• Title/Summary/Keyword: absolute deviation

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Estimating the Demand Function for Industrial Natural Gas Use in Korea : A Cross-sectional Analysis (횡단면 분석을 활용한 한국 산업용 도시가스 수요함수 추정)

  • Lee, Bok-Hee;Lee, Hye-Jeong;Yoo, Seung-Hoon;Huh, Sung-Yoon
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.34-46
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    • 2020
  • In order to supply stable natural gas in the future, it is necessary to forecast the demand in advance and secure the quantity of supply. In this paper, we propose a method of estimating the demand function of industrial natural gas, which is the core of the increase of domestic natural gas demand in the future. The cross-sectional data of 304 domestic industries were used to estimate the demand function of the industrial natural gas, and the effect of industry specific characteristics such as capital investment, manufacturing cost. Finally, the least absolute deviation estimation method which is robust to outliers and does not assume the homogeneity of the error term and the normality, And the results were derived. In addition, the economic value of industrial city gas was estimated using the price elasticity of industrial city gas. Therefore, it can be seen that the continuous expansion and supply of city gas to the industrial sector is beneficial at the national level, and the government needs to promote expansion through the industrial city gas support policy.

Chiral Separation of Lactic Acid in Culture Media and Cells of Lactobacillus delbrueckii subsp. lactis as O-Pentafluoropropionylated (S)-(+)-3-Methyl-2-Butyl Ester by Achiral Gas Chromatography-Mass Spectrometry

  • Paik, Man-Jeong;Nguyen, Duc-Toan;Yoon, Jae-Hwan;Chae, Han-Seung;Kim, Kyoung-Rae;Lee, Gwang;Lee, Pyung-Cheon
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.32 no.7
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    • pp.2418-2422
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    • 2011
  • The enantiomeric separation of lactic acid for its absolute configuration has become important task for understanding its biological origin and metabolic process involved in the formation of lactic acid. It involves the conversion of enantiomers as diastereomeric O-pentafluoropropionylated (S)-(+)-3-methyl-2-butyl ester and the direct separation by gas chromatography-mass spectrometry on a achiral capillary column. The (R)- and (S)-lactic acids were completely separated with a high resolution of 1.9. The newly developed method showed good linearity (r ${\geq}$ 0.999), precision (% relative standard deviation = 3.4-6.2), and accuracy (% relative error = -7.7-1.4) with the detection limit of 0.011 ${\mu}g/mL$. When the method was applied to determine the absolute configuration of lactic acid in Lactobacillus delbrueckii subsp. lactis 304 (LAB 304), the composition (%) of (R)-lactic acid in the cell pellet and in the culture medium were $89.0{\pm}0.1$ and $78.2{\pm}0.4$, respectively. Thus, it was verified that the present method is useful for the identification and composition test of lactic enantiomers in microorganisms.

A Study on the Prediction of Power Consumption in the Air-Conditioning System by Using the Gaussian Process (정규 확률과정을 사용한 공조 시스템의 전력 소모량 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Chang-Yong;Song, Gensoo;Kim, Jinho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.64-72
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we utilize a Gaussian process to predict the power consumption in the air-conditioning system. As the power consumption in the air-conditioning system takes a form of a time-series and the prediction of the power consumption becomes very important from the perspective of the efficient energy management, it is worth to investigate the time-series model for the prediction of the power consumption. To this end, we apply the Gaussian process to predict the power consumption, in which the Gaussian process provides a prior probability to every possible function and higher probabilities are given to functions that are more likely consistent with the empirical data. We also discuss how to estimate the hyper-parameters, which are parameters in the covariance function of the Gaussian process model. We estimated the hyper-parameters with two different methods (marginal likelihood and leave-one-out cross validation) and obtained a model that pertinently describes the data and the results are more or less independent of the estimation method of hyper-parameters. We validated the prediction results by the error analysis of the mean relative error and the mean absolute error. The mean relative error analysis showed that about 3.4% of the predicted value came from the error, and the mean absolute error analysis confirmed that the error in within the standard deviation of the predicted value. We also adopt the non-parametric Wilcoxon's sign-rank test to assess the fitness of the proposed model and found that the null hypothesis of uniformity was accepted under the significance level of 5%. These results can be applied to a more elaborate control of the power consumption in the air-conditioning system.

