• Title/Summary/Keyword: artificial neural network model

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River Stage Forecasting Model Combining Wavelet Packet Transform and Artificial Neural Network (웨이블릿 패킷변환과 신경망을 결합한 하천수위 예측모델)

  • Seo, Youngmin
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.24 no.8
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    • pp.1023-1036
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    • 2015
  • A reliable streamflow forecasting is essential for flood disaster prevention, reservoir operation, water supply and water resources management. This study proposes a hybrid model for river stage forecasting and investigates its accuracy. The proposed model is the wavelet packet-based artificial neural network(WPANN). Wavelet packet transform(WPT) module in WPANN model is employed to decompose an input time series into approximation and detail components. The decomposed time series are then used as inputs of artificial neural network(ANN) module in WPANN model. Based on model performance indexes, WPANN models are found to produce better efficiency than ANN model. WPANN-sym10 model yields the best performance among all other models. It is found that WPT improves the accuracy of ANN model. The results obtained from this study indicate that the conjunction of WPT and ANN can improve the efficiency of ANN model and can be a potential tool for forecasting river stage more accurately.

Vehicle Dynamic Simulation Including an Artificial Neural Network Bushing Model

  • Sohn, Jeong-Hyun;Baek-Woon-Kyung
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.19 no.spc1
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    • pp.255-264
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, a practical bushing model is proposed to improve the accuracy of the vehicle dynamic analysis. The results of the rubber bushing are used to develop an empirical bushing model with an artificial neural network. A back propagation algorithm is used to obtain the weighting factor of the neural network. Since the output for a dynamic system depends on the histories of inputs and outputs, Narendra algorithm of 'NARMAX' form is employed to consider these effects. A numerical example is carried out to verify the developed bushing model. Then, a full car dynamic model with artificial neural network bushings is simulated to show the feasibility of the proposed bushing model.

Numerical Prediction of Temperature-Dependent Flow Stress on Fiber Metal Laminate using Artificial Neural Network (인공신경망을 사용한 섬유금속적층판의 온도에 따른 유동응력에 대한 수치해석적 예측)

  • Park, E.T.;Lee, Y.H.;Kim, J.;Kang, B.S.;Song, W.J.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.227-235
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    • 2018
  • The flow stresses have been identified prior to a numerical simulation for predicting a deformation of materials using the experimental or analytical analysis. Recently, the flow stress models considering the temperature effect have been developed to reduce the number of experiments. Artificial neural network can provide a simple procedure for solving a problem from the analytical models. The objective of this paper is the prediction of flow stress on the fiber metal laminate using the artificial neural network. First, the training data were obtained by conducting the uniaxial tensile tests at the various temperature conditions. After, the artificial neural network has been trained by Levenberg-Marquardt method. The numerical results of the trained model were compared with the analytical models predicted at the previous study. It is noted that the artificial neural network can predict flow stress effectively as compared with the previously-proposed analytical models.

Optimization of Neural Network Structure for the Efficient Bushing Model (효율적인 신경망 부싱모델을 위한 신경망 구성 최적화)

  • Lee, Seung-Kyu;Kim, Kwang-Suk;Sohn, Jeong-Hyun
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.48-55
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    • 2007
  • A bushing component of a vehicle suspension system is tested to capture the nonlinear behavior of rubber bushing element using the MTS 3-axes rubber test machine. The results of the tests are used to model the artificial neural network bushing model. The performances from the neural network model usually are dependent on the structure of the neural network. In this paper, maximum error, peak error, root mean square error, and error-to-signal ratio are employed to evaluate the performances of the neural network bushing model. A simple simulation is carried out to show the usefulness of the developed procedure.

Development of Yield Forecast Models for Vegetables Using Artificial Neural Networks: the Case of Chilli Pepper (인공 신경망을 이용한 채소 단수 예측 모형 개발: 고추를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Choon-Soo;Yang, Sung-Bum
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.555-567
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    • 2017
  • This study suggests the yield forecast model for chilli pepper using artificial neural network. For this, we select the most suitable network models for chilli pepper's yield and compare the predictive power with adaptive expectation model and panel model. The results show that the predictive power of artificial neural network with 5 weather input variables (temperature, precipitation, temperature range, humidity, sunshine amount) is higher than the alternative models. Implications for forecasting of yields are suggested at the end of this study.

