• 제목/요약/키워드: Wind speed simulation

검색결과 641건 처리시간 0.024초

Hourly Average Wind Speed Simulation and Forecast Based on ARMA Model in Jeju Island, Korea

  • Do, Duy-Phuong N.;Lee, Yeonchan;Choi, Jaeseok
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • 제11권6호
    • /
    • pp.1548-1555
    • /
    • 2016
  • This paper presents an application of time series analysis in hourly wind speed simulation and forecast in Jeju Island, Korea. Autoregressive - moving average (ARMA) model, which is well in description of random data characteristics, is used to analyze historical wind speed data (from year of 2010 to 2012). The ARMA model requires stationary variables of data is satisfied by power law transformation and standardization. In this study, the autocorrelation analysis, Bayesian information criterion and general least squares algorithm is implemented to identify and estimate parameters of wind speed model. The ARMA (2,1) models, fitted to the wind speed data, simulate reference year and forecast hourly wind speed in Jeju Island.

PSCAD/EMTDC를 이용한 풍력발전시스템의 새로운 시뮬레이션 방법에 관한 연구 (Study on a Noval Simulation Method of Wind Power Generation System Using PSCAD/EMTDC)

  • 한상근;박민원;유인근
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
    • /
    • 제52권6호
    • /
    • pp.307-315
    • /
    • 2003
  • This paper proposes a novel simulation method of WPGS (Wind Power Generation System). The rotation speed control method of turbine under variable wind speed using the pitch control is proposed. Moreover, when wind speed exceeds the cut-out wind speed, the turbine will be stopped by controlling pitch angle to 90$^{\circ}$, otherwise it will be controlled to steady-state operation. For the purpose of effective simulation, the SWRW (Simulation method for WPGS using Real Weather condition) is used for the utility interactive WPGS simulation in this paper, in which those of three topics for the WPGS simulation: user-friendly method, applicability to grid-connection and the utilization of the real weather conditions, are satisfied. It is impossible to consider the real weather conditions in the WPGS simulation using the EMTP type of simulators and PSPICE, etc. External parameter of the real weather conditions is necessary to ensure the simulation accuracy. The simulation of the WPGS using the real weather conditions including components modeling of wind turbine system is achieved by introducing the interface method of a non-linear external parameter and FORTRAN using PSCAD/EMTDC in this paper. The simulation of long-term, short-term, over cut-out and under cut-out wind speeds will be peformed by the proposed simulation method effectively. The efficiency of wind power generator, power converter and flow of energy are analyzed by wind speed of the long-term simulation. The generator output and current supplied into utility can be obtained by the short-term simulation. Finally, transient-state of the WPGS can be analyzed by the simulation results of over cut-out and under cut-out wind speeds, respectively.

Voltage Impacts of a Variable Speed Wind Turbine on Distribution Networks

  • Kim, Seul-Ki;Kim, Eung-Sang
    • KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
    • /
    • 제3A권4호
    • /
    • pp.206-213
    • /
    • 2003
  • The main purpose of this paper is to present a simulation model for assessing the impacts of a variable speed wind turbine (VSWT) on the distribution network and perform a simulation analysis of voltage profiles along the wind turbine installed feeder using the presented model. The modeled wind energy conversion system consists of a fixed pitch wind turbine, a synchronous generator, a rectifier and a voltage source inverter (VSI). Detailed study on the voltage impacts of a variable speed wind turbine is conducted in terms of steady state and dynamic behaviors. Various capacities and different modes of variable speed wind turbines are simulated and investigated. Case studies demonstrate how feeder voltages are influenced by capacity and control modes of wind turbines and changes in wind speed under different network conditions. Modeling and simulation analysis is based on PSCAD/EMTDC a software package.

Prediction of typhoon design wind speed and profile over complex terrain

  • Huang, W.F.;Xu, Y.L.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • 제45권1호
    • /
    • pp.1-18
    • /
    • 2013
  • The typhoon wind characteristics designing for buildings or bridges located in complex terrain and typhoon prone region normally cannot be achieved by the very often few field measurement data, or by physical simulation in wind tunnel. This study proposes a numerical simulation procedure for predicting directional typhoon design wind speeds and profiles for sites over complex terrain by integrating typhoon wind field model, Monte Carlo simulation technique, CFD simulation and artificial neural networks (ANN). The site of Stonecutters Bridge in Hong Kong is chosen as a case study to examine the feasibility of the proposed numerical simulation procedure. Directional typhoon wind fields on the upstream of complex terrain are first generated by using typhoon wind field model together with Monte Carlo simulation method. Then, ANN for predicting directional typhoon wind field at the site are trained using representative directional typhoon wind fields for upstream and these at the site obtained from CFD simulation. Finally, based on the trained ANN model, thousands of directional typhoon wind fields for the site can be generated, and the directional design wind speeds by using extreme wind speed analysis and the directional averaged mean wind profiles can be produced for the site. The case study demonstrated that the proposed procedure is feasible and applicable, and that the effects of complex terrain on design typhoon wind speeds and wind profiles are significant.

가변속 동기형 풍력발전 시스템 모델링 및 운전제어에 대한 연구 (A Study on the modeling and operation control of a variable speed synchronous wind power system)

  • 허현;이재학
    • 한국전자통신학회논문지
    • /
    • 제10권8호
    • /
    • pp.935-944
    • /
    • 2015
  • 본 논문에서는 가변속 풍력발전시스템의 동적 모델링과 운전제어 시뮬레이션을 수행하였다. 풍속모델, 풍력터빈과 PMSG 모델, MPPT 및 피치 운전제어 모델 등을 구현하였다. 그리고 상용화된 5MW급 풍력터빈 데이터들을 참고하여 실제적인 시스템과 유사한 출력계수 및 가상 운전 조건으로 시뮬레이션 하였다. 시뮬레이션 결과 정격속도 12[m/s]까지 최대출력계수를 유지하면서 최대전력추종을 확인하였다. 또한 12[m/s]이상의 고속 풍속에서는 동적으로 피치 각도를 제어하면서, 정격상태의 안정적인 출력을 유지하였다.

