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Multi-step Ahead Link Travel Time Prediction using Data Fusion (데이터융합기술을 활용한 다주기 통행시간예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Young-Ihn;Kim, Sung-Hyun;Yoon, Ji-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.4 s.82
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2005
  • Existing arterial link travel time estimation methods relying on either aggregate point-based or individual section-based traffic data have their inherent limitations. This paper demonstrates the utility of data fusion for improving arterial link travel time estimation. If the data describe traffic conditions, an operator wants to know whether the situations are going better or worse. In addition, some traffic information providing strategies require predictions of what would be the values of traffic variables during the next time period. In such situations, it is necessary to use a prediction algorithm in order to extract the average trends in traffic data or make short-term predictions of the control variables. In this research. a multi-step ahead prediction algorithm using Data fusion was developed to predict a link travel time. The algorithm performance were tested in terms of performance measures such as MAE (Mean Absolute Error), MARE(mean absolute relative error), RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), EC(equality coefficient). The performance of the proposed algorithm was superior to the current one-step ahead prediction algorithm.

A Study on the Applicability of GSTAR-1D to the Riverbed-Level Variation in the Geum River (GSTAR-1D 모형의 금강 하상변동예측 적용성에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Sung-Young;Park, Bong-Jin;Jung, Kwan-Sue
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.1611-1615
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to simulate the riverbed profile changes downstream of Daecheong re-regulation dam from 1988 to 2001, to evaluate the model's applicability and to predict a long-term riverbed-level variation between 2002 and 2017. As a result of simulation 14 sediment transport equations provided by GSTAR-1D, it was found that Acker's & White formula was the most stable relatively. The interval used to calculate its stability was 7 days for bankful discharge$(1,000m^2/s)$, 3 days for daily maximum flow$(4,273m^2/s)$, 1 day for hourly maximum flow$(7,605m^2/s)$ and minimum flow$(8.5m^2/s)$. The simulation results of river bed changes were evaluated and compared to its measure data from 1988 to 2001. It was showed that there was the degradation for a section between Daecheong re-regulation dam and Maepo water stage gage station due to bed-material, and the degradation for a reach between Maepo and Gongju water stage gage station due to massive aggregate collection. Also, as a result of simulating the river profile change for 2002 to 2017, it was predicted that the section between Daecheong re-regulation dam and Geumnam Bridge would remain as the present profile and the reach between Maepo and Gongju water stage gage station would have some degradations in several parts, which would be stable as a whole unless it was due to artificial river profile change.

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APPLICATION OF TIME-OF-FLIGHT NEAR INFRARED SPECTROSCOPY TO WOOD

  • Tsuchikawa, Satoru;Tsutsumi, Shigeaki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Near Infrared Spectroscopy Conference
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    • 2001.06a
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    • pp.1182-1182
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    • 2001
  • In this study, the newly constructed optical measurement system, which was mainly composed of a parametric tunable laser and a near infrared photoelectric multiplier, was introduced to clarify the optical characteristics of wood as discontinuous body with anisotropic cellular structure from the viewpoint of the time-of-flight near infrared spectroscopy (TOF-NIRS). The combined effects of the cellular structure of wood sample, the wavelength of the laser beam λ, and the detection position of transmitted light on the time resolved profiles were investigated in detail. The variation of the attenuance of peak maxima At, the time delay of peak maxima Δt and the variation of full width at half maximum Δw were strongly dependent on the feature of cellular structure of a sample and the wavelength of the laser beam. The substantial optical path length became about 30 to 35 times as long as sample thickness except the absorption band of water. Δt ${\times}$ Δw representing the light scattering condition increased exponentially with the sample thickness or the distance between the irradiation point and the end of sample. Around the λ=900-950 nm, there may be considerable light scattering in the lumen of tracheid, which is multiple specular reflection and easy to propagate along the length of wood fiber. Such tendency was remarkable for soft wood with the aggregate of thin layers of cell walls. When we apply TOF-NIRS to the cellular structural materials like wood, it is very important to give attention to the difference in the light scattering within cell wall and the multiple specular-like reflections between cell walls. We tried to express the characteristics of the time resolved profile on the basis of the optical parameters for light propagation determined by the previous studies, which were absorption coefficient K and scattering coefficient S from Kubelka-Munk theory and n from nth power cosine model of radiant intensity. The wavelength dependency of the product of K/S and n, which expressed the light-absorbing and -scattering condition and the degree of anisotropy, respectively, was similar to that of the time delay of peak maxima Δt. The variation of the time resolved profile is governed by the combination of these parameters. So, we can easily find the set of parameters for light propagation synthetically from Δt.

