• 제목/요약/키워드: age-specific mortality rates

검색결과 63건 처리시간 0.031초

벼에서 애멸구(Laodelphax striatellus Fallén) 개체군 밀도 변동 예측 모델 구축 (Modelling The Population Dynamics of Laodelphax striatellus Fallén on Rice)

  • 권덕호;정인홍;서보윤;김혜경;박창규
    • 한국응용곤충학회지
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    • 제58권4호
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    • pp.347-354
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    • 2019
  • 벼에 줄무늬잎마름병을 유발하는 애멸구(Laodelphax striatellus)의 온도에 따른 산란 등 성충 활동 특성을 12.5~35.0℃ 10개 항온조건 광주기 14L:10D에서 조사하였다. 산란모델을 만들기 위한 단위 함수를 개발하고 DYMEX를 이용하여 개체군 밀도 변동 모델을 구축하였다. 성충 수명은 15.0℃에서 56.0일로 가장 길었고, 35.0℃에서 17.7일로 가장 짧았으며 온도가 올라감에 따라 수명도 짧아지는 경향을 보였다. 암컷 한 마리당 총산란수는 22.5℃에서 515.9개로 가장 많았으며, 35℃에서 18.6개로 가장 적었다. 산란 모델 개발을 위해 성충발육율, 총산란수, 성충사망율 및 누적산란율 단위모델을 추정한 결과, 단위모델 모두에서 높은 수준의 모델 적합성을 보였다(r2=0.94~0.97). 개체군 밀도 변동 모델은 포트와 포장 실험을 통하여 예측 정확도를 평가하였다. 포트 및 포장 실험 결과 접종 후 30일까지는 각 조사 시점에서 밀도 및 영기 분포 비율의 예측 정확도가 비교적 높았으나 이후에는 1, 2령의 조사 밀도와 예측 밀도 간에 큰 차이가 발생하였고, 영기 분포 변화의 경우도 모델에서 실제 조사 자료보다 1~2단계의 발육 영기가 빠르게 추정되는 경향을 보였다.

한.중.일 3국의 고령화와 인구정책 (Aging and Population Policies in Korea, China and Japan)

  • 구성열;박종대
    • 한국인구학
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.1-31
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    • 2007
  • 한 중 일 3국은 순차적으로 경제발전을 이룩하는 한편 세계적으로 유례없이 급속한 인구 변천과정을 겪고 있다. 출산율 및 사망율의 저하는 인구의 고령화로 귀결되는데 이들 3국은 노인인구의 증가, 구조적 관성, 비노인인구의 감소 등에 따라 향후 반세기이내에 지구상에서 가장 고령화된 나라가 될 전망이다. 본 연구는 한 중 일 3국의 경우 인구의 고령화에 따른 유효(나이별 소비율의 차이를 고려한)부양부담이 어떻게 변동하고 있으며 이 경로는 유효부양부담을 최소화하는 적정인구경로에서 얼마나 떨어져 있는가를 논하고 있다. 그리고 인구정책을 출산장려정책으로 전환하고 그 결과 출산율이 정지인구수준으로 당장 회복된다고 할 때 인구부양구조는 장기적으로 어떻게 변할 것인지를 논하고, 그 대안 혹은 보완책으로 유효부양부담과 관련된 여타 파라메타의 값에 변화를 줄 수 있는 정책은 얼마나 효과가 있을지를 논하고 있다.

우리나라 대표적(代表的) 표본인구(標本人口)의 연간(年間) 손상(損傷) 및 중독발생율(中毒發生率)과 역학적(疫學的) 특성(特性) (National Survey of Injury and Poisoning on a Representative Sample Population of Koreans)

