• Title/Summary/Keyword: a error model

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Impacts of temporal dependent errors in radar rainfall estimate for rainfall-runoff simulation

  • Ko, Dasang;Park, Taewoong;Lee, Taesam
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.180-180
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    • 2015
  • Weather radar has been widely used in measuring precipitation and discharge and predicting flood risks. The radar rainfall estimate has one of the essential problems in terms of uncertainty and accuracy. Previous study analyzed radar errors to reduce its uncertainty or to improve its accuracy. Furthermore, a recent analyzed the effect of radar error on rainfall-runoff using spatial error model (SEM). SEM appropriately reproduced radar error including spatial correlation. Since the SEM does not take the time dependence into account, its time variability was not properly investigated. Therefore, in the current study, we extend the SEM including time dependence as well as spatial dependence, named after Spatial-Temporal Error Model (STEM). Radar rainfall events generated with STEM were tested so that the peak runoff from the response of a basin could be investigated according to dependent error. The Nam River basin, South Korea, was employed to illustrate the effects of STEM on runoff peak flow.

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A Learning Algorithm for Optimal Fuzzy Control Rules (최적의 퍼지제어규칙을 얻기위한 퍼지학습법)

  • Chung, Byeong-Mook
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.399-407
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    • 1996
  • A fuzzy learning algorithm to get the optimal fuzzy rules is presented in this paper. The algorithm introduces a reference model to generate a desired output and a performance index funtion instead of the performance index table. The performance index funtion is a cost function based on the error and error-rate between the reference and plant output. The cost function is minimized by a gradient method and the control input is also updated. In this case, the control rules which generate the desired response can be obtained by changing the portion of the error-rate in the cost funtion. In SISO(Single-Input Single- Output)plant, only by the learning delay, it is possible to experss the plant model and to get the desired control rules. In the long run, this algorithm gives us the good control rules with a minimal amount of prior informaiton about the environment.

Accelerated Monte Carlo analysis of flow-based system reliability through artificial neural network-based surrogate models

  • Yoon, Sungsik;Lee, Young-Joo;Jung, Hyung-Jo
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.175-184
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    • 2020
  • Conventional Monte Carlo simulation-based methods for seismic risk assessment of water networks often require excessive computational time costs due to the hydraulic analysis. In this study, an Artificial Neural Network-based surrogate model was proposed to efficiently evaluate the flow-based system reliability of water distribution networks. The surrogate model was constructed with appropriate training parameters through trial-and-error procedures. Furthermore, a deep neural network with hidden layers and neurons was composed for the high-dimensional network. For network training, the input of the neural network was defined as the damage states of the k-dimensional network facilities, and the output was defined as the network system performance. To generate training data, random sampling was performed between earthquake magnitudes of 5.0 and 7.5, and hydraulic analyses were conducted to evaluate network performance. For a hydraulic simulation, EPANET-based MATLAB code was developed, and a pressure-driven analysis approach was adopted to represent an unsteady-state network. To demonstrate the constructed surrogate model, the actual water distribution network of A-city, South Korea, was adopted, and the network map was reconstructed from the geographic information system data. The surrogate model was able to predict network performance within a 3% relative error at trained epicenters in drastically reduced time. In addition, the accuracy of the surrogate model was estimated to within 3% relative error (5% for network performance lower than 0.2) at different epicenters to verify the robustness of the epicenter location. Therefore, it is concluded that ANN-based surrogate model can be utilized as an alternative model for efficient seismic risk assessment to within 5% of relative error.

Analysis of Error Probability of Mobile Satellite Communication System In Korea Peninsula Area (한반도 지역에서 이동형 위성단말의 오류확률 분석)

  • Lee, Huikyu
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.67-71
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we derive a reference error probability performance in the environment where mobile satellite terminal is operated. When the satellite terminal moves, shadowing occurs due to the surrounding obstacles and the BER is lowered. We use the Lutz model simulating the environment in which mobile satellite terminals operate The Lutz model combines the Rician distribution with the Suzuki model. The error probability is derived from the numerical analysis of two distribution functions. The simulated results using the measured results in the Korean Peninsula forest area were similar to the BER results obtained using the Lutz model. Intuitively, the approximated results are similar to the measured results. Numerically, the BER error is about 3e-4 or less at an SNR of 30dB.

A Synchronization Error Control System for Web based Multimedia Collaboration Environment (웹 기반 멀티미디어 공동 작업 환경에서의 동기화 오류 제어 시스템)

  • Ko, Eung-Nam
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.11B no.1
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    • pp.45-52
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    • 2004
  • We propose ESS_WMCE. This paper explains the design and implementation of the EDSS running on ESS_WMCE. EDSS is a synchronization error control system for web based multimedia collaboration environment. We have an error detection approach by using hooking method. The technique of an error transmission is a mended model of utilizing an application sharing system. DOORAE is a good framework model for supporting development on application for computer supported cooperated works. It has primitive service functions. Service functions are implemented with an object oriented concept. It is a system that is suitable for detecting and sharing a software error rapidly occurring on web based multimedia collaboration environment by using software techniques. It is able to share an error as well as providing URL synchronization to access shared objects. When an error occurs, this system detects an error by using hooking methods in MS-Windows API(Application Program Interface) function. If an error is found, it is able to provide an error sharing to access shared objects.

