• Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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• v.29 no.1
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• pp.54-58
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• 2014

This study deals with the accidents of circular intersections in Korea. The goal is to develop the accident models for 94 circular intersections. In pursuing the above, this study gives particular attentions to collecting the data of geometric structure and accidents, and comparatively analyzing such the models as Poisson and NB regression and multiple regression model using SPSS 17.0 and LIMDEP 3.0. The main results are as follows. First, the negative binomial model among various models was analyzed to be the most appropriate. Second, 3 independent variables was adopted in the model, and these variables was analyzed to have a positive relation to the accident rate. Finally, the reduced width of circulatory roadway, removal of the parking lot within circulatory roadway and appropriate levels of approach lane were required to improve the safety of circular intersection.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.55 no.11
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• pp.4146-4158
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• 2023

This paper proposes a combined plastic and creep constitutive model of A533B1 pressure vessel steel to simulate progressive deformation of nuclear pressure vessels under severe accident conditions. To develop the model, recent tensile test data covering a wide range of temperatures (from RT to 1,100 ℃) and strain rates (from 0.001%/s to 1.0%/s) was used. Comparison with experimental data confirms that the proposed combined plastic and creep model can well reflect effects of temperature and strain rate on tensile behaviour up to failure. In the companion paper (Part II), the proposed model will be used to simulate OECD lower head failure (OLHF) test data.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.131-138
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• 2013

PURPOSES : The intents of the study are to identify the accident factors and to demonstrate the potentials of tobit model as a tool to study the number of accidents on arterial roads segments. METHODS : This paper uses a tobit regression as a methodology to analyze the factors affecting the number of accidents. In pursuing the above goal, this study gives particular attentions to analyzing the data of 2,446 accidents (1,610 in major arterial roads and 836 in minor arterial roads) occurred on arterial roads in 2007 to 2010. RESULTS : First, 3 accident models which were classified by total arterial roads, major arterial roads and minor arterial roads, and were all statistically significant were developed. Second, the exclusive right-turn lane as common variable, and the number of accident, traffic volume, number of lanes, link length, rate of median, number of entrances, number of pedestrian crossings, number of curves, number of bus stops and exclusive left-turn as specific variables of the models were selected. Finally, the paired sample t-test could not be rejected the null hypotheses of three types of models. CONCLUSIONS : Using data from vehicle accidents on arterial roads, the estimation results show that many factors related to roadway geometrics and traffic characteristics significantly affect to the number of accidents.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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• 2017.11a
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• pp.195-196
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• 2017

The number of human accidents in the construction industry is increasing every year, and it constitute the highest percentage among industry. This means that activities performed to prevent safety accidents in the country are not efficient to reduce the rate of accidents in the construction industry. In order to solve this issue, research has been conducted from various perspectives. But, research regarding to quantification model of human accidents is insufficient. the objective of this study is to conduct a basic study on quantification model development of human accidents. To achieve the objective, first, Cause of accident is defined the through literature review. Second, a basic statistic analysis is conducted to determine the characteristics of the accident causes. Third, the analysis is conducted after dividing into four categories : accumulate rate, season, total construction cost, and location. In the future, this study can be used as a reference for developing the safety management checklist for safety management in construction site and development of prediction models of human accident.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.8 no.4
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• pp.23-29
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• 2008

This research proposes two sub-models and one integrated model for the classification of safety in curve section of road, where the fatal-rate is relatively higher in accidents. The first sub-model calculates the accident-rate by safety-index that is based on the road geometries. The second decides the safety of curve section by the speed difference between before and in the curve. Finally, the integrated model of two sub-modules can classify the safety of curve section of road.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.35 no.4
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• pp.321-331
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• 2017

