• Title/Summary/Keyword: Winter Precipitation

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Climate Change Concerns in Mongolia

  • Dagvadorj, D.;Gomboluudev, P.;Natsagdorj, L.
    • The Korean Journal of Quaternary Research
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2003
  • Climate of Mongolia is a driven force on natural conditions as well as socio-economic development of the country. Due to the precariousness of climate conditions and traditional economic structure, natural disasters, specially disasters of meteorological and hydrological origin, have substantial effect upon the natural resources and socio-economic sectors of Mongolia. Mongolia's climate is characterized by high variability of weather parameters, and high frequency and magnitude of extreme climate and weather events. During the last few decades, climate of the country is changing significantly under the global warning. The annual mean air temperature for the whole territory of the country has increased by $1.56^{\circ}C$ during the last 60 years,. The winter temperature has increased by $1.56^{\circ}C$. These changes in temperature are spatially variable: winter warming is more pronounced in the high mountains and wide valleys between the mountains, and less so in the steppe and Gobi regions. There is a slight trend of increased precipitation during the last 60 years. The average precipitation rate is increased during 1940-1998 by 6%. This trend is not seasonally consistent: while summer precipitation increased by 11 %, spring precipitation decreased by 17. The climate change studies in Mongolia show that climate change will have a significant impact on natural resources such as water resources, natural rangeland, land use, snow cover, permafrost as well as major economic activities of arable farming, livestock, and society (i.e. human health, living standards, etc.) of Mongolia. Therefore, in new century, sustainable development of the country is defined by mitigating and adaptation policies of climate change. The objective of the presentation is to contribute one's idea in the how to reflect the changes in climate system and weather extreme events in the country's sustainable development concept.

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El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Indian Ocean Dipole Mode, a Relationship between the Two Phenomena, and Their Impact on the Climate over the Korean Peninsula (엘니뇨-남방진동, 인도양 쌍극자 모드, 두 현상의 관련성, 그리고 한반도 기후에 대한 영향)

  • Cha, Eun-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.35-44
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    • 2007
  • This paper investigated the relationship between El $Ni\widetilde{n}o-Southern$ Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) mode events and the impacts of these two phenomena on the climate, temperature and precipitation, of the Korean Peninsula. Data gathered from 1954 to 2004 were used for analysis, which included NINO 3 index, IOD index, and monthly mean precipitation and temperature at eleven locations in Korea. Statistical results showed that the IOD and ENSO were significantly correlated in Spring and Fall. It was clearly shown that the distribution of the sea surface temperature in the Indian Ocean has seen the Southern and Northern Oscillation in El $Ni\widetilde{n}o$ year, and Eastern and Western in IOD year. On the other hand, in El $Ni\widetilde{n}o$ you, the mean temperature of the Korea Peninsula was lower than normal in Summer and higher in Winter and its precipitation was more than normal in both Summer and Winter. However, significant correlation was not found in IOD year. In addition, the global atmospheric circulations during the major IOD years are less influential, unlike those of El $Ni\widetilde{n}o$ events.

Evaluation of Performance and Uncertainty for Multi-RCM over CORDEX-East Asia Phase 2 region (CORDEX-동아시아 2단계 영역에 대한 다중 RCM의 모의성능 및 불확실성 평가)

  • Kim, Jin-Uk;Kim, Tae-Jun;Kim, Do-Hyun;Kim, Jin-Won;Cha, Dong-Hyun;Min, Seung-Ki;Kim, Yeon-Hee
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.361-376
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    • 2020
  • This study evaluates multiple Regional Climate Models (RCMs) in simulating temperature and precipitation over the Far East Asia (FEA) and estimates the portions of the total uncertainty originating in the RCMs and the driving Global Climate Models (GCMs) using nine present-day (1981~2000) climate data obtained from combinations of three GCMs and three RCMs in the CORDEX-EA phase2. Downscaling using the RCMs generally improves the present temperature and precipitation simulated in the GCMs. The mean temperature climate in the RCM simulations is similar to that in the GCMs; however, RCMs yield notably better spatial variability than the GCMs. In particular, the RCMs generally yield positive added values to the variability of the summer temperature and the winter precipitation. Evaluating the uncertainties by the GCMs (VARGCM) and the RCMs (VARRCM) on the basis of two-way ANOVA shows that VARRCM is greater than VARGCM in contrast to previous studies which showed VARGCM is larger. In particular, in the winter temperature, the ocean has a very large VARRCM of up to 30%. Precipitation shows that VARRCM is greater than VARGCM in all seasons, but the difference is insignificant. In the following study, we will analyze how the uncertainty of the climate model in the present-day period affects future climate change prospects.

