• Title/Summary/Keyword: Yield Prediction

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Regionality and Variability of Net Primary Productivity and Rice Yield in Korea (우리 나라의 순1차생산력 및 벼 수량의 지역성과 변이성)

  • JUNG YEONG-SANG;BANG JUNG-HO;HAYASHI YOSEI
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 1999
  • Rice yield and primary productivity (NPP) are dependent upon the variability of climate and soil. The variability and regionality of the rice yield and net primary productivity were evaluated with the meteorological data collected from Korea Meteorology Administration and the actual rice yield data from the Ministration of Agriculture and Forestry, Korea. The estimated NPP using the three models, dependent upon temperature(NPP-T), precipitation(NPP-P) and net radiation(NPP-R), ranged from 10.87 to 17.52 Mg ha$^{-1}$ with average of 14.69 Mg ha$^{-1}$ in the South Korea and was ranged 6.47 to 15.58 Mg ha$^{-1}$ with average of 12.59 Mg ha$^{-1}$ in the North Korea. The primary limiting factor of NPP in Korea was net radiation, and the secondary limiting factor was temperature. Spectral analysis on the long term change in air temperature in July and August showed periodicity. The short periodicity was 3 to 7 years and the long periodicity was 15 to 43 years. The coefficient of variances, CV, of the rice yield from 1989 to 1998 ranged 3.23 percents to 12.37 percents which were lower than past decades. The CV's in Kangwon and Kyeongbuk were high while that in Chonbuk was the lowest. The prediction model based on th e yield index and yield response to temperature obtain ed from the field crop situation showed reasonable results and thus the spatial distributions of rice yield and predicted yield could be expressed in the maps. The predicted yields was well fitted with the actual yield except Kyungbuk. For better prediction, modification should be made considering radiation factor in further development.

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Modelling Growth and Yield for Intensively Managed Forests

  • Burkhart, Harold E.
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 2008
  • Growth and yield prediction methods, ranging from whole-stand models to individual-tree models, have been developed for forest types managed for wood production. The resultant models are used for a host of purposes including inventory updating, management planning, evaluation of silvicultural alternatives, and harvest scheduling. Because of the large investment in developing growth and yield models for improved genotypes and silvicultural practices for loblolly pine (Pinus taeda) in the Southern United States, this region serves to illustrate approaches for modelling intensively managed forests. Analytical methods and computing power generally do not restrict development of reliable growth and yield models. However, long-term empirical observations on stand development, which are time consuming and expensive to obtain, often limit modelling efforts. Given that growth and yield models are used to project present volumes and to evaluate alternative treatment effects, data of both the inventory type and the experimental type are needed. Data for developing stand simulators for loblolly pine plantations have been obtained from a combination of permanent plots in operational forest stands and silvicultural experiments; these data collection efforts are described and summarized. Modelling is essential for integrating and synthesizing diverse information, identifying knowledge gaps, and making informed decisions. The questions being posed today are more complex than in the past, thus further accentuating the need for comprehensive models for stand development.

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Machine Learning Approaches to Corn Yield Estimation Using Satellite Images and Climate Data: A Case of Iowa State

  • Kim, Nari;Lee, Yang-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.383-390
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    • 2016
  • Remote sensing data has been widely used in the estimation of crop yields by employing statistical methods such as regression model. Machine learning, which is an efficient empirical method for classification and prediction, is another approach to crop yield estimation. This paper described the corn yield estimation in Iowa State using four machine learning approaches such as SVM (Support Vector Machine), RF (Random Forest), ERT (Extremely Randomized Trees) and DL (Deep Learning). Also, comparisons of the validation statistics among them were presented. To examine the seasonal sensitivities of the corn yields, three period groups were set up: (1) MJJAS (May to September), (2) JA (July and August) and (3) OC (optimal combination of month). In overall, the DL method showed the highest accuracies in terms of the correlation coefficient for the three period groups. The accuracies were relatively favorable in the OC group, which indicates the optimal combination of month can be significant in statistical modeling of crop yields. The differences between our predictions and USDA (United States Department of Agriculture) statistics were about 6-8 %, which shows the machine learning approaches can be a viable option for crop yield modeling. In particular, the DL showed more stable results by overcoming the overfitting problem of generic machine learning methods.

A Nonlinear Structural Analysis for a Composite Structure Composed of Spent Nuclear Fuel Disposal Canister and Bentonite Buffer: Symmetric Rock Movement (고준위폐기물 처분용기와 벤토나이트 버퍼로 이루어진 복합구조물에 대한 비선형 구조해석: 대칭 암반 전단력)

  • 권영주;최석호;최종원
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.369-376
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, a nonlinear structural analysis for the composite structure composed of the spent nuclear fuel disposal canister and the 50㎝ thick bentonite buffer is carried out to predict the collapse of the canister while the horizontal symmetric sudden rock movement of 10㎝ is applied on the composite structure. This sudden rock movement is anticipated by the earthquake etc. at a deep underground. Elastoplastic material model is adopted. Drucket-Prager yield criterion is used for the material yield prediction of the bentonite buffer and von-Mises yield criterion is used for the material yield prediction of the canister(cast iron, copper). Analysis results show that even though very large deformations occur beyond the yield point in the bentonite buffet, the canister structure still endures elastic small strains and stresses below the yield strength. Hence, the 50㎝ thick bentonite buffet can protect the canister safely against the 10㎝ sudden rock movement by earthquake etc.. Analysis results also show that bending deformations occur in the canister structure due to the shear deformation of the bentonite buffer.