  • 김정순;김성수;장성칠
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.447-463
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    • 1994
  • Despite the public health importance of injury and poisoning in terms of its high mortality and incidence, epidemiologic information to be utilized are scarce in Korea. This study was carried out in 1990 on a representative sample population (about 55,000 persons) along with the 6th National Tuberculosis Prevalence Survey in order to estimate the magnitude of injury and poisoning occurrence and to identify its epidemiologic characteristics which can be aided for establishing preventive strategy. Pre-tested and structured Questionnaire was used by trained interviewer to collect data including general information of the person, various information on the injury and poisoning during the past one year such as time and place of its occurrence, its nature and external causes, type of medical institute attended, duration of treatment and outcome of the accident occured. In analysis of the data collected incidence rates per 1000 persons by sex, age group and its nature as well as external causes, and relative frequencies were calculated. The result obtained are as followings; 1. The incidence rate per 1000 was 30 for both sexes, 39 for male and 22 for female, male being 1.8 times more frequent than female. Age adjusted incidences were not much different from the crude rates. Age group specific rate curve showed bimodal shape in both sexes, small peaks in preschool children and higher peaks in older ages. The incidence rate per 1000 people by area was highest in Jeon-bug province (57/1000) and the lowest in Daegu city(11/1000). 2. The place where the injuries occured were road in 46%, within the boundary of house in 25%, and working place in 12% The injuries and poisoning had occured more frequently during the months from March to August of the year than other months. 3. The relatively frequent injuries by its nature were contusion with intact skin surface (19%), fracture of upper limb (13%), open wound of head, neck and trunk (12%) and fracture of lower limb (11%) among males; contusion with intact skin surface (28%), sprains and strains of joints and adjacent muscle (14%), fracture of upper limb (10%) and fracture of lower limb (9%) among females. Higher incidence rate among males than females were fracture of skull (4.5 times), open wound and fractures of limbs ($2{\sim}3$ times). Age specific rate of injuries and poisoning by its nature showed increasing pattern by age in fractures of upper and lower limbs and sprains & strains of joints whereas the age group of 30's showed highest incidence in open wounds of upper limb. Fractures of radius and ulna in upper limb, fractures of tibia & fibula and ankle in lower limb were most frequent among fractures of upper and lower limbs. The frequent injuries among sprains and strains of joints and adjacent muscles were that of ankle, foot and back, and among open wound were that of head and fingers. 4. Relative frequency of injuries and poisoning by external causes showed following order : other accidents (25%), accidental falls (23%), motor vehicle accident (22%) and other road vehicle accident (14%) among males and accidental falls (37%), motor vehicle accident (24%) and other accident (18%) among females. The external causes revealing higher incidences among males than females, were other road vehicle accident (4.8 times), vehicle accident not elsewhere classifiable (4.4 times), accidental poisoning (4.4 times), accidents due to natural and environmental factors (2.8 times), and sucide & self-inflicted injuries (2.8 times). Age specific incidence by external causes for frequent injuries showed that incidence of other accident steadily increased from 10's till age 50's; motor vehicle traffic accident increased from age 20's and dropped after age 60's; on the other hand accidental fall increased strikingly by age. The most frequent external causes among motor vehicle traffic accidents was motor vehicle traffic accident involving collision with pedstrain (69%), pedal cycle accident (30%) and other road vehicle accident (71%) among other road vehicle accidents; falls on same level from slipping, tripping or standing (44%) and other falls from one level to another among accidental falls; accidents caused by machinary (32%) for male and striking against or struck accidentally by objects or person for female among other accidents. 5. Seventy nine percent of the injuries and poisonings were treated in general hospital or hospital/clinic. The duration of treatment ranged from a few days to 123 weeks; the majority(52%) took under 2 weeks, 36% for $3{\sim}8$ weeks and 4% over 21 weeks. 6. The accident resulted in full recovery of normal healthy state in 62%, residual functional defects in 21% and on process of treatment in 16%.

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Excess Deaths During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Southern Iran: Estimating the Absolute Count and Relative Risk Using Ecological Data

  • Mohammadreza Zakeri;Alireza Mirahmadizadeh;Habibollah Azarbakhsh;Seyed Sina Dehghani;Maryam Janfada;Mohammad Javad Moradian;Leila Moftakhar;Mehdi Sharafi;Alireza Heiran
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제57권2호
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    • pp.120-127
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    • 2024
  • Objectives: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic led to increased mortality rates. To assess this impact, this ecological study aimed to estimate the excess death counts in southern Iran. Methods: The study obtained weekly death counts by linking the National Death Registry and Medical Care Monitoring Center repositories. The P-score was initially estimated using a simple method that involved calculating the difference between the observed and expected death counts. The interrupted time series analysis was then used to calculate the mean relative risk (RR) of death during the first year of the pandemic. Results: Our study found that there were 5571 excess deaths from all causes (P-score=33.29%) during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic, with 48.03% of these deaths directly related to COVID-19. The pandemic was found to increase the risk of death from all causes (RR, 1.26; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.19 to 1.33), as well as in specific age groups such as those aged 35-49 (RR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.12 to 1.32), 50-64 (RR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.28 to 1.49), and ≥65 (RR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.12 to 1.32) years old. Furthermore, there was an increased risk of death from cardiovascular diseases (RR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.11 to 1.22). Conclusions: There was a 26% increase in the death count in southern Iran during the COVID-19 pandemic. More than half of these excess deaths were not directly related to COVID-19, but rather other causes, with cardiovascular diseases being a major contributor.

