• Title/Summary/Keyword: a conditional probability

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Fast Ultrasound Image Compression Based on Characteristics of Ultrasound Images (초음파 영상특성에 기반한 고속 초음파 영상압축)

  • Kim, S.H.
    • Proceedings of the KOSOMBE Conference
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    • v.1998 no.11
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    • pp.70-71
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, We proposed fast ultrasound image compression based on characteristics of ultrasound images. In the proposed method, wavelet transform is performed for non-zero coefficients selectively. It codes zero-tree symbols using conditional pdf (probability density function) as orientation of bands. It normalizes wavelet coefficients with threshold of each wavelet band and encodes those using a uniform quantizer. Experimental results show that the proposed method is the proposed method is superior in PSNR to LuraTech's method by about 1.0 dB, to JPEG by about 5.0 dB for $640\times480$ 24bits color ultrasound image.

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Reliability and Safety Analysis of Structure System of Retaining Walls (옹벽구조시스템의 신뢰성 및 안전도 해석)

  • Jung, Chul-Won;Yun, Boung-Jo
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.223-234
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    • 1998
  • In this study, an attempt is made to apply the concept of fuzzy-bayesian theory to the integrity assessment of structure system, and uncertainty states are represented in terms of fuzzy sets which define several linguistic variables such as "very good", "good", "average", "poor", "very poor", etc. Especially, the concept of fuzzy conditional probability aids to derive a new reliability analysis which includes the subjective assessment of engineers without introducing any additional correction factors. The fuzzy concept are also used as reliability indexes for the condition assessment based on the proposed models, the proposed fuzzy theory-based approach with the results of PEM and AFOSM are applied to retaining wall.

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Intelligent Modeling of User Behavior based on FCM Quantization for Smart home (FCM 이산화를 이용한 스마트 홈에서 행동 모델링)

  • Chung, Woo-Yong;Lee, Jae-Hun;Yon, Suk-Hyun;Cho, Young-Wan;Kim, Eun-Tai
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.542-546
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    • 2007
  • In the vision of ubiquitous computing environment, smart objects would communicate each other and provide many kinds of information about user and their surroundings in the home. This information enables smart objects to recognize context and to provide active and convenient services to the customers. However in most cases, context-aware services are available only with expert systems. In this paper, we present generalized activity recognition application in the smart home based on a naive Bayesian network(BN) and fuzzy clustering. We quantize continuous sensor data with fuzzy c-means clustering to simplify and reduce BN's conditional probability table size. And we apply mutual information to learn the BN structure efficiently. We show that this system can recognize user activities about 80% accuracy in the web based virtual smart home.

Understanding Relationships Among Risk Factors in Container Port Operation UsingBayesian Network

  • Tsenskhuu Nyamjav;Min-Ho Ha
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.93-99
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    • 2023
  • This study aimed to determine relationships among risk factors influencing container port operation using Bayesian network. Risk factors identified from prior studies were classified into five groups: human error, machinery error, environmental risk, security risk, and natural disasters. P anel experts discussed identified risk factors to fulfil conditional probability tables of the interdependence model. The interdependence model was also validated by sensitivity analysis and provided an interrelation of factors influencing the direction of each other. Results of the interdependence model were partially in line with results from prior studies while practices in the global port industry confirmed interrelationships of risk factors. In addition, the relationship between top-ranked risk factors can provide a schematic drawing of the model. Accordingly, results of this study can expand the prior research in the Korean port industry, which may help port authorities improve risk management and reduce losses from the risk.

Differential Changes in Commuter's Mode Choice after the Intergrated Public Transit System in Seoul Metropolitan City (서울시 대중교통체계 개편 이후 통근 교통수단 선택의 차별적 변화)

  • Lee, Hye-Seung;Lee, Hee-Yeon
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.323-338
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    • 2009
  • This study analyzes the changes in commuter's mode choice between 2002 and 2006 according to the implement of the integrated public transit system in Seoul metropolitan city. Especially this study focuses on differential changes in a transit modal choice among socioeconomic status, trip purpose and spatial characteristics of origin and destination. The probability of public transit use against automobile is modeled as a function of socioeconomic variables, spatial characteristics of origin and destination and the utility of the commuter's mode. The results from conditional logit model analyses suggest that people with lower income show the larger changes in the ratio of public transit choice between 2002-06. Also both higher density, more accessible to public transit and more diverse land uses in residence zone and in work place generally increase the ratio of public transit choice between 2002-06. Car and subway have the most strong alternative relation in commuter's mode choice. The findings give an important implication that the integrated public transit system has differential impacts on commuter's mode choice in Seoul.

A simulation study for various propensity score weighting methods in clinical problematic situations (임상에서 발생할 수 있는 문제 상황에서의 성향 점수 가중치 방법에 대한 비교 모의실험 연구)

  • Siseong Jeong;Eun Jeong Min
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.36 no.5
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    • pp.381-397
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    • 2023
  • The most representative design used in clinical trials is randomization, which is used to accurately estimate the treatment effect. However, comparison between the treatment group and the control group in an observational study without randomization is biased due to various unadjusted differences, such as characteristics between patients. Propensity score weighting is a widely used method to address these problems and to minimize bias by adjusting those confounding and assess treatment effects. Inverse probability weighting, the most popular method, assigns weights that are proportional to the inverse of the conditional probability of receiving a specific treatment assignment, given observed covariates. However, this method is often suffered by extreme propensity scores, resulting in biased estimates and excessive variance. Several alternative methods including trimming, overlap weights, and matching weights have been proposed to mitigate these issues. In this paper, we conduct a simulation study to compare performance of various propensity score weighting methods under diverse situation, such as limited overlap, misspecified propensity score, and treatment contrary to prediction. From the simulation results overlap weights and matching weights consistently outperform inverse probability weighting and trimming in terms of bias, root mean squared error and coverage probability.

