• 제목/요약/키워드: accident frequency

검색결과 631건 처리시간 0.032초

대형 수소 액화 플랜트의 정량적 위험도 평가에 관한 연구 (Study on a Quantitative Risk Assessment of a Large-scale Hydrogen Liquefaction Plant)

  • 도규형;한용식;김명배;김태훈;최병일
    • 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.609-619
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    • 2014
  • In the present study, the frequency of the undesired accident was estimated for a quantitative risk assessment of a large-scale hydrogen liquefaction plant. As a representative example, the hydrogen liquefaction plant located in Ingolstadt, Germany was chosen. From the analysis of the liquefaction process and operating conditions, it was found that a $LH_2$ storage tank was one of the most dangerous facilities. Based on the accident scenarios, frequencies of possible accidents were quantitatively evaluated by using both fault tree analysis and event tree analysis. The overall expected frequency of the loss containment of hydrogen from the $LH_2$ storage tank was $6.83{\times}10^{-1}$times/yr (once per 1.5 years). It showed that only 0.1% of the hydrogen release from the $LH_2$ storage tank occurred instantaneously. Also, the incident outcome frequencies were calculated by multiplying the expected frequencies with the conditional probabilities resulting from the event tree diagram for hydrogen release. The results showed that most of the incident outcomes were dominated by fire, which was 71.8% of the entire accident outcome. The rest of the accident (about 27.7%) might have no effect to the population.

일반화선형모형과 헤크먼모형을 활용한 성별 자동차사고 위험도 분석 (An Analysis on the Gender Differences in the Level of Accident Risk using Generalized Linear and Heckman Methods)

  • 김대환;박화규
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.147-157
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    • 2014
  • 최근 여성의 사회적 참여와 지위가 상승함에 따라 여성운전자도 급격히 증가해왔다. 이에 주요국에서는 성별 자동차사고 위험도를 분석하고, 성별 위험도 차이의 원인을 규명하려는 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 본 연구는 국내 모든 운전자 중 50만 명을 무작위로 추출하여 성별 자동차사고 위험도를 분석하였다. 종속변수로 사고심도와 사고빈도를 활용하였는데, 사고심도 변수에는 헤크먼모형(Heckman Method)을, 사고빈도 변수에는 일반화선형모형(Generalized Linear Method)을 적용하였다. 분석결과 남성은 교통사고가 발생할 경우 사고피해액이 여성보다 8.3% 높은 것으로 추정되었으며, 반대로 사고빈도의 경우에는 여성의 위험도를 1로 설정할 경우 남성의 위험도는 0.88로 남성의 위험도가 오히려 낮은 것으로 분석되었다. 향후 성별로 상이한 자동차사고 위험도의 원인이 규명된다면 좀 더 실효성 높은 정책을 통해 자동차사고를 경감시킬 수 있을 것이다.

중소규모 조선업 사업장을 위한 자율 위험성 평가 모델의 개발 (Development of a Voluntary Hazard Assessment Model for Small- and Medium-Sized Ship-building Plants)

  • 임현교;이경태;배동철;장성록
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.70-76
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    • 2011
  • Industrial accident frequency in small- and medium-sized ship-building plants is much higher than that of large-sized ones so that safety management activities should be different. In that sense, voluntary hazard assessment would be helpful for small- and medium-sized plants. However, conventional hazard assessment items and methods had some problems that discouraged voluntary participation of plants concerned. This study aimed to develop a new model for small- and medium-sized ship-building plants that can promote and encourage voluntary hazard assessment activities. For that purpose, ship-building process was assumed as a sequence of phases, and accident characteristics were compared with them. From that result, relative weights of accident factors including ship-building phases, accident types, occupational category, accident-induced objects, and hazardous items were determined with accident frequency data and with the help of expert groups. Therefore, for web-based integrative computer programming, a plain but accident data-dependent model was developed, with an additive function for related agencies that want to collect assessment results. It is expected that this model would help small- and medium-sized ship-building plants that wanted not only simple checklists but also effective assessment and management guidelines.

