reported at the apartment office in Kimcheon on September 1994. The results are as follows; 1. The causative agent of skin diseases was identified as Paederus fuscipes. 2. The attack rate of paederus dermatitis was 52.6% by households, and the residents in the middle floors of the apartments were attacked more frequently than those in other floors. All ages were affected. 3. The skin lesions developed by paederus were distributed on face(38.2%), neck(18.5%), shoulder and trunk(11.0%), arm and leg(10.3%), and back(6.6%). In 21 cases(15.4%), skin lesions were developed in multiple sites. 4. The apartments attacked by paederus was located near the sand and damp soil along the bank of the river. The fodder cultivating farm was located near the upper reaches of river, and a rice field and grape garden in the backyard of the apartment.

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An Epidemiologic Study on Related Factors to HBsAg and Anti-HBs (B형 바이러스 간염의 검사성적 및 관련요인에 관한 역학적 연구 -의료직을 포함한 직장인을 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Joo-Ja;Han, Gu-Woong;Nam, Taik-Sung
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.19 no.1 s.19
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    • pp.91-99
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    • 1986
  • To determine relationships of supposed risk factors to positives for HBsAg and Anti-HBs and also relationships of subjective symptoms to positives for HBsAg and Anti-HBs, study of 658 people working in the hospital, university, bank and other office was performed. Positive rate for HBsAg was about 7.9% and positive rate for Anti-HBs was about 20.0%. Odds ratio of HBsAg was high and significant in individuals who are married and who have previous hepatitis B(P<0.001), medical personnel in family, more than 4 people in a room(0.01

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