• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2017년도 추계 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.195-196
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• 2017

The number of human accidents in the construction industry is increasing every year, and it constitute the highest percentage among industry. This means that activities performed to prevent safety accidents in the country are not efficient to reduce the rate of accidents in the construction industry. In order to solve this issue, research has been conducted from various perspectives. But, research regarding to quantification model of human accidents is insufficient. the objective of this study is to conduct a basic study on quantification model development of human accidents. To achieve the objective, first, Cause of accident is defined the through literature review. Second, a basic statistic analysis is conducted to determine the characteristics of the accident causes. Third, the analysis is conducted after dividing into four categories : accumulate rate, season, total construction cost, and location. In the future, this study can be used as a reference for developing the safety management checklist for safety management in construction site and development of prediction models of human accident.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제36권3호
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• pp.74-80
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• 2021

Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI) has been operating an integral effects test facility, the Advanced Thermal-Hydraulic Test Loop for Accident Simulation (ATLAS), according to APR1400 for transient experimental and design basis accident simulation. Moreover, based on the experimental data, the domestic standard problem (DSP) program has been conducted in Korea to validate system codes. Recently, through DSP-05, the performance of the passive auxiliary feedwater system (PAFS) in the event of multiple steam generator tube rupture (MSGTR) has been analyzed. However, some errors exist in the reference input model distributed for DSP-05. Furthermore, the calculation results of the heat loss correlation for the secondary system presented in the technical report of the reference indicate that a large difference is present in heat loss from the target value. Thus, in this study, the reference model is corrected using the geometric information from the design report and drawings of ATLAS. Additionally, a new heat loss correlation is suggested by fitting the results of the heat loss tests. Herein, MSGTR-PAFS accident analysis is performed using MARS-KS 1.5 with the improved model. The steady-state calculation results do not significantly differ from the experimental values, and the overall physical behavior of the transient state is properly predicted. Particularly, the predicted operating time of PAFS is similar to the experimental results obtained by the modified model. Furthermore, the operating time of PAFS varies according to the heat loss of the secondary system, and the sensitivity analysis results for the heat loss of the secondary system are presented.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제40권1호
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• pp.77-86
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• 2008

This paper describes the nonlinear analyses of a 1:4 scale model of a prestressed concrete containment vessel (PCCV) using an axisymmetric model and a three-dimensional model. These two models are refined by comparison of the analysis results and with testing results. This paper is especially focused on the analysis of behavior under pressure and the temperature effects revealed using an axisymmetric model. The temperature-dependent degradation properties of concrete and steel are considered. Both geometric and material nonlinearities, including thermal effects, are also addressed in the analyses. The Menetrey and Willam (1995) concrete constitutive model with non-associated flow potential is adopted for this study. This study includes the results of the predicted thermal and mechanical behaviors of the PCCV subject to high temperature loading and internal pressure at the same time. To find the effect of high temperature accident conditions on the ultimate capacity of the liner plate, reinforcement, prestressing tendon and concrete, two kinds of analyses are performed: one for pressure only and the other for pressure with temperature. The results from the test on pressurization, analysis for pressure only, and analyses considering pressure with temperatures are compared with one another. The analysis results show that the temperature directly affects the behavior of the liner plate, but has little impact on the ultimate pressure capacity of the PCCV.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제22권1호
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• pp.23-32
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• 2020

There has been a significant decline in the number of rail accidents in Korea since system safety management activities were introduced. Nonetheless, analyzing and preventing human error-related accidents is still an important issue in railway industry. As a railway system is increasingly automated and intelligent, the mechanism and process of an accident occurrence are more and more complicated. It is now essential to consider a variety of factors and their intricate interactions in the analysis of rail accidents. However, it has proved that traditional accident models and methods based on a linear cause-effect relationship are inadequate to analyze and to assess accidents in complex systems such as railway systems. In order to supplement the limitations of traditional safety methods, recently some systemic safety models and methods have been developed. Of those, FRAM(Functional Resonance Analysis Method) has been recognized as one of the most useful methods for analyzing accidents in complex systems. It reflects the concepts of performance adjustment and performance variability in a system, which are fundamental to understanding the processes of an accident in complex systems. This study aims to apply FRAM to the analysis of a rail accident involving human errors, which occurred recently in South Korea. Through the application of FRAM, we found that it can be a useful alternative to traditional methods in the analysis and assessment of accidents in complex systems. In addition, it was also found that FRAM can help analysts understand the interactions between functional elements of a system in a systematic manner.

• 대한조선학회논문집
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• 제57권2호
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• pp.70-79
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• 2020

The offshore installation units may be subjected to various accidental loads such as collision from supply vessels, impact from dropped objects, blast load from gas explosion and thermal load from fire. This paper deals with the design and strength evaluation method of the stiffened plate structures in response to a blast load caused by a gas explosion accident. It is a comprehensive review of various items used in actual project such as the size and type of the explosive loads, general design procedure/concept and analysis method. The structural analyses using simple analysis methods based on SDOF model and nonlinear finite element analysis are applied to the particular FPSO project. Also validation studies on the design guidance given by simple analysis method based on SDOF model have also considered several items such as backpressure effects, material behavior and duration time of the overpressure. A good correlation between the prediction made by simple analysis method based on SDOF model and nonlinear finite element analysis can be generally obtained up to the elastic limit.

