• Title/Summary/Keyword: annual precipitation

Search Result 611, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

Possibility of Climate Change and Simulation of Soil Moisture Content on Mt. Hallasan National Park, Chejudo Island, Korea

  • Kim, Eun-Shik;Kim, Young-Sun
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
    • /
    • v.23 no.2
    • /
    • pp.117-123
    • /
    • 2000
  • Changing patterns and the possibility of climate change in the area of Cheiudo island, the southernmost Island in Korea, were analyzed using daily temperature and Precipitation data observed at the Cheiu Regional Meteorological Office from May 1923 to December 1998. A hydrologic simulation model "BROOK" was used to simulate and analyze the dynamics of daily soil moisture content and soil moisture deficit by applying the daily weather data. During the period, significantly increasing pattern was observed in temperature data of both annual and monthly basis, while no significantly changing pattern was observed in precipitation data. During the last 76 years. mean annual temperature was observed to have risen about 1.4$^{\circ}C$, which may show the Possibility of the initiation of climate change on the island whose validity should be tested in future studies after long-term studies on temperature. Based on the simulation, due to increased temperature, significant increase was predicted in evapotranspiration. while no significant decrease was detected in simulated soil moisture content during the period. Changing pattern of annual soil moisture content was markedly different from those of precipitation. In some dominant trees, negative effects of the drought of the late season for the previous year were shown to be statistically significant to radial growth of the tree for the current year. As annual variation of radial growth of trees is mainly affected by the soil moisture content. the information on the dynamics of soil moisture deficit possibly provides us with useful information for the interpretation of tree growth decline on the mountain. mountain.

  • PDF

Long-Term Trend of Groundwater Recharge According to Urbanization (도시화에 의한 장기 지하수 함양량 변화)

  • Lee, Seung-Hyun;Bae, Sang-Keun
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
    • /
    • v.19 no.6
    • /
    • pp.779-785
    • /
    • 2010
  • To solve a problem of water supply on urban areas, groundwater recharge has to be assessed not only for evaluating the possibility of groundwater development but also for identifying a sustainable aquifer system for water resource development. The assessment of groundwater recharge has been challenged since the land use has been changed constantly. In this study, the groundwater recharge and its ratio were assessed from 1961 to 2007 in Su-yeong-gu, Busan, South Korea by analyzing precipitation, land use, and soil characteristics. For land use analysis, the urbanization change was considered. The land use areas for the residential, agricultural, forest, pasture, bare soil, and water in 1975 occupy 18.6 %, 30.0%, 48.8%, 0.1%, 2.0%, and 0.5% of total area, respectively. The land use ratios were sharply changed from 1980 to 1985; the agricultural area was decreased to 18.3%, and the residential area was increased to 15.0%. From 1995 to 2000, the agricultural area was decreased to 5.5%, and the residential area was increased to 5.4%. The annual averages of precipitation, groundwater recharge, and its ratio were 1509.3 mm, 216.0 mm, and 14.3% respectively. The largest amount of the groundwater recharge showed in 1970 as 408.9 mm, comparing to 2138.1 mm of annual rainfall. Also, the greatest ratio of the groundwater recharge was 19.8% in 1984 with 1492.6 mm of annual rainfall. The lowest amount and ratio of the groundwater recharge were 71.9 mm and 8.0% in 1988, relative to 901.5 mm of annual precipitation. As a result, it is concluded that rainfall has increased, whereas groundwater recharge has decreased between 1961 and 2007.

Estimation of Precipitation Recharge in the Pyungchang River Basin Using SCS-CN Method (SCS-CN방법을 이용한 평창강 유역의 강수 함양량 선정)

  • Lee Seung Hyun;Bae Sang Keun
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
    • /
    • v.13 no.12
    • /
    • pp.1033-1039
    • /
    • 2004
  • The methodology developed by Soil Conservation Service for determination of runoff value from precipitation is applied to estimate the precipitation recharge in the Pyungchang river basin. Two small areas of the basin are selected for this study. The CN values are determined by considering the type of soil, soil cover and land use with the digital map of 1:25,000. Forest covers more than $94{\%}$ of the study area.. The CN values for the study area vary between 47 in the forest area and 94 in the bare soil under AMC 2 condition. The precipitation recharge rate is calculated for the year when the precipitation data is available since 1990. To obtain the infiltration rate, the index of CN and five day antecedent moisture conditions are applied to each precipitation event during the study period. As a result of estimation, the value of precipitation recharge ratio in the study area vary between $15.2{\%}\;and\;35.7{\%}$ for the total precipitation of the year. The average annual precipitation recharge rate is $26.4{\%}\;and\;26.8{\%}$, meaning 377.9mm/year and 397.5mm/year in each basin.

