• Title/Summary/Keyword: Z-R relationship

Search Result 147, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

Revisiting the Z-R Relationship Using Long-term Radar Reflectivity over the Entire South Korea Region in a Bayesian Perspective

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Kim, Jin-Guk;Kim, Ho Jun;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2021.06a
    • /
    • pp.275-275
    • /
    • 2021
  • A fixed Z-R relationship approach, such as the Marshall-Palmer relationship, for an entire year and for different seasons can be problematic in cases where the relationship varies spatially and temporally throughout a region. From this perspective, this study explores the use of long-term radar reflectivity for South Korea to obtain a nationwide calibrated Z-R relationship and the associated uncertainties within a Bayesian regression framework. This study also investigates seasonal differences in the Z-R relationship and their roles in reducing systematic error. Distinct differences in the Z-R parameters in space are identified, and more importantly, an inverse relationship between the parameters is clearly identified with distinct regimes based on the seasons. A spatially structured pattern in the parameters exists, particularly parameter α for the wet season and parameter β for the dry season. A pronounced region of high values during the wet and dry seasons may be partially associated with storm movements in that season. Finally, the radar rainfall estimates through the calibrated Z-R relationship are compared with the existing Z-R relationships for estimating stratiform rainfall and convective rainfall. Overall, the radar rainfall fields based on the proposed modeling procedure are similar to the observed rainfall fields, whereas the radar rainfall fields obtained from the existing Marshall-Palmer Z-R relationship show a systematic underestimation. The obtained Z-R relationships are validated by testing the predictions on unseen radar-gauge pairs in the year 2018, in the context of cross-validation. The cross-validation results are largely similar to those in the calibration process, suggesting that the derived Z-R relationships fit the radar-gauge pairs reasonably well.

  • PDF

Quantitative evaluation of radar reflectivity and rainfall intensity relationship parameters uncertainty using Bayesian inference technique (Bayesian 추론기법을 활용한 레이더 반사도-강우강도 관계식 매개변수의 불확실성 정량적 평가)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Park, Moon-Hyeong;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.51 no.9
    • /
    • pp.813-826
    • /
    • 2018
  • Recently, weather radar system has been widely used for effectively monitoring near real-time weather conditions. The radar rainfall estimates are generally relies on the Z-R equation that is an indirect approximation of the empirical relationship. In this regards, the bias in the radar rainfall estimates can be affected by spatial-temporal variations in the radar profile. This study evaluates the uncertainty of the Z-R relationship while considering the rainfall types in the process of estimating the parameters of the Z-R equation in the context of stochastic approach. The radar rainfall estimates based on the Bayesian inference technique appears to be effective in terms of reduction in bias for a given season. The derived Z-R equation using Bayesian model enables us to better represent the hydrological process in the rainfall-runoff model and provide a more reliable forecast.

Estimation of Z-R Relationships between Radar Reflectivity and Rainfall rate (레이더 반사강도와 강우강도의 Z-R 관계식 산정)

  • Ahn, Sang-Jin;Kim, Jin-Geuk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.36 no.1
    • /
    • pp.13-21
    • /
    • 2003
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate Z-R relationships of between radar reflectivity and rainfall rate. The Z-R relationships estimated that rainfall events are selected at Yeongchun water level station where the discharge recorded from 1,000cms to 8,519cms in chungju dam basin. The result of Z-R relationship distributed at thirty two raingage sites, the constant values of A and $\beta$ are distributed between 26.4 and 7.4, 0.9 and 1.56 respectively. The correlation coefficients of standard Z-R relationships(Z=200Rl.6)shows that 0.63 lower than each other raingage sites(0.65~0.748).

Optimization of Z-R relationship in the summer of 2014 using a micro genetic algorithm (마이크로 유전알고리즘을 이용한 2014년 여름철 Z-R 관계식 최적화)

  • Lee, Yong Hee;Nam, Ji-Eun;Joo, Sangwon
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-8
    • /
    • 2016
  • The Korea Meteorological Administration has operated the Automatic Weather Stations, of the average 13 km horizontal resolution, to observe rainfall. However, an additional RADAR network also has been operated in all-weather conditions, because AWS network could not observed rainfall over the sea. In general, the rain rate is obtained by estimating the relationship between the radar reflectivity (Z) and the rainfall (R). But this empirical relationship needs to be optimized on the rainfall over the Korean peninsula. This study was carried out to optimize the Z-R relationship in the summer of 2014 using a parallel Micro Genetic Algorithm. The optimized Z-R relationship, $Z=120R^{1.56}$, using a micro genetic algorithm was different from the various Z-R relationships that have been previously used. However, the landscape of the fitness function found in this study looked like a flat plateau. So there was a limit to the fine estimation including the complex development and decay processes of precipitation between the ground and an altitude of 1.5km.