Time to Disease Recurrence Is a Predictor of Metastasis and Mortality in Patients with High-risk Prostate Cancer Who Achieved Undetectable Prostate-specific Antigen Following Robot-assisted Radical Prostatectomy

  • Kim, Do Kyung;Koo, Kyo Chul;Lee, Kwang Suk;Hah, Yoon Soo;Rha, Koon Ho;Hong, Sung Joon;Chung, Byung Ha
    • Journal of Korean Medical Science
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    • 제33권45호
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    • pp.285.1-285.10
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    • 2018
  • Background: Robot-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP) is a feasible treatment option for high-risk prostate cancer (PCa). While patients may achieve undetectable prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels after RARP, the risk of disease progression is relatively high. We investigated metastasis-free survival, cancer-specific survival (CSS), and overall survival (OS) outcomes and prognosticators in such patients. Methods: In a single-center cohort of 342 patients with high-risk PCa (clinical stage ${\geq}T3$, biopsy Gleason score ${\geq}8$, and/or PSA levels ${\geq}20ng/mL$) treated with RARP and pelvic lymph node dissection between August 2005 and June 2011, we identified 251 (73.4%) patients (median age, 66.5 years; interquartile range [IQR], 63.0-71.0 years) who achieved undetectable PSA levels (< 0.01 ng/mL) postoperatively. Survival outcomes were evaluated for the entire study sample and in groups stratified according to the time to biochemical recurrence dichotomized at 60 months. Results: During the median follow-up of 75.9 months (IQR, 59.4-85.8 months), metastasis occurred in 38 (15.1%) patients, most often to the bones, followed by the lymph nodes, lungs, and liver. The 5-year metastasis-free, cancer-specific, and OS rates were 87.1%, 94.8%, and 94.3%, respectively. Multivariate Cox-regression analysis revealed time to recurrence as an independent predictor of metastasis (P < 0.001). Time to metastasis was an independent predictor of OS (P = 0.003). Metastasis-free and CSS rates were significantly lower among patients with recurrence within 60 months of RARP (log-rank P < 0.001). Conclusion: RARP confers acceptable oncological outcomes for high-risk PCa. Close monitoring beyond 5 years is warranted for early detection of disease progression and for timely adjuvant therapy.

Predicting recurrence in oral cavity cancers: a review of 116 patients with buccal mucosa carcinoma in northwestern India

  • Pinakin Patel;Pranav Mohan Singhal;Kamal Kishor Lakhera;Aishwarya Chatterjee;Agil Babu;Suresh Singh;Shubhra Sharma;Bhoopendra Singh Gora;Naina Kumar Agarwal
    • 대한두개안면성형외과학회지
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.211-217
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    • 2023
  • Background: Oral cavity cancers, the second most common type in India, are responsible for 10% of the overall cancer burden. With a recurrence rate of 30% to 40% and a 5-year survival rate of 50%, these malignancies account for substantial morbidity and mortality. Despite advances in treatment modalities, survival rates following treatment completion have not improved significantly. The present study aimed to establish specific epidemiological and pathological factors responsible for recurrence after treatment completion in buccal mucosa cancers. Methods: A retrospective analysis of the data of 116 patients treated for biopsy-proven cancers of the buccal mucosa was undertaken 1 year after treatment completion. Factors such as age, sex, education, lymphovascular invasion, extranodal extension (ENE), perineural invasion, depth of invasion, and pathological margin status were compared between patients who presented with recurrence and those who did not. Statistical significance was set at p< 0.05. Results: Of the 116 patients, 40 (34.5%) developed a recurrent disease within 1 year. The mean age of the study population was 43.3 years, and males constituted 91.4% of the included patients. Ipsilateral buccal mucosa was the commonest site of disease recurrence. Neck node metastasis, ENE, and margins of resection < 5 mm were significantly related to the recurrence of disease. However, surprisingly, lymphovascular invasion, perineural invasion, and depth of invasion > 10 mm did not show statistically significant associations. Conclusion: Neck node metastasis, ENE, and margins of resection < 5 mm were the histopathological factors associated with recurrence in cancers of the buccal mucosa.