중대재해사례를 통한 굴삭기 안전사고 원인분석 (Analysis of Cause of Excavator Safety Accidents according to the Accident Case Study)

  • 서종민;한갑규;임지영;김선국
    • 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건설관리학회 2007년도 정기학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.450-454
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    • 2007
  • 최근 건설업의 대형화, 복잡화됨에 따라 안전사고가 증가하고 있다. 특히, 건설장비에 의한 사고 발생수가 증가하고 있다. 이런 사고의 예방을 위해서는 발생원인을 분석할 필요가 있다. 본 논문은 한국산업안전공단의 건설재해사례를 통해 안전사고 원인을 분석한다. 연구의 범위는 굴삭기 장비로 한정하였다. 본 연구의 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 1) 굴삭기 재해 발생 형태는 협착${\cdot}$감김, 낙하${\cdot}$비래, 충돌${\cdot}$접촉 순으로 분석되었따. 2) 재해원인은 작업반경 내에 근로자출입, 주용도 이외의 용도로 사용함, 작업시작 전 저멈불량${\cdot}$ 작업방법불량 순으로 분석되었다. 이 연구결과는 차후 연구의 기초를 정립하고, 안전사고를 줄이는 기대효과를 가질 것이다.

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퍼지 및 신경망이론을 이용한 도시부 신호교차로 교통사고예측모형 개발 (Development of Traffic Accident Frequency Prediction Model in Urban Signalized Intersections with Fuzzy Reasoning and Neural Network Theories)

  • 강영균;김장욱;이수일;이수범
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구는 신호교차로 교통사고예측모형 구축 과정 중 일반적으로 제한된 변수의 선정 및 모형의 구축에만 주로 초점이 맞추어진 기존 방법론의 문제점을 개선하고, 자료조사 및 수집 과정에서 발생하는 자료의 불확실한 상태를 인정하면서 자료의 불확실성을 최소화하여 이용할 수 있는 방법론을 개발하는데 연구의 주안점을 두었다. 퍼지추론이론과 신경망이론을 이용한 모형을 구축하였고, 마지막으로 구축된 퍼지추론이론 모형 및 신경망이론 모형과 기존 회귀모형인 포아송 회귀모형간의 통계적인 검증과 실제 Data를 이용한 모형의 적정성을 검토하였다. 모형의 통계적인 검증시 기존모형에 비해 퍼지추론모형과 신경망이론모형이 더 설명력이 높은 것으로 나타났고, 검증에서도 퍼지추론이론과 신경망이론이 적절한 것으로 나타났으며 기존모형보다 사고건수를 예측하는 설명력이 높은 것으로 입증되었다. 본 연구에서 개발된 모형은 계획 및 운영단계에서 신호교차로의 안전성을 측정하는데 활용될 수 있으며, 궁극적으로는 신호교차로에서 교통사고를 줄이는데 기여할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

동력경운기의 농작사업고에 관한 조사연구 (Investigation the Farm Work Accidents of the Two-wheel Tractor in Korea.)

  • 박호석;홍종호;박판규;한성금
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.126-132
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    • 1978
  • This study was carried out through the survey questionaries in order to get the information for proper operating technique of the two-wheel tractors which are widely used in the farm, and investigated various accidents which occurred during the operation of two-wheel tractors for farm works in 7 Provinces of Korea. The summarized results are as follows ; 1. Annual accident frequency of the two-wheel tractor was 2.07 times, and the average rate of accident was 0.72 times per hour. Its value was the largest in the pre-operations , and the smallest in the threshing operation. 2. The accident distribution according to each month was nearly propertional to the operating hours of the two-wheel tractor. More than 60 % of total accident was concentrated during the rice transplanting and harvesting season. 3. The careless accident was more than 50% of total accident , and inevitable accident about 18% . The rate of careless accident showed the highest in pre-operation such as engine starting, check, and adjustment, and belt change. 4. The serious wounded operator was 7.1 % to total wounded operator , and about 50 % of accident of casualties to operators occurred during haruling operations. 5. The amount of casualties to property was range of 1,000 to 10,000 won, and annual total amount per unit tractor could be estimated to be 10 , 000 won.

