• Title/Summary/Keyword: Wind Speed Prediction

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A Study on Sensitivity of Heavy Precipitation to Domain Size with a Regional Numerical Weather Prediction Model (지역예측모델 영역 크기에 따른 집중호우 수치모의 민감도 실험)

  • Min, Jae-Sik;Roh, Joon-Woo;Jee, Joon-Bum;Kim, Sangil
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.85-95
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    • 2016
  • In this study, we investigated the variabilities of wind speed of 850 hPa and precipitable water over the East Asia region using the NCEP Final Analysis data from December 2001 to November 2011. A large variance of wind speed was observed in northern and eastern China during the winter period. During summer, the regions of the East China Sea, the South Sea of Japan and the East Sea show large variances in the wind speed caused by an extended North Pacific High and typhoon activities. The large variances in the wind speed in the regions are shown to be correlated with the inter-annual variability of precipitable water over the inland region of windward side of the Korean Peninsula. Based on the investigation, sensitivity tests to the domain size were performed using the WRF model version 3.6 for heavy precipitation events over the Korean Peninsula for 26 and 27 July 2011. Numerical experiments of different domain sizes were set up with 5 km horizontal and 50 levels vertical resolutions for the control and the first experimental run, and 9 km horizontal for the second experimental run. We found that the major rainfalls correspond to shortwave troughs with baroclinic structure over Northeast China and extended North Pacific High. The correlation analysis between the observation and experiments for 1-h precipitation indicated that the second experiment with the largest domain had the best performance with the correlation coefficient of 0.79 due to the synoptic-scale systems such as short-wave troughs and North Pacific High.

Prediction of the Logitudinal Aerodynamic Coefficients of the Aircraft at Low Speed (항공기 저속 세로축 공력 계수 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Jung-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.83-95
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    • 2000
  • Lift, drag, pitching moment, what we call longitudinal aerodynamic coefficient, effects airplanes directly, so the method to find the accurate result quickly is an important factor from the beginning of the aircraft design. There are different ways to find aerodynamic coefficient such as empirical methods, numerical analysis methods, wind tunnel tests, and finally through an actual flight tests, but choosing the best methods depends on the due date or the cost. The accuracy varies on each design level, but all this methods have relationship to complement and balance each other, so by combining proper methods, the best result can be obtained. At this paper, empirical methods and numerical analysis method were experimented, compared, and reviewed to find the availability of each method and by combining two methods accurate result was obtained. So, we applied this methods to predict the aerodynamic coefficient on cruise configuration aircraft, and was able to obtain more accurate result on the low speed longitudinal aerodynamic coefficient. Also by watching there result, we are able to predict the errors before the actual wind tunnel test.

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Applicability of the Wind Erosion Prediction System for prediction of soil loss by wind in arable land

  • Lee, Kyo-Suk;Seo, Il-Hwan;Lee, Sang-Phil;Lim, Chul-Soon;Lee, Dong-Sung;Min, Se-Won;Jung, Hyun-Gyu;Yang, Jae-Eui;Chung, Doug-Young
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.845-857
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    • 2020
  • The precise estimation of accelerated soil wind erosion that can cause severe economic and environmental impacts still has not been achieved to date. The objectives of this investigation were to verify the applicability of a Wind Erosion Prediction System (WEPS) that expressed the soil loss as mass per area for specific areas of interest on a daily basis for a single event in arable lands. To this end, we selected and evaluated the results published by Hagen in 2004 and the soil depth converted from the mass of soil losses obtained by using the WEPS. Hagen's results obtained from the WEPS model followed the 1 : 1 line between predicted and measured value for soil losses with only less than 2 kg·m-2 whereas the values between the measured and predicted loss did not show any correlation for the given field conditions due to the initial field surface condition although the model provided reasonable estimates of soil loss. Calculated soil depths of the soil loss by wind for both the observed and predicted ones ranged from 0.004 to 3.113 cm·10 a-1 and from 0 to 2.013 cm·10 a-1, respectively. Comparison of the soil depths between the observed and predicted ones did not show any good relationship, and there was no soil loss in the predicted one while slight soil loss was measured in the observed one. Therefore, varying the essential model inputs and factors related to wind speed and soil properties are needed to accurately estimate soil loss for a given field in arable land.

