• 제목/요약/키워드: atmospheric dryness

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Haines Index를 이용한 동아시아 지역 산불 확산 위험도 변화와 지표-대기 상호관계와의 연관성 연구 (Future Changes of Wildfire Danger Variability and Their Relationship with Land and Atmospheric Interactions over East Asia Using Haines Index)

  • 이미나;홍승범;박선기
    • 대기
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.131-141
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    • 2013
  • Many studies have related the recent variations of wildfire regime such as the increasing number of occurrances, their patterns and timing changes, and the severity of their extreme cases with global warming. However, there are only a few numbers of wildfire studies to assess how the future wildfire regime will change in the interactions between land and atmosphere with climate change especially over East Asia. This study was performed to estimate the future changing aspect of wildfire danger with global warming, using Haines Index (HI). Calculated from atmospheric instability and dryness, HI is the potential of an existing fire to become a dangerous wildfire. Using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, two separated 5-year simulations of current (1995~1999) and far future (2095~2099) were performed and analyzed. Community Climate System Model 3 (CCSM3) model outputs were utilized for the model inputs for the past and future over East Asia; future prediction was driven under the IPCC A1B scenario. The results indicate changes of the wildfire danger regime, showing overall decreasing the wildfire danger in the future but intensified regional deviations between north and south. The overall changes of the wildfire regime seems to stem from atmospheric dryness which is sensitive to soil moisture variation. In some locations, the future wildfire danger overall decreases in summer but increases in winter or fall when the actual fire occurrence are generally peaked especially in South China.

기후변화적응을 위한 기상특보 인지도 및 활용도 분석: 건조특보를 중심으로 (Analysis of Utilization and Perception of Special Weather Reports for Climate Change Adaptation: Focus on Dryness Advisory and Warning)

  • 최수진;김은별;정우식;김백조;박종길
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.1121-1130
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    • 2014
  • This study aims to find the perception and utilization of the citizen about the dryness watch warning (DWW) among special weather reports. For this we have made up a descriptive questionnaire including the perception, utilization of special weather reports. Using the SPSS 17.0 program, descriptive statistics, t-test, ANOVA and Scheffe test were used to analyze the collected data. The results are as follows; The perception of DWW is measured by 4 point Likert scale and the average is $15.97{\pm}3.70$ (percentile=57.0). This value shows that the awareness level is not that high and according to the occupation, college students show the lowest awareness and housewives show the highest awareness. According to the age, the teens and twenties show the lowest awareness and fifties and sixties show the highest awareness. Although the perception of the teens and college students are rather poor, there were many positive answers that it is necessary to establish the advanced disaster prevention plan according to the questionnaire about the utilization of DWW. Therefore, if we come up with an effective plan to improve the perception than we can expect a large-effect in terms of fire and forest fire prevention. The perception of DWW can be improved by providing weather information and weather related education program on TV or internet which have the high level of preference. Also, it is necessary to provide online and offline program of advertising education and disaster management education through the weather forecast bureau which is the host organization of delivering weather information.

현재 기후 모의실험에서 나타나는 지중해의 기후에 대한 전 지구, 원격, 지역 영향들 (Global, Remote, and Local Effects on the Mediterranean Climate in Present-Day Simulations)

  • 김고운;서경환
    • 대기
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.311-318
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    • 2020
  • Impacts on the atmospheric circulation and ocean system over the Mediterranean during boreal summer are investigated using Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) historical simulations (from 1911 to 2005). As the climate warms, global and remote effects lead to a strengthening in descending motion, an increase in sea surface temperature (SST) and surface dryness, but a decrease in marine primary production over the Western Mediterranean. The global effect is estimated from interannual variability over the global mean SST and the remote effect is driven by diabatic forcing generated from the South and East Asian summer monsoons. On the other hand, a local contribution leads to the strengthened descending motion and increased surface dryness over the Eastern Mediterranean, whereas the marine primary production over this region tends to increase due to possibly the urban wastewater and sewage. Our result suggests that particular attention needs to be paid to conserve the marine ecosystem over the Mediterranean.

한반도 산불 확장 잠재도와 관련된 Haines Index의 시.공간적 특징 (Spatial Patterns and Temporal Variability of the Haines Index related to the Wildland Fire Growth Potential over the Korean Peninsula)

