• Title/Summary/Keyword: accurate prediction

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Prediction of Piezoelectric Coefficients of PZT-Polymer Composites by Finite Element Method (유한요소법을 이용한 복합압전체의 압전계수예측)

  • 신병철;윤만순;임종인;강영훈;장현명;박병학;백성기
    • Journal of the Korean Ceramic Society
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.23-26
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    • 1990
  • A model is developed based on the Finite Element Method (FEM) which provides a more accurate prediction of the hydrostatic piezoelectric coefficient of 1-3 or 3-1 PZT-Polymer composites than does the series/parallel model.

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Prediction of small-scale leak flow rate in LOCA situations using bidirectional GRU

  • Hye Seon Jo;Sang Hyun Lee;Man Gyun Na
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.56 no.9
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    • pp.3594-3601
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    • 2024
  • It is difficult to detect a small-scale leakage in a nuclear power plant (NPP) quickly and take appropriate action. Delaying these procedures can have adverse effects on NPPs. In this paper, we propose leak flow rate prediction using the bidirectional gated recurrent unit (Bi-GRU) method to detect leakage quickly and accurately in small-scale leakage situations because large-scale leak rates are known to be predicted accurately. The data were acquired by simulating small loss-of-coolant accidents (LOCA) or small-scale leakage situations using the modular accident analysis program (MAAP) code. In addition, to improve prediction performance, data were collected by distinguishing the break sizes in more detail. In addition, the prediction accuracy was improved by performing both LOCA diagnosis and leak flow rate prediction in small LOCA situations. The prediction model developed using the Bi-GRU showed a superior prediction performance compared with other artificial intelligence methods. Accordingly, the accurate and effective prediction model for small-scale leakage situations proposed herein is expected to support operators in decision-making and taking actions.

Prediction of Chiral Discrimination by β-Cyclodextrins Using Grid-based Monte Carlo Docking Simulations

  • Choi, Young-Jin;Kim, Dong-Wook;Park, Hyung-Woo;Hwang, Sun-Tae;Jeong, Karp-Joo;Jung, Seun-Ho
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.769-775
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    • 2005
  • An efficiency of Monte Carlo (MC) docking simulations was examined for the prediction of chiral discrimination by cyclodextrins. Docking simulations were performed with various computational parameters for the chiral discrimination of a series of 17 enantiomers by $\beta$-cyclodextrin ($\beta$-CD) or by 6-amino-6-deoxy-$\beta$-cyclodextrin (am-$\beta$-CD). A total of 30 sets of enantiomeric complexes were tested to find the optimal simulation parameters for accurate predictions. Rigid-body MC docking simulations gave more accurate predictions than flexible docking simulations. The accuracy was also affected by both the simulation temperature and the kind of force field. The prediction rate of chiral preference was improved by as much as 76.7% when rigid-body MC docking simulations were performed at low-temperatures (100 K) with a sugar22 parameter set in the CHARMM force field. Our approach for MC docking simulations suggested that the conformational rigidity of both the host and guest molecule, due to either the low-temperature or rigid-body docking condition, contributed greatly to the prediction of chiral discrimination.

Psychophysical cost function of joint movement for arm reach posture prediction

  • 최재호;김성환;정의승
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1994.04a
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    • pp.561-568
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    • 1994
  • A man model can be used as an effective tool to design ergonomically sound products and workplaces, and subsequently evaluate them properly. For a man model to be truly useful, it must be integrated with a posture prediction model which should be capable of representing the human arm reach posture in the context of equipments and workspaces. Since the human movement possesses redundant degrees of freedom, accurate representation or prediction of human movement was known to be a difficult problem. To solve this redundancy problem, a psychophysical cost function was suggested in this study which defines a cost value for each joint movement angle. The psychophysical cost function developed integrates the psychophysical discomfort of joints and the joint range availability concept which has been used for redundant arm manipulation in robotics to predict the arm reach posture. To properly predict an arm reach posture, an arm reach posture prediction model was then developed in which a posture configuration that provides the minimum total cost is chosen. The predictivity of the psychophysical cost function was compared with that of the biomechanical cost function which is based on the minimization of joint torque. Here, the human body is regarded as a two-dimensional multi-link system which consists of four links ; trunk, upper arm, lower arm and hand. Real reach postures were photographed from the subjects and were compared to the postures predicted by the model. Results showed that the postures predicted by the psychophysical cost function closely simulated human reach postures and the predictivity was more accurate than that by the biomechanical cost function.

