• Title/Summary/Keyword: annual change

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Projection of the Future Wave Climate Changes Over the Western North Pacific (기후변화에 따른 북서태평양에서의 미래 파랑 전망)

  • Park, Jong Suk;Kang, KiRyong;Kang, Hyun-Suk;Kim, Young-Hwa
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.267-275
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    • 2013
  • This study projected the future ocean wave climate changes based on global climate change scenario using the coupled climate model HadGEM2-AO according to the emission scenarios and using regional wave model. Annual mean significant wave height (SWH) is linked closely to annual mean wind speed during the forthcoming 21st Century. Because annual mean speed decreased in the western North Pacific, annual mean SWH is projected to decrease in the future. The annual mean SWH decreases for the last 30 years of the 21st century relative to the period 1971-2000 are 2~7% for RCP4.5 and 4~11% for RCP8.5, respectively. Also, extreme SWH and wind speed are projected to decrease in the future. In terms of seasonal mean, winter extreme SWH shows similar trend with annual extreme SWH; however, that of summer shows large increasing tendency compared with current climate in the western North Pacific. Therefore, typhoon intensity in the future might be more severe in the future climate.

The Characteristics of the Anomaly Level and Variability of the Monthly Precipitation in Kyeongnam, Korea (경남지방의 월강수량의 변동율과 Anomaly Level의 출현특성)

  • 박종길;이부용
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.179-191
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    • 1993
  • This paper aims to know the characteristics of occurrence of the anomaly level and variability of the monthly precipitation in Kyeongnam, Korea. For this study, it was investigated 주e distribution of the annual and cont비y mean precipitation, the precipitation variability and its annual change, and the characteristics of occurrence of the anomaly level in Kyeongnam area the results were summarized as follows : 1) she mean of annual total precipitation averaged over Kyeongnam area is 1433.3mm. I'he spatial distribution of the annual total precipitation shows that in Kyeongnam area, the high rainfall area locates in the southwest area and south coast and the low rainfall area in an inland area. 2) Monthly mean precipitation in llyeongnam area was the highest in July(266.4mm) 각lowed by August(238.0mm), June(210.2mm) in descending order. In summer season, rainfall was concentrated and accounted for 49.9 percent of the annual total precipitation. Because convergence of the warm and humid southwest current which was influenced by Changma and typhoon took place well in this area. 3) The patterns of annual change of precipitaion variability can be divided into two types; One is a coast type and the other an inland type. The variability of precipitation generally appears low in spring and summer season and high in autumn and winter season. This is in accord with the large and small of precipitation. 4) The high frequency of anomaly level was N( Normal)-level and the next was LN( Low Informal) -level and 25(Extremely Subnormal)-level was not appeared in all stations. The occurrence frequency of N level was high in high rainfall area and distinguish성 in spring and summer season but the low rainfall area was not. hey Words : anomaly level, variability, precipitation, coast type, inland type.

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A Study on the Relationship between Reclamation of the Foreshore and Climate Change in Busan Area (부산지역의 기후변화와 매립의 관련성에 대한 연구)

  • Doe, Geun-Young;Cho, Yong-Soo;Yee, Jurng-Jae
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.28 no.8
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    • pp.759-766
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    • 2004
  • Busan has its unique character which differed from inland such as Seoul and Daegu Because Busan is located in coast district of Korea, it could be inferred that the climate change in Busan had been influenced by foreshore reclamation in the urbanization process. The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between reclamation of the foreshore and climate change by analysing the climate change over the past 70 years in three metropolitan cities. The conclusion from this study are as follows. 1) There was not a big difference among elements of climate change in three cities. 2) Annual mean minimum temperature in Seoul and Daegu had remarkably increased over the past 70 years. On the other hand, annual maximum temperature in Busan had a sudden rise in the only tome to reclaim the foreshore.

Female Breast Cancer Mortality Rates in Turkey

  • Dogan, Nurhan;Toprak, Dilek
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.18
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    • pp.7569-7573
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    • 2014
  • The main objective of this study was to analyze the mortality trends of female breast cancer in Turkey between the years 1987-2008. The rates per 100,000 age-standardized to the European standard population were assessed and time trends presented using joinpoint regression analysis. Average annual percent change (AAPC), anual percent change (APC) and 95% confidence interval (CI) was calculated. Nearly 23,000 breast cancer deaths occurred in Turkey during the period 1987-2008, with the average annual age-standardized mortality rate (ASR) being 11.9 per 100,000 women. In the last five years, significant increases were observed in all age groups, but there was no significant change over the age of 65. In this period, the biggest significant increase was in the 45-54 age group (AAPC=4.3, 95%CI=2.6 to 6.0).