Prognostic Factors in Patients Treated with DrugCoated Balloon Angioplasty for Symptomatic Peripheral Artery Disease

  • Sigala, Fragiska;Galyfos, George;Stavridis, Kyriakos;Tigkiropoulos, Konstantinos;Lazaridis, Ioannis;Karamanos, Dimitrios;Mpontinis, Vangelis;Melas, Nikolaos;Zournatzi, Ioulia;Filis, Konstantinos;Saratzis, Nikolaos
    • Vascular Specialist International
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.94-102
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: Aim of this study is to report real-life experience on the treatment of peripheral artery disease (PAD) with a specific drug-coated balloon (DCB), and to evaluate potential prognostic factors for outcomes. Materials and Methods: This is a retrospective study reporting outcomes in patients with PAD who were treated with the Lutonix DCB during a four-year period. Major outcomes included: all-cause mortality, amputation, clinical improvement, wound healing and target lesion revascularization (TLR). Mean follow-up was $24.2{\pm}2.3$ months. Results: Overall, 149 patients (mean age: $68.6{\pm}8.3$ years; 113 males) were treated, either for intermittent claudication (IC) (n=86) or critical limb ischemia (CLI) (n=63). More than half the target lesions (n=206 in total) were located in the superficial femoral artery and 18.0% were below-the-knee lesions. CLI patients presented more frequently with infrapopliteal (P=0.002) or multilevel disease (P=0.0004). Overall, all-cause mortality during follow-up was 10.7%, amputation-free survival was 81.2% and TLR-free survival was 96.6%. CLI patients showed higher all-cause mortality (P=0.007) and total amputation (P=0.0001) rates as well as lower clinical improvement (P=0.0002), compared to IC patients. Coronary artery disease (CAD), gangrene and infrapopliteal disease were found to be predictors for death whereas CLI and gangrene were found to be predictors for amputation, during follow-up. Conclusion: PAD treatment with Lutonix DCBs seems to be an efficient and safe endovascular strategy yielding promising results. However, CAD, gangrene, CLI and infrapopliteal lesions were found to be independent predictors for adverse outcomes. Larger series are needed to identify additional prognostic factors.

Lack of Relation of Survivin Gene Expression with Survival and Surgical Prognostic Factors in Endometrial Carcinoma Patients

  • Aksoy, Rifat Taner;Thran, Ahmet Taner;Boran, Nurettin;Tokmak, Aytekin;Isikdogan, Betul Zuhal;Dogan, Mehmet;Thlunay, Hakki Gokhan
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권16호
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    • pp.6905-6910
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    • 2014
  • Background: The relation ofsurvivin gene expression to survival and surgical prognostic factors in the patients with endometrial carcinoma is unclear. Materials and Methods: In this study, 62 cases who were operated due to endometrial carcinoma were investigated between 2003 and 2011 in the the gynecological oncology clinic of Female Disease Training and Investigation Hospital of Etlik Zubeyde, Hanim, Turkey. Clinical and surgical prognostic factors were investigated by screening the records of these cases. With the standard streptavidin-biotin immune peroxidase method, cytoplasmic and nuclear expression of survivin was investigated in sections with specific antibodies (1:100, diagnostic Bio Systems, USA) primer. The aim was to elucidate any relation between survivin expression and defined prognostic factors and survival. Results: There was no statistically significant relationship between cytoplasmic and nuclear indexes identified for survivin and age, body mass index, the levels of preoperative hemoglobin, platelet and Ca 125, stage, grade, lymph node meastasis, the number of meta statical lymph nodes (total, paraaortic and pelvic), myometrial invasion, serosal invasion, adnexal involvement, the presence of acid in the first diagnosis, the involvement of omentum, the adjuvant treatment application of the cases, the presence of recurrence and rate of mortality (p>0.05). Statistical significance was noted for the presence of advanced stage lymph node metastasis (pelvic, paraaortic, pelvic and paraaortic), serosal involvement, positive cytology, lymph vascular space invasion, intra abdominal metastasis, and omentum involvement. When investigated the relation between cytoplasmic and nuclear survivin indexes and total survival, the result was not statistically significant (p>0.05). Conclusions: In our study, there was no statistically significant relationship between the rates of cytoplasmic and nuclear survivin expression with identified prognostic factors and total or non-disease survival.