Validation of Numerical Model for the Wind Flow over Real Terrain (실지형을 지나는 대기유동에 대한 수치모델의 검증)

  • Kim, Hyeon-Gu;Lee, Jeong-Muk;No, Yu-Jeong
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.219-228
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    • 1998
  • In the present investigation, a numerical model developed for the prediction of the wind flow over complex terrain is validated by comparing with the field experiments. For the solution of the Reynolds - Averaged Clavier- stokes equations which are the governing equations of the microscale atmospheric flow, the model is constructed based on the finite-volume formulation and the SIMPLEC pressure-correction algorithm for the hydrodynamic computation. The boundary- fitted coordinate system is employed for the detailed depiction of topography. The boundary conditions and the modified turbulence constants suitable for an atmospheric boundary- layer are applied together with the k- s turbulence model. The full- scale experiments of Cooper's Ridge, Kettles Hill and Askervein Hill are chosen as the validation cases . Comparisons of the mean flow field between the field measurements and the predicted results show good agreement. In the simulation of the wind flow over Askervein Hill , the numerical model predicts the three dimensional flow separation in the downslope of the hill including the blockage effect due to neighboring hills . Such a flow behavior has not been simulated by the theoretical predictions. Therefore, the present model may offer the most accurate prediction of flow behavior in the leeside of the hill among the existing theoretical and numerical predictions.

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Investigation of Goyang Tornado Outbreak Using X-band Polarimetric Radar: 10 June 2014 (X밴드 이중편파레이더를 활용한 고양 토네이도 발생 사례 분석: 2014년 6월 10일)

  • Jeong, Jong-Hoon;Kim, Yeon-Hee;Oh, Su-Bin;Lim, Eunha;Joo, Sangwon
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 2016
  • On 10 July 2014, tornado outbreak occurred over Goyang province in Korea. This was the first supercell tornado ever reported or documented in Korea. The characteristics of the supercell tornado were investigated using an X-band polarimetric radar, surface meteorological observation, wind profiler, and operational numerical weather prediction (Regional Data Assimilation and Prediction System, RDAPS). The supercell tornado developed along a preexisting dryline that was contributed to surface wind shear. The radar analyses examined here show that the supercell tornado indicated a hook echo with mesocyclone. The decending reflectivity core as well was detected before tornadogenesis and prior to intensification of supercell. The supercell tornado exhibited characteristics similar to typical supercell tornado over the Great Plains of the United States, such as hook echo, bounded weak echo region, and slower movement speed relative to the mean wind. Compared to the typical supercell tornado over U.S., this tornado showed horizontal scale of the mesocyclone was relatively smaller and left-mover.

Development of Prediction Program for the Towing Condition Associated with Various Towing Operations of a Disabled Ship (사고선박의 다양한 예인계획에 따른 예인상태 추정 프로그램 개발)

  • Kim, Eun-Chan;Choi, Hyuek-Jin;Lee, Seung-Guk
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.318-323
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    • 2014
  • When a disabled ship is being towed in a seaway, the speed and direction of the towed ship are estimated by using the towing force and direction of the selected tug boats at the predicted sea conditions including the wind and currents. In this paper, prediction method at the towing conditions of the various towing operations for a disabled ship are studied. The proposed calculation method suggests firstly the method to import the speed and resistance of the forward direction of the towed ship calculated by the existing computer program, second, the method to calculate the speed and resistance of the towed direction of the towed ship acquired from the selected tug boats at the initial towing conditions and lastly, the method to calculate the speed and resistance of the towed direction for the towed ship at the stable towing conditions. These calculation methods have been applied to the computer program and this program has been approved to be a useful program, capable of appropriately predicting the towed ship's conditions.