Sediment Yield by Instantaneous Unit Sediment Graph

  • Lee, Yeong-Hwa
    • Environmental Sciences Bulletin of The Korean Environmental Sciences Society
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 1998
  • An instantaneous unit sediment graph (IUSG) model is investigated for prediction of sediment yield from an upland watershed in Northwestern Mississippi. Sediment yields are predicted by convolving source runoff with an IUSG. The IUSG is the distribution of sediment from an instantaneous burst of rainfall producing one unit of runoff. The IUSG, defined as a product of the sediment concentration distribution (SCD) and the instantaneous unit hydrograph (IUH), is known to depend on the characteristics of the effective rainfall. The IUH is derived by the Nash model for each event. The SCD is assumed to be an exponential function for each event and its parameters were correlated with the effective rainfall characteristics. A sediment routing function, based on travel time and sediment particle size, is used to predict the SCD.

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The Study of the Wind Resource and Energy Yield Assessment for the Wind Park Development (풍력자원해석 및 에너지예측을 통한 풍력발전단지 설계 연구)

  • Byun, Hyo-In;Ryu, Ji-Yune;Kim, Doo-Hoon
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.1 no.2 s.2
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2005
  • This study explains ther procedure that should be taken to develp a successful wind park project. It provides a guideline for the activities and studies to be done as a step by step solution. This study follows a chronological flow throughout the whole development Process. This Paper covers technical consideration, assessment of wind energy resource, wind Park siting and energy yield calculation This presented knowledge h3s been mostly gained by the experience from Youngduk wind park project. The further comparison study will be performed between the theoretical prediction and the actual yield of the Youngduk wind park.

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Development of stamping analysis process for formability prediction of aluminum alloy sheets (알루미늄판재 성형성 예측을 위한 평면이방성 해석기술개발)

  • Kim, Y.G.;Chung, W.J.;Kim, S.T.;Moon, M.S.;Yoon, J.W.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.304-307
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    • 2006
  • A plane stress yield function YLD2000(Yoon et al., 2000) is applied to the finite element analysis S/W Z-Stamp because it is required to conduct proper consideration of aluminum alloy which has anomalous behavior. In the previous study, verification of the yield function and developed S/W is implemented. In this paper, two real parts of automobile body are additionally considered to verify the validity of Z-Stamp. The one is the benchmark problem #2 of Numisheet 2005 and the other is a small member part. In case of benchmark problem, formability simulation result and try-out result are compared with each other. In case of the small member part, formability analysis is implemented to predict the problem during the developing time.

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Prediction of Drawbead Restraining Force by Hybrid Membrane/Bending Method (하이브리드 박막/굽힘 방법을 이용한 드로비드력의 예측)

  • Lee, M.G.;Chung, K.;Wagoner, R.H.;Keum, Y.T.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.15 no.8 s.89
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    • pp.533-538
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    • 2006
  • A simplified numerical procedure to predict drawbead restraining forces(DBRF) has been developed based on the hybrid membrane/bending method which superposes bending effects onto membrane solutions. As a semi-analytical method, the new approach is especially useful to analyze the effects of various constitutive parameters. The present model can accommodate general anisotropic yield functions along with non-linear isotropic-kinematic hardening under the plane strain condition. For the preliminary results, several sensitivity analyses for the process and material effects such as friction, drawbead depth, hardening behavior including the Bauschinger effect and yield surface shapes on the DBRF are carried out.

Springback Prediction of Friction Stir Welded DP590 Steel Sheet Considering Permanent Softening Behavior (영구연화거동을 고려한 마찰교반용접(FSW)된 DP590 강판의 탄성복원 예측)

  • Kim, J.;Lee, W.;Chung, K.H.;Park, T.;Kim, D.G.;Kim, Chong-Min;Kim, D.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.329-335
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    • 2009
  • In order to better predict the springback for friction stir welded DP590 steel sheet, the combined isotropic-kinematic hardening was formulated with considering the permanent softening behavior during reverse loading. As for yield function, the non-quadratic anisotropic yield function, Yld2000-2d, was used under plane stress condition. For the verification purposes, comparisons of simulation and experiments were performed here for the unconstrained cylindrical bending, the 2-D draw bending tests. For two applications, simulations showed good agreements with experiments.

Time-Dependent Spring-back Prediction of Aluminum Alloy 6022-T4 Sheets Using Time-Dependent Constitutive law (시간 의존성 구성방정식을 이용한 AA6022-T4 판재의 탄성 복원 예측)

  • Park, T.;Ryou, H.;Lee, M.G.;Chung, K.H.;Wagoners, R.H.;Chung, K.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.494-499
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    • 2009
  • The time-dependent constitutive law was utilized based on viscoelastic-plasticity to predict the time-dependent spring-back behavior of aluminum alloy 6022-T4 sheets. Besides nonlinear viscoelasticity, non-quadratic anisotropic yield function, Yld2000-2d, was used to account for the anisotropic yield behavior, while the combined isotropic-kinematic hardening law was used to represent the Bauschinger effect and transient hardening. For verification purposes, finite element simulations were performed for the draw-bending and the results were compared with experimental results.