• 한국건축시공학회지
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• 제13권4호
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• pp.424-433
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• 2013

There have been few attempts made to perform a systematic analysis of the various risk influence factors in building development projects. This study suggests an analysis of the risk influence factors in the process of feasibility studies for apartment building development projects. To reflect the voice of professionals, surveys were carried out. In addition, an FD-AHP method was applied to identify the importance of the risk influence factors. Through the surveys, major risk factors were separately identified as direct and/or indirect elements. An analysis of risk influence factors supports an effective feasibility study of apartment building development projects.

• KIEAE Journal
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.83-90
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• 2012

Over the world, social demands and concerns of energy and resource depletions and environmental conservation have resulted in many researches and applications on sustainable development and construction. In order to support these demands and concerns, international green building certification systems such as LEED(Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design) and BREEAM(Building Research Establishment Environmental Assessment Method) were developed. In Korea, the green building certification system was introduced in 2000 and widely applied to all types of new buildings in order to induce the diffusion of sustainable buildings on May, 2010. This paper investigates the importance of assessment criteria on multi-unit apartment projects among certification rating systems using the AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) method and suggests a new direction on certification assessment standards. For applying the AHP method, the survey of staffs in green building certification consulting companies and architectural design companies was conducted via e-mail. As a result, criteria like energy, indoor environment, land use, pollution control, and ecological environment among 9 main ones turned out important on assessing green building certification at multi-unit apartment projects, while criteria like water resource, transportation, maintenance management, and material and resource did relatively unimportant.

• 한국건축시공학회지
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• 제19권5호
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• pp.439-448
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• 2019

아파트 프로젝트는 사업성패에 영향을 미치는 요인은 매우 다양하다. 그러나 분양단가가 결정되고, 분양이 시작된 이후에는 사업에 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 요인은 분양 후 1개월간의 초기분양률이다. 일반적으로 사업주체는 경제상황, 주택시장의 동향, 사업지 인근의 주택가격 등 다양한 자료에 의해 초기분양률을 예측한다. 그러나 이러한 요인들을 초기분양률과 연계하여 정량적으로 계산하는 것은 매우 어렵다. 따라서 본 연구는 실제 수행된 아파트 프로젝트의 분양결과 자료를 이용하여 초기분양률 예측 회귀모델을 제안하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 본 연구를 위해 기존 분양실적자료 수집, 영향요인들의 상관관계 분석, 초기분양률 예측 회귀모델 작성을 진행한다. 본 연구의 결과는 아파트 프로젝트의 사업성 분석 시 초기 분양률 예측을 위한 기초자료로 활용되며, 사업 리스크 모델 개발의 핵심 자료로 활용된다.

• 한국건축시공학회지
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• 제11권3호
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• pp.221-228
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• 2011

본 연구에서는 아파트 개발 사업의 타당성 분석을 위한 시스템다이내믹스 모델을 개발하고 사례연구를 수행하고자 하였다. 연구에서는 기존의 아파트개발 사업 사례와 연구 프로젝트 자료들을 근거로 현금흐름 구성요소들을 도출하였고, 시스템사고 방법과 시스템다이내믹스 모델을 사용하여 이들 요소의 상호 영향관계를 찾고자 노력하였다. 연구에서는 모델을 정의하고 분석하기 위해 Vensim이라는 시스이내믹스 소프트웨어를 사용하였다. 이렇게 도출된 모델을 검증하기 위해 사례 연구를 진행하였으며, 사례연구 결과 연구에서 개발한 모델이 실제 프로젝트에 적용이 가능할 것으로 판단되었다. 연구에서 도출된 모델은 아파트 개발사업자들이 프로젝트의 초기단계에 프로젝트 파이낸싱과 관련한 의사결정에 도움이 될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2021년도 봄 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.151-152
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• 2021

The sale price of apartment buildings is a key factor in the success or failure of apartment projects, and the factors that affect the sale price of apartments vary widely, including location, environmental factors, and economic conditions. Existing methods of predicting the sale price do not reflect the nonlinear characteristics of apartment prices, which are determined by the complex impact factors of reality, because statistical analysis is conducted under the assumption of a linear model. To improve these problems, a new analysis technique is needed to predict apartment sales prices by complex nonlinear influencing factors. Using machine learning techniques that have recently attracted attention in the field of engineering, it is possible to predict the sale price reflecting the complexity of various factors. Therefore, this study aims to conduct a basic study for the development of a machine learning-based prediction model for apartment sale prices.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2022년도 가을 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.215-216
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• 2022