GCMs Evaluation Focused on Korean Climate Reproducibility (우리나라 기후 재현성을 중심으로 한 GCMs 평가)

  • Choi, Daegyu;Lee, Jinhee;Jo, Deok Jun;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.26 no.3
    • /
    • pp.482-490
    • /
    • 2010
  • In this study 17 GCMs' simulations of late 20th century climate in Korea are examined. A regionally averaged time series formed by averaging the temperature and precipitation values at all the Korean grid points. In order to compare general circulation models with observations, observed spatially averaged temperature and precipitation is calculated using 24 stations for 1971 to 2000. The annual mean difference between models and observed data are compared. For temperature, most models have a slight cold bias. The models with least bias in annual average temperature are NIES(MIROC3.2 hires), GISS(AOM) and INGV(SXG2005). For precipitation, almost all models have a dry bias, and for some the bias exceeds 50%. Models with lowest bias are NIES(MIROC3.2 hires), CCCma(CGCM3-T47) and MPI-M(ECHAM5-OM). The models' simulated seasonal cycles show that for temperature, CSIRO(Mk3.0) has the best followed by CCCma(CGCM3-T47) and CCCma(CGCM3-T63), and for precipitation, NIES(MIROC3.2 hires) has the best followed by CSIRO(Mk3.0) and CNRM(CM3). In the assessment using Taylor diagram, CCCma(CGCM3-T47) ranks the best for temperature, and NIES(MIROC3.2 hires) ranks the best for precipitation.

Introduction for the Necessity and Application Example of the Village-based AWS (마을 단위 AWS 구축의 필요성 및 적용사례 소개)

  • Jo, Won Gi;Kang, Dong-hwan;Kim, MoonSu;Shin, In-Kyu;Kim, HyunKoo
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
    • /
    • v.29 no.10
    • /
    • pp.1003-1010
    • /
    • 2020
  • In this study, the necessity for a village unit Automatic Weather System (AWS) was suggested to obtain correct agricultural weather information by comparing the data of AWS of the weather station with the data of AWS installed in agricultural villages 7 km away. The comparison sites are Hyogyo-ri and Hongseong weather station. The seasonal and monthly averaged and cumulative values of data were calculated and compared. The annual time series and correlation was analyzed to determine the tendency of variation in AWS data. The average values of temperature, relative humidity and wind speed were not much different in comparison with each season. The difference in precipitation was ranged from 13.2 to 91.1 mm. The difference in monthly precipitation ranged from 1.2 to 75.4 mm. The correlation coefficient between temperature, humidity and wind speed was ranged from 0.81 to 0.99 and it of temperature was the highest. The correlation coefficient of precipitation was 0.63 and the lowest among the observed elements. Through this study, precipitation at the weather station and village unit area showed the low correlation and the difference for a quantitative comparison, while the elements excluding precipitation showed the high correlation and the similar annual variation pattern.

A Certification of Linear Programming Method for Estimating Missing Precipitation Values Ungauged (미계측 결측 강수자료 보완을 위한 선형계획법의 검정)

  • Yoo, Ju-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.43 no.3
    • /
    • pp.257-264
    • /
    • 2010
  • The amount and continuity of precipitation data used in a hydrological analysis may exert a big influence on the reliability of the analysis. It is a fundamental process to estimate the missing data caused by such as a breakdown of the rainfall recording machine or to expand a short period of rainfall data. In this study a linear programming method treated as a data-driven approach for estimating the missing rainfall data is compared with seven other methods widely used and its superiority is certified. The data used in this research are annual precipitation ones during 17 years at the Cheolwon station including an ungauged period of 15 years and its five surrounding stations. By use of this certified method the ungauged precipitation values at the Cheolweon station are estimated and the areal averages of annual precipitation data for 32 years at the Han River basin are calculated.

Evaluation of Groundwater Recharge using a Distributed Water Balance Model (WetSpass-M model) for the Sapgyo-cheon Upstream Basin (분포형 물수지 모델(WetSpass-M)을 이용한 삽교천 상류 유역에서의 월별 지하수 함양량 산정)

  • An, Hyowon;Ha, Kyoochul
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
    • /
    • v.26 no.6
    • /
    • pp.47-64
    • /
    • 2021
  • In this study, the annual and monthly groundwater recharge for the Sapgyo-cheon upstream basin in Chungnam Province was evaluated by water balance analysis utilizing WetSpass-M model. The modeling input data such as topography, climate parameters, LAI (Leaf Area Index), land use, and soil characteristics were established using ArcGIS, QGIS, and Python programs. The results showed that the annual average groundwater recharge in 2001 - 2020 was 251 mm, while the monthly groundwater recharge significantly varied over time, fluctuating between 1 and 47 mm. The variation was high in summer, and relatively low in winter. Variation in groundwater recharge was the largest in July in which precipitation was heavily concentrated, and the variation was closely associated with several factors including the total amount of precipitation, the number of days of the precipitation, and the daily average precipitation. This suggests the extent of groundwater recharge is greatly influenced not only by quantity of precipitation but also the precipitation pattern. Since climate condition has a profound effect on the monthly groundwater recharge, evaluation of monthly groundwater recharge need to be carried out by considering both seasonal and regional variability for better groundwater usage and management. In addition, the mathematical tools for groundwater recharge analysis need to be improved for more accurate prediction of groundwater recharge.

