• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weibull statistics

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Goodness of Fit Tests for the Exponential Distribution based on Multiply Progressive Censored Data (다중 점진적 중도절단에서 지수분포의 적합도 검정)

  • Yun, Hyejeong;Lee, Kyeongjun
    • Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.2813-2827
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    • 2018
  • Progressive censoring schemes have become quite popular in reliability study. Under progressive censored data, however, some units can be failed between two points of observation with exact times of failure of these units unobserved. For example, loss may arise in life-testing experiments when the failure times of some units were not observed due to mechanical or experimental difficulties. Therefore, multiply progressive censoring scheme was introduced. So, we derives a maximum likelihood estimator of the parameter of exponential distribution. And we introduced the goodness-of-fit test statistics using order statistic and Lorenz curve. We carried out Monte Carlo simulation to compare the proposed test statistics. In addition, real data set have been analysed. In Weibull and chi-squared distributions, the test statistics using Lorenz curve are more powerful than test statistics using order statistics.

Comparisons of Empirical Bayes Approaches to Censored Accelerated Lifetime Data (가속수명자료에 대향 경험적 베이즈 비료연구)

  • Cho, Geon-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.183-194
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    • 1997
  • In accelerated life tests, the failure time of an item is observed under a high stress level and based on the time, the failure rates of items we estimated at the normal stress level. In this paper, when the mean of the prior distribution of a parameter is known in Weibull lifetime model with censored failure time data, we study various estimating methods to obtain the empirical Bayes estimator of a parameter from the empirical Bayes approach under the normal stress level by considering the fact that the Bayes estimator is the function of prior parameters and of the acceleration parameter representing the effect of acceleration. And we compare the performance of several empirical Bayes estimators of a parameter in terms of the Bayes risk.

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Reliability analysis of warranty returns data (품질보증 반환 데이터의 신뢰성 분석)

  • Baik, Jaiwook;Jo, Jinnam
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.893-901
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    • 2014
  • A certain number of products are sold each month and some of them are returned for repair. In this study both return rate and cumulative return rate are shown on the graph to show the general trend of how many products are returned as time goes by. Next this type of summary data can be considered as a conglomeration of both left and right censored data. So reliability analysis is attempted for this type of summary data. Lastly, left censored data can be traced to find the exact time period during which the product has been claimed. In that case the left censored data can be taken as failure data. So similar type of reliability analysis is attempted for the resulting right censored data.

Predicting the future number of failures based on the field failure summary data (필드 고장 요약 데이터를 활용한 미래 고장수의 예측)

  • Baik, Jai-Wook;Jo, Jin-Nam
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.755-764
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    • 2011
  • In many companies field failure data is used to predict the future number of failures, especially when an unexpected failure mode happens to be a problem. It is because they want to predict the number of spare parts needed and the future quality warranty cost associated with the part based on the predictions of the future number of failures. In this paper field summary data is used to predict the future number of failures based on an appropriate distribution. Other types of data are also investigated to identify the appropriate distribution.

Estimation for the Distribution of Creep Crack Growth Coefficients by Probabilistic Assessment (확률적 방법에 의한 크리프 균열성장 계수의 분포 추정)

  • Lee, Sang-Ho;Yoon, Kee-Bong;Choe, Byung-Hak;Min, Doo-Sik;Ahn, Jong Seok;Lee, Gil Jae;Kim, Sun-Hwa
    • Korean Journal of Metals and Materials
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    • v.48 no.9
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    • pp.791-797
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    • 2010
  • The creep crack growth rate (da/dt) of the Cr-Mo steels tested by pre-crack and the voltage (or resistance) variables were related into fracture parameter (Ct), crack growth coefficient (H), and an exponent (q) in the parts of Base, weld and HAZ. The fracture parameter (Ct) has various variables relating to the specimen and crack shape, applied stress, and creep strain curve. The H and q was inferred by OLS regression (ordinary least square method), and the H values were solved in statistics and probability assessment, which were attained fromPDF's distributions (probability density function). The HAZ part has the highest value of q by OLS regression and the widest distribution of H by PDF of WEIBULL, which means that the crack sensitivity of HAZ should be cautioned against the creep crack growth and failure.