젊은 층과 노년층 위암 환자들의 임상병리학적 특성의 비교와 생존율 (Comparison of the Clinicopathologic Features and the Survival Rates in Young and Elderly Patients with Gastric Cancer)

  • 김찬영;양두현
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.257-262
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    • 2006
  • 목적: 젊은 층과 노년층 위암 환자들의 치료와 치료 성적을 포함한 임상병리학적 특성을 비교해 보고, 생존율을 알아보고자 하였다. 대상 및 방법: 본원에서 10년간($1990{\sim}1999$) 위암으로 위절제술을 받은 환자 1,086명 중 40세 미만의 젊은 층(A) 91명과 70세 이상의 노년층(B) 85명을 대상으로 하였다. 결과: A와 B군 각각 여자의 비율이 47.3%와 32.9%로 A군에서 여자가 상대적으로 많고 가족력은 15.4%와 3.5%, 조직학적 미분화형은 84.4%와 40.2%, Lauren 분류의 미만형은 69.1%와 35.1%로 A군에서 많았다(P<0.05). 두 군의 TNM 병기는 차이가 없었다. 동반된 심폐질환은 각각 1.1%와 11.8%로 B군에 많았다(P<0.01). 수술의 림프절 D3 이상 절제율은 각각 27.4%와 4.7%로 B군이 적었다(P<0.001). 수술시간은 평균 258분과 235분, 획득한 림프절의 수는 평균 53.1개와 28.0개였다(P<0.001). 그러나 수술의 근치도는 차이가 없었다. 수술 후 항암요법은 5-FU, adriamycin, mitomycin 또는 5-FU, cisplatin의 투여 비율이 34%와 3.5%로 B군이 적었다(P<0.001). 수술 합병증은 23.1%와 30.6%이고 수술 사망률은 1.1%와 1.2%이며 재발률은 23.4%와 21.2%이고 질병관련 5년 생존율은 67.6%와 67.0%로 차이가 없었다. 결론: 젊은 층과 노년층의 위암 환자들은 서로 다른 임상병리학적 특성을 가진다. 특히 노년층 환자에게는 젊은 층에 비해 축소된 치료방법이 선택되었다. 그러나 이런 차이들에도 불구하고 치료 성적과 질병 관련 생존율의 차이는 없었다.

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급성 약물중독에 합병된 일과성 혹은 지속성 고암모니아혈증의 특성 (General Characteristics for Poisoning-Induced Transient or Sustained Hyperammonemia)

  • 이수형;박홍인;최마이클승필;제동욱;노우영;김성훈;이미진;안재윤;문성배;이동언;박정배
    • 대한임상독성학회지
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.136-143
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: In patients with altered mentality caused by drugs or unknown causes, ammonia is checked to facilitate differential diagnosis or diagnose hepatic coma. This helps early prevention and treatment of brain damage due to hyperammonemia. This study was conducted to evaluate clinical characteristics of intoxicated adult patients with hyperammonemia. Methods: We evaluated 95 patients with hyperammonemia among intoxicated patients above the age of 15 who visited our ED from January 2013 to December 2015. We analyzed the demographic characteristics and type of poisoning substance, reason for ingestion, toxicological characteristics such as elapsed time from ingestion to hospital visit, lab, clinical progression and complications. Data were evaluated using the student's t test or Mann-Whitney U test for continuous variables, and Chi-square test and Fisher's exact test for frequency analysis of categorical variables. Results: When compared to healthy individuals, patients with hyperammonemia showed statistical significance on their SOFA score (p=0.016) and poison severity score (p<0.001). Additionally, patients with hyperammonemia showed significantly different initial serum AST level (p=0.012) and maximum serum AST level during the hospital stay (p=0.026) when compared to healthy individuals. Moreover, individuals with sustained hyperammonemia compared to transient hyperammonemia showed clinically significant SOFA scores (p<0.001), poison severity scores (p=0.007), mortality rates in the ICU (p=0.021), as well as different duration of hospital stay (p=0.037), serum creatinine level (p=0.002), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (p=0.025), and serum myoglobin (p=0.015). Conclusion: Most poisoning-induced hyperammonemia cases were transient and recovered without special treatment. Therefore, hyperammonemia is almost non-specific among poisoning patients.