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Ettringite/Thaumasite Formation, Stability and Their Effect on Deterioration of Concrete (에트린자이트/사우마사이트의 형성 및 안정도와 콘크리트 성능저하에 미치는 영향)

  • 이효민;황진연
    • Journal of the Mineralogical Society of Korea
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.75-90
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    • 2003
  • Ettringite and thaumasite were observed in some concrete. The morphology and occurrence of these minerals were closely examined by performing SEM/EDAX analyses. We also experimentally induced the concrete deterioration using $Na_2SO_4$ solution with application of various environmental conditions. The stability of these minerals and deterioration characteristics under applied experimental conditions were determined. Abundant ettringite formed by“through solution reaction”occurred in many open spaces, and some microscopic ettringite formed by "tophochemical replacement" of calcium aluminate also occurred in cement paste. Severe cracking of cement paste causing premature deterioration was often associated with ettringite location. Under specific condition, ettringite was transformed to thaumasite, tricthloroaluminate, or decomposed. Thaumasite occurred with association of ettrinsite in concrete containing carbonate aggregate being subject to dedolomitization or in some concrete being subject to carbonation. Thaumasite appears to be formed under the similar condition to the general ettringite forming condition, but it formed solid solution with ettringite by substituting pre-existing ettringite. Ettringite can also be transformed to trichloroaluminate in the presence of abundant chlorides, but trichloroaluminate changed back to ettringite in late sulfate attack. It is considered that the substitution reaction direction solely depend on the concentration of chloride and sulfate ion.

The Comparative Study of Quality by Processing Methods of Liriope platyphylla (한국산(韓國産) 맥문동(麥門冬)의 포제방법(炮製方法)에 따른 품질(品質) 비교(比較) 연구(硏究))

  • Cho, Eun-Hwan;Roh, Seong-Soo;Seo, Young-Bae;Jeong, Gi-Hoon
    • The Korea Journal of Herbology
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2010
  • Objectives : Specifications by Processing Methods of Liriope platyphylla (LP) was not established in korea. We carried out method study for manufacture of LP. Above all, LP were purchased and were processed at four kinds. First group had hearts of swelling roots, not cut bodies(LP-A). Second group had not hearts of swelling roots, not cut bodies(LP-B). Third group had hearts of swelling roots, cut bodies(LP-C). Forth group had an aggregate of hearts of swelling roots(LP-D). Methods : We has gained losses on drying, contents of ethanol-soluble extracts, contents of water-soluble extracts and contents of spicatoside A. Results : 1. Losses on drying of all group were less than 18% that is a standard of chinese pharmacopoeia. 2. Contents of ethanol-soluble extracts at LP-C, LP-D were included more than contents of those in the other groups in significance levels. 3. Contents of water-soluble extracts at LP-A, LP-C were included more than contents of those in the other groups in significance levels. 4. Contents of spicatoside A in LP-B were included more than content of spicatoside A in the other groups in significance levels. Resultingly, standards of LP in korea were proposed compatible proposals suggested as below. 1. Losses on drying of LP were less than 15% that is less than that of chinese pharmacopoeia. 2. Form to boil in water must be cutting body with heart of swelling root. 3. Because there is no content of spicatoside A in heart of swelling root, it is not suited to purpose a index component. Conclusions : The subjects of loss on drying and form of LP to boil in water must be contained in korean pharmacopoeia. Moreover, because of much valuable LP in food and medicine, it is urgently required aspect of index component such as spicatoside B, spicatoside C, flavonoid, polysaccharide having medical actions and so on.

