• 제목/요약/키워드: accurate prediction

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정확하고 효율적인 간접 분기 예측기 설계 (Design of Accurate and Efficient Indirect Branch Predictor)

  • 백경호;김은성
    • 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전자공학회 2005년도 추계종합학술대회
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    • pp.1083-1086
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    • 2005
  • Modern superscalar processors exploit Instruction Level Parallelism to achieve high performance by speculative techniques such as branch prediction. The indirect branch target prediction is very difficult compared to the prediction of direct branch target and branch direction, since it has dynamically polymorphic target. We present a accurate and hardware-efficient indirect branch target predictor. It can reduce the tags which has to be stored in the Indirect Branch Target Cache without a sacrifice of the prediction accuracy. We implement the proposed scheme on SimpleScalar and show the efficiency running SPEC95 benchmarks.

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ADS-B based Trajectory Prediction and Conflict Detection for Air Traffic Management

  • Baek, Kwang-Yul;Bang, Hyo-Choong
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.377-385
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    • 2012
  • The Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast (ADS-B) system is a key component of CNS/ATM recommended by the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) as the next generation air traffic control system. ADS-B broadcasts identification, positional data, and operation information of an aircraft to other aircraft, ground vehicles and ground stations in the nearby region. This paper explores the ADS-B based trajectory prediction and the conflict detection algorithm. The multiple-model based trajectory prediction algorithm leads accurate predicted conflict probability at a future forecast time. We propose an efficient and accurate algorithm to calculate conflict probability based on approximation of the conflict zone by a set of blocks. The performance of proposed algorithms is demonstrated by a numerical simulation of two aircraft encounter scenarios.

Accurate Prediction of Real-Time MPEG-4 Variable Bit Rate Video Traffic

  • Lee, Kang-Yong;Kim, Moon-Seong;Jang, Hee-Seon;Cho, Kee-Seong
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제29권6호
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    • pp.823-825
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    • 2007
  • In this letter, we propose a novel algorithm to predict MPEG-coded real-time variable bit rate (VBR) video traffic. From the frame size measurement, the algorithm extracts the statistical property of video traffic and utilizes it for the prediction of the next frame for I-, P-, and B- frames. The simulation results conducted with real-world MPEG-4 VBR video traces show that the proposed algorithm is capable of providing more accurate prediction than those in the research literature.

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Development of a Weather Prediction Device Using Transformer Models and IoT Techniques

  • Iyapo Kamoru Olarewaju;Kyung Ki Kim
    • 센서학회지
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.164-168
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    • 2023
  • Accurate and reliable weather forecasts for temperature, relative humidity, and precipitation using advanced transformer models and IoT are essential in various fields related to global climate change. We propose a novel weather prediction device that integrates state-of-the-art transformer models and IoT techniques to improve prediction accuracy and real-time processing. The proposed system demonstrated high reliability and performance, offering valuable insights for industries and sectors that rely on accurate weather information, including agriculture, transportation, and emergency response planning. The integration of transformer models with the IoT signifies a substantial advancement in weather and climate modeling.

Towards More Accurate Space-Use Prediction: A Conceptual Framework of an Agent-Based Space-Use Prediction Simulation System

  • Cha, Seung Hyun;Kim, Tae Wan
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 6th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.349-352
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    • 2015
  • Size of building has a direct relationship with building cost, energy use and space maintenance cost. Therefore, minimizing building size during a project development is of paramount importance against such wastes. However, incautious reduction of building size may result in crowded space, and therefore harms the functionality despite the fact that building is supposed to satisfactorily support users' activity. A well-balanced design solution is, therefore, needed at an optimum level that minimizes building size in tandem with providing sufficient space to maintain functionality. For such design, architects and engineers need to be informed accurate and reliable space-use information. We present in this paper a conceptual framework of an agent-based space-use prediction simulation system that provides individual level space-use information over time in a building in consideration of project specific user information and activity schedules, space preference, ad beavioural rules. The information will accordingly assist architects and engineers to optimize space of the building as appropriate.