The objective of this study is to analyze the factors affecting the pedestrian accidents of roundabout near schools. To this end, this study has focus on the comparative analysis of pedestrian accidents across different school areas. The traffic accident data from 2007 to 2014 are collected from TAAS data set of Road Traffic Authority. To develop the pedestrian accident rate model, the linear regression model has been utilized in this study. 28 explanatory variables such as geometry and traffic volume factors are used. The main results are summarized as follows. First, the null hypotheses that the number of pedestrian accidents are the same are rejected. Second, 5 multiple linear regression accident models with higher statistical significance (adjusted $R^2$ of 0.651~0.788) have been developed. Third, while the common variables of 3 models (model I~III) related to school location are evaluated to be the pedestrian island, crosswalk, types of roundabout, elementary school and bus stop. Fourth, while the common variable of 3 models (model III~V) related to near school area or not is evaluated to be pedestrian island, type of roundabout, sidewalk, elementary school, speed hump, speed limit sign and number of entry lane. As a result, the installation of pedestrian islands and crosswalk might be expected to decrease the number of pedestrian accidents near schools.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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• 2018.11a
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• pp.122-123
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• 2018

Although the disaster rate of the industry as a whole is on a downward trend, the disaster rate of the construction industry is on an ongoing trend. Therefore, in this study, we analyzed safety accident statistical data of the construction site over the past three years. As a result of the analysis, the incidence of disasters at small construction sites was very high. And the proportion of disaster occurred for workers who worked in less than 6 months even roughly 92.6%. In addition, as a result of analyzing the form of disaster occurrence, the crash was 34.1% and the fall was 15.1%. The analysis results of these construction safety accidents are to provide as a basic material for developing a policy that can prevent safety accidents and a safety accident prediction model.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.23 no.55
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• pp.25-31
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• 2000

To make a better decision about when to shutdown a nuclear power plant, we build a decision model using influence diagrams. We proceed the analysis adopting a bayesian approach. Firstly, an accident arrival rate is assumed to be known and this assumption is relaxed later. We perform our analysis on the cases of exponential time to accidents, and gamma distribution for the arrival rate. An optimal shutdown time is obtained considering the trade-off between the costs incurred by an accident due to late shutdown and the possible loss of revenues due to the early shutdown. We also derive the upper bound of the failure rate where we may operate the plant.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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• 2015.11a
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• pp.60-61
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• 2015

In recent years, the accidents in construction projects are continuously increasing due to their complexity and variety. However, few studies have been conducted regarding the risk prediction model and the database of risk assessment in construction projects. To address of these issues, the objective of this study is to analyze the accident causes by using insured claim payouts of insurance companies. First, the descriptive analysis of accidents causes is conducted according to scheduling rate, season, and total construction costs. Second, the correlation analysis is conducted between accidents causes and total construction costs. In the future, the risk assessment model can be developed to quantify the accident causes in construction projects to estimate claim payouts of insurance companies.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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• v.44 no.4
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• pp.620-635
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• 2017

This study was intended to identify the main factors responsible for the decline in purchase of imported agricultural and fish products after Japan's nuclear power plant accident in 2011 and to compare the effects on imported agricultural produce and imported fish products. Logit model and multiple regression model analyses were performed using consumers' survey data. Psychological and qualitative factors reflecting consumers' food safety awareness and purchasing preferences, which were extracted by Factor analysis, were included as the models' explanatory variables, along with socio-demographic and economic factors. The Logit estimation showed aged, married, and low-income households had significantly higher probability of reducing their purchases of imported agricultural and fish products. However, the multiple regression results pointed out that the actual rate of decrease of imported agricultural and fish products purchases were more significantly affected by non-socio demographic factors such as past experience of purchasing imported agricultural and fish products, future intention to purchasing Japanese agricultural and fish products, and the ratio of imported to domestic agricultural and fish products before the nuclear accident, as well as consumers' feeling of food insecurity and their purchasing preferences. Moreover, the results showed that Korean consumers have reacted more sensitively to the decline in imported fish products than imported agricultural produce after the nuclear accident based on the marginal effects of various socio-demographic and economic factors.