• 한국도로학회논문집
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• 제10권4호
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• pp.139-150
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• 2008

본 연구는 도로연장측면에서 본선에 비해 상대적으로 연결로에서 발생하는 사고빈도가 높고, 교통사고가 증가하는 추세인 고속도로 연결로의 교통사고 예측모형의 개발에 초점을 두었다. 연결로 유형별(직결, 준직결, 루프)로 통계적으로 유의한 사고인자를 선정하고, 사고율과의 관계가 비선형 임을 분석하여 변수를 변형(Variables Transformation)하여 All possible 방식으로 예측모형을 개발하고, 통계적 진단 및 검증을 거쳐 유의성을 확인하였으며 이에 기존 개발 모형에 비해 예측력이 더욱 우수한 결과를 보였다. 개발된 사고예측모형은 보다 비용면에서 효율적이고, 안전한 트럼펫형 IC 연결로의 설계와 연결로 교통사고 원인분석에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제20권4호
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• pp.71-77
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• 2005

There are insufficient models that find problems and solutions for accident prevention through risk assessment and suggest safe work process and work instruction from foundation works to finish work for accident decrease. This paper presents a quantitative risk assessment model by analysis of risk factors in each process such as foundation, erection, structure, equipment finish and etc based on accident examples and investigation on actual condition in building. In addition, the safety management system was developed to perform risk assessment of construction and use it for effective safety training for labor.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.17-24
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• 2008

교통사고를 감소시키고 안전성을 향상시키기 위해, 사고에 영향을 미치는 요인들을 분석하여 교통사고를 예측하는 모형은 지속적으로 개발되어 왔다. 우리나라의 고속국도 총연장은 약 3,000km에 이르며, 이는 전 세계에서 10위 안에 드는 수치이다. 그러나 고속국도 1km당 사고 건수는 다른 나라들에 비하여 현격히 높은 실정인데, 1980년대 이래로 빠르게 증가한 교통수요와 교통관련 인프라의 규모가 이러한 높은 사고율에 영향을 미친 것으로 보인다. 사고율과 함께 중요하게 인식되는 지표는 사고의 심각도이며, 사고 심각도는 도로의 기하구조나 운전자 행태, 차종, 날씨 등 많은 요인들에 의해 직 간접적인 영향을 받을 것으로 판단된다. 이 밖에도 여러 요인들이 복합적으로 작용하여 사고를 일으키고, 사고의 심각도에 영향을 미칠 것으로 보인다. 구조방정식(Structural Equations Model)은 이처럼 여러 가지 변수들 간의 복잡한 관계를 규명하는데 적합한 모형으로, 본 연구에서는 사고 심각도에 영향을 미치는 요인들을 크게 '도로 요인' 및 '운전자 요인', '환경 요인' 등으로 구분하고, 총 2,880개의 사고데이터를 이용하여 구조방정식 모형을 구축, 각각의 변수들이 사고 심각도에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 도로 및 환경 요인은 통계적으로 유의한 수준에서 사고심각도와 강한 관계를 가지는 것으로 나타났다.

• 대한인간공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한인간공학회 1993년도 추계학술대회논문집
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• pp.21-30
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• 1993

This paper describes the development of a simulation model of nuclear power plant operators including cognitive aspects by using a network modeling soft ware, Micro-SAINT (System Analysis of Integrated Networks of Tasks) for the analysis of operator performance. Network model description based on Micro-SAINT includes tasks, resources, precedence relations among tasks, flow of information and PSFs (Performance Shaping Factors) on task performance. We have tried to evaluate the performance with several performance measures such as the number of tasks allocated, relative time presure among operators within a shift, for the selected test accident scenarior; small-break LOCA (Loss of Coolant Accident) in a PWR (Pressurized Water Reactor) type nuclear power plant.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제33권5호
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• pp.497-507
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• 2015

고속도로의 비반복 혼잡은 주로 돌발상황에 의해 발생된다. 돌발상황의 주요 원인은 교통사고로 알려져 있다. 따라서 교통사고 시 사고처리시간을 정확하게 예측하는 것은 돌발상황 관리에서 매우 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 전국고속도로의 2008-2014년 총 7년치(60,473건)의 사고 자료를 이용하였다. 사고처리시간 예측모형은 과거의 교통사고 이력자료를 바탕으로 비모수모형인 KNN (K-Nearest Neighbor) 알고리즘을 활용하였다. 사고자료 현황 분석결과 사고등급별로 사고처리시간에 미치는 영향이 매우 큰 것으로 분석되었다. 따라서 사고처리시간은 사고등급별로 분류하여 모형을 구축하였다. 그리고 현재 발생한 사고의 교통상황과 도로 기하구조를 반영하기 위하여 교통량, 차로수, 시간대를 구분하여 데이터를 추출하였다. 추출된 데이터 중 현재 교통사고와 유사한 사고를 검색하기 위하여 사고처리시간에 영향을 미치는 요인들을 분석하였다. 마지막으로, 상태간 거리 산정을 위해서 세부항목별 가중치를 산정하였다. 가중치산정은 정규분포 표준화방법을 적용하였고, 이를 통해 사고처리시간을 예측하였다. 본 연구에서 개발된 모형의 예측결과는 기존의 연구들의 결과에 비해 낮은 예측오차(MAPE)를 보여 모형의 우수성을 입증할 수 있다고 판단된다. 본 연구를 통해 고속도로의 돌발상황 발생 시 효율적인 고속도로의 운영관리에 기여할 수 있고, 기존의 모형들이 갖고 있던 한계를 개선 및 보완할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.