• Title/Summary/Keyword: accident rate

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Socio-economic Indicators Based Relative Comparison Methodology of National Occupational Accident Fatality Rates Using Machine Learning (머신러닝을 활용한 사회 · 경제지표 기반 산재 사고사망률 상대비교 방법론)

  • Kyunghun, Kim;Sudong, Lee
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.41-47
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    • 2022
  • A reliable prediction model of national occupational accident fatality rate can be used to evaluate level of safety and health protection for workers in a country. Moreover, the socio-economic aspects of occupational accidents can be identified through interpretation of a well-organized prediction model. In this paper, we propose a machine learning based relative comparison methods to predict and interpret a national occupational accident fatality rate based on socio-economic indicators. First, we collected 29 years of the relevant data from 11 developed countries. Second, we applied 4 types of machine learning regression models and evaluate their performance. Third, we interpret the contribution of each input variable using Shapley Additive Explanations(SHAP). As a result, Gradient Boosting Regressor showed the best predictive performance. We found that different patterns exist across countries in accordance with different socio-economic variables and occupational accident fatality rate.

Analysis of Road Cross Section Component Affecting Traffic Accident Severity on National Highway (국도상 교통사고 심각도에 영향을 미치는 횡단구성 요소 분석)

  • Park, Jaehong;Yun, Dukgeun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.143-149
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    • 2017
  • According to traffic accidents statistics, the number of fatalities, injuries and the rate of increase of traffic accidents have been decreasing over last 5-years. The fatality rate is 1.9 for total accidents but the fatality rate for single vehicle accidents shows a 7.9, which is 4 times greater than the average for all accidents. Single vehicle accidents, usually occur as a vehicle impacts a fixed objects on the roadside as the vehicle runs-off from the road. However, few researches have been conducted considering the accident severity of single vehicle accidents which impact to the fixed objects on the road. The single vehicle accident is directly related to the composition of road cross section, (since it is the required the minimum width of a road for all run-off-the-road vehicles to recover or come to a safe stop). Therefore, this study analyzes the influence of road cross section on traffic accidents to find out the severity of single vehicle accident. To analyze the road elements which are related to the accident severity, the Ordered Probit Model was used. As variables, the element of road cross section such as the radius(m), vertical curve(%), cross sectional grade(%), road width(m). number of climbing lane, median, and curb, were used (as was the 3-years of accidents data). This study found out that cross slope(%), road width(m), and the number of climbing lane are related to the severity of accident. The result of this study could be expected to improve the road safety and to be used as the base data for further road safety research.

The Study of Differences between Traffic Accident and Non-traffic Accident Patients in the Early Stage - by Analysis of Heart Rate Variability(HRV) and Visual Analogue Scale(VAS) - (교통사고 환자와 비교통사고 환자의 심박수 변이도와 통증 지수 차이 연구)

  • Lee, Jung-Min;Hong, Seo-Young
    • Journal of Korean Medicine Rehabilitation
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.101-111
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    • 2010
  • Objectives : The purpose of this study was to investigate differences between traffic accident and non-traffic accident patients in the early stage, by analysis of the heart rate variability(HRV) and visual analogue scale(VAS). Methods : This study carried out on 38 patients who complained of nuchal or lower back pain. They have received hospital treatment in Dae-Jeon Univ. Cheonan Oriental Hospital. In the TA(Traffic accident) group, the pain caused by TA and in non-TA group, the pain caused by other reasons. We measured HRV and VAS twice(pre-treatment(Tx.) and post-Tx.). Then we analyzed the data. Results : As time goes by, patients who complained of pain showed the inclination to improve ability to balance autonomic nerve system. And fatigue and pain were improved. But they showed the inclination to increase stress index. At pre-Tx., TA group had more stress and worse ability to balance autonomic nerve system, but showed lower fatigue index than non-TA group. But, as time goes by, in TA group the fatigue and autonomic balance got worse. At pre-Tx., non-TA group complained of more severe pain than TA group, but at post-Tx., TA group complained of more severe pain than non-TA group. In other words, in TA group, the decreasing rate of pain was lower than non-TA group. Conclusions : Results from this investigation showed that TA have a negative effect on stress index, ability to balance autonomic nerve system, fatigue index and decreasing rate of pain. These results are expected to consider characteristics of patients who complained of pain caused by TA.

Development of Traffic Accident Rate to Improve the Reliability of the Valuation of Accident Costs Savings on National Highways (국도 사고비용 산정의 신뢰도 향상을 위한 사고원단위 개선)

  • Wanhyoung Cho;Kijung Kum
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.19-29
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    • 2023
  • The accident rate in South Korea is simply classified according to the road type and the number of lanes, but other countries apply various factors affect accidents. In this study, national highways where accidents occurred were divided into urban, rural, older, and modern roads using TAAS(Traffic Accident Analysis System) data, and a model of accident costs savings is suggested. As a result of analyzing 1,416.2 km, the fatality rate(person/100mil-vehicle·km) was 4.21 for urban-older, 1.37 for urban-modern, 2.18 for rural-older, and 0.99 for rural-modern roads. The rates of urban roads had a higher result than rural. The injury rate(person/100mil-vehicle·km) for urban-older was 182.63, that for urban-modern was 103.42, that for rural-older was 67.44, and that for rural-modern road was 42.96, which showed a similar pattern to fatality rates. Accident rates of a modern road were much lower than the KDI Guideline. The benefit of applying the result of this study was calculated and the valuation of accident costs savings is increased from 0.6% to 14.1%, while B/C is improved from 0.626 to 0.724.