Bayesian and maximum likelihood estimations from exponentiated log-logistic distribution based on progressive type-II censoring under balanced loss functions

  • Chung, Younshik;Oh, Yeongju
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.425-445
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    • 2021
  • A generalization of the log-logistic (LL) distribution called exponentiated log-logistic (ELL) distribution on lines of exponentiated Weibull distribution is considered. In this paper, based on progressive type-II censored samples, we have derived the maximum likelihood estimators and Bayes estimators for three parameters, the survival function and hazard function of the ELL distribution. Then, under the balanced squared error loss (BSEL) and the balanced linex loss (BLEL) functions, their corresponding Bayes estimators are obtained using Lindley's approximation (see Jung and Chung, 2018; Lindley, 1980), Tierney-Kadane approximation (see Tierney and Kadane, 1986) and Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods (see Hastings, 1970; Gelfand and Smith, 1990). Here, to check the convergence of MCMC chains, the Gelman and Rubin diagnostic (see Gelman and Rubin, 1992; Brooks and Gelman, 1997) was used. On the basis of their risks, the performances of their Bayes estimators are compared with maximum likelihood estimators in the simulation studies. In this paper, research supports the conclusion that ELL distribution is an efficient distribution to modeling data in the analysis of survival data. On top of that, Bayes estimators under various loss functions are useful for many estimation problems.

Estimation of Lifetime Distribution under Time-Censored Ramp Test for Weibull Lifetime Distribution: The Case Where Stress is Bounded and Loaded from Use Condition (스트레스 한계가 있고 사용조건에서 스트레스를 가하는 정시중단 램프시험에서 신뢰수명분포의 추정 : 와이블분포의 경우)

  • 전영록
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.463-478
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    • 1999
  • 가속수명시험은 제품의 사용조건 보다 높은 스트레스 수준에서 시험하여 제품의 신뢰수명을 추정하는 것으로써 스트레스 수준을 일정하게 유지하는 일정형 시험이 일반적이다. 그러나 경우에 따라서는 시험절차의 편리와 시험기간의 단축을 위해서 스트레스를 시간에 따라 선형적으로 증가시키는 램프(ramp)형 시험을 사용하기도 한다. 이 논문에서는 일정스트레 s에서 제품의 수명이 모수 $\Theta$(s), $\beta$인 와이블분포를 따르고 수명과 스트레스의 관계가 역거듭제곱모형인 경우에 스트레스를 사용조건에서 가하고, 스트레스 수준의 최대 한계가 주어져 있는 램프시험 하에서 시험제품이 갖는 수명분포를 유도하고, 정시관측중단시험의 경우에 대해서 수명분포의 최우추정량과 추정량의 점근분포를 구하며, 최우추정치를 구하는 알고리즘을 제안한다.

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Joint Modeling of Death Times and Counts with Covariate (공변량을 포함한 사망시간과 치료횟수의 결합모형의 개발)

  • Park, Hee-Chang;Park, Jin-Pyo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.149-158
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    • 1998
  • In this paper we suggest the joint model of death times and counts with covariates. We assume that the death times follow a Weibull distribution with rate that depends on covariates. For the counts, a Poisson process is assumed with the intensity depending on time and the covariates. We obtain the maximum likelihood estimators of model parameters. This model is applied to data set of patients with breast cancer who received a bone marrow transplant.

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Field data analyses for repairable products (수리가능한 제품의 사용현장 데이터 분석)

  • 배도선;윤형제;최인수
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.133-145
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    • 1995
  • This paper is concerned with the method of estimating lifetime distribution from field data for repairable products with multiple modes of failure, and is an extension of Bai et al.(1995). The log linear function is considered as a model for describing the relation between failure time of a product and covariates. Using the nonhomogeneous poisson process, general methods for obtaining pseudo maximum likelihood estimators(PMLEs) for the parameters are outlined and specific formulas for Weibull distribution are obtained. Effects of follow-up percentage on the PMLEs are investigated. Extension to case-cohort design is also considered.

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Reliability Assessment Criteria of Sensor Module for Lighting Fixtures (조명용센서모듈의 신뢰성평가기준)

  • Jeong, Hee-Suk;Park, Chang-Kyu;Jeong, Hai-Sung;Baik, Jai-Wook
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.11-24
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    • 2010
  • Lighting industry is rapidly being developed as the ubiquitous society based on sensor network emerges. This kind of paradigm shift brings the society convergence of technologies which leads to smart lighting system as well as the integration of interior and sensibility control. However, standards for sensors have not been firmly established, and problems related to quality and malfunction have been brought up, thereby calling for careful approach to the enhancement and assessment of reliability of the item. In this article reliability assessment criteria for sensor module for lighting fixtures is established in terms of performance assessment criterion and reliability assessment criterion.