Two Layer Multiquadric-Biharmonic Artificial Neural Network for Area Quasigeoid Surface Approximation with GPS-Levelling Data

  • Deng, Xingsheng;Wang, Xinzhou
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • v.2
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    • pp.101-106
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    • 2006
  • The geoidal undulations are needed for determining the orthometric heights from the Global Positioning System GPS-derived ellipsoidal heights. There are several methods for geoidal undulation determination. The paper presents a method employing a simple architecture Two Layer Multiquadric-Biharmonic Artificial Neural Network (TLMB-ANN) to approximate an area of 4200 square kilometres quasigeoid surface with GPS-levelling data. Hardy’s Multiquadric-Biharmonic functions is used as the hidden layer neurons’ activation function and Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm is used to train the artificial neural network. In numerical examples five surfaces were compared: the gravimetric geometry hybrid quasigeoid, Support Vector Machine (SVM) model, Hybrid Fuzzy Neural Network (HFNN) model, Traditional Three Layer Artificial Neural Network (ANN) with tanh activation function and TLMB-ANN surface approximation. The effectiveness of TLMB-ANN surface approximation depends on the number of control points. If the number of well-distributed control points is sufficiently large, the results are similar with those obtained by gravity and geometry hybrid method. Importantly, TLMB-ANN surface approximation model possesses good extrapolation performance with high precision.

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Development of Artificial Neural Network Model for the Prediction of Descending Time of Room Air Temperature (실온하강신간 예측을 위한 신경망 모델의 개발)

  • 양인호;김광우
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.12 no.11
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    • pp.1038-1047
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    • 2000
  • The objective of this study is to develop an optimized Artificial Neural Network(ANN) model to predict the descending time of room air temperature. For this, program for predicting room air temperature and ANN program using generalized delta rule were collected through simulation for predicting room air temperature. ANN was trained and the ANN model having the optimized values-learning rate, moment, bias, number of hidden layer, and number of neuron of hidden layer was presented.

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An Integrated Approach Using Change-Point Detection and Artificial neural Networks for Interest Rates Forecasting

  • Oh, Kyong-Joo;Ingoo Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.235-241
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    • 2000
  • This article suggests integrated neural network models for the interest rate forecasting using change point detection. The basic concept of proposed model is to obtain intervals divided by change point, to identify them as change-point groups, and to involve them in interest rate forecasting. the proposed models consist of three stages. The first stage is to detect successive change points in interest rate dataset. The second stage is to forecast change-point group with data mining classifiers. The final stage is to forecast the desired output with BPN. Based on this structure, we propose three integrated neural network models in terms of data mining classifier: (1) multivariate discriminant analysis (MDA)-supported neural network model, (2) case based reasoning (CBR)-supported neural network model and (3) backpropagation neural networks (BPN)-supported neural network model. Subsequently, we compare these models with a neural networks (BPN)-supported neural network model. Subsequently, we compare these models with a neural network model alone and, in addition, determine which of three classifiers (MDA, CBR and BPN) can perform better. This article is then to examine the predictability of integrated neural network models for interest rate forecasting using change-point detection.

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A Comparison of Construction Cost Estimation Using Multiple Regression Analysis and Neural Network in Elementary School Project

  • Cho, Hong-Gyu;Kim, Kyong-Gon;Kim, Jang-Young;Kim, Gwang-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.66-74
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    • 2013
  • In the early stages of a construction project, the most important thing is to predict construction costs in a rational way. For this reason, many studies have been performed on the estimation of construction costs for apartment housing and office buildings at early stage using artificial intelligence, statistics, and the like. In this study, cost data held by a provincial Office of Education on elementary schools constructed from 2004 to 2007 were used to compare the multiple regression model with an artificial neural network model. A total of 96 historical data were classified into 76 historical data for constructing models and 20 historical data for comparing the constructed regression model with the artificial neural network model. The results of an analysis of predicted construction costs were that the error rate of the artificial neural network model is lower than that of the multiple regression model.

Estimating a Consolidation Behavior of Clay Using Artificial Neural Network (인공신경망을 이용한 압밀거동 예측)

  • Park, Hyung-Gyu;Kang, Myung-Chan;Lee, Song
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.673-680
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    • 2000
  • Artificial neural networks are efficient computing techniques that are widely used to solve complex problems in many fields. In this study, a back-propagation neural network model for estimating a consolidation behavior of clay from soil parameter, site investigation data and the first settlement curve is proposed. The training and testing of the network were based on a database of 63 settlement curve from two different sites. Five different network models were used to study the ability of the neural network to predict the desired output to increasing degree of accuracy. The study showed that the neural network model predicted a consolidation behavior of clay reasonably well.

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