A Study on the Change of Non-Working Days of Incheon Metropolitan through BCP Analysis (BCP분석을 통한 인천지역 작업불능일 변화 연구)

  • Ko, Kyujin;Lee, Chansik
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.80-88
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    • 2015
  • In the case of those types of work that are performed outdoor construction work, many non-working days occur due to climatic elements such as low temperature, rainfall, and high wind velocity. In particular, damage incurred construction delays hardly decreases because weather forecasting has become difficult due to global warming. In the present study, time points of drastic changes in annual average temperatures, annual average maximum temperatures, and annual average minimum temperatures were identified through BCP analysis and increasing/decreasing trends of non-working days in summer and winter were compared and analyzed on the basis of the change points. According to the results of the study, annual average temperatures drastically changed in 1988 and 1998. After the two time points, non-working days in summer and winter clearly showed increasing trends and decreasing trends respectively.

A Study on Variation in Annual Water Balance (도시화에 따른 수문기후변화 I (연 물수지 변화 분석))

  • Rim, Chang-Soo;Chae, Hyo-Seok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.7
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    • pp.555-570
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    • 2007
  • The effects of climatic changes owing to urbanization on annual water balance have been studied. In this study, 56 meteorological stations including Seoul metropolis in South Korea have been selected, and the area of study site is $314\;km^2$. The meteorological station is centrally located in the study area with a 10 km radius. Land use status of study area was examined to estimate the urbanization extent, so that annual actual evapotranspiration could be estimated. Annual runoff was estimated by annual water balance approach using the estimated annual actual evapotranspiration and measured annual precipitation. Annual actual evapotranspiration was estimated by applying experimental equation suggested by Zhang et al, (2001) which was evaluated from 250 watersheds all over the world. Study results show that reference evapotranspiration is tending upwards due to urbanization; therefore, it seems that climatic change due to urbanization may increase the amount of annual actual evapotranspiration. However, the increase of residential area due to urbanization in study area may decrease the amount of annual actual evapotranspiration. The study results indicate that urbanization effect on annual trend of precipitation was not significant. In urban area, annual runoff is directly affected by annual precipitation, and compared with annual precipitation, annual variation of actual evapotranspiration was not significant even though it was estimated by using annual precipitation. It seems that the effect of urbanization on annual actual evapotranspiration does not influence on annual runoff significantly, and that urbanization effect on annual runoff Is not significant.

Assessment of GCM and Scenario Uncertainties under Future Climate Change Conditions

  • Jang, S.;Hwang, M.;Park, J.;Lim, K.
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.658-659
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    • 2015
  • GCM and scenario uncertainties are first investigated for 5 major watersheds (Han River, Paldang dam, Namhan River, Bukhan River and Imjin River watersheds). As a result of this study, it is found that CCSM3-based annual precipitation increases linearly with respect to the 10-year moving average values while CSIRO-based precipitation does not show much of trend. The results from annual DJF mean precipitation show a similar trend with respect to their 10-year moving average values. Both CCSM3- and CSIRO-based annual JJA mean precipitation do not show much of trend toward 21st century. In general, CCSM3-based precipitation values are slightly higher than CSIRO-based values with respect to their annual and annual JJA mean precipitation values, but CSIRO-based annual DJF mean precipitation values are slightly higher than CCSM3-based values. In case of mean air temperature between CCSM3 and CSIRO during 21st century, all of results show a clear trend in warming with the passage of time for 5 watersheds. However the upward trends from CCSM3-based values slow down toward end of 21stcentury while CSRIO-based values increases almost linearly.

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Enhancing Enzymatic Saccharification by Aqueous Ammonia Soaking Pretreatment on Several annual plants (일년생 바이오매스(옥수수 줄기, 담배 줄기, 대마 목부)의 암모니아 침지 전처리가 효소 당화에 미치는 영향)

  • Shin, Soo-Jeong;Yu, Ju-Hyun;Park, Jong-Moon
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2009.06a
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    • pp.418-421
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    • 2009
  • Effects of aqueous ammonia soaking to three annual plants (hemp woody core, tobacco stalk and corn stover) awere investigated to focus on the enzymatic saccharification characteristics change by this treatment. At two different levels of treatment ($90^{\circ}C$-16 h and $45^{\circ}C$-6 days), higher temperature treatment led to more enzymatic saccharification of cellulose to glucose by commercial cellulase mixtures (Celluclast 1.5L and Novozym 342 from Novozyme Korea). Difference among annual plants were significant. corn stover was the best response to enzymatic saccharification of cellulose and xylan by comercial enzymes all treatment conditions but tobacco stalk was the worst response to all of them. chemical composition or physical structure difference may brought this difference.

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