• Title/Summary/Keyword: age estimation

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Development of a Rural Population Model Considering Shift-Share Effects in Cohort-Survival Method (집단생잔모델에 변화할당효과를 고려한 농촌지역 인구모델의 개발)

  • Jung, Nam-Su;Lee, Haeng-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.12 no.3 s.32
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    • pp.39-42
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to develop rural population model adapting cohort survival method with sift-share effects. Administrative district in this study is below Myun: about 2,000 population. Population data of rural area in 1990, 1995, and 2000 by age cohort were selected for applying developed model. Damping coefficient from population data was calculated as 7% and results applying this coefficient in rural population data below the error from 12% to 1.06%. In detail, most of cohorts fitted with developed model except from 15 to 29 age groups. Application result of small population area; DaesulMyun revealed that main factor of population change is not natural change but migration.

Finite Element Analysis for Iron-Making Furnace (제철용 고로의 유한요소해석)

  • 이만승;백점기;이제명
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.245-253
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    • 2004
  • There has been recent demand for extending the life of age-degraded structures and equipment by such techniques as diagnosis, maintenance, safety assessment, and estimating residual life on iron-making plants and hydraulic, thermal, and nuclear power plants. These techniques take into account comprehensive scenarios that may cause malfunction and structural damage and allow an assessment of risk based on the likely scenarios. In particular the safety assessment and residual life estimation of age-degraded ships and equipment facilities require consideration of various factors such as mechanical and thermal stresses, corrosion, hardness, load variation due to changes of operating condition, crack generation and strength reduction of material by fatigue. In this study, a detail thermal stress analysis, one of useful techniques of safety assessment and maintenance, is performed on a blast furnace by using general FEM code (MSC/NASTRAN).

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Estimation of Height Growth Patterns and Site Index Curves for Japanese Red Cedar(Cryptomeria japonica D. Don) Stands planted in Southern Regions, Korea

  • Lee, Young-Jin
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.29-31
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate height growth patterns and site index cuties (base index age 50 years) for Japanese red cedar trees(Cryptomeria japonica D. Don) grown in southern regions of Korea. The Chapman-Richards growth function was selected for stand height prediction using on the results of stem analysis data sets. Anamorphic base age invariant site index cuties were presented based on this height prediction equation. The resulting site index prediction equation can provide an indication of the productivity of the site quality based on Japanese red cedar trees plantation ages planted in southern regions of Korea.

Estimation of Site Index for Larix kaempferi and Pinus koraiensis in Gangwon and North Gyeongsang Provinces

  • Lee, Daesung;Seo, Yeongwan;Park, Gildong;Choi, Jungkee
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.202-206
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    • 2015
  • Site index curves were developed for Larix kaempferi and Pinus koraiensis in Gangwon and North Gyeongsang provinces in Korea. For the development of site index, Schumacher and Chapman-Richards model were applied using the data collected from 2012 to 2014. Base age was set to 40 years for Larix kaempferi and Pinus koraiensis in site index of this study. Coefficient of determination and root mean square error of site index models were provided by species, and the models were compared with the previous studies to check the suitability. Overall, site index models developed in this study fitted in the current data well. Thus, the site indexes are considered to be properly used in Gangwon and North Gyeongsang provinces.

THE EFFECTS OF HORIZONTAL-BRANCH STARS ON THE H$\beta$ INDEX OF SIMPLE STELLAR POPULATION MODELS

  • LEE HYUN-CHUL;LEE YOUNG-WOOK;PARK JANG-HYUN
    • Journal of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.29 no.spc1
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    • pp.133-134
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    • 1996
  • We present the systematic variations of H$\beta$ index of simple stellar populations due to horizontal-branch (HB) stars. Most of the previous works have been done without careful considerations of HB stars. Since the Balmer line strengths are very sensitive to the temperature, including the HB stars are quite important. We found that the strength of H,6 index is strongly affected by HB stars, and hence the age estimation without careful consideration of the variation of HB morphology with metallicity and age would underestimate the ages of ellipticals.