A Study on the Correlation between Maritime Safety and Safety Factors

  • Kim Young Mo
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.159-164
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    • 2005
  • Maritime safety is influenced by several factors, for example, technical factors, human factors and operational factors. To improve maritime safety, each country should identify which factors will bring about a marine accident. This case study approached statistical method to find out correlations between marine accidents and safety records in Korean merchant fleet. There were no statistical significance between marine accident rate and PSC detention rate and human factor rate. But there was statistically significant relationship between marine accident rate and PSC inspection rate. It is possible to presume that in the developing country the stronger the government shows its will, the less such accidents occur.

Safety Analysis using bayesian approach (베이지안 기법을 이용한 안전사고 예측기법)

  • Yang, Hee-Joong
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.1-5
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    • 2007
  • We construct the procedure to predict safety accidents following Bayesian approach. We make a model that can utilize the data to predict other levels of accidents. An event tree model which is a frequently used graphical tool in describing accident initiation and escalation to more severe accident is transformed into an influence diagram model. Prior distributions for accident occurrence rate and probabilities to escalating to more severe accidents are assumed and likelihood of number of accidents in a given period of time is assessed. And then posterior distributions are obtained based on observed data. We also points out the advantages of the bayesian approach that estimates the whole distribution of accident rate over the classical point estimation.

An analysis of the accident rate to develop factors for improving industrial accident prevention methods for the projects with sub-contract (도급에 따른 산업재해 예방조치 개선요소 도출을 위한 재해율 분석)

  • Kim, Sung-eun;Lim, Hyoung-chul
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2022.04a
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    • pp.216-217
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    • 2022
  • After the financial crisis, the spread of indirect employment, which is an outsourcing method, is gradually becoming common in our society, and the risk of harm is relatively high or the proportion of simple jobs is high. Simple workers have a higher proportion of non-manufacturing industries such as the service industry, and production workers are intensively used in the manufacturing industry. In Article 63 of the Occupational Safety and Health Act, contractors must take necessary safety and health measures. In addition, due to the expansion of the scope of contracts under the Occupational Safety and Health Act, it is necessary to review the appropriateness of industrial accident prevention measures and implementation standards.

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Analysis of Seasonal Variation Effect of the Traffic Accidents on Freeway (고속도로 교통사고의 계절성 검증과 요인분석 (중부고속도로 사례를 중심으로))

  • 이용택;김양지;김대현;임강원
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.7-16
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    • 2000
  • This paper is focused on verifying time-space repetition of the highway accident and finding the their causes and deterrents. We classify all months into several seasonal groups, develop the model for each seasonal group and analyze the results of these models for Joong-bu highway. The existence of seasonal effect is verified by the analysis or self-organizing map and the accident indices. Agglomerative hierarchical cluster analysis which is used to decide the seasonal groups in accordance with accident patterns, winter group, spring-fall group. and summer group. The accident features of winter group are that the accident rate is high but the severity rate is low. while those of summer group are that the accident rate is low but the severity rate is high. Also, the regression model which is developed to identify the accident Pattern or each seasonal group represents that the season-related factors, such as the amount of rainfall, the amount of snowfall, days of rainfall, days of snowfall etc. are strongly related to the accident pattern of evert seasonal group and among these factors the traffic volume, amount of rainfall. the amount of snowfall and days of freezing importantly affect the local accident Pattern. So, seasonal effect should be considered to the identification of high-risk road section. the development of descriptive and Predictive accident model, the resource allocation model of accident in order to make safety management plan efficient.

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A Study of Current Accident Situation for Hotel Service Workers (호텔서비스업 종사원들의 안전사고 실태연구)

  • 권영국
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.101-115
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    • 2000
  • Whenever a disaster occurs, people emphasizes that "Safety management is most important thing in the company". However, a situation of safety management is not changed dramatically after accidents in the past. Many small-and-medium sized industries neglect the importance of safety management. Current situation can be easily figured out when looks up an occurrence rate of accident, accident frequency rate and intensity rate. This paper investigated what workers of hotel-related industries think of a safety and types of accidents, effect of a safety education. On-site-survey was conducted for actual workers in four deluxe hotels and one condominium. 207 persons out of 400 people were replied. Statistical analysis was performed with SAS package about their reply. In injured type, cut from knife was most frequent. Main cause of accident was a unsafe posture and a unsafe behavior, so more safety education for these workers are necessary. In a physical pain which related with job, chronical pain was most dominant. As a result, a safety education has a high correlation with an experience of injured and treatment of safety, Cooking department has highest occurrence of accident than any other departments. Workers with an experience of five to ten years have most lowest treatment of safety, aid of safety education, safety feeling of their working environment, so peer attention must be put on these people to reduce accidents.accidents.

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General Disaster Scattered Action Research -Focusing On the Construction Site Accident Cases- (일반재해 발생시 산재처리 방안연구 -건설현장 사고사례를 중심으로-)

  • Yoo, Yong Tae;Kang, Kyung-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.23-33
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    • 2015
  • Recently, the Ministry of Employment and Labor Management is a trend to strengthen all men death rate than the accident rate. Points reduction in the accident rate change orders related to credit rating score to +2 points in his plans as part of +1 point. In addition, according to the fancy linger RISK treatment in the event of a disaster site and fiction treatment to achieve accident-free during processing the scene interspersed with equity issues have been raised. In general disaster for the problem in the first two cases occurs when abnormal process according to the disaster site manager positions dismissal policy, each division headquarters itself, interspersed disasters performance compared to processing in accordance with the refrain, processing expenses in accordance with the composition of untreated industrial accident, costs and burdens partners FTC, there is a possibility that the issues raised, such as the Ministry of Employment and Labor. In response to domestic social practices focused on the construction site practices and prevention measures should be evaluated with respect to what.