• 한국방재학회 논문집
• /
• 제11권1호
• /
• pp.37-43
• /
• 2011

봄철은 강수량이 연평균의 13% 정도로 적어 건조한 계절이며, 영동지역에 대형 산불이 많이 발생했던 해는 풍속은 강하고 공중습도가 봄철 평균보다도 낮고 강수량도 상대적으로 적어 더욱 건조했다. 대형산불이 발생했던 날은 평균풍속, 최대풍속, 최대순간풍속이 5.9 m/s, 11.3 m/s, 20.9 m/s로 산불 발생일의 평균값보다 1.8 m/s, 3.0 m/s, 6.9 m/s 크게 나타나, 산불의 대형화와 기상요소는 밀접한 관계를 나타냈다.

• 한국강구조학회 논문집
• /
• 제22권6호
• /
• pp.573-580
• /
• 2010

본 연구는 바람에 민감한 영향을 받는 건축물 또는 구조물에 있어서 풍향풍속을 고려하여 평가하는 방법을 제안하며 지역별 년 최대풍속에 따른 풍향풍속 특성에 대한 기초적인 결과를 정리한 것이다. 본 풍향풍속성 평가방법에서는 년최대풍속의 기상청 데이터를 기초로 하여 극치분포를 통해 적합성을 확인하였으며 풍향성을 고려하기 위하여 풍향풍속별 풍향패턴을 4그룹으로 구분하여 풍향풍속성 평가방법을 시도하여 제안하였다. 연구결과는 서울, 통영, 인천지역의 년최대풍속 기상데이터를 사용하여 전풍향풍속이 Gumbel분포에 의한 적합성을 확인하였으며, 이 전풍향풍속의 Gumbel model은 패턴별 4그룹 풍향풍속 Gumbel mode을 지배하는 독립된 확률특성을 가지므로 풍향패턴 4그룹 풍향풍속성의 평가를 통하여 적용율을 제안하였다. 연구결과는 년최대풍속에 의한 Gumbel분포의 적합성에 따른 서울, 통영, 인천 지역의 풍향패턴 4그룹 풍향풍속성을 고려한 새로운 적용율을 제안하였다.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 대한전기학회 2006년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전기기기 및 에너지변환시스템부문
• /
• pp.3-5
• /
• 2006

In this paper, annual energy production(AEP) of the wind generator system is analogized considering the regions of a variable wind speed and it is applied to optimal design of the PM wind generator for capturing maximum energy in the operating regions. In addition, internet parallel computing is used to loose excessive calculation times through optimization of the finite element analysis(FEA).

• 대기
• /
• 제18권4호
• /
• pp.397-416
• /
• 2008

This study investigates a long-term variation of the annual extreme value for the instantaneous wind speed and the daily precipitation during 56 years (1951-2006) in Korea. Results show that there is a uptrend for both wind and precipitation extreme records, although regional trends are different from overall pattern in some places, particularly for wind speed. The estimated linear trends are 230 mm/56 yr in the daily precipitation and $15ms^{-1}$/56 yr in the maximum instantaneous wind speed. For precipitation, other indexes such as total annual precipitation, the number of extreme precipitation event, and precipitation intensity have dramatically increased as well, while there has been a clear downtrend for the number of strong wind events (> $14ms^{-1}$). It is found that the minimum surface pressure recorded during typhoon attacks in Korea tends to be decreasing, about 10 hPa/56 yr. This partly explains why the extreme values in the precipitation are increasing in Korea.

• Wind and Structures
• /
• 제19권2호
• /
• pp.169-184
• /
• 2014

This paper presents a method of estimation of extreme wind. Assuming the extreme wind follows the Gumbel distribution, it is modeled through fitting an exponential function to the numbers of storms over different thresholds. The comparison between the estimated results with the Improved Method of Independent Storms (IMIS) shows that the proposed method gives reliable estimation of extreme wind. The proposed method also shows its advantage on the insensitiveness of estimated results to the precision of the data. The volume of extreme storms used in the estimation leads to more than 5% differences in the estimated wind speed with 50-year return period. The annual rate of independent storms is not a significant factor to the estimation.

• Wind and Structures
• /
• 제34권6호
• /
• pp.469-482
• /
• 2022

The generalized extreme value distribution (GEVD) is frequently used to fit the block maximum of environmental parameters such as the annual maximum wind speed. There are several methods for estimating the parameters of the GEV distribution, including the least-squares method (LSM). However, the application of the LSM with the expected order statistics has not been reported. This study fills this gap by proposing a fitting method based on the expected order statistics. The study also proposes a plotting position to approximate the expected order statistics; the proposed plotting position depends on the distribution shape parameter. The use of this approximation for distribution fitting is carried out. Simulation analysis results indicate that the developed fitting procedure based on the expected order statistics or its approximation for GEVD is effective for estimating the distribution parameters and quantiles. The values of the probability plotting correlation coefficient that may be used to test the distributional hypothesis are calculated and presented. The developed fitting method is applied to extreme thunderstorm and non-thunderstorm winds for several major cities in Canada. Also, the implication of using the GEVD and Gumbel distribution to model the extreme wind speed on the structural reliability is presented and elaborated.