Effect of R-Z Relationships Derived from Disdrometer Data on Radar Rainfall Estimation during the Heavy Rain Event on 5 July 2005 (2005년 7월 5일 폭우 사례 시 우적계 R-Z 관계식이 레이더 강우 추정에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, GyuWon;Kwon, Byung-Huk
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
    • /
    • v.33 no.7
    • /
    • pp.596-607
    • /
    • 2012
  • The R-Z relationship is one of important error factors to determine the accuracy of radar rainfall estimation. In this study, we have explored the effect of the R-Z relationships derived from disdrometer data in estimating the radar rainfall. The heavy rain event that produced flooding in St-Remi, Quebec, Canada has been occurred. We have tried to investigate the severity of rain for this event using high temporal (2.5 min) and spatial resolution ($1^{\circ}$ by 250 m) radar data obtained from the McGill S-band radar. Radar data revealed that the heavy rain cells pass directly over St-Remi while the coarse raingauge network was not sufficient to detect this rain event. The maximum 30 min (1 h) accumulation reaches about 39 (42) mm in St-Remi. During the rain event, the two disdrometers (POSS; Precipitation Occurrence Sensor System) were available: One used for the reflectivity calibration by comparing disdrometer Z and radar Z and the other for deriving disdrometric R-Z relationships. The result shows the significant improvement with the disdrometric reflectivity-dependent R-Z relationships against the climatological R-Z relationship. The bias in radar rain estimation is reduced from +12% to -2% and the root-mean squared error from 16 to 10% for daily accumulation. Using the estimated radar rainfall rate with disdrometric R-Z relationships, the flood event was well captured with proper timing and amount.

Rainfall Estimation Using TRMM-PR/VIRS and GMS Data (TRMM-PR/VIRS와 GMS 자료를 이용한 강수량 추정에 관한 연구)

  • 김영섭;박경원
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.18 no.6
    • /
    • pp.319-326
    • /
    • 2002
  • Rainfall estimation was conducted based on TRMM-PR/VIES and GMS data. AWS rainfall data were used for various validation. General procedure is as follows; 1) Z-R relationship was made by the comparison of TRMM-PR and AWS data. 2) new algorithm was developed by the estimates from Z-R equation and TBB of VIRS. 3) rainfall was estimated through the substitution of GMS data for TBB of VIRS in the newly developed algorithm. Z-R relationship based on TRMM is $Z=303R^{0.72}$ with correlation coefficient 0.57. The newly developed algorithm is shown as correlation coefficient 0.67 and RMSE 17mm/hr. New algorithm shows the underestimating tendency in case of heavy rainfall event.

Using Extended Kalman Filter for Real-time Decision of Parameters of Z-R Relationship (확장 칼만 필터를 활용한 Z-R 관계식의 매개변수 실시간 결정)

  • Kim, Jungho;Yoo, Chulsang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.47 no.2
    • /
    • pp.119-133
    • /
    • 2014
  • The study adopted extended Kalman filter technique in an effort to predict Z-R relationship parameter as a stable value in real-time. Toward this end, a parameter estimation model was established based on extended Kalman filter in consideration of non-linearity of Z-R relationship. A state-space model was established based on a study that was conducted by Adamowski and Muir (1989). Two parameters of Z-R relationship were set as state variables of the state-space model. As a result, a stable model where a divergence of Kalman gain and state variables are not generated was established. It is noteworthy that overestimated or underestimated parameters based on a conventional method were filtered and removed. As application of inappropriate parameters might cause physically unrealistic rain rate estimation, it can be more effective in terms of quantitative precipitation estimation. As a result of estimation on radar rainfall based on parameters predicted with the extended Kalman filter, the mean field bias correction factor turned out to be around 1.0 indicating that there was a minor difference from the gauge rain rate without the mean field bias correction. In addition, it turned out that it was possible to conduct more accurate estimation on radar rainfall compared to the conventional method.