Support vector machines with optimal instance selection: An application to bankruptcy prediction

  • Ahn Hyun-Chul;Kim Kyoung-Jae;Han In-Goo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2006.06a
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    • pp.167-175
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    • 2006
  • Building accurate corporate bankruptcy prediction models has been one of the most important research issues in finance. Recently, support vector machines (SVMs) are popularly applied to bankruptcy prediction because of its many strong points. However, in order to use SVM, a modeler should determine several factors by heuristics, which hinders from obtaining accurate prediction results by using SVM. As a result, some researchers have tried to optimize these factors, especially the feature subset and kernel parameters of SVM But, there have been no studies that have attempted to determine appropriate instance subset of SVM, although it may improve the performance by eliminating distorted cases. Thus in the study, we propose the simultaneous optimization of the instance selection as well as the parameters of a kernel function of SVM by using genetic algorithms (GAs). Experimental results show that our model outperforms not only conventional SVM, but also prior approaches for optimizing SVM.

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An Integrated Accurate-Secure Heart Disease Prediction (IAS) Model using Cryptographic and Machine Learning Methods

  • Syed Anwar Hussainy F;Senthil Kumar Thillaigovindan
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.504-519
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    • 2023
  • Heart disease is becoming the top reason of death all around the world. Diagnosing cardiac illness is a difficult endeavor that necessitates both expertise and extensive knowledge. Machine learning (ML) is becoming gradually more important in the medical field. Most of the works have concentrated on the prediction of cardiac disease, however the precision of the results is minimal, and data integrity is uncertain. To solve these difficulties, this research creates an Integrated Accurate-Secure Heart Disease Prediction (IAS) Model based on Deep Convolutional Neural Networks. Heart-related medical data is collected and pre-processed. Secondly, feature extraction is processed with two factors, from signals and acquired data, which are further trained for classification. The Deep Convolutional Neural Networks (DCNN) is used to categorize received sensor data as normal or abnormal. Furthermore, the results are safeguarded by implementing an integrity validation mechanism based on the hash algorithm. The system's performance is evaluated by comparing the proposed to existing models. The results explain that the proposed model-based cardiac disease diagnosis model surpasses previous techniques. The proposed method demonstrates that it attains accuracy of 98.5 % for the maximum amount of records, which is higher than available classifiers.

Comparison of Wave Prediction and Performance Evaluation in Korea Waters based on Machine Learning

  • Heung Jin Park;Youn Joung Kang
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.18-29
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    • 2024
  • Waves are a complex phenomenon in marine and coastal areas, and accurate wave prediction is essential for the safety and resource management of ships at sea. In this study, three types of machine learning techniques specialized in nonlinear data processing were used to predict the waves of Korea waters. An optimized algorithm for each area is presented for performance evaluation and comparison. The optimal parameters were determined by varying the window size, and the performance was evaluated by comparing the mean absolute error (MAE). All the models showed good results when the window size was 4 or 7 d, with the gated recurrent unit (GRU) performing well in all waters. The MAE results were within 0.161 m to 0.051 m for significant wave heights and 0.491 s to 0.272 s for periods. In addition, the GRU showed higher prediction accuracy for certain data with waves greater than 3 m or 8 s, which is likely due to the number of training parameters. When conducting marine and offshore research at new locations, the results presented in this study can help ensure safety and improve work efficiency. If additional wave-related data are obtained, more accurate wave predictions will be possible.