Application of Indicator Geostatistics for Probabilistic Uncertainty and Risk Analyses of Geochemical Data (지화학 자료의 확률론적 불확실성 및 위험성 분석을 위한 지시자 지구통계학의 응용)

  • Park, No-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.301-312
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    • 2010
  • Geochemical data have been regarded as one of the important environmental variables in the environmental management. Since they are often sampled at sparse locations, it is important not only to predict attribute values at unsampled locations, but also to assess the uncertainty attached to the prediction for further analysis. The main objective of this paper is to exemplify how indicator geostatistics can be effectively applied to geochemical data processing for providing decision-supporting information as well as spatial distribution of the geochemical data. A whole geostatistical analysis framework, which includes probabilistic uncertainty modeling, classification and risk analysis, was illustrated through a case study of cadmium mapping. A conditional cumulative distribution function (ccdf) was first modeled by indicator kriging, and then e-type estimates and conditional variance were computed for spatial distribution of cadmium and quantitative uncertainty measures, respectively. Two different classification criteria such as a probability thresholding and an attribute thresholding were applied to delineate contaminated and safe areas. Finally, additional sampling locations were extracted from the coefficient of variation that accounts for both the conditional variance and the difference between attribute values and thresholding values. It is suggested that the indicator geostatistical framework illustrated in this study be a useful tool for analyzing any environmental variables including geochemical data for decision-making in the presence of uncertainty.

CCDP Evaluation of the Eire Area of NPPs Using Eire Model CEAST (화재모델 CFAST를 이용한 원전 화재구역의 CCDP평가)

  • Lee Yoon-Hwan;Yang Joon-Eon;Kim Jong-Hoon;Noh Sam-Kyu
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.64-71
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    • 2004
  • This paper describes the result of the pump room fire analysis of the nuclear power plant using CFAST fire modeling code developed by NIST. The sensitivity studies are performed over the input parameters of CFAST: the constrained or unconstrained fire, Lower Oxygen Limit (LOL), Radiative Fraction (RF), and the opening ratio of the fire doors. According to the results, a pump room fire is the ventilation-controlled fire, so it is adequate that the value of LOL is 10% which is also the default value. It is anlayzed that the Radiative Fraction does not affect the temperature of the upper gas layer. It is appeared that the integrity of the cable located at the upper layer is maintained except for the safety pump at the fire area and the Conditional Core Damage Probability (CCDP) is 9.25E-07. It seems that CCDP result is more realistic and less uncertain than that of Fire Hazard Analysis (FHA).

Non-stationary Frequency Analysis with Climate Variability using Conditional Generalized Extreme Value Distribution (기후변동을 고려한 조건부 GEV 분포를 이용한 비정상성 빈도분석)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Lee, Jung-Ki;Kim, Hung-Soo;Lee, Jin-Won
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.499-514
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    • 2011
  • An underlying assumption of traditional hydrologic frequency analysis is that climate, and hence the frequency of hydrologic events, is stationary, or unchanging over time. Under stationary conditions, the distribution of the variable of interest is invariant to temporal translation. Water resources infrastructure planning and design, such as dams, levees, canals, bridges, and culverts, relies on an understanding of past conditions and projection of future conditions. But, Water managers have always known our world is inherently non-stationary, and they routinely deal with this in management and planning. The aim of this paper is to give a brief introduction to non-stationary extreme value analysis methods. In this paper, a non-stationary hydrologic frequency analysis approach is introduced in order to determine probability rainfall consider changing climate. The non-stationary statistical approach is based on the conditional Generalized Extreme Value(GEV) distribution and Maximum Likelihood parameter estimation. This method are applied to the annual maximum 24 hours-rainfall. The results show that the non-stationary GEV approach is suitable for determining probability rainfall for changing climate, sucha sa trend, Moreover, Non-stationary frequency analyzed using SOI(Southern Oscillation Index) of ENSO(El Nino Southern Oscillation).

On asymptotics for a bias-corrected version of the NPMLE of the probability of discovering a new species (신종발견확률의 편의보정 비모수 최우추정량에 관한 연구)

  • 이주호
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.341-353
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    • 1993
  • As an estimator of the conditional probability of discovering a new species at the next observation after a sample of certain size is taken, the one proposed by Good(1953) has been most widely used. Recently, Clayton and Frees(1987) showed via simulation that their nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator(NPMLE) has smaller MSE than Good's estimator when the population is relatively nonuniform. Lee(1989) proved that their conjecture is asymptotically true for truncated geometric population distributions. One shortcoming of the NPMLE, however, is that it has a considerable amount of negative bias. In this study we proposed a bias-corrected version of the NPMLE for virtually all realistic population distributions. We also showed that it has a smaller asymptotic MSE than Good's extimator except when the population is very uniform. A Monte Carlo simulation was performed for small sample sizes, and the result supports the asymptotic results.

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