The Applicable Investigation of Response Surface Methodology(RSM) for the Prediction of the Ignition Time, the Heat Release Rate and the Maximum Flame Height of the Interior Materials (내장재의 발화시간, 열방출율 및 최대화염 높이의 예측을 위한 반응표면방법론의 활용성 고찰)

  • Ha, Dong-Myeong
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.20 no.2 s.62
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    • pp.14-20
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    • 2006
  • The aim of this study is to predict the ignition times and the HRR(heat release rate) for building interior materials. By using the literature data and RSM(response surface methodology), the new equations for predicting the ignition time and the HRR of building interior materials are proposed. The A.A.P.E.(average absolute percent error) and the A.A.D.(average absolute deviation) of the reported and the calculated ignition times by means of the thickness and the density were 4.35 sec and 1.57 sec, and the correlation coefficient was 0.987. The correlation coefficient of the reported and the calculated the net HRR by means of burner width and power was 0.983. Also the correlation coefficient of the reported and the calculated the total HHR by means of burner width and power was 0.999. The correlation coefficient of the reported and the calculated the maximum flame height by means of burner width and power was 0.999. The values calculated by the proposed equations were in good agreement with the literature data.

Prediction of Heat of Combustion of Polymer Materials Using Combustion Characteristics (연소 특성치를 이용한 고분자재료의 연소열 예측)

  • Ha Dong-Myeong;Lee Su-Kyung
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.19 no.3 s.59
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    • pp.70-75
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    • 2005
  • The heat of combustion of polymer materials is an important fire characteristics, which can be used with other fire parameter to predict the potential fire hazard in the polymer handling process. The aim of this study is to predict the heat of combustion for polymers which used in the building interior materials. By using the literature data and multiple regression, the new equation for predicting the heat of combustion of polymers is proposed. The A.A.p.E.(average absolute percent error) and the A.A.D.(average absolute deviation) of the reported and the calculated heat of combustion by means of the oxygen consumption calorimeter and the stoichiometric coefficient were 4.46 and 1.09, and the correlation coefficient was 0.972. The values calculated by the proposed equations were in good agreement with the literature data. Therefore, it is expected that this proposed equations will support the use of the research for other polymer materials.

Reynolds Number Effects on the Non-Nulling Calibration of a Cone-Type Five-Hole Probe for Turbomachinery Applications

  • Lee, Sang-Woo;Jun, Sang-Bae
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.19 no.8
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    • pp.1632-1648
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    • 2005
  • The effects of Reynolds number on the non-nulling calibration of a typical cone-type five-hole probe have been investigated for the representative Reynolds numbers in turbomachinery. The pitch and yaw angles are changed from - 35 degrees to 35 degrees with an angle interval of 5 degrees at six probe Reynolds numbers in range between $6.60{\times}10^3\;and\;3.17{\times}10^4$. The result shows that not only each calibration coefficient itself but also its Reynolds number dependency is affected significantly by the pitch and yaw angles. The Reynolds-number effects on the pitch- and yaw-angle coefficients are noticeable when the absolute values of the pitch and yaw angles are smaller than 20 degrees. The static-pressure coefficient is sensitive to the Reynolds number nearly all over the pitch- and yaw-angle range. The Reynolds-number effect on the total-pressure coefficient is found remarkable when the absolute values of the pitch and yaw angles are larger than 20 degrees. Through a typical non-nulling reduction procedure, actual reduced values of the pitch and yaw angles, static and total pressures, and velocity magnitude at each Reynolds number are obtained by employing the calibration coefficients at the highest Reynolds number ($Re=3.17{\times}10^4$) as input reference calibration data. As a result, it is found that each reduced value has its own unique trend depending on the pitch and yaw angles. Its general tendency is related closely to the variation of the corresponding calibration coefficient with the Reynolds number. Among the reduced values, the reduced total pressure suffers the most considerable deviation from the measured one and its dependency upon the pitch and yaw angles is most noticeable. In this study, the root-mean-square data as well as the upper and lower bounds of the reduced values are reported as a function of the Reynolds number. These data would be very useful in the estimation of the Reynolds-number effects on the non-nulling calibration.