Characteristics of Precipitation over the East Coast of Korea Based on the Special Observation during the Winter Season of 2012 (2012년 특별관측 자료를 이용한 동해안 겨울철 강수 특성 분석)

  • Jung, Sueng-Pil;Lim, Yun-Kyu;Kim, Ki-Hoon;Han, Sang-Ok;Kwon, Tae-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2014
  • The special observation using Radiosonde was performed to investigate precipitation events over the east coast of Korea during the winter season from 5 January to 29 February 2012. This analysis focused on the various indices to describe the characteristics of the atmospheric instability. Equivalent Potential Temperature (EPT) from surface (1000 hPa) to middle level (near 750 hPa) was increased when the precipitation occurred and these levels (1000~750 hPa) had moisture enough to cause the instability of atmosphere. The temporal evolution of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) appeared to be enhanced when the precipitation fell. Similar behavior was also observed for the temporal evolution of Storm Relative Helicity (SRH), indicating that it had a higher value during the precipitation events. To understand a detailed structure of atmospheric condition for the formation of precipitation, the surface remote sensing data and Automatic Weather System (AWS) data were analyzed. We calculated the Total Precipitable Water FLUX (TPWFLUX) using TPW and wind vector. TPWFLUX and precipitation amount showed a statistically significant relationship in the north easterly winds. The result suggested that understanding of the dynamical processes such as wind direction be important to comprehend precipitation phenomenon in the east coast of Korea.

Effects of Continental Evaporation for Precipitation Over East Asia in the Past and the Future of HadGEM2-AO Climate Model (HadGEM2-AO 기후모델에 따른 과거와 미래의 동아시아 강수량에 대한 육지 증발량의 영향)

  • Kim, Jin-Uk;Lee, Johan;Boo, Kyung-On;Shim, Sungbo;Kim, Jee-Eun;Byun, Young-Hwa
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.553-563
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    • 2016
  • Land evaporation contribution to precipitation over East Asia is studied to understand terrestrial moisture source of continental precipitation. Moisture recycling of precipitation relying on terrestrial evaporation is estimated based on the analysis method of Van der Ent et al. (2010). We utilize HadGEM2-AO simulations for the period of 1970~1999 and 2070~2099 from RCP8.5. Globally, 46% of terrestrial precipitation is depending from continental evaporation. 58% of terrestrial evaporation returns as continental precipitation. Over East Asia, precipitation has been affected by local evaporation and transported moisture. The advection of upwind continental evaporation results from the prevailing westerlies from the midwestern of Eurasian continent. For the present-day period, about 66% of the precipitation over the land of East Asia originates from land evaporation. Regionally, the ratios change and the ratios of precipitation terrestrial origin over the Northern inland and Southern coast of East Asia are 82% and 48%, respectively. Seasonally, the continental moisture recycling ratio is larger during summer (JJA) than winter (DJF). According to RCP8.5, moisture recycling ratio is expected to change. At the end of the 21st century, the impact of continental moisture sources for precipitation over East Asia is projected to be reduced by about 5% compared to at the end of 20th century. To understand the future changes, moisture residence time change is investigated using depletion and replenishment time.

The Regional Characteristics of Daily Precipitation Intensity in Korea for Recent 30 Years (최근 30년간 한반도 일 강수강도의 지역적 특성)

  • Kim Eun-Hee;Kim Maeng-Ki;Lee Woo-Seop
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.404-416
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    • 2005
  • The seasonal and regional distribution of precipitation in Korea, terms of the amount of precipitation per day, number of days, and intensity was analyzed using precipitation data from 1971 to 2000. The significance level of the linear trend of these data was also investigated using the analysis of variance of each variable. The amount of precipitation per day less than 80 mm per day appeared in the Honam area which also shows a large number of precipitation day value during the fall and winter. However, the lowest amuont of precipitation per day was shown in the Youngnam area. The positive trend of the annual precipitation amount has also been detected in all stations except for a few station in Honam, and the positive trend of precipitation intensity is statistically significant in most of the stations at the Chungcheong and Gyeonggi area. The linear trend of precipitation intensity in these area is found to be significant at the $5\%$ level.

The Distribution of Precipitation in Donghae-Shi (동해시의 강수 분포 특성)

  • 이장렬
    • The Korean Journal of Quaternary Research
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.45-52
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    • 1999
  • This study examined the spatial distribution of precipitation in Donghae-Shi. The daily, monthly precipitaion on the 2 stations, 3 AWS(Automatic Weather Station) were analyzed by altitudinal distribution, the air pressure type and days of daily precipitation. The results of the study are as follows. 1 Hour greatest precipitation is 62.4mm(1994. 10. 12), Daily greatest precipitation, 200mm(1994. 10. 12), Monthly greatest precipitation, 355.5mm(1994. 10), Maximum depth of snow fall, 35.5cm(1994. 1. 29) in Donghae-Shi, 1993∼1997. Altitudinal distribution of precipitation in Summer tends to have more precipitation at higher altitude, in Winter, high mountains and coast have more precipitation than other sites do. The heavy rainfall in Donghae-Shi is mainly formed by a Typhoon, next is Jangma front. The number of consecutive days of daily precipitation $\geq$20mm is 81days, 44days of those appeared in Summer season. The synoptic environment causes the difference in observed the heavy snowfall amount between high mountains and coast.