• 대기
• /
• 제33권5호
• /
• pp.477-492
• /
• 2023

Based on the new climate normals (1991~2020), annual mean, maximum and minimum temperature is 12.5℃, 18.2℃, and 7.7℃, respectively while annual precipitation is 1,331.7 mm, the annual mean wind speed is 2.0 m s^-1, and the relative humidity is 67.8% in the Republic of Korea. Compared to 1981~2010 normal, annual mean temperature increased by 0.2℃, maximum and minimum temperatures increased by 0.3℃, while the amount of precipitation (0.7%) and relative humidity (1.1%) decreased. There was no distinct change in annual mean wind speed. The spatial range of the annual mean temperature in the new normals is large from 7.1 to 16.9℃. Annual precipitation showed a high regional variability, ranging from 787.3 to 2,030.0 mm. The annual mean relative humidity decreased at most weather stations due to the rise in temperature, and the annual mean wind speed did not show any distinct difference between the new and old normals. With the addition of a warmer decade (2011~2020), temperatures all increased consistently and in particular, the increase in the maximum temperature, which had not significantly changed in previous decades, was evident. The increasing trend of annual and summer precipitation by the 2010s has disappeared in the new normals. Among extreme climate indices, MxT30 (Daily maximum temperature ≥ 33℃ days), MnT25 (Daily minimum temperature ≥ 25℃ days), and PH30 (1 hour maximum precipitation ≥ 30 mm days) increased while MnT-10 (Daily minimum temperature < -10℃ days) and W13.9 (Daily maximum wind speed ≥ 13.9 m/s days) decreased at a statistically significant level. It is thought that a detailed study on the different trends of climate elements and extreme climate indices by region should be conducted in the future.

• 전기학회논문지
• /
• 제56권12호
• /
• pp.2109-2115
• /
• 2007

The wind generators have been installed with high output power to increase the energy production and efficiency. Hence, Optimal design of the direct-driven PM wind generator, coupled with F.E.M(Finite Element Method) and Genetic Algorithm(GA), has been performed to maximize the Annual Energy Production(AEP) over the whole wind speed characterized by the statistical model of wind speed distribution. Particularly, the parallel computing via internet web service has been applied to loose excessive computing times for optimization. The results of the optimal design of Surface-Mounted Permanent Magnet Synchronous Generator(SPMSG) are compared with each other candidates to verify the usefulness of the maximizing AEP model.

• 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
• /
• 제33권1호
• /
• pp.32-39
• /
• 2013

Effects of Weibull shape parameter, k, on capacity factors of wind turbines were investigated. Wind distributions with mean wind speeds of 5 m/s, 6 m/s, 7 m/s and 8 m/s were simulated and used to estimate the annual energy productions and capacity factors of a 2MW wind turbine for various Weibull shape parameters. It was found from the study that the capacity factors of wind turbines are much affected by Weibull shape parameters. When the annual mean wind speed at the hub height of a wind turbine was about 7 m/s, and the air density was assumed to be 1.225 $kg/m^3$, the maximum capacity factor of a 2 MW wind turbine having a rated wind speed of 13 m/s was found to occur with the shape parameter of 2. It was also found that as the mean wind speed increased, the Weibull k parameter which yielded the maximum capacity factor increased. The simulated results were also validated by predictions of capacity factors of wind turbines using wind data measured in complex terrain.

• Wind and Structures
• /
• 제35권6호
• /
• pp.385-394
• /
• 2022

The energy demand of the world is increasing rapidly, mainly using fossil energy, which causes environmental damage. The wind is free and clean energy to solve the environmental problems. Thailand is one of the developing nations, and the majority of its energy is obtained from petroleum, natural gas and coal. The objective of this study is to test the characteristics of wind energy at Khon Kaen in Thailand. The wind measurement tools, the 3-cup anemometers to measure wind speed, and wind vanes to measure wind direction, were mounted on a wind tower mast to record wind data at the heights of 60, 90 and 120 meters above ground level (AGL) for 5 years between January 2012 and December 2016. The results show that the annual mean wind speeds were 3.79, 4.32 and 4.66 m/s, respectively. The highest mean wind speeds occurred in June, August and December, in order, and the lowest occurred in September. The majority of prevailing wind directions were from the North-East and South-West directions. The average annual wind shear coefficient was 0.297. Furthermore, five wind turbines with rated power from 0.85 to 4.5 MW were selected to estimate the wind energy output and it was found that the maximum AEP and CF were achieved from the low cut-in speed and high hub-height wind turbines. This important information will help to develop wind energy applications, such as the plan to produce electricity and the calculation of the wind load that affects tall and large structures.