  • 최광용;김준수;원명수
    • 대한지리학회지
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    • 제41권2호
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    • pp.168-187
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    • 2006
  • 대류권 하부의 높은 대기 불안정도와 건조도에 의해 바람이 강한 조건하에 화재 연료도 건조해지면 산불 통제가 어렵고 대형산불에 의한 더 많은 산림자원과 계산의 손실을 초래할 수 있다. 본 연구에서 제시된 장기간(1979-2005)의 Haines Index는 한반도 상의 대기 불안정도와 건조도의 시공간적 패턴이 우리나라 산불 발생빈도에 중요한 영향을 미치고 있음을 잘 보여주고 있다. 산불 발생빈도와 Haines Index 사이의 지수회귀모델은 주요 산불 발생기간동안(12월-4월)의 Haines Index 일평균 값 혹은 월별 발생빈도가 우리나라 산불 발생빈도와 통계적으로 유의미하게 상관되어 있음을 보여준다. 지리정보시스템(GIS)에서 수치표고모델(DEM)을 고려하여 작성한 Haines Index 기후도에 따르면, 5 이상의 높은 Haines Index는 주로 해발고도 500m 이하의 한반도 북서 저지대를 중심으로 4-5월에 자주 발생하고 있다. 이러한 Haines Index의 발생빈도는 1990년대 중반 이후 한반도 전체적으로 증가하는 추세를 보이고, 특히 경상북도와 동해안 지역을 따라 산불기간 동안 가장 뚜렷하게 증가하는 패턴을 보였다. 연구기간 동안 높은 Haines Index가 2-3일 연속적으로 발생한 극사상(extreme events)이 나타나는 시기의 500hPa 종관 평균도에 따르면, 오흐츠크해에 발달한 한랭저기압이 한반도 중층대기의 기압경도력을 높여 동서의 강한 바람장을 형성하는데 도움을 주고 있음을 알 수 있다. 이러한 결과들은 현재 우리나라 산불 예보 시스템에 대기 불안정도나 건조도와 같은 대기의 수직적 요소들의 시 공간적 특성도 고려되어야 하는 필요성을 잘 보여준다.

Mutagenicity of Diesel-Exhaust Particulates

  • Yoo, Young S.
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • 제10권E호
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    • pp.325-331
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    • 1994
  • Organic extracts of diesel- exhaust particulates were analyzed for mutagenicity using Ames Salmonella typhimurium assay system. An experimental diesel microbus used was drived on the chassis dynamometer according to CVS-75 mode. The samples were taken from the mixed gases in a dilution tunnel. With a high-volume air sampler equipped with double filter holders, particulate matters were collected on a teflon-coated glass fiber filter placed behind a activated carbon filter. After ultrasonic extraction with benzene- ethanol and evaporation to dryness, the residue was dissolved in dimethylsulfoxide. Each sample was tested toward 2 strains, TA100 and TA98 by the pre-incubation method in the absence and presence of S-9mix. Average concentration of diesel- exhaust particulates was about 116.6mg/m$^3$, and 44.1~62.2 % to the total weight of particulates, consisted of organic matters. The mutagenicities of diesel- exhaust particulate organic matters were 4,512 and 2,205 revertants/m$^3$ toward TA100 without and with S-9mix, respectively. Those toward TA98 were 13,367 and 3,715 revertants/m$^3$, respectively.

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운기론의 육기와 삼음삼양 연구: 오운육기와 기상학적 관점에서 (A Study on the Three Yin and Three Yang, and Six Qi: Based on the Theory of 'Yun Qi' and Meteorological Perspective)

  • 최우진
    • Korean Journal of Acupuncture
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.117-124
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    • 2014
  • Objectives : The purpose of this study is to understand the meaning and the yin-yang properties of the six qi and the three yin and three yang as well as to understand the relationship between the six qi and the three yin and three yang. Methods : As the concept of six qi is the six climatic influences after all, I tried to grasp the yin and yang properties of the six qi on the basis of the meteorology and Yun Qi theory. Based on this I studied the concept and properties of the three yin and three yang. Results and Conclusions: (1) Among the six qi, cold and heat refer to temperature, dryness and dampness to humidity, and wind and ministerial fire to atmospheric pressure. Wind is an ascending air current while ministerial fire is a descending air current. Therefore, wind, heat, and dampness are the yang, and ministerial fire, dryness, and cold are the yin. (2) Three yin and three yang represent changes of ying and yang of all things following six qi changes. Simple deviation of qi can be described by yin and yang, but consequent changes in form required further developed concepts of three yin and three yang. In other words, the changes of the form caused by wind, heat, and dampness are namely reverting yin, lesser yin, and greater yin respectively, while the changes of the form caused by ministerial fire, dryness, and cold are expressed as lesser yang, yang brightness, and greater yang respectively.

