• 수산해양기술연구
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• 제49권1호
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• pp.18-28
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• 2013

It was compared the estimated parameters by the surplus production from three different models, i.e., three types (Schaefer, Gulland, and Schnute) of the traditional surplus production models, a stock production model incorporating covariates (ASPIC) model and a maximum entropy (ME) model. We also evaluated the performance of models in the estimation of their parameters. The maximum sustainable yield (MSY) of small yellow croaker (Pseudosciaena polyactis) in Korean waters ranged from 35,061 metric tons (mt) by Gulland model to 44,844mt by ME model, and fishing effort at MSY ($f_{MSY}$) ranged from 262,188hauls by Schnute model to 355,200hauls by ME model. The lowest root mean square error (RMSE) for small yellow croaker was obtained from the Gulland surplus production model, while the highest RMSE was from Schnute model. However, the highest coefficient of determination ($R^2$) was from the ME model, but the ASPIC model yielded the lowest coefficient. On the other hand, the MSY of Kapenta (Limnothrissa miodon) ranged from 16,880 mt by ASPIC model to 25,373mt by ME model, and $f_{MSY}$, from 94,580hauls by ASPIC model to 225,490hauls by Schnute model. In this case, both the lowest root mean square error (RMSE) and the highest coefficient of determination ($R^2$) were obtained from the ME model, which showed relatively better fits of data to the model, indicating that the ME model is statistically more stable and robust than other models. Moreover, the ME model could provide additional ecologically useful parameters such as, biomass at MSY ($B_{MSY}$), carrying capacity of the population (K), catchability coefficient (q) and the intrinsic rate of population growth (r).

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• 제14권6호
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• pp.747-753
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• 2001

In this study, the Italian milk recorded buffalo population from 1974 to 1996 was analysed with the purpose to estimate genetic and environmental variability and provide genetic parameters for the most important economic traits. High variability between herds was evident due to the poor knowledge of feeding requirements and husbandry technology in this species compared to cattle. Age at first calving was reduced by 57 days during the considered years following efforts made in better feeding and management from 1990; on the contrary, calving interval has increased by 17 days as a consequence of forcing buffaloes to calve in spring, in order to have the peak milk yield when milk is much better paid. Average milk yield increased by 1853 kg during these years, while lactation duration was reduced by 30 days. Season of calving has no effect on all traits. Calving order has a positive effect on milk yield especially because older cows produce more milk in shorter lactations. Heritability for the age at first calving and calving interval was 0.26 and 0.05 respectively. Heritability of productive traits, milk yield and duration of the lactation was 0.19 and 0.13 respectively, with repeatabilities of 0.40 and 0.26. Genetic trend for milk yield was 2.1 kg milk/year for the bulls and 1 kg for all population. The high genetic variability of milk production as well as duration of the lactation, indicates that there are good opportunities for genetic improvement when including these traits in a selection scheme. The low genetic trend registered over 15 years of recording activity can be explained by the fact that neither progeny testing was performed or selection schemes were implemented, due to the difficulties to use artificial insemination in buffalo.

• 대한원격탐사학회지
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• 제33권5_2호
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• pp.721-732
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• 2017

벼 등 식량작물 작황 추정의 경제, 산업적 중요성이 증가함에 따라 생물리 모형과 원격탐사 기반의 위성자료를 활용한 작황 추정 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 이 연구에서는 위성 기반의 전천후 기상 입력자료(i.e. 기온, 대기 수증기압 포차, 일사량)와 빛 이용효율 모형을 이용한 생물리적 작물 성장 알고리즘을 벼에 적용하여 벼의 수확량을 수확 시기 보다 이르게(9월 중순 경) 추정하는 것을 목적으로 하였다. 2003년부터 2014년까지 12년간 경상권을 제외한 국내의 군 단위 행정구역별 벼 수확량을 추정하고, 이를 통계청에서 제공하는 현미 생산량 통계와 비교, 평가하였다. 벼 건중량, 수확지수 그리고 수확량 추정 결과는 각각 지도로 작성하여 공간적 분포 양상을 분석하였다. 연도별 전국 평균 추정 건중량은 평균오차(ME)가 0.56%, 평균절대오차(MAE)가 5.73%로 유의미한 결과를 보였다. 연도별 군 단위 건중량은 ME가 0.10%에서 2.00%, MAE가 2.10에서 11.62%의 범위를 보였다. 추정된 건중량은 강원지역에서 상대적으로 과대 모의하고, 충청 이남의 도심과 서해 인근지역에서 과소 모의하는 경향을 보였다. 건중량과 유관한 통계청 자료(i.e. 볏짚 생산량)와는 상반된 변동 양상을 보였는데, 이는 입력자료의 해상도(1 km)로 인한 픽셀 내 토지피복 이질성으로 인한 오차로 사료된다. 또한 생육기간 이후 수확시기의 생육상황을 고려하지 못하는 점을 향후 연구에서 개선할 필요가 있다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제6권1호
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• pp.1-11
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• 1995