Profit, the performance of an apartment development project, is directly affected by the sales ratio, unit sale price, financial costs, land costs and construction costs. However, these factors fluctuate in response to changes in the environment, including various stake holders, and the profits fluctuate as a result. In order to ensure that profits are managed within target levels, these factors must be able to be predicted, controlled and monitored and managed up to the start, sale, and end stages of the project. The purpose of this study is to develop a profit risk management model for apartment development projects. The results of this study will contribute to the establishment of academic basis for the dynamic management of project profits that fluctuate with time and environment. And in practice, it will help project developers manage their business revenue to the proper level. In addition, the risks that occur from time to time can be identified quantitatively and visually, and it is expected that it will be easier to derive consensus points for smooth business progress by reducing conflicts of interest among stakeholders.

• KIEAE Journal
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• 제10권5호
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• pp.159-164
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• 2010

High-rising buildings are a sort of solution to recent cities. Till now real estate development was concentrated in new development on vacant lots, and it resulted urban sprawl. Generally large cities are confronted with the exodus of industry and population from city. High-rising buildings solve many problems associated with this problem. The purpose of this research is to identify the effect of super high-rise mixed use building project process on apartment price. For this study, the hypothesis is that price of apartments is influenced by project process of super high-rise mixed use building. The study concerned 4 variations of project process that is building permits stage, sale stage, construction starting stage and stage of moving into building. The target projects of buildings are selected by number of floor(over 40 floors) and construction time. And 48 apartment complex are selected around super high-rise mixed use building. This study uses hedonic price function to analysis effect of project process of super high-rise mixed use building. A price of apartments is defined as a dependent variable. Characteristics of residence, complex, district and super high-rise building are defined as independent variables. The results are as follows; first, there is no error in price model of this study. Second, it is found that apartment price was influenced negatively by building permit stage and sale stage of super high-rise mixed use building. But that was influenced positively by construction starting stage and stage of moving into building of that. Third, as the project process of super high-rise mixed use building was proceeded, price of apartments was increased.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.847-855
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• 2009

While many studies on feasibility analysis for housing projects have been released, the main focus was on economic feasibility and factors related to developers were not clearly identified enough to be used in practice. In order to establish a feasibility analysis model for apartment development projects requested by developers in Korea, 31 driving factors behind projects' success were identified under seven different categories. Criterions of the each factor were also developed, and weight of each factor was assigned by applying the Analytical Hierarchy Process(AHP). Finally, based on the Monte Carlo simulation, the feasibility analysis model was established, providing probability distribution of project's grade. The model was applied to 12 housing projects to verify its reliability, and found that the model properly filtered projects that are unlikely to be profitable, indicating reasonable reliability of the model. The model can be a useful tool for contractors, especially with less experience in analyzing project development feasibility.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2021년도 가을 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.250-251
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• 2021

A subcontract work order is the basis of the construction process and consists of the root and trunk of the construction industry. The construction process through a subcontract work order is an important element of project success, and it is the basic unit of creating profit in the construction industry. Therefore, correct analysis and forecasting of subcontract work orders allow correct estimation of construction cost and profit which is the foundation of corporate decision making. This study has started to provide predictions of subcontractor's bidding-ratio for decision-making. Since the actual project data has been used in this study, the contribution level of the model is highly expected in actual field. The statistical confidential level of adjusted decision coefficient is concluded low because of limited sample numbers. However, its accuracy and confidence level can be increased through increasing sample numbers, considering more variables, and studying of reducing error.

• 한국건축시공학회지
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• 제11권6호
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• pp.609-617
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• 2011

주택시장의 패러다임이 수요자 중심의 시장으로 변화하고 있으며 이는 수요의 축소와 공급자인 건설사간의 경쟁이 심화하고 있음을 의미한다. 따라서 환경변화에 대응하기 위한 효과적인 건설사의 공동주택 공급전략이 요구되며 이는 마케팅, 상품개발, 품질관리 등의 측면에서 매우 중요한 의의가 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 환경변화에 대응하기 위한 건설사의 전략수립에 기초가 되는 요인을 도출하기 위하여 CS 전문가를 대상으로 공동주택을 13개 부위로 구분하여 각 부위별 마감품질의 중요도에 대한 설문을 실시하였다. AHP 기법을 활용한 분석결과 각 부위별 중요도는 주방, 세대현관, 지하주차장 등의 순으로 나타났다. 위와 같은 분석결과는 입주자를 대상으로 실시할 후속연구의 결과와 연계할 경우 건설사의 공동주택 공급전략 수립에 효과적으로 사용될 기초자료가 될 것으로 기대된다.