한반도 지역 산불 발생 위험도 예측에 TVDI 적용 가능성 고찰 (A Feasibility Study on the Application of TVDI on Accessing Wildfire Danger in the Korean Peninsula)

  • 김광년;김승희;원명수;장근창;최원준;이윤곤
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제35권6_3호
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    • pp.1197-1208
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    • 2019
  • 산림지역에서의 관측은 평지에서의 관측에 비해 지상관측에 있어서 어려움을 가지고, 위성 관측자료는 지상의 지점기반 관측자료에 비해 높은 공간 해상도를 가진다. 이러한 이점을 이용하여 위성 관측자료는 산불발생 위험도를 추정하는 연구에 활용되어왔다. 위성 관측자료를 사용하는 여러 산불 관련 지수 중 TVDI(Temperature Vegetation Dryness Index)는 정규식생지수(Normalized Difference Vegetation Index; NDVI)와 지표면 온도(Land Surface Temperature; LST)를 기반으로 산불발생 위험도를 평가한다. TVDI가 기상과 식생의 건조도를 모두 고려하는 장점을 가지고 있지만 선행 연구에 따르면 TVDI는 여러 산불 관련 지수들에 비하여 한반도에서의 산불발생에 민감하지 않은 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서는 한반도에서 TVDI의 산불발생 위험도 표현능력을 향상시키기위해 여러가지 개선방법을 적용하였다. 지상에서 측정한 기온을 적용하여 TVDI의 정확도를 향상시키고, 월별로 최대, 최소 온도 회귀선을 구하여 TVDI에 계절효과를 적용하고자 했으며, 각 지역별로 TVDI를 계산하여 식생 유형 및 지역 기후를 고려하였다. 개선된 TVDI는 선정된 산불사례들을 통해 평가되었으며 산불발생 위험도 측면에서 향상된 성능을 보여주었다.

2022년 발생한 기록적인 유럽 폭염 발생의 역학적 원인 규명 연구 (Understanding Physical Mechanism of 2022 European Heat Wave)

  • 김주헌;양군환;성현준;박정현;서은교
    • 대기
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.307-317
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    • 2023
  • This study investigates the physical mechanisms that contributed to the 2022 European record-breaking heatwave throughout May-August (MJJA). The European climate has experienced surface warming and drying in the recent decade (1979~2022) which influences the development of the 2022 European heatwave. Since its spatial pattern resembles the 2003 European heatwave which is a well-known case developed by the strong coupling of near-surface conditions to land surface processes, the 2022 heatwave is compared with the 2003 case. Understanding heatwave development is carried out by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Reanalysis version 5 (ERA5) and daily maximum surface temperature released by NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction) CPC (Climate Prediction Center). The results suggest that the persistent high pressure along with clear sky tends to increase the downward shortwave radiation which leads to enhanced sensible heat flux with the land surface dryness. Terrestrial Coupling Index (TCI), a process-based multivariate metric, is employed to quantitatively measure segmented feedback processes, separately for the land, atmosphere, and two-legged couplings, which appears to the development of the 2022 heatwave, can be viewed as an expression of the recent trends, amplified by internal land-atmosphere interactions.

THE CHANCES OF PERMAFROST INDUCED BY GREENHOUSE WARMING: A SIMULATION STUDY APPLYING MULTIPLE-LAYER GROUND MODEL

  • Yamaguchi, Kazuki;Noda, Akira;Kitoh, Akio
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국시뮬레이션학회 2001년도 The Seoul International Simulation Conference
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    • pp.329-334
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    • 2001
  • Many of past studies using physically based numerical climate models indicate that increases in atmospheric $CO_2$could enhance summer dryness over continental region in middle-high latitudes. However the models used in those studies do not take account of permafrost in high latitudes. We have carried out a set of experiments applying a version of global climate model that can reproduce realistic distribution of the permafrost. From the results, it is indicated that permafrost functions as a large reservoir in hydrologic cycle maintaining dry, hot summer over continents in northern middle-high latitudes, and that the $CO_2$warming would reduce this function by causing climatological thawing of permafrost, which would result in moister and cooler summer, and warmer winter in the same region. The present study indicates that an inclusion of very simple description of soil freezing process can make a large difference in a model simulation.

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Surface Emissivity Derived From Satellite Observations: Drought Index

  • Yoo, Jung-Moon;Yoo, Hye-Lim
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제27권7호
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    • pp.787-803
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    • 2006
  • The drought index has been developed, based on a $8.6{\mu}m$ surface emissivity in the $8-12{\mu}m$ MODIS channels over the African Sahel region (10-20 N, 13 W-35 W) and the Seoul Metropolitan Area (SMA: 37.2-37.7 N, 126.6-127.2 E). The emissivity indicates the $SiO_2$ strength and can vary interannually by vegetation, water vapor, and soil moisture, as a potential indicator of drought conditions. In a well-vegetated region close to 10 N of the Sahel, the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) showed high sensitivity, while the emissivity did not. On the other hand, the NDVI experienced negligible variability in a poorly vegetated region near 20 N, while the emissivity reflected sensitively the effects of atmospheric water vapor and soil moisture conditions. Seasonal variations of the emissivity (0.94-0.97) have been examined over the SMA during the 2003-2004 period compared to NDVI (or Enhanced Vegetation Index; EVI). Here, the dryness was more severe in urban area with less vegetation than in suburban area; the two areas corresponded to the north and south of the Han river, respectively. The emissivity exhibiting a significant spatial correlation of ${\sim}0.8$ with the two indices can supplement their information.