Development of Estimation Functions for Strong Winds Damage Reflecting Regional Characteristics Based on Disaster Annual Reports : Focused on Gyeongsang Area (재해연보 기반 지역특성을 반영한 강풍피해예측함수 개발 : 경상지역을 중심으로)

  • Rho, Jung-Lae;Song, Chang-young
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.223-236
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: In this study, a strong wind damage prediction function was developed in order to be used as a contingency during disaster management (preventive-preventive-response-recovery). Method: The predicted strong wind damage function proposed in this study took into account the re-enactment boy power, weather data and local characteristics at the time of damage. The meteorological data utilized the wind speed, temperature, and damage history observed by the Korea Meteorological Administration, the disaster year, and the recovery costs, population, vinyl house area, and farm water contained in the disaster report as factors to reflect the regional characteristics. Result: The function developed in this study reflected the predicted weather factors and local characteristics based on the history of strong wind damage in the past, and the extent of damage can be predicted in a short time. Conclusion: Strong wind damage prediction functions developed in this study are believed to be available for effective disaster management, such as decision making by policy-makers, deployment of emergency personnel and disaster prevention resources.

A Study on the Analytical Methods for the Aerodynamic Characteristics of Vertical-Axis Darrieus Wind Turbine (수직축(垂直軸) Darrieus 풍력(風力) 터어빈의 공기역학적특성(空氣力學的特性) 해석(解析)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Kim, Keon-Hoon;Lee, Chul-Hyung;Lee, Kyu-Hyun
    • Solar Energy
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.74-85
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    • 1987
  • Performances of 3 different aerodynamic analytical models, single multiple and double multiple stream tube, for vertical axis Darrieus turbine were analyzed comparatively. From the study it has been found that the models derived from stream tube assumptions can be useful for simple prediction of basic design characteristics of Darrieus turbine. But, for a large tip speed and solidity ratios, the models has shown a certain limit in its applicability according to the formulation scheme applied. The results have shown that for the case having large tip speed and solidity ratios the consideration due to stream conditions, such as trailing vortices or wakes, should be included for accurate prediction of the aerodynamic performances of Darrieus turbine.

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Development of a Time-Domain Simulation Tool for Offshore Wind Farms

  • Kim, Hyungyu;Kim, Kwansoo;Paek, Insu;Yoo, Neungsoo
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.1047-1053
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    • 2015
  • A time-domain simulation tool to predict the dynamic power output of wind turbines in an offshore wind farm was developed in this study. A wind turbine model consisting of first or second order transfer functions of various wind turbine elements was combined with the Ainslie's eddy viscosity wake model to construct the simulation tool. The wind turbine model also includes an aerodynamic model that is a look up table of power and thrust coefficients with respect to the tip speed ratio and pitch angle of the wind turbine obtained by a commercial multi-body dynamics simulation tool. The wake model includes algorithms of superposition of multiple wakes and propagation based on Taylor's frozen turbulence assumption. Torque and pitch control algorithms were implemented in the simulation tool to perform max-Cp and power regulation control of the wind turbines. The simulation tool calculates wind speeds in the two-dimensional domain of the wind farm at the hub height of the wind turbines and yields power outputs from individual wind turbines. The NREL 5MW reference wind turbine was targeted as a wind turbine to obtain parameters for the simulation. To validate the simulation tool, a Danish offshore wind farm with 80 wind turbines was modelled and used to predict the power from the wind farm. A comparison of the prediction with the measured values available in literature showed that the results from the simulation program were fairly close to the measured results in literature except when the wind turbines are congruent with the wind direction.

A Study on the Database Generation of Propulsion Performance for Ships Optimum Routing System (선박 최적운항시스템을 위한 추진성능 데이터베이스 생성 연구)

  • Kim, Eun-Chan;Kang, Kuk-Jin;Lee, Han-Jin
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.97-103
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    • 2016
  • The precise prediction of ships propulsion performance is very important to find out the ships optimum route. This paper describes the development of computer program to generate the database of propulsion performance for the ships optimum routing system. The propulsion performance of ship in the sea is caused by not only ships conditions such as drift and hull roughness, but also various sea conditions such as wave and wind. These prediction methods of added resistance are based on the ships speed trial analysis methods of the ISO 15016:2002 standard, and a few prediction methods of the wind and hull roughness are supplemented. These prediction methods have been applied to the comprehensive computer program. And the database calculation for the research ice breaker the Araon has been carried out, which shall be used for the calculation of optimum route. Furthermore, this program shall be used for the route optimization in global shipping routes.