Optimization of Wind Louver Angle By CFD Simulation

  • Piao, Gensong;Shon, Donghwa;Kim, Youngwoo;Lee, Jungwon;Choi, Jaepil
    • Architectural research
    • /
    • 제18권4호
    • /
    • pp.137-144
    • /
    • 2016
  • The objective of this study was to determine the optimal angle of a wind louver that would induce the optimal wind speed for indoor. Being controlled to have an optimized angle depending on the direction from which wind is blowing and the wind speed, the wind louver to be installed on the building envelop comes to create indoor comfort through a constant wind speed using the function that reduces the indoor wind speed by changing the angle when the wind speed is not lower than a certain level and makes wind flow into the room to the maximum when the wind direction is adverse to catching the wind or the wind speed is not higher than a certain level. To determine the optimal wind louver angle, a core-centered office building with cross-ventilation problems in the climate of Seoul, Korea, which experiences four distinct seasons, was considered for analysis in this study. A module 1 office space model was used for the CFD simulation to analyze the average indoor wind speed with respect to the outdoor wind speed (varied between 1 and 8 m/s), the wind louver angle, and the outdoor wind direction (varied between $0^{\circ}$ and $180^{\circ}$ in steps of $10^{\circ}$).

수평축 풍력발전시스템의 피치제어 시뮬레이션 (Pitch Control Simulation of Horizontal Wind Power System)

  • 황성준;서영택;오철수
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한전기학회 2000년도 하계학술대회 논문집 B
    • /
    • pp.846-848
    • /
    • 2000
  • In the early development of wind energy, the majority of wind turbines were operated at constant speed. Recently, the number of variable-speed wind turbines adopted pitch control apparatus has increased. This paper deal with a simulation of pitch control of variable-speed wind turbine and the response of pitch angle is traced in a given random wind speed.

  • PDF

Modeling of a Variable Speed Wind Turbine in Dynamic Analysis

  • Kim, Seul-Ki;Kim, Eung-Sang;Jeon, Jin-Hong
    • KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
    • /
    • 제4A권2호
    • /
    • pp.51-57
    • /
    • 2004
  • This paper describes the dynamic performance of a variable speed wind turbine system responding to a wide variety of wind variations. Modeling of the wind generation using power electronics interface is proposed for dynamic simulation analysis. Component models and equations are addressed and their incorporations into a transient analysis program, PSCAD/EMTDC are provided. A wind model of four components is described, which enables observing dynamic behaviors of the wind turbine resulting from wind variations. Controllable power inverter strategies are intended for capturing the maximum power under variable speed operation and maintaining reactive power generation at a pre-determined level for constant power factor control or voltage regulation control. The components and control schemes are modeled by user-defined functions. Simulation case studies provide variable speed wind generator dynamic performance for changes in wind speed

Alternative robust estimation methods for parameters of Gumbel distribution: an application to wind speed data with outliers

  • Aydin, Demet
    • Wind and Structures
    • /
    • 제26권6호
    • /
    • pp.383-395
    • /
    • 2018
  • An accurate determination of wind speed distribution is the basis for an evaluation of the wind energy potential required to design a wind turbine, so it is important to estimate unknown parameters of wind speed distribution. In this paper, Gumbel distribution is used in modelling wind speed data, and alternative robust estimation methods to estimate its parameters are considered. The methodologies used to obtain the estimators of the parameters are least absolute deviation, weighted least absolute deviation, median/MAD and least median of squares. The performances of the estimators are compared with traditional estimation methods (i.e., maximum likelihood and least squares) according to bias, mean square deviation and total mean square deviation criteria using a Monte-Carlo simulation study for the data with and without outliers. The simulation results show that least median of squares and median/MAD estimators are more efficient than others for data with outliers in many cases. However, median/MAD estimator is not consistent for location parameter of Gumbel distribution in all cases. In real data application, it is firstly demonstrated that Gumbel distribution fits the daily mean wind speed data well and is also better one to model the data than Weibull distribution with respect to the root mean square error and coefficient of determination criteria. Next, the wind data modified by outliers is analysed to show the performance of the proposed estimators by using numerical and graphical methods.

The impact of artificial discrete simulation of wind field on vehicle running performance

  • Wu, Mengxue;Li, Yongle;Chen, Ning
    • Wind and Structures
    • /
    • 제20권2호
    • /
    • pp.169-189
    • /
    • 2015
  • To investigate the effects of "sudden change" of wind fluctuations on vehicle running performance, which is caused by the artificial discrete simulation of wind field, a three-dimensional vehicle model is set up with multi-body dynamics theory and the vehicle dynamic responses in crosswind conditions are obtained in time domain. Based on Hilbert Huang Transform, the effects of simulation separations on time-frequency characteristics of wind field are discussed. In addition, the probability density distribution of "sudden change" of wind fluctuations is displayed, addressing the effects of simulation separation, mean wind speed and vehicle speed on the "sudden change" of wind fluctuations. The "sudden change" of vehicle dynamic responses, which is due to the discontinuity of wind fluctuations on moving vehicle, is also analyzed. With Principal Component Analysis, the comprehensive evaluation of vehicle running performance in crosswind conditions at different simulation separations of wind field is investigated. The results demonstrate that the artificial discrete simulation of wind field often causes "sudden change" in the wind fluctuations and the corresponding vehicle dynamic responses are noticeably affected. It provides a theoretical foundation for the choice of a suitable simulation separation of wind field in engineering application.