A Coupled Analysis of Smart Plate Under Electro-Mechanical Loading Using Enhanced Lower-Order Shear Deformation Theory (개선된 저차 전단 변형 이론을 이용한 전기, 기계 하중을 받는 스마트 복합재 구조물의 연성 해석)

  • Oh, Jin-Ho;Cho, Maeng-Hyo;Kim, Jun-Sik
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.31 no.1 s.256
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    • pp.121-128
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    • 2007
  • Enhanced lower order shear deformation theory is developed in this study. Generally, lower order theories are not adequate to predict accurate deformation and stress distribution through the thickness of laminated plate. For the accurate prediction of detailed stress and deformation distributions through the thickness, higher order zigzag theories have been proposed. However, in most cases, simplified zigzag higher order theory requires $C_1$, shape functions in finite element implementation. In commercial FE softwares, $C_1$, shape functions are not so common in plate and shell analysis. Thus zigzag theories are useful for the highly accurate prediction of thick composite behaviors but they are not practical in the sense that they cannot be used conveniently in the commercial package. In practice, iso-parametric $C_0$ plate model is the standard model for the analysis and design of composite laminated plates and shells. Thus in the present study, an enhanced lower order shear deformation theory is developed. The proposed theory requires only $C_0$ shape function in FE implementation. The least-squared energy error between the lower order theory and higher order theory is minimized. An enhanced lower order shear deformation theory(ELSDT) in this paper is proposed for smart structure under complex loadings. The ELSDT is constructed by the strain energy transformation and fully coupled mechanical, electric loading cases are studied. In order to obtain accurate prediction, zigzag in-plane displacement and transverse normal deformation are considered in the deformation Held. In the electric behavior, open-circuit condition as well as closed-circuit condition is considered. Through the numerous examples, the accuracy and robustness of present theory are demonstrated.

Accuracy of predictive equations for resting metabolic rate in Korean athletic and non-athletic adolescents

  • Kim, Jae-Hee;Kim, Myung-Hee;Kim, Gwi-Sun;Park, Ji-Sun;Kim, Eun-Kyung
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.370-378
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    • 2015
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Athletes generally desire changes in body composition in order to enhance their athletic performance. Often, athletes will practice chronic energy restrictions to attain body composition changes, altering their energy needs. Prediction of resting metabolic rates (RMR) is important in helping to determine an athlete's energy expenditure. This study compared measured RMR of athletic and non-athletic adolescents with predicted RMR from commonly used prediction equations to identify the most accurate equation applicable for adolescent athletes. SUBJECTS/METHODS: A total of 50 athletes (mean age of $16.6{\pm}1.0years$, 30 males and 20 females) and 50 non-athletes (mean age of $16.5{\pm}0.5years$, 30 males and 20 females) were enrolled in the study. The RMR of subjects was measured using indirect calorimetry. The accuracy of 11 RMR prediction equations was evaluated for bias, Pearson's correlation coefficient, and Bland-Altman analysis. RESULTS: Until more accurate prediction equations are developed, our findings recommend using the formulas by Cunningham (-29.8 kcal/day, limits of agreement -318.7 and +259.1 kcal/day) and Park (-0.842 kcal/day, limits of agreement -198.9 and +196.9 kcal/day) for prediction of RMR when studying male adolescent athletes. Among the new prediction formulas reviewed, the formula included in the fat-free mass as a variable [$RMR=730.4+15{\times}fat-free\;mass$] is paramount when examining athletes. CONCLUSIONS: The RMR prediction equation developed in this study is better in assessing the resting metabolic rate of Korean athletic adolescents.

A Simplified Daylight Prediction Method for Designing Sawtooth Aperture

  • Kim, Kang-Soo;Lee, Jin-Mo
    • Architectural research
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.41-46
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    • 2000
  • The sawtooth skylight is an excellent daylighting concept for the uniform interior illuminance over large working areas. In computer simulation, it is difficult for an architect to get accurate daylight illuminances for the spaces where sawtooth apertures are applied. In this study, daylight prediction algorithms for sawtooth apertures are developed. The flux transfer method is applied for this study to predict daylight illuminances. The simplified equations from this study can be used effectively for preliminary prediction of daylight in sawtooth spaces.

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