Introduction to the production procedure of representative annual maximum precipitation scenario for different durations based on climate change with statistical downscaling approaches (통계적 상세화 기법을 통한 기후변화기반 지속시간별 연최대 대표 강우시나리오 생산기법 소개)

  • Lee, Taesam
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.51 no.spc
    • /
    • pp.1057-1066
    • /
    • 2018
  • Climate change has been influenced on extreme precipitation events, which are major driving causes of flooding. Especially, most of extreme water-related disasters in Korea occur from floods induced by extreme precipitation events. However, future climate change scenarios simulated with Global Circulation Models (GCMs) or Reigonal Climate Models (RCMs) are limited to the application on medium and small size rivers and urban watersheds due to coarse spatial and temporal resolutions. Therefore, the current study introduces the state-of-the-art approaches and procedures of statistical downscaling techniques to resolve this limitation It is expected that the temporally downscaled data allows frequency analysis for the future precipitation and estimating the design precipitation for disaster prevention.

Application of the Large-scale Climate Ensemble Simulations to Analysis on Changes of Precipitation Trend Caused by Global Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 강수 특성 변화 분석을 위한 대규모 기후 앙상블 모의자료 적용)

  • Kim, Youngkyu;Son, Minwoo
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.32 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-15
    • /
    • 2022
  • Recently, Japan's Meteorological Research Institute presented the d4PDF database (Database for Policy Decision-Making for Future Climate Change, d4PDF) through large-scale climate ensemble simulations to overcome uncertainty arising from variability when the general circulation model represents extreme-scale precipitation. In this study, the change of precipitation characteristics between the historical and future climate conditions in the Yongdam-dam basin was analyzed using the d4PDF data. The result shows that annual mean precipitation and seasonal mean precipitation increased by more than 10% in future climate conditions. This study also performed an analysis on the change of the return period rainfall. The annual maximum daily rainfall was extracted for each climatic condition, and the rainfall with each return period was estimated. In this process, we represent the extreme-scale rainfall corresponding to a very long return period without any statistical model and method as the d4PDF provides rainfall data during 3,000 years for historical climate conditions and during 5,400 years for future climate conditions. The rainfall with a 50-year return period under future climate conditions exceeded the rainfall with a 100-year return period under historical climate conditions. Consequently, in future climate conditions, the magnitude of rainfall increased at the same return period and, the return period decreased at the same magnitude of rainfall. In this study, by using the d4PDF data, it was possible to analyze the change in extreme magnitude of rainfall.

The Determination of Probability Distributions of Annual, Seasonal and Monthly Precipitation in Korea (우리나라의 연 강수량, 계절 강수량 및 월 강수량의 확률분포형 결정)

  • Kim, Dong-Yeob;Lee, Sang-Ho;Hong, Young-Joo;Lee, Eun-Jai;Im, Sang-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.83-94
    • /
    • 2010
  • The objective of this study was to determine the best probability distributions of annual, seasonal and monthly precipitation in Korea. Data observed at 32 stations in Korea were analyzed using the L-moment ratio diagram and the average weighted distance (AWD) to identify the best probability distributions of each precipitation. The probability distribution was best represented by 3-parameter Weibull distribution (W3) for the annual precipitation, 3-parameter lognormal distribution (LN3) for spring and autumn seasons, and generalized extreme value distribution (GEV) for summer and winter seasons. The best probability distribution models for monthly precipitation were LN3 for January, W3 for February and July, 2-parameter Weibull distribution (W2) for March, generalized Pareto distribution (GPA) for April, September, October and November, GEV for May and June, and log-Pearson type III (LP3) for August and December. However, from the goodness-of-fit test for the best probability distributions of the best fit, GPA for April, September, October and November, and LN3 for January showed considerably high reject rates due to computational errors in estimation of the probability distribution parameters and relatively higher AWD values. Meanwhile, analyses using data from 55 stations including additional 23 stations indicated insignificant differences to those using original data. Further studies using more long-term data are needed to identify more optimal probability distributions for each precipitation.