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AGES OF ELLIPTICAL GALAXIES FROM POPULATION SYNTHESIS MODELS

  • LEE YOUNG-WOOK;PARK JANG-HYUN
    • Journal of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.29 no.spc1
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    • pp.49-51
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    • 1996
  • New population synthesis models, with the effects of metallicity spread and the horizontal-branch (HB) morphology, provide a way to break the well-known age-metallicity degeneracy in the analysis of the integrated light of elliptical galaxies. Our models suggest that the far- UV radiation of these systems is dominated by a minority population of metal-poor, hot HB stars and their post-HB progeny, while the optical radiation is dominated by a metal-rich population. The systematic variation of UV upturn depends on the contribution from metal-poor, hot HB stars and their post-HB progeny, which in turn depends on the ages of old stellar populations in galaxies. Our result implies a prolonged epoch of galaxy formation, in the sense that more massive galaxies (in denser environments) formed first. Our models also suggest that the strenghth of H$\beta$ index is strongly affected by HB stars, and hence previous age estimation without detailed modeling of the HB would underestimate the ages of ellipticals by $\~$7 Gyr.

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Forensic DNA methylation profiling from evidence material for investigative leads

  • Lee, Hwan Young;Lee, Soong Deok;Shin, Kyoung-Jin
    • BMB Reports
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    • v.49 no.7
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    • pp.359-369
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    • 2016
  • DNA methylation is emerging as an attractive marker providing investigative leads to solve crimes in forensic genetics. The identification of body fluids that utilizes tissue-specific DNA methylation can contribute to solving crimes by predicting activity related to the evidence material. The age estimation based on DNA methylation is expected to reduce the number of potential suspects, when the DNA profile from the evidence does not match with any known person, including those stored in the forensic database. Moreover, the variation in DNA implicates environmental exposure, such as cigarette smoking and alcohol consumption, thereby suggesting the possibility to be used as a marker for predicting the lifestyle of potential suspect. In this review, we describe recent advances in our understanding of DNA methylation variations and the utility of DNA methylation as a forensic marker for advanced investigative leads from evidence materials.

Program Development for the Determination of Equivalent Load for Accelerated Fatigue Testing and the Estimation of Fatigue Life (가속 내구 시험을 위한 등가하중 설정과 피로수명 예측을 위한 프로그램 개발)

  • 이강용;박병화;이득용
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.265-272
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    • 2003
  • The computer program for the accelerated life testing technique of a machine part under the service conditions is developed under the GUI environment so that the user can easily obtain the results by selecting the program module. Also, the theoretical backgrounds for the computer program and the procedures of the accelerated testing method are introduced by testing the specimens made of the stainless steel 316L under the high temperature and random loading. The reliability of the program is discussed by the experimental results of the fatigue life, age degradation and accelerated testing conditions.

A Research on the Service Environment Evaluation Elements for Development of the Silver Town (실버타운 개발을 위한 서비스환경 평가요인에 관한 연구)

  • Ha, Jeung-Soon;Kwak, Jae-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this research is to example the general trend of the service environment evaluation of the silver town and classify based on the service environment evaluation to suggest a effective method and alternatives fur development companies. The survey population of this study focused on 40s and 50s' middle aged both genders living in the Seoul and national capital region, we used random sampling method. The analytical methods used in this study were frequency, mean, standard deviation, factor analysis, Chi-Squae analysis, ANOVA, cluster Analysis, post-hoc estimation (Duncan test), To verify the reliability of each measure, Cronbach's alpha coefficient was used. As a result of classifying the environment evaluation elements, it was classified into 5 groups for the differentiating strategy on each group. The groups are: life support service type, medical and health support service type, cultural support service type, indifference type, and food support service type.

Estimation of the Setting Time of the Super Retarding Concrete Combining Mineral Admixtures (혼화재를 조합 사용한 초지연 콘크리트의 응결시간 추정)

  • Han, Min-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.111-117
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    • 2008
  • This study provides the setting time prediction method of super retarding concrete incorporating mineral admixtures at the same time including fly ash(FA), blast furnace slag(BS) based on maturity method. The setting time was retarded, as super retarding agent contents increase and curing temperature decreases. In addition, apparent activation energy by Arrhenius function was ranged from $24{\sim}35KJ/mol$ with slightly difference along with mixture proportion. This value is smaller than existing value $30{\sim}50KJ/mol$. It is Indicated that equivalent age using setting time can be a proper method to predict setting time and it also exhibited comparable relativity between prediction value and measurement value. Therefore, this study provided setting time prediction value with super retarding agent contents and mineral admixture combination. Setting time prediction equation provided herein is possibly valid for estimating precise setting time of the super retarding concrete at the job site.