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지방자치단체 교통사고통합지수 개발방안에 관한 연구 (A Study on Development of Traffic Accident Merging Index for Local Governments)

  • 임철웅;조정권;김수열;김주영
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.147-152
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    • 2012
  • Traffic Accident Merging Index (TAMI) is developed for TMACS (Traffic Safety Information Management Complex System). TAMI is calculated by combining 'Severity Index' and 'Frequency'. The existing indexes are Traffic deaths per 100,000 population, Traffic deaths per 100,000 inhabitants/per billion veh-km, etc. However, there is no consistency in using them among local governments, so it can create confusion. Moreover, the index level is too complicated to understand. Therefore, this study suggests new traffic safety index, TAMI. It will work to improve the weaknesses and present accurate status of traffic safety in local governments.

철도건설현장의 사고유형기반 위험도 분석 (Risk Analysis Based on Accident-Category for Railway Work Zones)

  • 박미연;최은수;박주남;최승선
    • 한국철도학회논문집
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.260-266
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    • 2009
  • 위험도분석은 철도사고해석에 주로 사용되는 이론이다. 위험도 분석의 목적은 전설공사전체 과정에서 주요사고부 사고요인과 잠재적인 원인 및 기여정도 등을 조사 분석하는 것이다. 본 논문은 건설공사 현장에서 발생하는 사고원인과 패턴을 분석하고 사고빈도와 심각도를 고려한 위험도 지수를 계산하여 상대적인 위험도 평가를 제공하고자 하는 것이다. 이를 기반으로 사고 위험도 지수의 일관성을 유도하고 위험도 평가를 위한 정량적인 기준을 제공하고자 하였다.

A Survey on the Implementation of Musculoskeletal Disorders Prevention Program in Shipbuilding Industry

  • Kim, Day-Sung
    • 대한인간공학회지
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.151-156
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    • 2012
  • Objective: In 2010, the rate of injuries and illnesses in the shipbuilding industry was 1.20, about 1.74 times higher than the average of overall industries(0.69). Musculoskeletal disorders(MSDs) became a major problem since 2000 in shipbuilding industry. The purpose of this study was to provide efficient implementation management through evaluating the economic effectiveness of the Musculoskeletal Disorders Prevention Program(MDPP). Successfully implementing the MDPP in the workplace may decrease the risk of MSDs and therefore reduce MSDs related costs. Methods: Occupational accident index (frequency rate, severity rate, and frequency severity indicator), estimated direct costs, and total occupational accident occurrence rate were provided by analysis of MSDs, statistical analysis of MDPP decreed companies, and data analysis of implementation. Results: The study shows the number of MSDs for MDPP decreed companies decreased 76.2% from 2,319 in 2004 to 551 in 2008. Above all, the number of MSDs decreased 78.7% in Shipbuilding industries. Forty companies (85.1%) showed a decreasing tendency and 27.7% of those had an $R^2$ > 0.7. Similar results were found in severity rate and frequency severity indicator. From these results, it appears there are a number of advantages in implementing the MDPP. Conclusion: MDPP effectiveness was demonstrated by analysing implementation and occupational accident index. A more effective and efficient implementation would take into account business sector, size, policy, and organization of the company.

일 지역 농업인의 농작업 재해사고 (Agricultural Accidents in Farm Workers)

  • 김한숙;최연희
    • 지역사회간호학회지
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.643-650
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    • 2007
  • Purpose: This study was to obtain information regarding to agricultural accidents in farm workers in the Kyungpook area. Methods: A questionnaire survey was carried out for 528 workers from the 1st to 31st of March, 2007. Frequency, percentage, mean and chi-square test with the SPSS program were used to analyze the data. Results: The causes of agricultural accidents include falling(29.0%), overseeing(18.9%), traffic accident(17.4%), putting between machinery(11.7%), crashing(5.3%), fire (0.6%) in the order of frequency. Injuries from agricultural accidents include fracture(44.7%) cerebral bleeding (10.4%), amputation(7.0%), airway obstruction (2.3%) burn(1.9%), drug addiction(1.9%) in the order of frequency. The largest proportion of the subjects of hospital treatment were in their 50s and belonged to the group of high-level economic state. Agricultural machinery collision was the most frequent cause among the subjects of hospital treatment. Conclusion: These results suggest that carelessness can be a potential risk factor for agricultural accidents in farm workers. These findings may give useful information for developing agricultural accident prevention programs for farm workers.

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