승법모형식 $Y_{1}={\alpha}_{0}{\prod}^{p}_{k=1}X_{kj}^{{\beta}_K}v_{j}$의 모수는 일반적으로 대수변환한 후에 최소제곱법에 의하여 추정되나 $E(e xp({\beta}_{0})){\neq}{\alpha}_{0})$ 이므로 $e xp({\beta}_{0})$은 ${\alpha}_{0}$의 편의추정량이다. 본 연구에서는 ${\alpha}_{0}$의 불편추정량을 (1) 최소제곱추정량을 수정하는 방법과(2) Finney의 결과를 이용하는 방법으로 추정하였고, 이들 추정량의 분산을 비교하여 효율성을 검토하였다. 아울러 벼의 수량과 수량구성요소와의 관계를 설명할 때 승법모형의 이용 가능성을 검토하였다.

• 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국콘크리트학회 1998년도 가을 학술발표논문집(II)
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• pp.456-461
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• 1998

This paper presents the results from a combination of strut-and-tie model and analytical study that investigated the ultimate strength of wall system with frame supports. Strut-and-tie models show reasonable force flows and upper bound solution is compared to the results from FEM analysis. The results shows that two main parameters - transfer girder depth and column width - yield good estimation of the ultimate strength of the system. Vertical and horizontal reinforcements of the transfer girder add few strength to the whole system. The proposed design strength formula shows good agreement with the results from FEM analysis.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• 제29권6호
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• pp.759-767
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• 2016

The aim of this study was to compare two random regression models (RRM) fitted by fourth ($RRM_4$) and fifth-order Legendre polynomials ($RRM_5$) with a lactation model (LM) for evaluating Holstein cattle in Brazil. Two datasets with the same animals were prepared for this study. To apply test-day RRM and LMs, 262,426 test day records and 30,228 lactation records covering 305 days were prepared, respectively. The lowest values of Akaike's information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, and estimates of the maximum of the likelihood function (-2LogL) were for $RRM_4$. Heritability for 305-day milk yield (305MY) was 0.23 ($RRM_4$), 0.24 ($RRM_5$), and 0.21 (LM). Heritability, additive genetic and permanent environmental variances of test days on days in milk was from 0.16 to 0.27, from 3.76 to 6.88 and from 11.12 to 20.21, respectively. Additive genetic correlations between test days ranged from 0.20 to 0.99. Permanent environmental correlations between test days were between 0.07 and 0.99. Standard deviations of average estimated breeding values (EBVs) for 305MY from $RRM_4$ and $RRM_5$ were from 11% to 30% higher for bulls and around 28% higher for cows than that in LM. Rank correlations between RRM EBVs and LM EBVs were between 0.86 to 0.96 for bulls and 0.80 to 0.87 for cows. Average percentage of gain in reliability of EBVs for 305-day yield increased from 4% to 17% for bulls and from 23% to 24% for cows when reliability of EBVs from RRM models was compared to those from LM model. Random regression model fitted by fourth order Legendre polynomials is recommended for genetic evaluations of Brazilian Holstein cattle because of the higher reliability in the estimation of breeding values.