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Vehicle trajectory prediction based on Hidden Markov Model

  • Ye, Ning;Zhang, Yingya;Wang, Ruchuan;Malekian, Reza
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제10권7호
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    • pp.3150-3170
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    • 2016
  • In Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), logistics distribution and mobile e-commerce, the real-time, accurate and reliable vehicle trajectory prediction has significant application value. Vehicle trajectory prediction can not only provide accurate location-based services, but also can monitor and predict traffic situation in advance, and then further recommend the optimal route for users. In this paper, firstly, we mine the double layers of hidden states of vehicle historical trajectories, and then determine the parameters of HMM (hidden Markov model) by historical data. Secondly, we adopt Viterbi algorithm to seek the double layers hidden states sequences corresponding to the just driven trajectory. Finally, we propose a new algorithm (DHMTP) for vehicle trajectory prediction based on the hidden Markov model of double layers hidden states, and predict the nearest neighbor unit of location information of the next k stages. The experimental results demonstrate that the prediction accuracy of the proposed algorithm is increased by 18.3% compared with TPMO algorithm and increased by 23.1% compared with Naive algorithm in aspect of predicting the next k phases' trajectories, especially when traffic flow is greater, such as this time from weekday morning to evening. Moreover, the time performance of DHMTP algorithm is also clearly improved compared with TPMO algorithm.

Prediction of Dry Matter Intake in Lactating Holstein Dairy Cows Offered High Levels of Concentrate

  • Rim, J.S.;Lee, S.R.;Cho, Y.S.;Kim, E.J.;Kim, J.S.;Ha, Jong K.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.677-684
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    • 2008
  • Accurate estimation of dry matter intake (DMI) is a prerequisite to meet animal performance targets without penalizing animal health and the environment. The objective of the current study was to evaluate some of the existing models in order to predict DMI when lactating dairy cows were offered a total mixed ration containing a high level of concentrates and locally produced agricultural by-products. Six popular models were chosen for DMI prediction (Brown et al., 1977; Rayburn and Fox, 1993; Agriculture Forestry and Fisheries Research Council Secretariat, 1999; National Research Council (NRC), 2001; Cornell Net Carbohydrate and Protein System (CNCPS), Fox et al., 2003; Fuentes-Pila et al., 2003). Databases for DMI comparison were constructed from two different sources: i) 12 commercial farm investigations and ii) a controlled dairy cow experiment. The model evaluation was performed using two different methods: i) linear regression analysis and ii) mean square error prediction analysis. In the commercial farm investigation, DMI predicted by Fuentes-Pila et al. (2003) was the most accurate when compared with the actual mean DMI, whilst the CNCPS prediction showed larger mean bias (difference between mean predicted and mean observed values). Similar results were observed in the controlled dairy cow experiment where the mean bias by Fuentes-Pila et al. (2003) was the smallest of all six chosen models. The more accurate prediction by Fuentes-Pila et al. (2003) could be attributed to the inclusion of dietary factors, particularly fiber as these factors were not considered in some models (i.e. NRC, 2001; CNCPS (Fox et al., 2003)). Linear regression analysis had little meaningful biological significance when evaluating models for prediction of DMI in this study. Further research is required to improve the accuracy of the models, and may recommend more mechanistic approaches to investigate feedstuffs (common to the Asian region), animal genotype, environmental conditions and their interaction, as the majority of the models employed are based on empirical approaches.

농업인의 휴식대사량 측정 및 휴식대사량 예측공식의 정확도 평가 (The Measurements of the Resting Metabolic Rate (RMR) and the Accuracy of RMR Predictive Equations for Korean Farmers)

  • 손희령;연서은;최정숙;김은경
    • 대한지역사회영양학회지
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.568-580
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    • 2014
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study was to measure the resting metabolic rate (RMR) and to assess the accuracy of RMR predictive equations for Korean farmers. Methods: Subjects were 161 healthy Korean farmers (50 males, 111 females) in Gangwon-area. The RMR was measured by indirect calorimetry for 20 minutes following a 12-hour overnight fasting. Selected predictive equations were Harris-Benedict, Mifflin, Liu, KDRI, Cunningham (1980, 1991), Owen-W, F, FAO/WHO/UNU-W, WH, Schofield-W, WH, Henry-W, WH. The accuracy of the equations was evaluated on the basis of bias, RMSPE, accurate prediction and Bland-Altman plot. Further, new RMR predictive equations for the subjects were developed by multiple regression analysis using the variables highly related to RMR. Results: The mean of the measured RMR was 1703 kcal/day in males and 1343 kcal/day in females. The Cunningham (1980) equation was the closest to measured RMR than others in males and in females (males Bias -0.47%, RMSPE 110 kcal/day, accurate prediction 80%, females Bias 1.4%, RMSPE 63 kcal/day, accurate prediction 81%). Body weight, BMI, circumferences of waist and hip, fat mass and FFM were significantly correlated with measured RMR. Thus, derived prediction equation as follow : males RMR = 447.5 + 17.4 Wt, females RMR = 684.5 - 3.5 Ht + 11.8 Wt + 12.4 FFM. Conclusions: This study showed that Cunningham (1980) equation was the most accurate to predict RMR of the subjects. Thus, Cunningham (1980) equation could be used to predict RMR of Korean farmers studied in this study. Future studies including larger subjects should be carried out to develop RMR predictive equations for Korean farmers.