A study on Industries's Leading at the Stock Market in Korea : Gradual Diffusion of Information and Cross-Asset Return Predictability (산업의 주식시장 선행성에 관한 실증분석 : 정보의 점진적 확산과 자산간 수익률 예측 가능성)

  • Lee, Hae-Young;Kim, Jong-Kwon
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.23-49
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    • 2008
  • We test the hypothesis that the gradual diffusion of information across asset markets leads to cross-asset return predictability in Korea. And, the aim of this paper is related to forecast the stock market, business cycle index and industrial production by various indicators of economic activities in Korea. For this, our paper sets models and focuses on empirical test. The stock market on this month correlate with industries in Korea. The stock market doesn't lead to industries. The industries and macroeconomic variables have high correlation. We test that gradual diffusion of industrial information will predict stock market in Korea. For this, we analysis on possibility of Granger cause by VAR models between industries and stock market. As a result, 21 portfolios cause to Kospi statistically significance at 5%. Especially, the Beverage portfolio has bilateral Granger causality to Kospi. In case of Internet and Cosmetics portfolio, Kospi has unilateral Granger causality to it. The predictability of specific industries has a relation to Macroeconomic variables. What industrial portfolios predict to Business Coincidence Index? The only 6 industrial portfolios of 36 portfolios have a statistically significance at 10%. And, 9 portfolios have a statistically significance at 5%.

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Methodology for Developing HMA Mix Design Taking into Account Performance-Related Mechanistic Properties (포장성능관련 역학적 특성이 고려된 아스팔트 혼합물의 배합설계법 개발 방안)

  • Kim Boo-Il;Lee Moon-Sup;Kim Kwang-Woo
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.8 no.1 s.27
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2006
  • Criteria of the current asphalt mix design, Marshall method, includes the stability and flow which are not related with field performance of HMA mixture, together with the air void, Void filled with asphalt (VFA) and/or Void of mineral Aggregate(VMA). In addition, the limits of stability and flow are satisfied in most cases, the Optimum asphalt content (OAC) is determined based on volumetric properties, such as the air void and/or VFA and/of VMA. Therefore, many researchers have sought mechanistic properties which can replace the stability and flow, making the designed mixture having potential for better field performance. This study initiated to develope a mix design by introducing two performance-related mechanistic properties, the deformation strengh and fracture energy, in place of the stability and flow of the Marshall method. The deformation strength $(S_D)$ from the Kim Test has a high correlation with rutting property and the fracture energy(FE) from the indirect tensile test represents the fatigue cracking property of asphalt mixture. Four types of asphalt mixture were prepared for examining possibility of using the suggested mix design method in comparison with current methods. The results showed that mechanical properties were reflected in determination of OAC with this suggested mix design, unlike the existing Marshall method.

