• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.28 no.4
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• pp.191-201
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• 2016

A stochastic process has been used to develop a condition-based model for preventive maintenance of armor units of rubble-mound breakwaters that can make a decision the optimal interval at which some repair actions should be performed under the perfect maintenance. The proposed cost model in this paper based on renewal reward process can take account of the interest rate, also consider the unplanned maintenance cost which has been treated like a constant in the previous studies to be a time-dependent random variable. A function for the unplanned maintenance cost has been mathematically proposed so that the cumulative damage, serviceability limit and importance of structure can be taken into account, by which a age-based maintenance can be extended to a condition-based maintenance straightforwardly. The coefficients involved in the function can also be properly estimated using a method expressed in this paper. Two stochastic processes, Wiener process and gamma process have been applied to armor stones of rubble-mound breakwaters. By evaluating the expected total cost rate as a function of time for various serviceability limits, interest rates and importances of structure, the optimal period of preventive maintenance can easily determined through the minimization of the expected total cost rate. For a fixed serviceability limit, it shows that the optimal period has been delayed while the interest rate increases, so that the expected total cost rate has become lower. In addition, the gamma process tends to estimate the optimal period more conservatively than the Wiener process. Finally, it is found that the more crucial the level of importance of structure becomes, the more often preventive maintenances should be carried out.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.3 no.1
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• pp.105-120
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• 1990

In this paper, a sequential test procedure is defined by using cumulative sum (CUSUM) of statistics. The properties as well as the efficiency of the CUSUM test are studied in comparison with the sequential probability ratio test (SPRT). It was shown that, the operating characteristic function and the average sample numbrer can be derived by Wald and Wiener process approximations. Also it was shown that the statistics used in the CUSUM test is determined to provide asymtotically equivalent efficiency compared to the SPRT. The efficiency of the CUSUM test and the SPRT are cpmpared by an example for some limited number of cases in the exponential distribution.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.246-257
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• 2015

The progressive degradation paths of structures have quantitatively been tracked by using stochastic processes, such as Wiener process, gamma process and compound Poisson process, in order to consider both the sampling uncertainty due to the usual lack of damage data and the temporal uncertainty associated with the deterioration evolution. Several important features of stochastic processes which should carefully be considered in application of the stochastic processes to practical problems have been figured out through assessing cumulative damage and lifetime distribution as a function of time. Especially, the Wiener process and the gamma process have straightforwardly been applied to armors of rubble-mound breakwaters by the aid of a sample path method based on Melby's formula which can estimate cumulative damage levels of armors over time. The sample path method have been developed to calibrate the related-parameters required in the stochastic modelling of armors of rubble-mound breakwaters. From the analyses, it is found that cumulative damage levels of armors have surely been saturated with time. Also, the exponent of power law in time, that plays a significant role in predicting the cumulative damage levels over time, can easily be determined, which makes the stochastic models possible to track the cumulative damage levels of armors of rubble-mound breakwaters over time. Finally, failure probabilities with respect to various critical limits have been analyzed throughout its anticipated service life.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.1 no.2
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• pp.66-81
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• 1987

A new nonparametric sequential testing procedure is proposed in the paper. Sequential observations are divided into equally sized groups and a nonparametric statistic, which is appropriate for testing the given hypotheses, is obtained from each group. Then Wald's sequential test is applied for the case where the log probability ratio statistic is replaced by the nonparametric statistic. The properties of such test are evaluated approximately by the Wiener process.

• Communications of the Korean Mathematical Society
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.163-204
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• 2001

먼저 Erdos-Renyi의 새로운 강대수 법칙을 소개하고, 여러 가지 형태로 발전된 Erdos-Renyi 형의 법칙과 그 응용을 보여준다. 보다 더 일반적인 Erdos-Renyi형의 법칙과 그 응용을 보여준다. 보다 더 일반적인 Erdos-Renyi 형 법칙을 찾기 위해 Csorgo-Revesz 증분형태의 극한정리들을 소개하여 종속 mixing 조건이 주어진 정상 Gauss 확률변수들의 부분합에 대해 Csorgo-Revesz 증분형태의 새로운 극한정리들을 얻는다. 끝으로, 유한차원 벡터공간, ι(sup)p-공간, ι(sup)$\infty$-공간에서 각각 값을 갖는, 연속 Gauss 과정에 대해서 필자에 의해 최근에 발표된 몇 편의 논문을 소개한다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.26 no.2
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• pp.323-334
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• 2015

he current VaR model based on the J.P. Morgan's RiskMetrics structurally can not reflect the future economic situation. In this study, we propose a One-factor model resulting from the Wiener stochastic process decomposed into a systematic risk factor and an idiosyncratic risk factor. Therefore, we are able to perform a preemptive risk management by means of reflecting the predicted common risk factors in the model. Stocks in the portfolio are satisfied with the independence to each other because the common factors are fixed by the predicted value. Therefore, we can easily determine the investment in each stock to minimize the variance of the portfolio. In addition, the portfolio VaR is decomposed into the sum of the individual VaR. So we can effectively implement the constitution of the portfolio to meet the target maximum losses.

• Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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• v.42 no.6
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• pp.19-26
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• 2005

Image interpolation in the wavelet domain usually takes advantage of the probabilistic models for the intrascale statistics and the interscale dependency. In this paper, we adopt the linear model for the absolute values of wavelet coefficients of interpolated image across scale to estimate the variances of extrapolated bands. The proposed algorithm uses randomly generated wavelet coefficients based on the estimated parameters for probabilistic model. Random number generation according to the estimated probabilistic model may induce the 'salt and pepper' noise in subbands. We reduce the noise power by Wiener filtering. We observe that the proposed method generates the histogram of the subband coefficients similar to the that of original image. Experimental results show that our method outperforms the previous wavelet-domain interpolation method as well as the conventional bicubic method.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.32 no.3
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• pp.147-160
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• 2020

A stochastic probabilistic model for harbor structures such as rubble-mound breakwater has been formulated by using the generalized Wiener process considering the nonlinearity of damage drift and its nonlinear uncertainty, by which the damage path with real-time can be tracked, the residual useful lifetime at some age can also be analyzed properly. The formulated stochastic model can easily calculate the probability of failure with the passage of time through the probability density function of cumulative damage. In particular, the probability density functions of residual useful lifetime of the existing harbor structures can be derived, which can take into account the current age, its present damage state and the future damage process to be occurred. By using the maximum likelihood method and the least square method together, the involved parameters in the stochastic model can be estimated. In the calibration of the stochastic model presented in this paper, the present results are very well similar with the results of MCS about tracking of the damage paths as well as evaluating of the density functions of the cumulative damage and the residual useful lifetime. MTTF and MRL are also evaluated exactly. Meanwhile, the stochastic probabilistic model has been applied to the rubble-mound breakwater. The related parameters can be estimated by using the experimental data of the cumulative damages of armor units measured as a function of time. The theoretical results about the probability density function of cumulative damage and the probability of failure are very well agreed with MCS results such that the density functions of the cumulative damage tend to move to rightward and the amounts of its uncertainty are increased as the elapsed time goes on. Thus, the probabilities of failure with the elapsed time are also increased sharply. Finally, the behaviors of residual useful lifetime have been investigated with the elapsed age. It is concluded for rubble-mound breakwaters that the probability density functions of residual useful lifetime tends to have a longer tail in the right side rather than the left side because of the gradual increases of cumulative damage of armor units. Therefore, its MRLs are sharply decreased after some age. In this paper, the special attentions are paid to the relationship of MTTF and MRL and the elapsed age of the existing structure. In spite of that the sum of the elapsed age and MRL must be equal to MTTF deterministically, the large difference has been shown as the elapsed age is increased which is due to the uncertainty of cumulative damage to be occurred in the future.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Broadcast Engineers Conference
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• 2011.11a
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• pp.321-324
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• 2011

본 논문에서는 contourlet 변환을 이용하여 잡음을 제거하는 방법을 제안한다. 영상 센서의 발전으로 이미지의 해상도가 좋아지는 반면 잡음에 민감해진다. 그러므로 이를 전처리 단계에서 처리해주는 것이 필요하다. 잡음은 주로 자연 영상의 윤곽선에서 민감하게 반응하기 때문에 고주파대의 잡음을 최대한 정확하게 제거하는 과정이 중요하다. Contourlet 변환은 기존의 wavelet 변환의 다중 스케일과 더불어 다양한 방향 필터뱅크를 이용하여 방향 성분에 대하여 풍부한 정보를 얻을 수 있는 변환이다. 영상의 화이트 가우시안 잡음을 제거하기 위해 contourlet 변환 영역에서의 계수를 이변수 가우스 확률 모델로 설정하고 Bayes 추정법을 사용한다. Bayes 추정법에 필요한 파라미터들은 근사적으로 추정한다. 제안한 방식을 통하여 잡음이 제거된 영상에 추가적으로 Wiener filter와 cycle-spinning을 적용하여 더 높은 PSNR (peak signal-to-noise ratio)값을 얻을 수 있다. 모의실험을 통해 제안한 방식의 PSNR 값과 결과영상으로 성능이 우수함을 확인하였다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.26 no.3
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• pp.471-481
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• 2013

The current VaR Model based on J. P. Morgan's RiskMetrics has problem that actual loss exceeds VaR under unstable economic conditions because the current VaR Model can't re ect future economic conditions. In general, any corporation's stock price is determined by the rm's idiosyncratic factor as well as the common systematic factor that in uences all stocks in the portfolio. In this study, we propose an One-factor VaR Model for stock portfolio which is decomposed into the common systematic factor and the rm's idiosyncratic factor. We expect that the actual loss will not exceed VaR when the One-factor Model is implemented because the common systematic factor considering the future economic conditions is estimated. Also, we can allocate the stock portfolio to minimize the loss.