교통개방을 위한 에폭시 아스팔트 콘크리트의 강도 예측모델 개발 (A Development of Strength Prediction Model of Epoxy Asphalt Concrete for Traffic Opening)

  • 백유진;조신행;박창우;김낙석
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제32권6D호
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    • pp.599-605
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    • 2012
  • 교통개방시점의 예측은 공사 계획을 위해 중요하며 이를 위해 에폭시 아스팔트 혼합물의 양생에 따른 강도를 예측하는 것이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 에폭시 아스팔트 혼합물의 양생온도와 시간에 따른 마샬안정도를 측정하고 이를 이용해 강도 발현식을 구하였으며, 변화하는 온도와 강도에 따른 반응속도를 반영할 수 있도록 화학적 반응속도론을 이용하여 에폭시 아스팔트 강도 예측모델을 개발하였다. 예측모델을 사용하여 에폭시 아스팔트 포장이 적용된 국내 교량에 대해 교통개방시기를 예측하였다. 2009년~2011년의 기상조건에 따라 가정된 포장체 온도를 사용한 예측결과는 실제 교통개방일과 17일의 차이가 발생했으나 이는 2012년의 실제 기상상태와의 차이 때문이다. 실제 측정된 포장 온도를 예측모델에 대입할 경우 2일의 교통개방가능일 차이가 있었으며, 상관관계 분석 결과 R2가 0.95로 실제 강도값과 매우 유사한 결과를 얻을 수 있었다. 기상상태와 포장체의 온도에 대한 충분한 데이터를 확보한다면 에폭시 아스팔트 강도 예측모델을 사용하여 상당히 신뢰도 있는 교통개방 가능 시기의 예측이 가능한 것으로 나타났다.

Uncertainty Analysis based on LENS-GRM

  • Lee, Sang Hyup;Seong, Yeon Jeong;Park, KiDoo;Jung, Young Hun
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.208-208
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    • 2022
  • Recently, the frequency of abnormal weather due to complex factors such as global warming is increasing frequently. From the past rainfall patterns, it is evident that climate change is causing irregular rainfall patterns. This phenomenon causes difficulty in predicting rainfall and makes it difficult to prevent and cope with natural disasters, casuing human and property damages. Therefore, accurate rainfall estimation and rainfall occurrence time prediction could be one of the ways to prevent and mitigate damage caused by flood and drought disasters. However, rainfall prediction has a lot of uncertainty, so it is necessary to understand and reduce this uncertainty. In addition, when accurate rainfall prediction is applied to the rainfall-runoff model, the accuracy of the runoff prediction can be improved. In this regard, this study aims to increase the reliability of rainfall prediction by analyzing the uncertainty of the Korean rainfall ensemble prediction data and the outflow analysis model using the Limited Area ENsemble (LENS) and the Grid based Rainfall-runoff Model (GRM) models. First, the possibility of improving rainfall prediction ability is reviewed using the QM (Quantile Mapping) technique among the bias correction techniques. Then, the GRM parameter calibration was performed twice, and the likelihood-parameter applicability evaluation and uncertainty analysis were performed using R2, NSE, PBIAS, and Log-normal. The rainfall prediction data were applied to the rainfall-runoff model and evaluated before and after calibration. It is expected that more reliable flood prediction will be possible by reducing uncertainty in rainfall ensemble data when applying to the runoff model in selecting behavioral models for user uncertainty analysis. Also, it can be used as a basis of flood prediction research by integrating other parameters such as geological characteristics and rainfall events.

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