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Chemistry and Dehydration Behavior of (Ca, Mg)-buserite from the Janggun Mine, Korea (장군광산에서 산출되는 (Ca, Mg)-부서라이트의 화학조성과 탈수현상에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Hun-Soo;Kim, Soo-Jin
    • Journal of the Mineralogical Society of Korea
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.102-108
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    • 1992
  • The natural (Ca, Mg)-buserite has been identified from the manganese oxideores of the Janggun mine, Korea, which have been formed by supergene weathering of sedimentary-metamorphic rhodochrosite. It occurs together with rancieite forming one very fine-grained buserite-rancieite flake. This (Ca, Mg)-buserite-rancieite occurs as microcystalline flaky crystals. It precipitated around the fine-grained takanelite aggregate. Electron microprobe analyses give the formula ($Ca_{.08}Mg_{.07}Mn_{.05}^{2+})Mn_{.89}^{4+}O_2{\cdot}1.46H_2O$ for (Ca, Mg)-buserite. The dehydration experiments by relative humidity control and heating as well as rehydration experiment by relative humidity control show that (Ca, Mg)-buserite dehydrates completely at 90$^{\circ}C$ and rehydrates up to 27% of the original state. The dehydration at 26% RH (corresponding to heating to about 40$^{\circ}C$) is characterized by thedecrease in the decrease in the intensity of 9.86${\AA}$ peak with slight shifting to 9.60${\AA}$. It is due to the loss of weakly bound water molecules in the interlayer. The dehydration from 40$^{\circ}C$ to 90$^{\circ}C$ is characterized by the gradual shifting of 001 peak from 9.6${\AA}$ to 7.42${\AA}$. It is due to the loss of weakly bound water molecules in the interlayer.

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Use of Beam Transmissometer as an Indirect Measure of Suspended Sediment Concentration in the Estuarine Environment: Application and Problems (강하구에서의 부유물질농도 결정을 위한 광전도측정기의 이용 및 문제점)

  • KIM Seok-Yun
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.771-781
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    • 1994
  • Monthly measurements made at 15 stations along the axis of the upper Neuse River estuary show a highly variable degree of correlation between concentration of suspended particulate material (SPM) and attenuation coefficient (c) of light as measured by transmissometer. Coefficients of determination along transect lines ranged from $0.12{\sim}0.93$ and calibration slopes ranged from $0.50{\sim}5.63$. When examined on a station-by-station basis, coefficients of determination ranged from $0.21{\sim}0.96$ and calibration slopes ranged from $1.04{\sim}4.94$. Surface calibrations made at individual stations over the full 13-month period were the most consistent of all observations and were considerably better than calibrations made using all of the stations on a given day. Organic content, which can dominate the suspended sediment load during some months, does not appear to explain the variations in reliability of the calibrations. However, an abundance of large aggregates with time-varying size and shape distributions may be partly responsible for variations in optical properties of the sediments, and thus may confound the relationship between SPM and c in the Neuse River estuary Time-varying calibrations to account for non-negligible changes in optical properties may not suffice in complex estuarine environments where the in situ particle dynamics are poorly understood. However, the best use of Beam Transmissometer will continue to be for applications such as detecting water-column events or for use in situations where wide error bars in establishing SPM concentrations are acceptable.

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Permeability and Freeze-Thaw Resistance of Latex Modified Concrete (라텍스 개질 콘크리트의 투수성 및 동결융해 저항 특성)

  • 김기헌;이종명;홍창우;윤경구
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.484-490
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    • 2001
  • This study focused on the investigation of durability of latex modified concrete in the points of chloride ion permeability and freeze-thaw resistance as latex content variated such as 5%, 10%, 15% and 20%. When latex was mixed in concrete and cured, the concrete consisted of hydrated cement and aggregate interconnected by a film of latex particles. An increasing the amount of latex produced concrete with increased flexural strength, but with slightly lower compressive strength. The increase in flexural strength might be attributed to the latex films between the hydrated cement and aggregates, and the decrease in compressive strength to the flexibility of the latex component named by Butadiene. The rapid chloride permeability test was used to evaluate the relative permeability of latex-modified concretes and conventional concretes. The results showed that the permeability of latex-modified concretes was considerably lower than conventional concretes tested, which might be due to the latex filled in voids and interconnections of hydrated cement and aggregates by a film of latex particles. The freeze-thaw resistance of LMC was quite good comparing to conventional concrete. Air entraining agent has been used in conventional concrete to improve the freeze/thaw resistance, but latex modified concrete does not need additional air entraining agent for freeze-thaw resistance provided adequate cure occurs.