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Vertical Atmospheric Structure and Sensitivity Experiments of Precipitation Events Using Winter Intensive Observation Data in 2012 (2012년 겨울철 특별관측자료를 이용한 강수현상 시 대기 연직구조와 민감도 실험)

  • Lee, Sang-Min;Sim, Jae-Kwan;Hwang, Yoon-Jeong;Kim, Yeon-Hee;Ha, Jong-Chul;Lee, Yong-Hee;Chung, Kwan-Young
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.187-204
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    • 2013
  • This study analyzed the synoptic distribution and vertical structure about four cases of precipitation occurrences using NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and upper level data of winter intensive observation to be performed by National Institute of Meteorological Research at Bukgangneung, Incheon, Boseong during 63days from 4 JAN to 6 MAR in 2012, and Observing System Experiment (OSE) using 3DVAR-WRF system was conducted to examine the precipitation predictability of upper level data at western and southern coastal regions. The synoptic characteristics of selected precipitation occurrences were investigated as causes for 1) rainfall events with effect of moisture convergence owing to low pressure passing through south sea on 19 JAN, 2) snowfall events due to moisture inflowing from yellow sea with propagation of Siberian high pressure after low pressure passage over middle northern region on 31 JAN, 3) rainfall event with effect of weak pressure trough in west low and east high pressure system on 25 FEB, 4) rainfall event due to moisture inflow according to low pressures over Bohai bay and south eastern sea on 5 MAR. However, it is identified that vertical structure of atmosphere had different characteristics with heavy rainfall system in summer. Firstly, depth of convection was narrow due to absence of moisture convergence and strong ascending air current in middle layer. Secondly, warm air advection by veering wind with height only existed in low layer. Thirdly, unstable layer was limited in the narrow depth due to low surface temperature although it formed, and also values of instability indices were not high. Fourthly, total water vapor amounts containing into atmosphere was small due to low temperature distribution so that precipitable water vapor could be little amounts. As result of OSE conducting with upper level data of Incheon and Boseong station, 12 hours accumulated precipitation distributions of control experiment and experiments with additional upper level data were similar with ones of observation data at 610 stations. Although Equitable Threat Scores (ETS) were different according to cases and thresholds, it was verified positive influence of upper level data for precipitation predictability as resulting with high improvement rates of 33.3% in experiment with upper level data of Incheon (INC_EXP), 85.7% in experiment with upper level data of Boseong (BOS_EXP), and 142.9% in experiment with upper level data of both Incheon and Boseong (INC_BOS_EXP) about accumulated precipitation more than 5 mm / 12 hours on 31 January 2012.

The Distributions of Liquid Water Content(LWC) and the Potential Enhancement of Precipitation over Andong Area observed from Microwave Radiometer (Microwave radiometer를 이용한 안동지역의 수액량 및 증우가능량 추정)

  • 정관영;김효경;이선기;정영선
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.165-174
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    • 1998
  • The observation of liquid water content(LWC) and the estimation of precipitation enhancement by cloud seeding were made over the Andong in Korea from March 1997 through Feb 1998. A dual-channel microwave radiometer was used to measure the liquid water content and water vapor. It was shown that the 90% of observational period had the amount of less than 0.1 mm in LWC, and that the amount of precipitation was proportionally increased to liquid water content. The amount of LWC has maximum in summer and minimum in winter. The content of liquid cloud water was showed higher value from the time of 12 to the time of 17 except for summer season in which it extremely fluctuated with a large precipitation. The majority of liquid water content over the area occurred with westerly and southwesterly wind which were flowed from the Sobaek mountain. The ratio of horizontal LWC flux and vertical precipitation flux, $P_{en}$ is almost ranked in the interval of 0.0~0.5 with maximum of 0.5 in spring, 0.2 in summer and fall, and 0.1 in winter. Accordingly, it is estimated that the potential enhancement of precipitation over Andong area by cloud seeding has high value in spring with westerly wind.

Observation-based Analysis of Climate Change using Meteorological Data of Gangneung (기상 관측 자료를 이용한 강릉의 기후변화 추세 분석)

  • Lee, Jaeho;Baek, Hee-Jeong;Hyun, Yu-Kyung;Cho, Chunho
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.133-141
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    • 2011
  • This study is to identify the trend of climate change in Gangwon-do by examining accumulated climate data such as temperature and precipitation in Gangneung city over the past about 100 years. The annual mean temperature and precipitation in Gangneung have increased by $1.4^{\circ}C$ and 14.7%, respectively, over the last 98 years (1912~2009). The trends of Gangneung showed that precipitation has intensified as the number of precipitation days decreased while its amount increased during the period. Based on the temperature data, spring and summer began earlier whereas the onsets of fall and winter were delayed. Summer has become longer and winter shorter by about a month. Averaging observation data from seven weather stations in Gangwon-do, the annual mean temperature and precipitation have increased by $0.8^{\circ}C$ and 21.0% respectively over the last 37 years (1973~2009). By region, Wonju city recorded the biggest increase of $1.6^{\circ}C$ in the annual mean temperature while Sokcho city the smallest increase of $0.4^{\circ}C$. In the annual mean precipitation, Daegwallweong recorded the biggest change of 22.2% and Wonju city the smallest of 12.0%.