BTC-based Image Compression using Pattern (패턴을 이용한 블록 절단 부호화 기반의 영상 압축)

  • Kim, Cheonshik;Oh, Jae-Whan
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.77-83
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    • 2015
  • Block Truncation Coding, or BTC, is a type of lossy image compression technique for grayscale images. It divides the original images into blocks and then reduces the number of grey levels in each block to compute the mean and standard deviation. BTC has also been adapted to video compression. Another variation of BTC is Absolute Moment Block Truncation Coding. AMBTC is computationally simpler than BTC. In this paper, we proposed new image compression method based on BTC, which is applied patterns to improve compression rate and image quality. This method make two codebooks to extract 36 and 64 patterns from the highest frequency patterns in BTC. When you are compressing an image, you compare many block patterns to that of codebook and use to compress indexes of identical patterns. We experiment our proposed scheme with 36 patterns and the experimental results showed the compression rate of 1.37 bpp. In this paper, our proposed scheme showed higher compression rate rather than that of BTC. In experiment, we used standard images for the performance evaluation.

Multiple-Point-Diffraction Interferometer : Error Analysis and Calibration (거친 표면 형상측정을 위한 점광원 절대간섭계의 오차해석과 시스템 변수의 보)

  • Kim, Byoung-Chang;Kim, Seung-Woo
    • Korean Journal of Optics and Photonics
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.361-365
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    • 2005
  • An absolute interferometer system with multiple point-sources is devised for tile 3-D measurement of rough surface profiles. The positions of the point sources are determined to be the system parameters that influence the measurement accuracy, so they are calibrated precisely prior to performing actual measurements. For the calibration, a CCD camera composed of a two-dimensional array of photo-detectors was used. Performing optimization of the cost function constructed with phase values measured at each pixel on the CCD camera, the position coordinates of each point source is precisely determined. Measurement results after calibration performed for the warpage inspection of chip scale packages (CSPs) demonstrate that the maximum discrepancy is 9.8 mm with a standard deviation o( 1.5 mm in comparison with the test results obtained by using a Form Taly Surf instrument.

Covid19 trends predictions using time series data (시계열 데이터를 활용한 코로나19 동향 예측)

  • Kim, Jae-Ho;Kim, Jang-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.25 no.7
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    • pp.884-889
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    • 2021
  • The number of people infected with Covid-19 in Korea seemed to be gradually decreasing thanks to various efforts such as social distancing and vaccines. However, just as the number of infected people increased after a particular incident on February 20, 2020, the number of infected people has been increasing rapidly since December 2020 by approximately 500 per day. Therefore, the future Covid-19 is predicted through the Prophet algorithm using Kaggle's dataset, and the explanatory power for this prediction is added through the coefficient of determination, mean absolute error, mean percent error, mean square difference, and mean square deviation through Scikit-learn. Moreover, in the absence of a specific incident rapidly increasing the cases of Covid-19, the proposed method predicts the number of infected people in Korea and emphasizes the importance of implementing epidemic prevention and quarantine rules for future diseases.

A Study on the Standard Link-based Travel Speed Calculation System Using GPS Tracking Information (GPS 운행궤적정보를 이용한 표준링크기반 통행속도 산출 시스템 연구)

  • Song, Gil jong;Hwang, Jae Seon;Lim, Jae Jung;Jung, Eui Yong
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.142-155
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    • 2019
  • This study was conducted with the aim of developing a system to collect taxi GPS probe information to prevent link defects and to improve the accuracy of the standard link-based travel speed by determining when to go into and come out the link. For this purpose, a framework and algorithm consisting of a five-step process for standard link-based map matching and individual vehicle travel speed are presented and used it to calculate the average travel speed of the service link. Two on-site surveys of Teheran and Hakdong-ro were conducted to verify the results by the methods proposed in this paper. On the basis of the overall time of the field survey, the deviation in the travel speed was 0.2 km/h and 0.6 km/h, the accuracy was 99% and 96%, and the MAPE(Mean Absolute Percentage Error) was 1% and 4% in Teheran and Hakdong-ro, respectively. These results were more accurate thand those obtained using conventional methodologies without standard links.