• 한국지리정보학회지
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.133-149
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• 2022

벼 수량 추정에 대한 기존의 국내 연구는 주로 저해상도인 MODIS 위성영상을 사용하여 우리나라 전역을 대상으로 시군 단위에서 수행되었다. 기존 연구와 달리, 본 연구는 전북 김제시를 사례로 중해상도인 Sentinel-2 위성영상과 강우 및 토양자료를 활용하여 읍면동 단위에서 벼 수량을 추정하고 그 정확성을 평가하였다. 전북 김제시를 대상으로 2018년 8월 1일에 촬영된 Sentinel-2 영상으로부터 산출된 NDVI, LAI, EVI2, MCARI1, MCARI2의 다섯 가지 식생지수와 강우량 및 논 토양 유형 자료를 읍면동별로 집계하고 종속변수의 비정규성 문제를 해결하기 위해 다중회귀분석을 확장한 감마 일반화 선형모형으로 벼 수량을 추정하였다. 벼 수량 추정 모형에서 EVI2, 9월 강우일수, 염해답 비율이 유의한 독립변수로 선정되었다. 모형의 적합도를 나타내는 결정계수는 0.68이었고, 모형의 정확성을 나타내는 RMSE는 62.29kg/10a였다. 이 모형으로 2018년 김제시 전역의 쌀 생산량을 추정한 결과는 96,914.6M/T으로 통계연보의 94,470.3M/T과 비교해 0.46%의 오차를 보여 매우 근접한 결과가 도출되었다. 또한, 김제시의 단위면적당 쌀 생산량은 552kg/10a로 도출되어 통계자료의 550kg/10a와 거의 일치하였다. 이러한 결과는 기존 연구들과 유사한 결과로 국내에서 시군 이하 단위에서 Sentinel-2 위성영상을 활용하여 벼 수량을 추정하는 것이 가능하다는 것을 입증하였다.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 2000년도 제15차 학술회의논문집
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• pp.451-451
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• 2000

This study aims for the optimization of process conditions in a fixed-bed catalytic reactor system with a circulating molten salt bath, in which partial oxidation of propylene to acrolein takes place. Two-dimensional pseudo-homogeneous model is adopted with estimation of suitable parameters and its validity is corroborated by comparing simulation result with experimental data. The temperature of the molten salt and the feed composition are found to exercise significant influence on the yield of acrolein and the magnitude of hot spot. The temperature of the molten salt is usually kept constant. This study, however, suggests that the temperature of the molten salt must be axially adjusted so that the abrupt peak of hot spot should not appear near the reactor entrance. The yield of acrolein is maximized and the position and the magnitude of hot spot are optimized by the method of the iterative dynamic programming (IDP).

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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• pp.368-368
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• 2022

The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) has been widely used to simulate the long-term hydrological conditions of a catchment. Two output variables, outflow and sediment yield have been widely investigated in the field of water resources management, especially in determining the conditions of ungauged subbasins. The presence of missing data in weather input data can cause poor representation of the climate conditions in a catchment especially for large or mountainous catchments. Therefore, in this study, a custom module was developed and evaluated to determine the efficiency of utilizing basic spatial interpolation methods in the estimation of weather input data. The module has been written in Python language and can be considered as a pre-processing module prior to using the SWAT model. The results of this study suggests that the utilization of the proposed pre-processing module can improve the simulation results for both outflow and sediment yield in a catchment, even in the presence of missing data.

• 대한원격탐사학회지
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• 제32권4호
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• pp.383-401
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• 2016

In this paper, we described the statistical modeling of crop yields using satellite images, climatic datasets, soil property maps, and fertilizer data for the Midwestern United States during 2001-2012. Satellite images were obtained from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), and climatic datasets were provided by the Parameter-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model (PRISM) Climate Group. Soil property maps were derived from the Harmonized World Soil Database (HWSD). Our multivariate regression models produced quite good prediction accuracies, with differences of approximately 8-15% from the governmental statistics of corn and soybean yields. The unfavorable conditions of climate and vegetation in 2012 could have resulted in a decrease in yields according to the regression models, but the actual yields were greater than predicted. It can be interpreted that factors other than climate, vegetation, soil, and fertilizer may be involved in the negative biases. Also, we found that soybean yield was more affected by minimum temperature conditions while corn yield was more associated with photosynthetic activities. These two crops can have different potential impacts regarding climate change, and it is important to quantify the degree of the crop sensitivities to climatic variations to help adaptation by humans. Considering the yield decreases during the drought event, we can assume that climatic effect may be stronger than human adaptive capacity. Thus, further studies are demanded particularly by enhancing the data regarding human activities such as tillage, fertilization, irrigation, and comprehensive agricultural technologies.