Radar Rainfall Estimation Using Window Probability Matching Method : 1. Establishment of Ze-R Relationship for Kwanak Mt, DWSR-88C at Summer, 1998 (WPMM 방법을 이용한 레이더 강수량 추정 : 1. 1998년 여름철 관악산 DWSR-88C를 위한 Ze-R 관계식 산출)

  • Kim, Hyo-Gyeong;Lee, Dong-In;Yu, Cheol-Hwan;Gwon, Won-Tae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.35 no.1
    • /
    • pp.25-36
    • /
    • 2002
  • Window Probability Matching Method(WPMM) is achieved by matching identical probability density of rain intensities and radar reflectivities taken only from small window centered about the gage. The equation of $Z_{e}-R$ relationship is obtained and compared with data between a DWSR-88C radar and high density rain gage networks within 150km from radar site in summer season, 1998. The probability density of radar effective reflectivity is distributed with high frequency near 15dBZ. The frequency distribution of rain intensities shows that rain intensity is lower than 10mm/hr in most part of radar coverage area. As the result of $Z_{e}-R$ relationship using WPMM, curved line has shown to the log scale spatially and it can be explained more flexible than any straight-line power laws at the transformation to the rainfall amount from $Z_e$ value. During 3 months, total radar cumulative rainfall amount estimated by $Z=200R^{1.6}$ and WPMM relationships are 44 and 80 percentages of total raingage amount, respectively. Therefore, $Z_{e}-R$ relationships by WPMM may be widely needed a statistical method for the computation of accumulated precipitation.

Z-R Relationships for a Weather Radar in the Eastern Coast of Northeastern Brazil

  • Tenorio Ricardo Sarmento;Kwon Byung-Hyuk;Silva Moraes Marcia Cristina da
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
    • /
    • v.4 no.1
    • /
    • pp.41-45
    • /
    • 2006
  • A disdrometer has been used to determine Z-R relationships for the weather radar, which is unique coastal radar operating regularly in western tropical south Atlantic. Rainfall rates were divided into the stratiform rain and the convective rain on the basis of $10\;mm\;h^{-1}$. The Z-R relationship for the stratiform class was similar to the general one since the convective clouds did not developed and two classes of the rain rate were mixed.

Uncertainty Assessment of Radar Reflectivity-Rainfall Relationship based on Bayesian Perspective using Long-term Radar Reflectivity (장기간 레이더 반사도를 활용한 Bayesian 추론 기반의 레이더 반사도-강수량 관계식 불확실성 평가)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Kim, Ho Jun;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2020.06a
    • /
    • pp.61-61
    • /
    • 2020
  • 최근 수문기상학 분야에서 레이더 강수량을 활용한 응용연구가 활발하게 진행되고 있다. 하지만 레이더 강수량은 대류성 및 층상형 등과 같이 강수특성을 기준으로 레이더 반사도-강수량(Reflectivity-Rainfall, Z-R) 관계식 매개변수를 시공간적으로 동일하게 적용하여 레이더 강수량을 산정하는 방법론은 지상관측 강수량과 정량적인 편의 오차(systematic error)를 발생시킬 수 있는 문제점이 있다. 본 연구는 장기간의 레이더 합성장 반사도를 활용하여 Z-R 관계식 매개변수를 산정하였으며, 이 과정에서 Bayesian 추론 기법을 도입하여 Z-R 관계식 매개변수의 불확실성을 정량화하였다. 추가적으로 편의 오차를 최소화하기 위하여 계절성을 고려한 Z-R 관계식을 산정하였다. 건기와 우기로 구분하여 산정된 Z-R 관계식 매개변수의 공간적으로 변동성과 더불어 강수의 계절적 특성에 기인하는 Z-R 관계식 매개변수의 역비례 관계를 확인하였다. 최종적으로, 제안된 방법론으로 산정된 레이더 강수장은 일반적으로 레이더 강수량 산정에 널리 이용되는 Marshall-Palmer Z-R 관계식으로 산정된 강수장에 비하여 우수한 통계지표를 제시하였다.

  • PDF