Image Processing Algorithm for Weight Estimation of Dairy Cattle (젖소 체중추정을 위한 영상처리 알고리즘)

  • Seo, Kwang-Wook;Kim, Hyeon-Tae;Lee, Dae-Weon;Yoon, Yong-Cheol;Choi, Dong-Yoon
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.48-57
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    • 2011
  • The computer vision system was designed and constructed to measure the weight of a dairy cattle. Its development involved the functions of image capture, image preprocessing, image algorithm, and control integrated into one program. The experiments were conducted with the model dairy cattle and the real dairy cattle by two ways. First experiment with the model dairy cattle was conducted by using the indoor vision experimental system, which was built to measure the model dairy cattle in the laboratory. Second experiment with real dairy cattle was conducted by using the outdoor vision experimental system, which was built for measuring 229 heads of cows in the cattle facilities. This vision system proved to a reliable system by conducting their performance test with 15 heads of real cow in the cattle facilities. Indirect weight measuring with four methods were conducted by using the image processing system, which was the same system for measuring of body parameters. Error value of transform equation using chest girth was 30%. This error was seen as the cause of accumulated error by manually measurement. So it was not appropriate to estimate cow weight by using the transform equation, which was calculated from pixel values of the chest girth. Measurement of cow weight by multiple regression equation from top and side view images has relatively less error value, 5%. When cow weight was measured indirectly by image surface area from the pixel of top and side view images, maximum error value was 11.7%. When measured cow weight by image volume, maximum error weight was 57 kg. Generally, weight error was within 30 kg but maximum error 10.7%. Volume transform method, out of 4 measuring weight methods, was minimum error weight 21.8 kg.

A 3-cell CCI(Cell-to-Cell Interference) model and error correction algorithm for Multi-level cell NAND Flash Memories (다중셀 낸드 플래시 메모리의 3셀 CCI 모델과 이를 이용한 에러 정정 알고리듬)

  • Jung, Jin-Ho;Kim, Shi-Ho
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SD
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    • v.48 no.10
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2011
  • We have analyzed adjacent cell dependency of threshold voltage shift caused by the cell to cell interference, and we proposed a 3-adjacent-cell model to model the pattern dependency of the threshold voltage shift. The proposed algorithm is verified by using MATLAB simulation and measurement results. In the experimental results, we found that accuracy of the proposed simple 3-adjacient-cell model is comparable to the widely used conventional 8-adjacient-cell model. The Bit Error Rate (BER) of LSB and of MSB is improved by 28.9% and 19.8%, respectively, by applying the proposed algorithm based on 3-adjacent-cell model to 20nm-class 2-bit MLC NAND flash memories.

The Control of a Bipedal Robot using ANFIS (ANFIS를 이용한 이족보행로봇 제어)

  • Hwang, Jae-Pil;Kim, Eun-Tai;Park, Mignon
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2004.11c
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    • pp.523-525
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    • 2004
  • Over the last few years, the control of bipedal robot has been considered a promising research field in the community of robotics. But the problems we encounter make the control of a bipedal robot a hard task. The complicated link connection of the bipedal robot makes it impossible to achieve its exact model. In addition, the joint velocity is needed to accomplish good control performance. In this paper a control method using ANFIS as an system approximator is purposed. First a model biped robot of a biped robot with switching leg influence is presented. Unlike classical method, ANFIS approximation error estimator is inserted in the system for tuning the ANFIS. In the entire system, only ANFIS is used to approximate the uncertain system. ANFIS tuning rule is given combining the observation error, control error and ANFIS approximation error. But this needs velocity information which is not available. So a practical method is newly presented. Finally, computer simulation results is presented to show this control method has good position tracking performance and robustness without need for leg switching acknowledgement.

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Quantitative Analysis of Random Errors of the WRF-FLEXPART Model for Backward-in-time Simulation over the Seoul Metropolitan Area (수도권 영역의 시간 후방 모드 WRF-FLEXPART 모의를 위한 입자 수에 따른 무작위 오차의 정량 분석)

  • Woo, Ju-Wan;Lee, Jae-Hyeong;Lee, Sang-Hyun
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.551-566
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    • 2019
  • Quantitative understanding of a random error that is associated with Lagrangian particle dispersion modeling is a prerequisite for backward-in-time mode simulations. This study aims to quantify the random error of the WRF-FLEXPART model and suggest an optimum number of the Lagrangian particles for backward-in-time simulations over the Seoul metropolitan area. A series of backward-in-time simulations of the WRF-FLEXPART model has conducted at two receptor points by changing the number of Lagrangian particles and the relative error, as a quantitative indicator of random error, is analyzed to determine the optimum number of the release particles. The results show that in the Seoul metropolitan area a 1-day Lagrangian transport contributes 80~90% in residence time and ~100% in atmospheric enhancement of carbon monoxide. The relative errors in both the residence time and the atmospheric concentration enhancement are larger when the particles release in the daytime than in the nighttime, and in the inland area than in the coastal area. The sensitivity simulations reveal that the relative errors decrease with increasing the number of Lagrangian particles. The use of small number of Lagrangian particles caused significant random errors, which is attributed to the random number sampling process. For the particle number of 6000, the relative error in the atmospheric concentration enhancement is estimated as -6% ± 10% with reduction of computational time to 21% ± 7% on average. This study emphasizes the importance of quantitative analyses of the random errors in interpreting backward-in-time simulations of the WRF-FLEXPART model and in determining the number of Lagrangian particles as well.

Comparison of the forecasting models with real estate price index (주택가격지수 모형의 비교연구)

  • Lim, Seong Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.1573-1583
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    • 2016
  • It is necessary to check mutual correlations between related variables because housing prices are influenced by a lot of variables of the economy both internally and externally. In this paper, employing the Granger causality test, we have validated interrelated relationship between the variables. In addition, there is cointegration associations in the results of the cointegration test between the variables. Therefore, an analysis using a vector error correction model including an error correction term has been attempted. As a result of the empirical comparative analysis of the forecasting performance with ARIMA and VAR models, it is confirmed that the forecasting performance by vector error correction model is superior to those of the former two models.